Kent State at Miami (OH) - 2024 Matchup Preview

Kent State Golden Flashes at Miami (OH) RedHawks

Wednesday, November 13th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -31 (47.5) (-20000) Open: -30.5
Miami (OH) 34 - Kent State: 7 (Mid-American)

Golden Flashes (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (9 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Miami (OH) -34 (SP+ M-OH -34)
Projected Score: KENT: 8 - M-OH: 42 (49)
M-OH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
KENT Travel: 212 miles

RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KENT Players
M-OH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kent State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kent State at Pittsburgh	+23.5	55.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/7	Kent State vs St. Francis (PA)	-17.5	49.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kent State at Tennessee	+49.5	61.5	L 0 - 71	O	N
Sat 9/21	Kent State at Penn State	+49.0	58.0	L 0 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/28	Kent State vs Eastern Michigan	+14.0	46.0	L 33 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kent State vs Ball State	+3.0	58.0	L 35 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Kent State at Bowling Green	+24.0	54.5	L 6 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Kent State at Western Michigan	+19.0	61.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Kent State vs Ohio	+20.5	53.5	L 0 - 41	U	N
Wed 11/13	Kent State at Miami (OH)	+31.0	47.5	L 7 - 34	U	Y
Tue 11/19	Kent State vs Akron	+10.5	49.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Tue 11/26	Kent State at Buffalo	+23.5	50.5	L 7 - 43	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Miami (OH) vs Northwestern	+4.0	43.0	L 6 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati	+3.5	47.5	L 16 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/21	Miami (OH) at Notre Dame	+27.5	44.0	L 3 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts	-15.5	44.5	W 23 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Miami (OH) at Toledo	+4.5	44.0	L 20 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/12	Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	45.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	-3.5	43.5	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	-10.5	48.5	W 46 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Miami (OH) at Ball State	-12.5	48.5	W 27 - 21	U	N
Wed 11/13	Miami (OH) vs Kent State	-31.0	47.5	W 34 - 7	U	N
Tue 11/19	Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois	-1.5	43.0	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Miami (OH) at Bowling Green	+3.0	37.5	W 28 - 12	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Miami (OH) vs Ohio	-2.5	43.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 12/28	Miami (OH) vs Colorado State	-1.0	42.5	W 43 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)	13.9	33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)	44.1	50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)	24.1	38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)	18.8	46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)		38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)		46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Offense	12	13.9	9.3	30.5%	2.89	1.7	13	233	78	155	2.4	47%	51%	33%	29%	28%	.01
M-OH Defense	14	18.8	15	43.6%	2.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	42%	18%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Defense	12	44.1	48.3	50.1%	4.34	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	50%	51%	12%	.35
M-OH Offense	14	24.1	28.2	40.7%	3.43	1.1	16	325	121	204	4.5	45%	55%	38%	44%	18%	.15

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kent State	12	26:52	12.9	19%	38%	4.8	35.7	1.7	0.9	4.7	1.5	0	27.2
Miami (OH)	14	27:07	15.5	33%	40%	4.8	38.6	1.1	1.4	4.9	2.1	0	39.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Offense	12	47% (91)	33% (132)	32.3	77.5	2.4	3 (134)	-.07 (132)	2.57 (128)	61% (123)	19% (134)	0.95 (72)
M-OH Defense	14	47% (36)	46% (100)	-	-	-	-	.13 (74)	3.24 (102)	68% (38)	10% (67)	0.88 (21)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Defense	12	55% (113)	50% (123)	-	-	-	-	.3 (132)	3.58 (133)	81% (115)	8% (111)	1.13 (122)
M-OH Offense	14	45% (108)	38% (119)	26.6	120.5	4.5	9 (125)	.1 (90)	3.1 (51)	69% (98)	11% (86)	0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Offense	12	51% (54)	29% (134)	11.6	24.5	155.4	6.3	13.4	18 (68)	13 (103)	.14 (109)	2.1 (2)	41% (134)	19% (134)	.11 (132)	8% (128)	2.7 (1)
M-OH Defense	14	52% (102)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.11 (18)	1.2 (1)	30% (99)	30% (61)	.17 (14)	8% (7)	1.6 (4)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Defense	12	45% (25)	51% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.41 (126)	1.5 (23)	28% (124)	38% (127)	.42 (109)	4% (127)	1.8 (15)
M-OH Offense	14	55% (28)	44% (48)	15.1	26.6	204.3	7.7	13.5	23 (41)	12 (85)	.22 (87)	1.5 (90)	33% (99)	30% (83)	.27 (90)	7% (111)	2 (81)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -32.59 #134
Kent State's Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Kent State's Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kent State's 2024 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Kent State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -32.59 Miami (OH): 1.435

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -33.0 Miami (OH): 1.3

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 1.435 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Kent State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 42
Kent State 8

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami (OH) 38
Kent State 15

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 36
Kent State 14

Total Points: 50

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/13	Miami (OH)	34	Kent State	7	Miami (OH) -31	Kent State	47.5	Under
2023	09/30	Kent State	3	Miami (OH)	23	Miami (OH) -14	Miami (OH)	51.5	Under
2022	10/08	Miami (OH)	27	Kent State	24	Kent State -5	Miami (OH)	56.5	Under
2021	11/27	Kent State	48	Miami (OH)	47	Miami (OH) -1.0	Kent State	68.0	Over
2019	10/26	Kent State	16	Miami (OH)	23	Kent State -2.5	Miami (OH)	54.5	Under
2018	10/13	Miami (OH)	31	Kent State	6	Miami (OH) -11.5	Miami (OH)	59.0	Under
2017	10/14	Kent State	17	Miami (OH)	14	Miami (OH) -8.5	Kent State	42.0	Under
2016	10/15	Miami (OH)	18	Kent State	14	Kent State -2	Miami (OH)	43.0	Under
2015	10/03	Kent State	20	Miami (OH)	14	Kent State -10.5	Miami (OH)	43.0	Under
2014	10/25	Miami (OH)	10	Kent State	3	Miami (OH) -4.5	Miami (OH)	0
2013	11/13	Kent State	24	Miami (OH)	6	Kent State -16.5	Kent State	0
2012	11/10	Miami (OH)	32	Kent State	48
2011	10/15	Kent State	3	Miami (OH)	9
2010	10/02	Miami (OH)	27	Kent State	21
2009	09/26	Kent State	29	Miami (OH)	19
2008	10/25	Miami (OH)	21	Kent State	54
2007	10/06	Kent State	13	Miami (OH)	20
2006	09/16	Miami (OH)	14	Kent State	16
2005	09/17	Kent State	10	Miami (OH)	27
2004	10/09	Miami (OH)	47	Kent State	27
2003	10/25	Kent State	30	Miami (OH)	38
2002	09/21	Miami (OH)	27	Kent State	20
2001	11/24	Kent State	24	Miami (OH)	20
2000	09/22	Miami (OH)	45	Kent State	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami (OH)	15	7	1 Overs
Kent State	9	4	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	7 - 4	3 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 15	4 - 7	1 - 4	3 - 3

(#134) KENT at (#75) M-OH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KENT	M-OH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#134	#75
SP+SP+	#134	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#48
OffenseOff	#136	#74
DefenseDef	#130	#33
Spec TeamsST	#108	#41
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#97

Kent State Notes(11/27) 0-12, killed by Buff. CFB worst, HC Burns 1-23
(11/27) Avg score 14 -44. Total outscored 529-167
(11/18) Took 1st lead vs M OH, all 34 straight, may not W
(11/7) CFB worst. New Fr QB new suck. Rgame sucks
(11/7) Have never had a lead in any game at 0-9
(10/22) Def stop rate last in CFB (36%) into week 9
(10/13) Pass game expl in shootout L (Ball St). Def bad
(10/4) Sched brutal but bottom 5 in Every Off/Def stat
(9/29) Outscored 234-57 by four P4 opps this year
(9/26) Top 2 QBs out for season, 3rd QB looks hurt
(9/26) Worst team in CFB, top QBs hurt. Burns sucks?
(9/26) Outrushed 207-78 in L vs St Francis?
Kent State Injury Report

Miami (OH) Notes(11/25) Huge W @ N Ill. Game vs BG for MAC title game
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate
(7/30) Lost top weapons to portal, WR (SC), RB (Ole Miss)
Miami (OH) Injury Report

Kent State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	M-OH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#33
SuccessSuc	#134	#92
ExplosiveExp	#1	#2
PPAPPA	#131	#38
PowerPwr	#130	#21
SP+SP+	#133	#43
Pts POPPO	#130	#6
HavocHav	#134	#35

Kent State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#135	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	#132	#100
Run ExplRExp	#72	#21
PPAExp	#132	#74
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	#128	#102
Stuff RateStuff	#126	#125
TackleTak	-	#60

Kent State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	#134	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#2	#1
PPAExp	#109	#18
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#53
F7 HavocF7	#134	#67
DB HavocDB	#128	#7

Miami (OH) on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	KENT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#130
SuccessSuc	#97	#131
ExplosiveExp	#61	#79
PPAPPA	#95	#133
PowerPwr	#115	#133
SP+SP+	#98	#134
Pts POPPO	#108	#115
HavocHav	#107	#127

Miami (OH) Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#92	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#119	#123
Run ExplRExp	#70	#122
PPAExp	#90	#132
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#133
Stuff RateStuff	#75	#133
TackleTak	-	#113

Miami (OH) Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#117	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#130
Pass ExplPExl	#90	#23
PPAExp	#87	#126
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#71
F7 HavocF7	#86	#111
DB HavocDB	#111	#127

Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Remains Top G5

KENT 5 Year Profile: Declining Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 58° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Miami (OH) -31.0 (47.5)
Miami (OH) won vs Kent State this year (34-7)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Kent State last year (34-7)
Miami (OH) beat Kent State in 2023 (23-3)
Miami (OH) beat Kent State in 2022 (27-24)

KENT's OC Mark Carney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tommy Ulatowski	81	175	46%	1342	15	8	7.7
Devin Kargman	45	82	55%	432	3	2	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ky Thomas	135	550	1	4.1	38
Curtis Douglas	48	145	0	3.0	19
Jahzae Kimbrough	27	114	0	4.2	18
Ayden Harris	29	110	1	3.8	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	40	705	9	17.6	68
Luke Floriea	44	688	7	15.6	80
Jay Jay Etheridge	14	137	1	9.8	37
Dashawn Martin	8	108	0	13.5	27

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC David Duggan (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka	90	3	0	5
Mason Woods (Tr)	68	4	0	1
Tevin Tucker	65	2	0	2
Rocco Nicholl	61	1	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Olds (Tr)	42	7	6	2	1
Stephen Daley	51	9	4	6	3
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
Kaden Beatty	19	3	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka	90	3	0	0	5
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Stephen Daley	51	9	4	6	3

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brett Gabbert	217	379	57%	2921	21	11	7.7
Henry Hesson	7	17	41%	93	1	0	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keyon Mozee	178	1098	4	6.2	74
Kevin Davis	50	331	4	6.6	97
Jordan Brunson	53	299	4	5.6	75
Dylan Downing (Tr)	44	152	1	3.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javon Tracy	57	818	7	14.4	72
Reginald Virgil	41	816	9	19.9	75
Cade McDonald	52	631	3	12.1	51
Kevin Davis	29	234	2	8.1	35

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Salopek	122	8	1	2	3
Silas Walters	95	3	0	0	12
Ty Wise	89	11	5	2	1
Eli Blakey	89	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brian Ugwu	59	15	8	16	3
Corey Suttle	36	8	6	10	0
Ty Wise	89	11	5	2	1
Adam Trick	37	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Raion Strader	53	0	17
Silas Walters	95	3	12
William Hardrick	26	0	4