Central Michigan at Northern Illinois - 2024 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Northern Illinois -16.5 (41.5) (-550)  Open: -12.5 | 45.5
Northern Illinois 24 - Central Michigan: 16  (Mid-American)

 
Chippewas (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 23.5°
Wind: 13.9 MPH
NIU is playing their 4th straight game
CMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -14.5  (SP+ NIU -12)

Projected Score: CMU: 15 - NIU: 29 (44)
NIU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
CMU Travel: 233 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (28 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut-33.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/7 Central Michigan vs Florida International-3.551.5L 16 - 52ON
Sat 9/14 Central Michigan at Illinois+21.549.5L 9 - 30UY
Sat 9/21 Central Michigan vs Ball State-6.551.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 9/28 Central Michigan vs San Diego State-2.547.5W 22 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Central Michigan vs Ohio+3.050.5L 25 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan+3.552.5L 34 - 38ON
Sat 10/26 Central Michigan at Miami (OH)+10.548.5L 7 - 46ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Central Michigan vs Bowling Green+14.547.5L 13 - 23UY
Tue 11/12 Central Michigan at Toledo+15.052.5L 10 - 37UN
Tue 11/19 Central Michigan vs Western Michigan+6.056.0W 16 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Central Michigan at Northern Illinois+16.541.5L 16 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-36.555.5W 54 - 15OY
Sat 9/7 Northern Illinois at Notre Dame+28.546.5W 16 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-13.042.5L 20 - 23ON
Sat 9/28 Northern Illinois at NC State+7.046.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/5 Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts-14.041.0W 34 - 20ON
Sat 10/12 Northern Illinois at Bowling Green+3.046.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Northern Illinois vs Toledo-3.042.5L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Northern Illinois at Ball State-13.547.5L 23 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan-2.551.5W 42 - 28OY
Wed 11/13 Northern Illinois vs Akron-14.043.5W 29 - 16ON
Tue 11/19 Northern Illinois at Miami (OH)+1.543.0L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan-16.541.5W 24 - 16UN
Mon 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Fresno State-2.041.0W 28 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)22.642% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)29.741% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)24.544% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)18.541% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1222.615.238.7%3.822183321691634.557%43%42%34%20%.15
NIU Defense1318.517.237.7%3.081.1 - - - - - 49%51%41%35%17%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1229.73539.9%3.60.4 - - - - - 52%48%41%39%18%.21
NIU Offense1324.527.842.1%3.391.2213832041794.859%41%44%40%15%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1229:2617.935%58%6.860.920.47.72.6327.1
Northern Illinois1333:2021.542%45%4.242.81.21.15.42.5130.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1257% (24)42% (88)37.3168.94.517 (84).22 (24)3.2 (41)80% (23)12% (108)1.09 (27)
NIU Defense1349% (44)41% (52) - - - - .08 (45)3.06 (79)74% (73)11% (53)0.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1252% (80)41% (48) - - - - .15 (82)3 (66)82% (117)13% (14)1.18 (127)
NIU Offense1359% (11)44% (72)42.8204.24.822 (55).14 (66)3.25 (33)72% (83)9% (60)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1243% (110)34% (124)13.925.2163.46.511.711 (122)12 (85).04 (129)1.5 (85)34% (112)22% (132).18 (116)8% (119)2 (86)
NIU Defense1351% (93)35% (9) - - - - - - 9 (76).04 (4)1.5 (55)36% (15)25% (10).18 (16)7% (37)2 (67)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1248% (54)39% (50) - - - - - - 2 (134).28 (93)1.7 (102)36% (18)30% (60).37 (95)5% (117)2.2 (103)
NIU Offense1341% (124)40% (86)16.528.5179.16.310.816 (87)8 (40).23 (84)1.6 (58)31% (68)30% (89).17 (117)5% (39)1.9 (116)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -14.12  #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21  #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06  #88
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8  #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -14.12   Northern Illinois: -0.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -15.8   Northern Illinois: -3.5




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -0.635  #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86  #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99  #11
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5  #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #32

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 29
Central Michigan 15


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Northern Illinois 32
Central Michigan 15

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Northern Illinois 29
Central Michigan 19

Total Points: 48
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Northern Illinois24Central Michigan16Northern Illinois -16.5Central Michigan41.5Under
202310/31Central Michigan37Northern Illinois31Northern Illinois -3Central Michigan48.0Over
202211/02Northern Illinois22Central Michigan35Northern Illinois -4.5Central Michigan54.0Over
202110/23Central Michigan38Northern Illinois39Central Michigan -6Northern Illinois56.0Over
202011/11Northern Illinois10Central Michigan40Central Michigan -6Central Michigan57.5Under
201911/02Central Michigan48Northern Illinois10Northern Illinois -1Central Michigan48.5Over
201809/15Northern Illinois24Central Michigan16Northern Illinois -13.5Central Michigan48.0Under
201711/24Central Michigan31Northern Illinois24Northern Illinois -3Central Michigan51.5Over
201610/15Northern Illinois28Central Michigan34Central Michigan -4Central Michigan60.0Over
201510/03Central Michigan29Northern Illinois19Northern Illinois -2.5Central Michigan51.0Under
201410/11Northern Illinois17Central Michigan34Northern Illinois -12.5Central Michigan0
201310/19Central Michigan17Northern Illinois38Northern Illinois -17Northern Illinois0
201209/29Northern Illinois55Central Michigan24
201110/01Central Michigan48Northern Illinois41
201010/23Northern Illinois33Central Michigan7
200911/27Central Michigan45Northern Illinois31
200811/12Northern Illinois30Central Michigan33
200709/29Central Michigan35Northern Illinois10
200611/17Northern Illinois31Central Michigan10
200511/05Central Michigan28Northern Illinois31
200410/16Northern Illinois42Central Michigan10
200310/11Central Michigan24Northern Illinois40
200210/19Northern Illinois49Central Michigan0
200110/27Central Michigan24Northern Illinois33
200011/17Northern Illinois40Central Michigan6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1326 Overs
Central Michigan12104 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 104 - 80 - 54 - 3
Road Teams10 - 158 - 43 - 45 - 0

(#111) CMU at (#73) NIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCMUNIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #111 #73
SP+SP+ #120 #84
Perf GradeGrade #108 #51
OffenseOff #129 #80
DefenseDef #55 #24
Spec TeamsST #45 #38
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #102
Central Michigan Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Drinkall (Army OL/TE, K Wes HC 14-18)
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG
(9/15) OL/DL played even w/ Ill. QB Labas really awful
Central Michigan Injury Report
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/18) Rgame mauled Akron, QB meh, Run Def great
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
(9/8) Outgained ND 388-286, best W of CFB, Def v good?
Northern Illinois Injury Report
Central Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
CMU OffNIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #129 #24
SuccessSuc #115 #19
ExplosiveExp #82 #37
PPAPPA #96 #11
PowerPwr #92 #11
SP+SP+ #122 #32
Pts POPPO #80 #12
HavocHav #124 #48
Central Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
CMU OffNIU Def
Run GameRun #100 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #88 #52
Run ExplRExp #27 #33
PPAExp #24 #45
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLY #41 #79
Stuff RateStuff #12 #104
TackleTak -  #3
Central Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
CMU OffNIU Def
Pass GamePass #129 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #124 #9
Pass ExplPExl #85 #55
PPAExp #129 #4
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #129 #73
F7 HavocF7 #108 #53
DB HavocDB #119 #37
Northern Illinois on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatNIU OffCMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #55
SuccessSuc #79 #44
ExplosiveExp #96 #121
PPAPPA #86 #96
PowerPwr #97 #88
SP+SP+ #115 #115
Pts POPPO #113 #45
HavocHav #44 #45
Northern Illinois Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
NIU OffCMU Def
Run GameRun #90 #40
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #48
Run ExplRExp #54 #127
PPAExp #66 #82
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #33 #66
Stuff RateStuff #14 #72
TackleTak -  #23
Northern Illinois Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatNIU OffCMU Def
Pass GamePass #110 #87
Pass SuccessPSuc #86 #50
Pass ExplPExl #58 #102
PPAExp #84 #93
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58 #28
F7 HavocF7 #60 #14
DB HavocDB #39 #117
Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 24° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Northern Illinois -16.5 (41.5)
Northern Illinois won vs Central Michigan this year (24-16)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Central Michigan last year (24-16)
Central Michigan beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (37-31)
Central Michigan beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (35-22)

  
CMU's OC Jim McElwain (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas9416059%1114777.0
Jadyn Glasser417654%439245.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marion Lukes16178854.966
BJ Harris9141834.671
Myles Bailey5129235.735
Tyler Jefferson4323315.444
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Parker29360312.444
Solomon Davis (Tr)19350218.472
Evan Boyd21302214.447
Jesse Prewitt III2318628.121

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Kwiatkowski9714011
Caleb Spann614205
Justin Whiteside586341
Elijah Rikard563100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Williams429610
Jonah Pace3411462
Michael Heldman296480
Dakota Cochran5411410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daraun McKinney532109
Donte Kent521007
Caleb Spann614205

NIU's OC Wesley Beschorner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Josh Holst6511159%593225.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Williams13974945.471
Antario Brown11556744.949
Telly Johnson Jr.10348044.738
Josh Holst4923014.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph37403110.948
Cam Thompson27388314.454
Grayson Barnes31338410.960
Andrew McElroy (Tr)26264010.242

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Fuhrman (Tr)614011
Jaden Dolphin613002
Santana Banner542014
Nate Valcarcel532248
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte O'Malley3812941
Roy Williams387711
Nevaeh Sanders85520
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Valcarcel532248
Jacob Finley363108
Santana Banner542014