Ohio vs Miami (OH) Game Matchup
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats vs Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, December 7th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -2.5 (43.5) (-125)  Open: -2.5 | 44.5
Ohio 38 - Miami (OH): 3  (MAC Championship)

 
Bobcats (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
M-OH is playing their 5th straight game
OHIO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -2   (SP+ OHIO -1)

Projected Score: OHIO: 21 - M-OH: 23 (45)
M-OH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
OHIO Travel: 141 miles
RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Ohio's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio at Syracuse+17.547.5L 22 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 Ohio vs South Alabama+1.555.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 9/14 Ohio vs Morgan State-24.545.5W 21 - 6UN
Sat 9/21 Ohio at Kentucky+19.042.0L 6 - 41ON
Sat 9/28 Ohio vs Akron-8.546.0W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Ohio at Central Michigan-3.050.5W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Ohio at Miami (OH)+3.543.5L 20 - 30ON
Sat 10/26 Ohio vs Buffalo-4.046.5W 47 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Ohio at Kent State-20.553.5W 41 - 0UY
Wed 11/13 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.551.5W 35 - 10UY
Wed 11/20 Ohio at Toledo+1.547.0W 24 - 7UY
Fri 11/29 Ohio vs Ball State-17.551.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 12/7 Ohio vs Miami (OH)+2.543.5W 38 - 3UY
Fri 12/20 Ohio vs Jacksonville State-6.557.5W 30 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 8
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami (OH) vs Northwestern+4.043.0L 6 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+3.547.5L 16 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Miami (OH) at Notre Dame+27.544.0L 3 - 28UY
Sat 9/28 Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts-15.544.5W 23 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Miami (OH) at Toledo+4.544.0L 20 - 30ON
Sat 10/12 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-3.045.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/19 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-3.543.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan-10.548.5W 46 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Miami (OH) at Ball State-12.548.5W 27 - 21UN
Wed 11/13 Miami (OH) vs Kent State-31.047.5W 34 - 7UN
Tue 11/19 Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois-1.543.0W 20 - 9UY
Fri 11/29 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green+3.037.5W 28 - 12OY
Sat 12/7 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-2.543.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 12/28 Miami (OH) vs Colorado State-1.042.5W 43 - 17OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#76 (.18)45% (33)29.344% (61)2.99 (90)14448% (17)2043.61 (92)#3 (.02)35% (8)18.135% (9)36% (12)2.45 (2)51.811.8
M-OH#78 (.18)37% (122)24.135% (129)2.95 (99)15839% (93)1653.99 (57)#20 (.1)40% (48)18.841% (47)41% (61)3.06 (14)39.11.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1329.323.345.2%3.611213481442043.952%47%44%48%15%.18
M-OH Defense1418.81540.5%3.061.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%41%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1318.123.535%2.451.8 - - - - - 44%54%35%36%21%.02
M-OH Offense1424.128.236.5%3.991.1153241581654.458%41%35%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1333:2320.846%50%5.651.811.87.42.8131.2
Miami (OH)1429:3715.336%31%4.739.11.11.25.32.5035.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1352% (46)44% (61)37.3144.43.918 (77).1 (95)2.99 (90)73% (75)9% (39)0.81 (131)
M-OH Defense1452% (92)41% (47) - - - - .06 (23)3.11 (70)72% (60)10% (69)0.87 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1344% (10)35% (9) - - - - -.06 (3)2.54 (8)70% (47)15% (3)1.07 (101)
M-OH Offense1458% (15)35% (129)35.9158.14.423 (46).1 (94)2.95 (99)80% (20)11% (82)1.08 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1347% (91)48% (17)18.429.5203.66.911.116 (92)9 (40).31 (57)1.4 (123)30% (31)35% (30).32 (72)6% (84)1.7 (131)
M-OH Defense1447% (39)41% (61) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (27)1.3 (1)29% (119)24% (10).15 (7)8% (20)1.8 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1354% (123)36% (12) - - - - - - 15 (15).14 (14)1.5 (30)36% (15)23% (5).19 (15)5% (94)1.9 (27)
M-OH Offense1441% (120)39% (93)11.821165.47.91416 (92)7 (21).31 (59)1.8 (18)35% (117)25% (119).21 (104)7% (107)1.9 (116)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Ohio's Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
2024 Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Ohio's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Ohio's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -8.26   Miami (OH): -1.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 2.3   Miami (OH): 1.3




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -1.065 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Ohio's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 23
Ohio 21


Projected Total Points: 45
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Miami (OH)30Ohio20Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -3.5Miami (OH)43.5Over
202412/07Miami (OH)3Ohio38OhioMiami (OH) -2.5Ohio43.5Under
202310/28Ohio16Miami (OH)30Miami (OH)Ohio -7.5Miami (OH)39.0Over
202211/08Miami (OH)21Ohio37OhioOhio -2.5Ohio52.0Over
202111/02Ohio35Miami (OH)33OhioMiami (OH) -7Ohio54.5Over
201911/06Ohio21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)Ohio -7Miami (OH)57.5Under
201811/07Miami (OH)30Ohio28Miami (OH)Ohio -4.5Miami (OH)59.0Under
201710/31Ohio45Miami (OH)28OhioOhio -7Ohio53.5Over
201610/01Miami (OH)7Ohio17OhioOhio -3.5Ohio50.0Under
201510/10Ohio34Miami (OH)3OhioOhio -17.5Ohio50.5Under
201411/25Miami (OH)21Ohio24OhioOhio -3NA52.5Under
201310/26Ohio41Miami (OH)16OhioOhio -24Ohio0
201210/27Miami (OH)23Ohio20Miami (OH)
201111/22Ohio21Miami (OH)14Ohio
201010/23Miami (OH)13Ohio34Ohio
200910/17Ohio28Miami (OH)7Ohio
200811/28Miami (OH)26Ohio41Ohio
200711/24Ohio38Miami (OH)29Ohio
200611/24Miami (OH)24Ohio34Ohio
200511/21Ohio7Miami (OH)38Miami (OH)
200409/18Miami (OH)40Ohio20Miami (OH)
200311/22Ohio31Miami (OH)49Miami (OH)
200211/02Miami (OH)38Ohio20Miami (OH)
200110/20Ohio24Miami (OH)36Miami (OH)
200011/03Miami (OH)27Ohio24Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1145 Overs
Ohio1476 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams12 - 135 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#93) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.26 #93
Offense Rating: 19.85 #68
Defense Rating: 8.89 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #47
Talent Rating: 376.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Ohio Notes
(12/8) HC Albin left for Charlotte after MAC title?
(11/29) Killed Ball St, in MAC title. Rgame 270/6.6 ypc
(11/29) Pass Def bad vs Ball St, 333 yds, 3 TD, 0 Int
(11/25) 4 str W's, bullied Toledo. Beat Ball St=MAC title
(11/18) 3 str W's, Killed EMU, Off good enough, Def good
(11/8) Rgame mauled Kent, Run Def/Pass Def great TW
(10/20) 2 Int, no Off for 3 quarters vs M-OH. Rgame bad
(10/13) Rgame 277 yds, 7.5 ypc, Def enough W CMU
(10/4) Off runs a lot/meh success, pass little/good suc?
(9/8) 200 yds rush in W (S Al). QB Navarro JAG
Ohio     Ratings Matchup     Miami (OH)
Power #93
#75
Off #68
#115
Def #63
#21
Talent #122
#77
SP+ #63
#68
SP+ Off #67
#98
SP+ Def #47
#43

Rematch from Week 15
Miami (OH) -2.5 (43.5)
Ohio won at Miami (OH) this year (38-3)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Miami (OH) last year (38-3)
Miami (OH) beat Ohio in 2023 (30-16)
Ohio beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (37-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ford Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 30° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: OHIO | M-OH
Depth Chart: OHIO | M-OH
Rosters: OHIO | M-OH
(#75) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.065 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate


  
Ohio's OC Brian Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III (Tr)237121595.146
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Owen (Tr)781235815.875
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Leake (Tr)945113
Dustin Johnson (Tr)772004
Shay Taylor7411434
Marcel Walker (Tr)568672
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver44169100
Marcel Walker (Tr)568672
Shay Taylor7411434
Kadin Schmitz324400
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Shay Taylor7411434

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Henry Hesson71741%93105.5
Javon Tracy11100%301030.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson5329945.675
Dylan Downing (Tr)4415213.515
Henry Hesson71702.49
Nate Milanowski4802.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy57818714.472
Reginald Virgil41816919.975
Kamryn Perry (Tr)10166016.640
Andre Johnson (Tr)7120017.144

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters9530012
Eli Blakey891002
Corban Hondru704221
Raion Strader5300017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick376420
Savio Frazier (Tr)245342
Corban Hondru704221
Christian Mckinney31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5300017
Silas Walters9530012
William Hardrick260004