Akron at Northern Illinois - 2024 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Wednesday, November 13th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Northern Illinois -14 (43.5) (-600)  Open: -18.0
Northern Illinois 29 - Akron: 16  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
AKR coming off BYE
Our Line: Northern Illinois -18   (SP+ NIU -14)

Projected Score: AKR: 14 - NIU: 32 (46)
NIU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
AKR Travel: 381 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Akron's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Akron at Ohio State+50.558.5L 6 - 52UY
Sat 9/7 Akron at Rutgers+24.541.5L 17 - 49ON
Sat 9/14 Akron vs Colgate-13.548.5W 31 - 20ON
Sat 9/21 Akron at South Carolina+25.042.0L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/28 Akron at Ohio+8.546.0L 10 - 30UN
Sat 10/5 Akron vs Bowling Green+17.048.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/12 Akron at Western Michigan+9.548.5L 24 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Akron vs Eastern Michigan+2.550.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/2 Akron vs Buffalo-1.049.0L 30 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13 Akron at Northern Illinois+14.043.5L 16 - 29OY
Tue 11/19 Akron at Kent State-10.549.0W 38 - 17OY
Tue 11/26 Akron vs Toledo+9.550.5W 21 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-36.555.5W 54 - 15OY
Sat 9/7 Northern Illinois at Notre Dame+28.546.5W 16 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-13.042.5L 20 - 23ON
Sat 9/28 Northern Illinois at NC State+7.046.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/5 Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts-14.041.0W 34 - 20ON
Sat 10/12 Northern Illinois at Bowling Green+3.046.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Northern Illinois vs Toledo-3.042.5L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Northern Illinois at Ball State-13.547.5L 23 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan-2.551.5W 42 - 28OY
Wed 11/13 Northern Illinois vs Akron-14.043.5W 29 - 16ON
Tue 11/19 Northern Illinois at Miami (OH)+1.543.0L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan-16.541.5W 24 - 16UN
Mon 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Fresno State-2.041.0W 28 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)20.444% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)3241% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)24.544% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)18.541% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)44% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)41% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1220.416.938.8%3.261.7183331012333.540%59%44%36%17%.07
NIU Defense1318.517.237.7%3.081.1 - - - - - 49%51%41%35%17%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense123237.344.6%4.190.8 - - - - - 54%45%41%49%14%.21
NIU Offense1324.527.842.1%3.391.2213832041794.859%41%44%40%15%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1228:3317.936%31%6.348.71.70.851.5226.4
Northern Illinois1333:2021.542%45%4.242.81.21.15.42.5130.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1240% (124)44% (64)28.5100.53.511 (116).03 (114)2.82 (103)78% (34)10% (77)0.91 (93)
NIU Defense1349% (44)41% (52) - - - - .08 (45)3.06 (79)74% (73)11% (53)0.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254% (111)41% (55) - - - - .1 (57)2.95 (58)65% (24)9% (95)0.98 (66)
NIU Offense1359% (11)44% (72)42.8204.24.822 (55).14 (66)3.25 (33)72% (83)9% (60)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1259% (13)36% (118)19.535232.56.611.916 (87)10 (63).12 (118)1.6 (54)35% (121)25% (120).07 (133)7% (91)2.1 (36)
NIU Defense1351% (93)35% (9) - - - - - - 9 (76).04 (4)1.5 (55)36% (15)25% (10).18 (16)7% (37)2 (67)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245% (23)49% (126) - - - - - - 3 (132).37 (122)1.5 (45)28% (120)36% (121).45 (114)5% (90)2.1 (71)
NIU Offense1341% (124)40% (86)16.528.5179.16.310.816 (87)8 (40).23 (84)1.6 (58)31% (68)30% (89).17 (117)5% (39)1.9 (116)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -19.03 #121
Akron's Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Akron's Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Akron's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Akron's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -19.03   Northern Illinois: -0.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -17.9   Northern Illinois: -3.5




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 32
Akron 14


Total Points: 46

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/13Northern Illinois29Akron16Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -14Akron43.5Over
202310/07Akron14Northern Illinois55Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -4Northern Illinois42.5Over
202211/26Northern Illinois12Akron44AkronNorthern Illinois -9.5Akron51.5Over
201910/26Northern Illinois49Akron0Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -22Northern Illinois42.5Over
201811/01Akron26Northern Illinois36Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -6Northern Illinois37.0Over
201310/12Northern Illinois27Akron20Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -21.5Akron0
201210/20Akron7Northern Illinois37Northern Illinois
201010/02Akron14Northern Illinois50Northern Illinois
200910/31Northern Illinois27Akron10Northern Illinois
200509/24Akron48Northern Illinois42Akron
200512/01Northern Illinois30Akron31Akron
200410/02Northern Illinois49Akron19Northern Illinois
200010/13Akron35Northern Illinois52Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1035 Overs
Akron330 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 71 - 51 - 30 - 2
Road Teams7 - 65 - 12 - 03 - 1

(#121) Akron Info
Power Rating: -19.03 #121
Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.26 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Akron has lost 1 straight
Akron has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 6 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Akron Notes
(11/27) Won 3 of last 5, competitive team most of season
(11/18) Run game awful vs N Ill, 50 rush, 19/52 pass
(10/27) Run game great vs EMU in W, 220 yds, 7.1 ypc
(10/13) Finley great, Rgame awful, 4 TO's in L WMU
(10/4) Pass heavy Off is awful but Run game is worse
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Zips may be CFB #2 worst
(8/16) Ohio St, Rutgers and SC? Why?
(8/16) Off was dead last LY. Not much TY
(7/30) Def has some pieces, DB's need rebuild
(7/30) HC Moorhead has 4 wins in 2 yrs. Hot Seat?

Akron Highlights

Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#111)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron has a bad defense (#88)
Akron has a bad red zone defense (#37)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNIUAKR
OverallOver#37#100
OffenseOff#65#108
DefenseDef#18#106
Special TeamsST#34#101
PassingPass#87#83
RushingRush#65#81
Run BlockRBLK#18#104
Pass BlockPBLK#53#111
Route RunningWR Rt#102#98
TacklingTkl#3#120
Run DefenseR Def#17#92
Pass Rush DefPRush#64#104
Coverage DefCov#22#107

Rematch from Week 12
Northern Illinois -14.0 (43.5)
Northern Illinois won vs Akron this year (29-16)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Akron last year (29-16)
Northern Illinois beat Akron in 2023 (55-14)
Akron beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (44-12)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | NIU
Depth Chart: AKR | NIU
Rosters: AKR | NIU
(#73) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -0.635 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Northern Illinois has won 1 straight
Northern Illinois has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (1 - 4 - 1 vs Spread)

Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois has Really Good Running Game (#106)
Northern Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#106)

Northern Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Northern Illinois has a really good defense (#46)
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)


  
Akron's OC Taylor Housewright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley (Tr)21138755%25811696.7
Tahj Bullock223073%200006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Charles Kellom8535814.243
Tahj Bullock5313882.615
Ben Finley (Tr)805100.633
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Adrian Norton43832719.360
Bobby Golden31446114.456
Ahmarian Granger17308218.172
Jacob Newell3525427.329

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy1203032
Paul Lewis III (Tr)766016
Darrian Lewis723006
Antavious Fish672111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Bennett Adler347351
Kabbash Richards96200
Dimitri Madden (Tr)42100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte Nelson331007
Darrian Lewis723006
Paul Lewis III (Tr)766016

Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Josh Holst6511159%593225.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Williams13974945.471
Antario Brown11556744.949
Telly Johnson Jr.10348044.738
Josh Holst4923014.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph37403110.948
Cam Thompson27388314.454
Grayson Barnes31338410.960
Andrew McElroy (Tr)26264010.242

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Fuhrman (Tr)614011
Jaden Dolphin613002
Santana Banner542014
Nate Valcarcel532248
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte O'Malley3812941
Roy Williams387711
Nevaeh Sanders85520
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Valcarcel532248
Jacob Finley363108
Santana Banner542014