Northern Illinois at Bowling Green Game Matchup
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -3 (46.5) (-155)  Open: -3.0
Northern Illinois 17 - Bowling Green: 7  (Mid-American)

 
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (21 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
NIU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -3.5   (SP+ BGSU -2)

Projected Score: NIU: 21 - BGSU: 24 (46)
BGSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NIU Travel: 269 miles, 1 hrs behind
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
 
Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-36.555.5W 54 - 15OY
Sat 9/7 Northern Illinois at Notre Dame+28.546.5W 16 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-13.042.5L 20 - 23ON
Sat 9/28 Northern Illinois at NC State+7.046.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/5 Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts-14.041.0W 34 - 20ON
Sat 10/12 Northern Illinois at Bowling Green+3.046.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Northern Illinois vs Toledo-3.042.5L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Northern Illinois at Ball State-13.547.5L 23 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan-2.551.5W 42 - 28OY
Wed 11/13 Northern Illinois vs Akron-14.043.5W 29 - 16ON
Tue 11/19 Northern Illinois at Miami (OH)+1.543.0L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan-16.541.5W 24 - 16UN
Mon 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Fresno State-2.041.0W 28 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Fordham-15.560.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Penn State+35.551.5L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green at Texas A&M+21.050.5L 20 - 26UY
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Old Dominion-11.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green at Akron-17.048.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-3.046.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Bowling Green vs Kent State-24.054.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green at Toledo+1.547.5W 41 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Central Michigan-14.547.5W 23 - 13UN
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-9.557.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Ball State-12.554.5W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-3.037.5L 12 - 28ON
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#54 (.21)42% (62)24.545% (45)3.21 (50)18040% (85)1903.4 (102)#36 (.14)41% (52)18.544% (84)37% (21)3.4 (32)39.81.41.2
BGSU#74 (.18)41% (81)27.145% (46)3.06 (81)13739% (98)1893.65 (87)#44 (.15)42% (63)21.648% (119)36% (11)3.71 (62)60.91.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1324.520.742.4%3.41.419370180190554%46%45%40%15%.21
BGSU Defense1321.618.541.6%3.712.2 - - - - - 54%44%48%36%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense1318.519.740.7%3.41.2 - - - - - 56%43%44%37%13%.14
BGSU Offense1327.124.241.2%3.651.5173261371894.248%50%45%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1331:3018.742%50%4.539.81.41.24.11.7127.5
Bowling Green1330:3016.833%60%6.960.91.52.24.92.5333.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1354% (39)45% (45)35.8179.8523 (46).21 (36)3.21 (50)77% (36)9% (47)1.08 (29)
BGSU Defense1354% (112)48% (119) - - - - .22 (108)3.28 (105)80% (110)10% (67)0.95 (41)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1356% (122)44% (84) - - - - .14 (69)3.29 (108)83% (118)8% (114)0.94 (37)
BGSU Offense1348% (82)45% (46)33137.44.222 (51).16 (65)3.06 (81)80% (18)13% (121)1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1346% (95)40% (85)16.228.2189.86.711.715 (96)9 (40).26 (75)1.5 (96)32% (64)26% (106).29 (83)6% (63)2.3 (16)
BGSU Defense1344% (17)36% (11) - - - - - - 17 (3).21 (35)1.7 (111)33% (46)28% (38).32 (71)7% (21)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1343% (12)37% (21) - - - - - - 10 (67).17 (18)1.4 (14)32% (66)24% (9).29 (55)5% (115)2.2 (109)
BGSU Offense1350% (60)39% (98)16.527.5188.86.911.517 (85)14 (107).27 (72)1.7 (35)36% (127)31% (67).29 (82)6% (54)2 (82)

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -2.77   Bowling Green: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.5   Bowling Green: -1.8




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.7

Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 24
Northern Illinois 21


Projected Total Points: 46
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Bowling Green7Northern Illinois17Northern IllinoisBowling Green -3Northern Illinois46.5Under
202110/16Northern Illinois34Bowling Green26Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -9Bowling Green44.5Over
201710/21Bowling Green17Northern Illinois48Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -14.5Northern Illinois56.5Over
201611/01Northern Illinois45Bowling Green20Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -17Northern Illinois72.0Under
201512/04Northern Illinois14Bowling Green34Bowling GreenBowling Green -8Bowling Green69.0Under
201412/05Bowling Green17Northern Illinois51Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -2.5Northern Illinois0
201312/06Northern Illinois27Bowling Green47Bowling GreenNorthern Illinois -3Bowling Green0
201111/08Bowling Green14Northern Illinois45Northern Illinois
200810/25Northern Illinois16Bowling Green13Northern Illinois
200409/24Northern Illinois34Bowling Green17Northern Illinois
200310/25Bowling Green34Northern Illinois18Bowling Green
200211/09Northern Illinois26Bowling Green17Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green332 Overs
Northern Illinois943 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 61 - 61 - 30 - 3
Road Teams6 - 66 - 13 - 03 - 1

(#73) Northern Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 538.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
Northern Illinois     Ratings Matchup     Bowling Green
Power #73
#73
Off #97
#56
Def #11
#46
Talent #89
#106
SP+ #84
#77
SP+ Off #115
#79
SP+ Def #32
#75

Rematch from Week 7
Bowling Green -3.0 (46.5)
Northern Illinois won at Bowling Green this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Bowling Green last year (17-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 65° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NIU | BGSU
Depth Chart: NIU | BGSU
Rosters: NIU | BGSU
(#73) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper


  
Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Josh Holst6511159%593225.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Telly Johnson Jr.10348044.738
Josh Holst4923014.722
Jaylen Poe3619035.322
Trayvon Rudolph14179212.860
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph37403110.948
Cam Thompson27388314.454
Grayson Barnes31338410.960
Andrew McElroy (Tr)26264010.242

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Fuhrman (Tr)614011
Santana Banner542014
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
Roy Williams387711
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roy Williams387711
Nevaeh Sanders85520
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
Raishein Thomas122201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Finley363108
Santana Banner542014
Amariyun Knighten130012

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Baron May11100%431043.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart16689865.473
Rahkeem Smith2012836.440
Lucian Anderson III196723.519
Justin Pegues (Tr)135103.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)49573311.750
Rahkeem Smith25349314.066
Finn Hogan17175010.333
Justin Pegues (Tr)114404.07

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Tracy Revels400021
Darius McClendon (Tr)312200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
Darius McClendon (Tr)312200
Myles Bradley223220
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Corey Benjamin261005
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712