Central Michigan at Miami (OH) - 2024 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (2:00 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -10.5 (48.5) (-500)  Open: -12.0 | 47.0
Miami (OH) 46 - Central Michigan: 7  (Mid-American)

 
Chippewas (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (29 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
CMU 2nd straight Road Game
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
M-OH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -16.5   (SP+ M-OH -17)

Projected Score: CMU: 16 - M-OH: 32 (48)
M-OH Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CMU Travel: 280 miles
RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Central Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Central Michigan vs Central Connecticut-33.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/7 Central Michigan vs Florida International-3.551.5L 16 - 52ON
Sat 9/14 Central Michigan at Illinois+21.549.5L 9 - 30UY
Sat 9/21 Central Michigan vs Ball State-6.551.0W 37 - 34ON
Sat 9/28 Central Michigan vs San Diego State-2.547.5W 22 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Central Michigan vs Ohio+3.050.5L 25 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan+3.552.5L 34 - 38ON
Sat 10/26 Central Michigan at Miami (OH)+10.548.5L 7 - 46ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Central Michigan vs Bowling Green+14.547.5L 13 - 23UY
Tue 11/12 Central Michigan at Toledo+15.052.5L 10 - 37UN
Tue 11/19 Central Michigan vs Western Michigan+6.056.0W 16 - 14UY
Sat 11/30 Central Michigan at Northern Illinois+16.541.5L 16 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami (OH) vs Northwestern+4.043.0L 6 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+3.547.5L 16 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Miami (OH) at Notre Dame+27.544.0L 3 - 28UY
Sat 9/28 Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts-15.544.5W 23 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Miami (OH) at Toledo+4.544.0L 20 - 30ON
Sat 10/12 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-3.045.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/19 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-3.543.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan-10.548.5W 46 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Miami (OH) at Ball State-12.548.5W 27 - 21UN
Wed 11/13 Miami (OH) vs Kent State-31.047.5W 34 - 7UN
Tue 11/19 Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois-1.543.0W 20 - 9UY
Fri 11/29 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green+3.037.5W 28 - 12OY
Sat 12/7 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-2.543.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 12/28 Miami (OH) vs Colorado State-1.042.5W 43 - 17OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)22.642% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)29.741% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)24.138% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)18.846% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)42% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)41% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1222.615.238.7%3.822183321691634.557%43%42%34%20%.15
M-OH Defense1418.81543.6%2.911.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%42%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1229.73539.9%3.60.4 - - - - - 52%48%41%39%18%.21
M-OH Offense1424.128.240.7%3.431.1163251212044.545%55%38%44%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1229:2617.935%58%6.860.920.47.72.6327.1
Miami (OH)1427:0715.533%40%4.838.61.11.44.92.1039.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1257% (24)42% (88)37.3168.94.517 (84).22 (24)3.2 (41)80% (23)12% (108)1.09 (27)
M-OH Defense1447% (36)46% (100) - - - - .13 (74)3.24 (102)68% (38)10% (67)0.88 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1252% (80)41% (48) - - - - .15 (82)3 (66)82% (117)13% (14)1.18 (127)
M-OH Offense1445% (108)38% (119)26.6120.54.59 (125).1 (90)3.1 (51)69% (98)11% (86)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1243% (110)34% (124)13.925.2163.46.511.711 (122)12 (85).04 (129)1.5 (85)34% (112)22% (132).18 (116)8% (119)2 (86)
M-OH Defense1452% (102)42% (74) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (18)1.2 (1)30% (99)30% (61).17 (14)8% (7)1.6 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1248% (54)39% (50) - - - - - - 2 (134).28 (93)1.7 (102)36% (18)30% (60).37 (95)5% (117)2.2 (103)
M-OH Offense1455% (28)44% (48)15.126.6204.37.713.523 (41)12 (85).22 (87)1.5 (90)33% (99)30% (83).27 (90)7% (111)2 (81)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -14.12 #111
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Central Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Central Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -14.12   Miami (OH): 1.435

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -15.8   Miami (OH): 1.3




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 1.435 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Central Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 32
Central Michigan 16


Total Points: 48

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Miami (OH)46Central Michigan7Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -10.5Miami (OH)48.5Over
202110/02Miami (OH)28Central Michigan17Miami (OH)Central Michigan -2.5Miami (OH)56.5Under
201912/07Central Michigan21Miami (OH)26Miami (OH)Central Michigan -5.5Miami (OH)56.5Under
201709/23Central Michigan14Miami (OH)31Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -1.5Miami (OH)51.5Under
201611/04Miami (OH)37Central Michigan17Miami (OH)Central Michigan -6Miami (OH)46.5Over
201411/15Central Michigan34Miami (OH)27Central MichiganCentral Michigan -13.5Miami (OH)0
201310/05Miami (OH)9Central Michigan21Central MichiganCentral Michigan -4.5Central Michigan0
201211/17Central Michigan30Miami (OH)16Central Michigan
201010/16Central Michigan20Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)
200712/01Central Michigan35Miami (OH)10Central Michigan
200509/10Miami (OH)37Central Michigan38Central Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)662 Overs
Central Michigan513 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 53 - 41 - 22 - 2
Road Teams5 - 64 - 32 - 22 - 1

(#111) Central Michigan Info
Power Rating: -14.12 #111
Offense Rating: 17.21 #92
Defense Rating: 12.06 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #115
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Central Michigan has lost 2 straight
Central Michigan has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Central Michigan Notes
(11/20) McElwain retiring after final game vs N. Ill
(11/13) New QB Glasser bad vs Toledo, Rgame awful in L
(11/8) Off really bad, QB's unplayable, Rgame plodding
(10/27) 3 str L's, Def cooked, QBs are awful, Dogs last 4
(10/20) 45 runs/12 pass. Ran for 285, but Pass D torched
(10/15) Starting QB Labas out for season (arm)
(10/15) Backup QB Jefferson starting vs EMU
(10/13) QB's bad, Rgame OK, Run def mauled by Ohio
(10/4) Run Off/Def good, Pass Off/Def bad. OL & F7 good
(10/2) Rgame good/dominant vs poor D's. QB Labas JAG

Central Michigan Highlights
Central Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#96)

Central Michigan Front 7 is disruptive (#135)

Central Michigan Deficiencies
Central Michigan has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Central Michigan Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Central Michigan offense is really bad (#130)
Central Michigan pass game is really bad (#124)
Central Michigan gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#96)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatM-OHCMU
OverallOver#35#77
OffenseOff#60#105
DefenseDef#26#40
Special TeamsST#35#39
PassingPass#94#104
RushingRush#66#70
Run BlockRBLK#14#82
Pass BlockPBLK#99#112
Route RunningWR Rt#44#96
TacklingTkl#53#21
Run DefenseR Def#42#32
Pass Rush DefPRush#48#26
Coverage DefCov#26#71

Rematch from Week 9
Miami (OH) -10.5 (48.5)
Miami (OH) won vs Central Michigan this year (46-7)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Central Michigan last year (46-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CMU | M-OH
Depth Chart: CMU | M-OH
Rosters: CMU | M-OH
(#75) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: 1.435 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Miami (OH) has won 2 straight
Miami (OH) has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate

Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)
Miami (OH) defense is really good in red zone (#102)
Miami (OH) Secondary is very good (#66)

Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)


  
Central Michigan's OC Jim McElwain
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas9416059%1114777.0
Jadyn Glasser417654%439245.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marion Lukes16178854.966
BJ Harris9141834.671
Myles Bailey5129235.735
Tyler Jefferson4323315.444
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Parker29360312.444
Solomon Davis (Tr)19350218.472
Evan Boyd21302214.447
Jesse Prewitt III2318628.121

View Central Michigan's Full Roster
Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Kwiatkowski9714011
Caleb Spann614205
Justin Whiteside586341
Elijah Rikard563100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Williams429610
Jonah Pace3411462
Michael Heldman296480
Dakota Cochran5411410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daraun McKinney532109
Donte Kent521007
Caleb Spann614205

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert21737957%292121117.7
Henry Hesson71741%93105.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Keyon Mozee178109846.274
Kevin Davis5033146.697
Jordan Brunson5329945.675
Dylan Downing (Tr)4415213.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy57818714.472
Reginald Virgil41816919.975
Cade McDonald52631312.151
Kevin Davis2923428.135

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Silas Walters9530012
Ty Wise8911521
Eli Blakey891002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
Ty Wise8911521
Adam Trick376420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5300017
Silas Walters9530012
William Hardrick260004