Miami (OH) at Bowling Green Game Matchup
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Friday, November 29th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -3 (37.5) (-150)  Open: -2.5 | 42.5
Miami (OH) 28 - Bowling Green: 12  (Mid-American)

 
RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Wind: 18.3 MPH
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
M-OH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -1.5   (SP+ M-OH -3)

Projected Score: M-OH: 20 - BGSU: 21 (46)
BGSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
M-OH Travel: 141 miles
Falcons (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (20 - 35)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami (OH) vs Northwestern+4.043.0L 6 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+3.547.5L 16 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Miami (OH) at Notre Dame+27.544.0L 3 - 28UY
Sat 9/28 Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts-15.544.5W 23 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Miami (OH) at Toledo+4.544.0L 20 - 30ON
Sat 10/12 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-3.045.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/19 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-3.543.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan-10.548.5W 46 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Miami (OH) at Ball State-12.548.5W 27 - 21UN
Wed 11/13 Miami (OH) vs Kent State-31.047.5W 34 - 7UN
Tue 11/19 Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois-1.543.0W 20 - 9UY
Fri 11/29 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green+3.037.5W 28 - 12OY
Sat 12/7 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-2.543.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 12/28 Miami (OH) vs Colorado State-1.042.5W 43 - 17OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Bowling Green's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Bowling Green vs Fordham-15.560.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 9/7 Bowling Green at Penn State+35.551.5L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Bowling Green at Texas A&M+21.050.5L 20 - 26UY
Sat 9/28 Bowling Green vs Old Dominion-11.051.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 10/5 Bowling Green at Akron-17.048.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/12 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-3.046.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Bowling Green vs Kent State-24.054.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 10/26 Bowling Green at Toledo+1.547.5W 41 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Bowling Green at Central Michigan-14.547.5W 23 - 13UN
Tue 11/12 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-9.557.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Bowling Green at Ball State-12.554.5W 38 - 13UY
Fri 11/29 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-3.037.5L 12 - 28ON
Thu 12/26 Bowling Green vs Arkansas State-10.554.5L 31 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#78 (.18)37% (122)24.135% (129)2.95 (99)15839% (93)1653.99 (57)#20 (.1)40% (48)18.841% (47)41% (61)3.06 (14)39.11.11.2
BGSU#74 (.18)41% (81)27.145% (46)3.06 (81)13739% (98)1893.65 (87)#44 (.15)42% (63)21.648% (119)36% (11)3.71 (62)60.91.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1424.123.236.5%3.991.1153241581654.458%41%35%39%18%.18
BGSU Defense1321.618.541.6%3.712.2 - - - - - 54%44%48%36%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1418.82140.5%3.061.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%41%17%.1
BGSU Offense1327.124.241.2%3.651.5173261371894.248%50%45%39%18%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1429:3715.336%31%4.739.11.11.25.32.5035.4
Bowling Green1330:3016.833%60%6.960.91.52.24.92.5333.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1458% (15)35% (129)35.9158.14.423 (46).1 (94)2.95 (99)80% (20)11% (82)1.08 (25)
BGSU Defense1354% (112)48% (119) - - - - .22 (108)3.28 (105)80% (110)10% (67)0.95 (41)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1452% (92)41% (47) - - - - .06 (23)3.11 (70)72% (60)10% (69)0.87 (19)
BGSU Offense1348% (82)45% (46)33137.44.222 (51).16 (65)3.06 (81)80% (18)13% (121)1.09 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1441% (120)39% (93)11.821165.47.91416 (92)7 (21).31 (59)1.8 (18)35% (117)25% (119).21 (104)7% (107)1.9 (116)
BGSU Defense1344% (17)36% (11) - - - - - - 17 (3).21 (35)1.7 (111)33% (46)28% (38).32 (71)7% (21)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1447% (39)41% (61) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (27)1.3 (1)29% (119)24% (10).15 (7)8% (20)1.8 (11)
BGSU Offense1350% (60)39% (98)16.527.5188.86.911.517 (85)14 (107).27 (72)1.7 (35)36% (127)31% (67).29 (82)6% (54)2 (82)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.43   Bowling Green: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.3   Bowling Green: -1.8




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
2024 Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Bowling Green's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Bowling Green's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 21
Miami (OH) 20


Projected Total Points: 46
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Bowling Green12Miami (OH)28Miami (OH)Bowling Green -3Miami (OH)37.5Over
202310/07Miami (OH)27Bowling Green0Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)43.0Under
202210/15Bowling Green17Miami (OH)13Bowling GreenMiami (OH) -7Bowling Green45.0Under
202111/16Miami (OH)34Bowling Green7Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)52.0Under
201911/13Miami (OH)44Bowling Green3Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)48.0Under
201809/22Bowling Green23Miami (OH)38Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -6.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201710/07Miami (OH)29Bowling Green37Bowling GreenMiami (OH) -16.5Bowling Green50.5Over
201610/22Bowling Green26Miami (OH)40Miami (OH)Bowling Green -3.5Miami (OH)52.0Over
201311/05Miami (OH)3Bowling Green45Bowling GreenBowling Green -24.5Bowling Green0
201210/13Bowling Green37Miami (OH)12Bowling Green
201109/24Miami (OH)23Bowling Green37Bowling Green
201011/10Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)
200911/12Miami (OH)14Bowling Green35Bowling Green
200810/18Bowling Green20Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)
200710/13Miami (OH)47Bowling Green14Miami (OH)
200611/15Bowling Green7Miami (OH)9Miami (OH)
200511/15Miami (OH)14Bowling Green42Bowling Green
200312/04Bowling Green27Miami (OH)49Miami (OH)
200311/04Miami (OH)33Bowling Green10Miami (OH)
200111/03Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)
200010/13Miami (OH)24Bowling Green10Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green734 Overs
Miami (OH)1464 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 134 - 53 - 31 - 2
Road Teams13 - 85 - 42 - 13 - 3

(#75) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.43 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 592.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate
Miami (OH)     Ratings Matchup     Bowling Green
Power #75
#73
Off #115
#56
Def #21
#46
Talent #77
#106
SP+ #68
#77
SP+ Off #98
#79
SP+ Def #43
#75

Rematch from Week 14
Bowling Green -3.0 (37.5)
Miami (OH) won at Bowling Green this year (28-12)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green last year (28-12)
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2023 (27-0)
Bowling Green beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (17-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 32° - Wind: 18 mph


Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | BGSU
Depth Chart: M-OH | BGSU
Rosters: M-OH | BGSU
(#73) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.215 #73
Offense Rating: 20.86 #56
Defense Rating: 7.25 #46
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #75
Talent Rating: 478.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Bowling Green Notes
(11/13) Off better, Rgame good 220+, 7.4 ypc in WMU W
(11/8) Off OK vs CMU, Rgame 181, 5.2 ypc. Def great TW
(10/20) Bazelak torched Kent St, Rgame was really bad
(10/14) QB Bazelak hurt vs N. Illinois (day to day)
(10/14) Backup QB Lucian A. cannot throw the ball
(10/13) Scored open TD and 0 after in 17-7 L (N Ill)
(9/28) Bazelak 300 yds in W over ODU, Rgame really bad
(9/26) Great fight w/ A&M. Off is good, Def is underrated
(9/8) Nearly upset PSU, QB Bazelak/WR Fannin v good
(8/6) 14 starters back w/ momentum. MAC sleeper


  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Henry Hesson71741%93105.5
Javon Tracy11100%301030.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson5329945.675
Dylan Downing (Tr)4415213.515
Henry Hesson71702.49
Nate Milanowski4802.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy57818714.472
Reginald Virgil41816919.975
Kamryn Perry (Tr)10166016.640
Andre Johnson (Tr)7120017.144

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters9530012
Eli Blakey891002
Corban Hondru704221
Raion Strader5300017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick376420
Savio Frazier (Tr)245342
Corban Hondru704221
Christian Mckinney31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5300017
Silas Walters9530012
William Hardrick260004

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Baron May11100%431043.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart16689865.473
Rahkeem Smith2012836.440
Lucian Anderson III196723.519
Justin Pegues (Tr)135103.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malcolm Johnson Jr. (Tr)49573311.750
Rahkeem Smith25349314.066
Finn Hogan17175010.333
Justin Pegues (Tr)114404.07

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
CJ Brown (Tr)732012
Tracy Revels400021
Darius McClendon (Tr)312200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712
Darius McClendon (Tr)312200
Myles Bradley223220
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Corey Benjamin261005
Todd Bumphis (Tr)81103
Joseph Sipp Jr.7912712