Northern Illinois at Western Michigan - 2024 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Wednesday, November 6th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Northern Illinois -2.5 (51.5) (-130)  Open: -1.5 | 52.5
Northern Illinois 42 - Western Michigan: 28  (Mid-American)

 
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (21 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NIU coming off BYE
WMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Northern Illinois -4.5  (SP+ NIU -6.5)

Projected Score: NIU: 29 - WMU: 24 (53)
NIU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NIU Travel: 165 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-36.555.5W 54 - 15OY
Sat 9/7 Northern Illinois at Notre Dame+28.546.5W 16 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-13.042.5L 20 - 23ON
Sat 9/28 Northern Illinois at NC State+7.046.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/5 Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts-14.041.0W 34 - 20ON
Sat 10/12 Northern Illinois at Bowling Green+3.046.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Northern Illinois vs Toledo-3.042.5L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Northern Illinois at Ball State-13.547.5L 23 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan-2.551.5W 42 - 28OY
Wed 11/13 Northern Illinois vs Akron-14.043.5W 29 - 16ON
Tue 11/19 Northern Illinois at Miami (OH)+1.543.0L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan-16.541.5W 24 - 16UN
Mon 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Fresno State-2.041.0W 28 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Western Michigan at Wisconsin+24.057.0L 14 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Western Michigan at Ohio State+37.554.5L 0 - 56ON
Sat 9/14 Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman-33.554.5W 59 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Western Michigan at Marshall+3.553.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 10/5 Western Michigan at Ball State-10.057.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/12 Western Michigan vs Akron-9.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 10/19 Western Michigan at Buffalo-1.049.5W 48 - 41OY
Sat 10/26 Western Michigan vs Kent State-19.061.0W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois+2.551.5L 28 - 42ON
Tue 11/12 Western Michigan at Bowling Green+9.557.5L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/19 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-6.056.0L 14 - 16UN
Sat 11/30 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-6.556.5W 26 - 18UY
Sat 12/14 Western Michigan vs South Alabama+6.053.5L 23 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)24.544% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)18.541% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)28.945% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)31.348% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1324.520.742.1%3.391.2213832041794.859%41%44%40%15%.16
WMU Defense1331.327.249.1%4.381.6 - - - - - 56%44%48%51%18%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense1318.519.737.7%3.081.1 - - - - - 49%51%41%35%17%.06
WMU Offense1328.939.845.2%4.11119371184187555%45%45%46%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1333:2021.542%45%4.242.81.21.15.42.5130.4
Western Michigan1329:5819.535%59%4.139.211.64.21.5131.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1359% (11)44% (72)42.8204.24.822 (55).14 (66)3.25 (33)72% (83)9% (60)1 (54)
WMU Defense1356% (123)48% (115) - - - - .19 (105)3.18 (96)76% (84)10% (66)1.01 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1349% (44)41% (52) - - - - .08 (45)3.06 (79)74% (73)11% (53)0.9 (33)
WMU Offense1355% (35)45% (59)36.8184.2528 (25).18 (43)3.05 (62)75% (53)10% (64)1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1341% (124)40% (86)16.528.5179.16.310.816 (87)8 (40).23 (84)1.6 (58)31% (68)30% (89).17 (117)5% (39)1.9 (116)
WMU Defense1344% (12)51% (132) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (127)1.5 (31)27% (125)33% (103).33 (81)8% (19)1.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1351% (93)35% (9) - - - - - - 9 (76).04 (4)1.5 (55)36% (15)25% (10).18 (16)7% (37)2 (67)
WMU Offense1345% (100)46% (27)16.324.91877.511.518 (68)9 (48).32 (40)1.5 (98)28% (16)31% (71).27 (91)6% (59)1.9 (108)

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -2.77  #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86  #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99  #11
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5  #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #32

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -2.77   Western Michigan: -7.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.5   Western Michigan: -10.2




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -7.785  #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99  #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82  #113
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0  #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.7

Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 29
Western Michigan 24


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 30
Northern Illinois 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 27
Northern Illinois 26

Total Points: 53
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/18Northern Illinois19Western Michigan35Western Michigan -7Western Michigan39.5Over
202411/06Western Michigan28Northern Illinois42Northern Illinois -2.5Northern Illinois51.5Over
202311/14Northern Illinois24Western Michigan0Northern Illinois -4.5Northern Illinois55.5Under
202211/09Western Michigan21Northern Illinois24Northern Illinois -1Northern Illinois49.0Under
202111/23Northern Illinois21Western Michigan42Western Michigan -6.5Western Michigan60.0Over
202011/28Western Michigan30Northern Illinois27Western Michigan -18.5Northern Illinois64.5Under
201911/26Northern Illinois17Western Michigan14Western Michigan -10Northern Illinois51.0Under
201811/20Western Michigan28Northern Illinois21Northern Illinois -6.5Western Michigan48.5Over
201711/15Northern Illinois35Western Michigan31Northern Illinois -9Western Michigan49.5Over
201610/08Western Michigan45Northern Illinois30Western Michigan -19Northern Illinois68.5Over
201511/18Northern Illinois27Western Michigan19Northern Illinois -3.5Northern Illinois59.5Under
201411/28Western Michigan21Northern Illinois31Western Michigan -7Northern Illinois0
201311/26Northern Illinois33Western Michigan14Northern Illinois -33.5Western Michigan0
201210/27Western Michigan34Northern Illinois48
201110/15Northern Illinois51Western Michigan22
201010/30Western Michigan21Northern Illinois28
200910/03Northern Illinois38Western Michigan3
200809/06Western Michigan29Northern Illinois26
200710/13Northern Illinois13Western Michigan17
200610/14Western Michigan16Northern Illinois14
200511/23Northern Illinois42Western Michigan7
200410/23Western Michigan38Northern Illinois59
200310/18Northern Illinois37Western Michigan10
200210/26Western Michigan20Northern Illinois24
200110/20Northern Illinois20Western Michigan12
200010/20Western Michigan52Northern Illinois22
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan956 Overs
Northern Illinois1785 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 104 - 92 - 52 - 4
Road Teams10 - 169 - 44 - 25 - 2

(#73) NIU at (#103) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNIUWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #73 #103
SP+SP+ #84 #105
Perf GradeGrade #51 #40
OffenseOff #80 #7
DefenseDef #24 #103
Spec TeamsST #38 #70
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #102
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/18) Rgame mauled Akron, QB meh, Run Def great
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
(9/8) Outgained ND 388-286, best W of CFB, Def v good?
Northern Illinois Injury Report
Western Michigan Notes
(12/15) Good fight in bowl (S Al), Run Def torched 260+
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC
(7/30) Lost OC/DCs. Hired OC/DC both fired LY (L Tech/IU)
Western Michigan Injury Report
Northern Illinois on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
NIU OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #103
SuccessSuc #79 #128
ExplosiveExp #96 #45
PPAPPA #86 #122
PowerPwr #97 #113
SP+SP+ #115 #120
Pts POPPO #113 #119
HavocHav #44 #44
Northern Illinois Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
NIU OffWMU Def
Run GameRun #90 #107
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #115
Run ExplRExp #54 #81
PPAExp #66 #105
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #33 #96
Stuff RateStuff #14 #99
TackleTak -  #82
Northern Illinois Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
NIU OffWMU Def
Pass GamePass #110 #89
Pass SuccessPSuc #86 #132
Pass ExplPExl #58 #31
PPAExp #84 #127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #58 #92
F7 HavocF7 #60 #66
DB HavocDB #39 #19
Western Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCatWMU OffNIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #7 #24
SuccessSuc #33 #19
ExplosiveExp #74 #37
PPAPPA #43 #11
PowerPwr #41 #11
SP+SP+ #86 #32
Pts POPPO #49 #12
HavocHav #55 #48
Western Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat
WMU OffNIU Def
Run GameRun #40 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #52
Run ExplRExp #33 #33
PPAExp #43 #45
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLY #62 #79
Stuff RateStuff #67 #104
TackleTak -  #3
Western Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCatWMU OffNIU Def
Pass GamePass #76 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #9
Pass ExplPExl #98 #55
PPAExp #40 #4
Pass Block/RushP Blk #19 #73
F7 HavocF7 #64 #53
DB HavocDB #59 #37
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Northern Illinois 2.5 (51.5)
Northern Illinois won at Western Michigan this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan last year (42-28)
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan in 2023 (24-0)
Northern Illinois beat Western Michigan in 2022 (24-21)

  
NIU's OC Wesley Beschorner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Josh Holst6511159%593225.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Williams13974945.471
Antario Brown11556744.949
Telly Johnson Jr.10348044.738
Josh Holst4923014.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph37403110.948
Cam Thompson27388314.454
Grayson Barnes31338410.960
Andrew McElroy (Tr)26264010.242

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Fuhrman (Tr)614011
Jaden Dolphin613002
Santana Banner542014
Nate Valcarcel532248
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte O'Malley3812941
Roy Williams387711
Nevaeh Sanders85520
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Valcarcel532248
Jacob Finley363108
Santana Banner542014

WMU's OC Walt Bell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hayden Wolff19128567%22141777.8
Broc Lowry (Tr)4850%21002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon132874126.692
Jalen Buckley12065785.561
Zahir Abdus-Salaam10456735.570
Broc Lowry (Tr)2212335.640
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenneth Womack34456113.441
Blake Bosma37403610.955
Anthony Sambucci31376212.154
Zahir Abdus-Salaam2822718.131

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Scott Power (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donald Willis1097144
Tate Hallock845005
Jacob Wahlberg782111
Bilhal Kone701028
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Walker387635
Mason Nelson319311
Isaiah Green283240
Donald Willis1097144
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bilhal Kone701028
Nyquan Washington313005
Corey Walker387635