Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ball State Cardinals
Tuesday, November 5th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -12.5 (48.5) (-500) Open: -12.5 | 49.5
Miami (OH) 27 - Ball State: 21 (Mid-American)
RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Heavy Rain Predicted
M-OH coming off BYE
BALL coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami (OH) -18 (SP+ M-OH -21)
Projected Score: M-OH: 34 - BALL: 16 (54)
M-OH Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
M-OH Travel: 60 miles
M-OH coming off BYE
BALL coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami (OH) -18 (SP+ M-OH -21)
Projected Score: M-OH: 34 - BALL: 16 (54)
M-OH Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
M-OH Travel: 60 miles
Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Miami (OH) vs Northwestern | +4.0 | 43.0 | L 6 - 13 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati | +3.5 | 47.5 | L 16 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Miami (OH) at Notre Dame | +27.5 | 44.0 | L 3 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts | -15.5 | 44.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Miami (OH) at Toledo | +4.5 | 44.0 | L 20 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan | -3.0 | 45.5 | W 38 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Miami (OH) vs Ohio | -3.5 | 43.5 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan | -10.5 | 48.5 | W 46 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Miami (OH) at Ball State | -12.5 | 48.5 | W 27 - 21 | U | N | |
| Wed 11/13 | Miami (OH) vs Kent State | -31.0 | 47.5 | W 34 - 7 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois | -1.5 | 43.0 | W 20 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Miami (OH) at Bowling Green | +3.0 | 37.5 | W 28 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Miami (OH) vs Ohio | -2.5 | 43.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Miami (OH) vs Colorado State | -1.0 | 42.5 | W 43 - 17 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Ball State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/7 | Ball State vs Missouri State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 42 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ball State at Miami | +36.5 | 55.5 | L 0 - 62 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ball State at Central Michigan | +6.5 | 51.0 | L 34 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ball State at James Madison | +22.0 | 56.5 | L 7 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Ball State vs Western Michigan | +10.0 | 57.5 | L 42 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Ball State at Kent State | -3.0 | 58.0 | W 37 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Ball State at Vanderbilt | +27.5 | 57.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Ball State vs Northern Illinois | +13.5 | 47.5 | W 25 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Ball State vs Miami (OH) | +12.5 | 48.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Tue 11/12 | Ball State at Buffalo | +3.5 | 55.5 | L 48 - 51 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Ball State vs Bowling Green | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 13 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ball State at Ohio | +17.5 | 51.5 | L 21 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | #78 (.18) | 37% (122) | 24.1 | 35% (129) | 2.95 (99) | 158 | 39% (93) | 165 | 3.99 (57) | #20 (.1) | 40% (48) | 18.8 | 41% (47) | 41% (61) | 3.06 (14) | 39.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| BALL | #97 (.14) | 40% (95) | 25.3 | 45% (50) | 3.35 (22) | 171 | 33% (127) | 137 | 3.31 (105) | #70 (.18) | 42% (66) | 40.1 | 43% (65) | 42% (70) | 3.81 (70) | 45.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| BALL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 24.1 | 23.2 | 36.5% | 3.99 | 1.1 | 15 | 324 | 158 | 165 | 4.4 | 58% | 41% | 35% | 39% | 18% | .18 |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 40.1 | 33.4 | 41.8% | 3.81 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 51% | 43% | 42% | 17% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 18.8 | 21 | 40.5% | 3.06 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 41% | 41% | 17% | .1 |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 25.3 | 28.6 | 39.8% | 3.31 | 1.3 | 18 | 308 | 171 | 137 | 4.4 | 58% | 41% | 45% | 33% | 17% | .14 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | 14 | 29:37 | 15.3 | 36% | 31% | 4.7 | 39.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 35.4 |
| Ball State | 12 | 32:44 | 18.1 | 38% | 56% | 5.2 | 45.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 28.8 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 58% (15) | 35% (129) | 35.9 | 158.1 | 4.4 | 23 (46) | .1 (94) | 2.95 (99) | 80% (20) | 11% (82) | 1.08 (25) |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 48% (44) | 43% (65) | - | - | - | - | .11 (45) | 3.08 (62) | 79% (102) | 11% (35) | 0.89 (23) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 52% (92) | 41% (47) | - | - | - | - | .06 (23) | 3.11 (70) | 72% (60) | 10% (69) | 0.87 (19) |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 58% (14) | 45% (50) | 39.3 | 171.4 | 4.4 | 15 (100) | .21 (38) | 3.35 (22) | 83% (8) | 12% (112) | 0.99 (70) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 41% (120) | 39% (93) | 11.8 | 21 | 165.4 | 7.9 | 14 | 16 (92) | 7 (21) | .31 (59) | 1.8 (18) | 35% (117) | 25% (119) | .21 (104) | 7% (107) | 1.9 (116) |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 51% (93) | 42% (70) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (126) | .27 (70) | 1.5 (29) | 32% (61) | 28% (30) | .21 (20) | 5% (97) | 2 (39) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 47% (39) | 41% (61) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (53) | .2 (27) | 1.3 (1) | 29% (119) | 24% (10) | .15 (7) | 8% (20) | 1.8 (11) |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 41% (119) | 33% (127) | 15.1 | 25.3 | 136.7 | 5.4 | 9.1 | 9 (126) | 8 (30) | .05 (128) | 1.4 (130) | 33% (92) | 24% (123) | .18 (110) | 5% (25) | 2 (104) |
Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.43 Ball State: -18.945
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.3 Ball State: -19.8
Miami (OH): -3.43 Ball State: -18.945
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.3 Ball State: -19.8
Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Ball State's Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 34
Ball State 16
Projected Total Points: 54
Miami (OH) 34
Ball State 16
Projected Total Points: 54
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/05 | Ball State | 21 | Miami (OH) | 27 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -12.5 | Ball State | 48.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/25 | Ball State | 15 | Miami (OH) | 17 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -3.5 | Ball State | 34.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/22 | Miami (OH) | 18 | Ball State | 17 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -2.5 | Ball State | 45.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/23 | Ball State | 17 | Miami (OH) | 24 | Miami (OH) | Ball State -3.5 | Miami (OH) | 53.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/04 | Miami (OH) | 38 | Ball State | 31 | Miami (OH) | Ball State -1 | Miami (OH) | 56.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/29 | Ball State | 41 | Miami (OH) | 27 | Ball State | Ball State -3 | Ball State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/20 | Miami (OH) | 42 | Ball State | 21 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -16.5 | Miami (OH) | 55.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/21 | Ball State | 7 | Miami (OH) | 28 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -17.5 | Miami (OH) | 54.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/22 | Miami (OH) | 21 | Ball State | 20 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -6 | Ball State | 55.0 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/29 | Ball State | 55 | Miami (OH) | 14 | Ball State | Ball State -34 | Ball State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/23 | Miami (OH) | 24 | Ball State | 31 | Ball State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/11 | Miami (OH) | 16 | Ball State | 31 | Ball State | ||||
| 2007 | 08/30 | Ball State | 13 | Miami (OH) | 14 | Miami (OH) | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | Miami (OH) | 17 | Ball State | 20 | Ball State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Ball State | 3 | Miami (OH) | 49 | Miami (OH) | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Ball State | 20 | Miami (OH) | 28 | Miami (OH) | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Miami (OH) | 10 | Ball State | 15 | Ball State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 6 | 6 | 3 Overs |
| Miami (OH) | 11 | 4 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 11 | 6 - 4 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 6 | 4 - 6 | 1 - 3 | 3 - 3 |
(#75) Miami (OH) Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate
Power #75
#126Off #115
#93Def #21
#132Talent #77
#92SP+ #68
#126SP+ Off #98
#103SP+ Def #43
#133Rematch from Week 11
Miami (OH) 12.5 (48.5)
Miami (OH) won at Ball State this year (27-21)
Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Ball State last year (27-21)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2023 (17-15)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2022 (18-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 66° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.047
Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | BALL
Depth Chart: M-OH | BALL
Rosters: M-OH | BALL
(#126) Ball State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Hesson | 7 | 17 | 41% | 93 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 |
| Javon Tracy | 1 | 1 | 100% | 30 | 1 | 0 | 30.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Brunson | 53 | 299 | 4 | 5.6 | 75 |
| Dylan Downing (Tr) | 44 | 152 | 1 | 3.5 | 15 |
| Henry Hesson | 7 | 17 | 0 | 2.4 | 9 |
| Nate Milanowski | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2.0 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Tracy | 57 | 818 | 7 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Reginald Virgil | 41 | 816 | 9 | 19.9 | 75 |
| Kamryn Perry (Tr) | 10 | 166 | 0 | 16.6 | 40 |
| Andre Johnson (Tr) | 7 | 120 | 0 | 17.1 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Walters | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Eli Blakey | 89 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Corban Hondru | 70 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Raion Strader | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Trick | 37 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Savio Frazier (Tr) | 24 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Corban Hondru | 70 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Christian Mckinney | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raion Strader | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Silas Walters | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| William Hardrick | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadin Semonza | 275 | 427 | 64% | 2900 | 25 | 10 | 6.8 |
| Aidan Leffler | 2 | 6 | 33% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 150 | 597 | 4 | 4.0 | 40 |
| Vaughn Pemberton | 61 | 276 | 2 | 4.5 | 41 |
| Cam Pickett | 17 | 170 | 2 | 10.0 | 34 |
| TJ Horton | 23 | 107 | 0 | 4.7 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Koziol | 94 | 839 | 8 | 8.9 | 33 |
| Cam Pickett | 49 | 528 | 2 | 10.8 | 65 |
| Justin Bowick (Tr) | 20 | 383 | 3 | 19.2 | 57 |
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 29 | 329 | 1 | 11.3 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Udo (Tr) | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Joey Stemler | 56 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| D.D. Snyder | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Sam Feeney | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Darin Conley | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Joey Stemler | 56 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Norwood (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Thailand Baldwin | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Scott Hudson | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |