Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ball State Cardinals
Tuesday, November 5th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -12.5 (48.5) (-500) Open: -12.5 | 49.5
Miami (OH) 27 - Ball State: 21 (Mid-American)
RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
M-OH coming off BYE
BALL coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami (OH) -18 (SP+ M-OH -21)
Projected Score: M-OH: 34 - BALL: 16 (51)
M-OH Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
M-OH Travel: 60 miles
BALL coming off BYE
Our Line: Miami (OH) -18 (SP+ M-OH -21)
Projected Score: M-OH: 34 - BALL: 16 (51)
M-OH Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
M-OH Travel: 60 miles
Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Miami (OH) vs Northwestern | +4.0 | 43.0 | L 6 - 13 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati | +3.5 | 47.5 | L 16 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Miami (OH) at Notre Dame | +27.5 | 44.0 | L 3 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts | -15.5 | 44.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Miami (OH) at Toledo | +4.5 | 44.0 | L 20 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan | -3.0 | 45.5 | W 38 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Miami (OH) vs Ohio | -3.5 | 43.5 | W 30 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan | -10.5 | 48.5 | W 46 - 7 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Miami (OH) at Ball State | -12.5 | 48.5 | W 27 - 21 | U | N | |
| Wed 11/13 | Miami (OH) vs Kent State | -31.0 | 47.5 | W 34 - 7 | U | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois | -1.5 | 43.0 | W 20 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Miami (OH) at Bowling Green | +3.0 | 37.5 | W 28 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Miami (OH) vs Ohio | -2.5 | 43.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Miami (OH) vs Colorado State | -1.0 | 42.5 | W 43 - 17 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Ball State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/7 | Ball State vs Missouri State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 42 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Ball State at Miami | +36.5 | 55.5 | L 0 - 62 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Ball State at Central Michigan | +6.5 | 51.0 | L 34 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Ball State at James Madison | +22.0 | 56.5 | L 7 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Ball State vs Western Michigan | +10.0 | 57.5 | L 42 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Ball State at Kent State | -3.0 | 58.0 | W 37 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Ball State at Vanderbilt | +27.5 | 57.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Ball State vs Northern Illinois | +13.5 | 47.5 | W 25 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/5 | Ball State vs Miami (OH) | +12.5 | 48.5 | L 21 - 27 | U | Y | |
| Tue 11/12 | Ball State at Buffalo | +3.5 | 55.5 | L 48 - 51 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Ball State vs Bowling Green | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 13 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Ball State at Ohio | +17.5 | 51.5 | L 21 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | #95 (.15) | 41% (97) | 24.1 | 38% (119) | 3.1 (51) | 121 | 44% (48) | 204 | 3.43 (108) | #38 (.12) | 44% (92) | 18.8 | 46% (100) | 42% (74) | 2.91 (6) | 38.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| BALL | #98 (.14) | 42% (78) | 25.3 | 44% (70) | 3.06 (61) | 103 | 41% (72) | 245 | 3.94 (65) | #128 (.32) | 46% (118) | 40.1 | 46% (103) | 47% (121) | 4.81 (133) | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | #95 (.15) | 41% (97) | 38% (119) | 3.1 (51) | 121 | 44% (48) | 204 | 3.43 (108) | #38 (.12) | 44% (92) | 46% (100) | 42% (74) | 2.91 (6) | 38.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | ||
| BALL | #98 (.14) | 42% (78) | 44% (70) | 3.06 (61) | 103 | 41% (72) | 245 | 3.94 (65) | #128 (.32) | 46% (118) | 46% (103) | 47% (121) | 4.81 (133) | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 24.1 | 23.2 | 40.7% | 3.43 | 1.1 | 16 | 325 | 121 | 204 | 4.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% | 44% | 18% | .15 |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 40.1 | 33.4 | 46.5% | 4.81 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 46% | 47% | 13% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 18.8 | 21 | 43.6% | 2.91 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 52% | 46% | 42% | 18% | .12 |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 25.3 | 28.6 | 42.1% | 3.94 | 1.2 | 20 | 348 | 103 | 245 | 3.4 | 42% | 58% | 44% | 41% | 19% | .14 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | 14 | 27:07 | 15.5 | 33% | 40% | 4.8 | 38.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 39.1 |
| Ball State | 12 | 30:58 | 20.3 | 42% | 46% | 4.9 | 45.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 45% (108) | 38% (119) | 26.6 | 120.5 | 4.5 | 9 (125) | .1 (90) | 3.1 (51) | 69% (98) | 11% (86) | 0.96 (70) |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 47% (34) | 46% (103) | - | - | - | - | .22 (116) | 3.17 (90) | 74% (72) | 9% (103) | 1.08 (110) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 47% (36) | 46% (100) | - | - | - | - | .13 (74) | 3.24 (102) | 68% (38) | 10% (67) | 0.88 (21) |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 42% (120) | 44% (70) | 30.8 | 103.4 | 3.4 | 10 (122) | .1 (91) | 3.06 (61) | 80% (23) | 11% (99) | 0.87 (117) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Offense | 14 | 55% (28) | 44% (48) | 15.1 | 26.6 | 204.3 | 7.7 | 13.5 | 23 (41) | 12 (85) | .22 (87) | 1.5 (90) | 33% (99) | 30% (83) | .27 (90) | 7% (111) | 2 (81) |
| BALL Defense | 12 | 52% (100) | 47% (121) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .44 (128) | 1.8 (119) | 33% (55) | 40% (133) | .57 (131) | 5% (115) | 2.2 (115) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH Defense | 14 | 52% (102) | 42% (74) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .11 (18) | 1.2 (1) | 30% (99) | 30% (61) | .17 (14) | 8% (7) | 1.6 (4) |
| BALL Offense | 12 | 58% (16) | 41% (72) | 23.3 | 36.6 | 244.7 | 6.7 | 10.5 | 26 (26) | 11 (72) | .19 (98) | 1.6 (73) | 33% (93) | 28% (101) | .29 (88) | 8% (123) | 2.2 (15) |
Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.43 Ball State: -18.945
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.3 Ball State: -19.8
Miami (OH): -3.43 Ball State: -18.945
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.3 Ball State: -19.8
Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Ball State's Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Ball State's Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 34
Ball State 16
Total Points: 51
Miami (OH) 34
Ball State 16
Total Points: 51
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4
Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/05 | Ball State | 21 | Miami (OH) | 27 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -12.5 | Ball State | 48.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/25 | Ball State | 15 | Miami (OH) | 17 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -3.5 | Ball State | 34.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/22 | Miami (OH) | 18 | Ball State | 17 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -2.5 | Ball State | 45.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/23 | Ball State | 17 | Miami (OH) | 24 | Miami (OH) | Ball State -3.5 | Miami (OH) | 53.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/04 | Miami (OH) | 38 | Ball State | 31 | Miami (OH) | Ball State -1 | Miami (OH) | 56.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/29 | Ball State | 41 | Miami (OH) | 27 | Ball State | Ball State -3 | Ball State | 55.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/20 | Miami (OH) | 42 | Ball State | 21 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -16.5 | Miami (OH) | 55.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/21 | Ball State | 7 | Miami (OH) | 28 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -17.5 | Miami (OH) | 54.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/22 | Miami (OH) | 21 | Ball State | 20 | Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) -6 | Ball State | 55.0 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/29 | Ball State | 55 | Miami (OH) | 14 | Ball State | Ball State -34 | Ball State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/23 | Miami (OH) | 24 | Ball State | 31 | Ball State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/11 | Miami (OH) | 16 | Ball State | 31 | Ball State | ||||
| 2007 | 08/30 | Ball State | 13 | Miami (OH) | 14 | Miami (OH) | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | Miami (OH) | 17 | Ball State | 20 | Ball State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Ball State | 3 | Miami (OH) | 49 | Miami (OH) | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Ball State | 20 | Miami (OH) | 28 | Miami (OH) | ||||
| 2000 | 10/06 | Miami (OH) | 10 | Ball State | 15 | Ball State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 6 | 6 | 3 Overs |
| Miami (OH) | 11 | 4 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 11 | 6 - 4 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 6 | 4 - 6 | 1 - 3 | 3 - 3 |
(#75) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Miami (OH) has won 3 straight
Miami (OH) has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate
Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)
Miami (OH) defense is really good in red zone (#102)
Miami (OH) Secondary is very good (#66)
Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)
Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Miami (OH) has won 3 straight
Miami (OH) has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate
Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)
Miami (OH) defense is really good in red zone (#102)
Miami (OH) Secondary is very good (#66)
Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | BALL | M-OH |
| OverallOver | #92 | #35 |
| OffenseOff | #75 | #60 |
| DefenseDef | #115 | #26 |
| Special TeamsST | #91 | #35 |
| PassingPass | #70 | #94 |
| RushingRush | #98 | #66 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #69 | #14 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #38 | #99 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #50 | #44 |
| TacklingTkl | #105 | #53 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #108 | #42 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #54 | #48 |
| Coverage DefCov | #110 | #26 |
Rematch from Week 11
Miami (OH) 12.5 (48.5)
Miami (OH) won at Ball State this year (27-21)
Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Ball State last year (27-21)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2023 (17-15)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2022 (18-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | BALL
Depth Chart: M-OH | BALL
Rosters: M-OH | BALL
(#126) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State has won 1 straight
Ball State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
Ball State Highlights
Ball State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#120)
Ball State commits very few Penalties (#59)
Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State Can Not Run the Ball (#80)
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)
Ball State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#77)
Ball State has a bad red zone defense (#70)
Power Rating: -18.945 #126
Offense Rating: 17.16 #93
Defense Rating: 22.27 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Ball State has won 1 straight
Ball State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 3 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Ball State Notes
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.
(9/12) Over bet team. Off much improved, Def horrific
(9/8) Def gave up 34 to Mizzu St? Off looked good in open
(9/8) Run game strength LY only 2/5 OL and new RBs
Ball State Highlights
Ball State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#120)
Ball State commits very few Penalties (#59)
Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State Can Not Run the Ball (#80)
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)
Ball State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#77)
Ball State has a bad red zone defense (#70)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Gabbert | 217 | 379 | 57% | 2921 | 21 | 11 | 7.7 |
| Henry Hesson | 7 | 17 | 41% | 93 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyon Mozee | 178 | 1098 | 4 | 6.2 | 74 |
| Kevin Davis | 50 | 331 | 4 | 6.6 | 97 |
| Jordan Brunson | 53 | 299 | 4 | 5.6 | 75 |
| Dylan Downing (Tr) | 44 | 152 | 1 | 3.5 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Tracy | 57 | 818 | 7 | 14.4 | 72 |
| Reginald Virgil | 41 | 816 | 9 | 19.9 | 75 |
| Cade McDonald | 52 | 631 | 3 | 12.1 | 51 |
| Kevin Davis | 29 | 234 | 2 | 8.1 | 35 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Salopek | 122 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Silas Walters | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Ty Wise | 89 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Eli Blakey | 89 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Ugwu | 59 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 3 |
| Corey Suttle | 36 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| Ty Wise | 89 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Adam Trick | 37 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raion Strader | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Silas Walters | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| William Hardrick | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadin Semonza | 275 | 427 | 64% | 2900 | 25 | 10 | 6.8 |
| Aidan Leffler | 2 | 6 | 33% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 150 | 597 | 4 | 4.0 | 40 |
| Vaughn Pemberton | 61 | 276 | 2 | 4.5 | 41 |
| Cam Pickett | 17 | 170 | 2 | 10.0 | 34 |
| TJ Horton | 23 | 107 | 0 | 4.7 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Koziol | 94 | 839 | 8 | 8.9 | 33 |
| Cam Pickett | 49 | 528 | 2 | 10.8 | 65 |
| Justin Bowick (Tr) | 20 | 383 | 3 | 19.2 | 57 |
| Braedon Sloan (Tr) | 29 | 329 | 1 | 11.3 | 72 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Udo (Tr) | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Keionte Newson | 73 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Joey Stemler | 56 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Tolsma (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Brandon Berger | 38 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Sam Feeney | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Darin Conley | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Norwood (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Keionte Newson | 73 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Brandon Berger | 38 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 4 |