Stanford at San José State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Stanford Cardinal at San José State Spartans

Friday, November 29th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
San José State -2.5 (54.5) (-135) Open: -2.5 | 55.5
San José State 34 - Stanford: 31

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (13 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

STAN 2nd straight Road Game
SJSU 3rd straight Home Game
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: San José State -1.5 (SP+ SJSU -3)
Projected Score: STAN: 26 - SJSU: 27 (53)
SJSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
STAN Travel: 18 miles

Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
STAN Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Stanford vs TCU	+8.0	58.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Stanford vs Cal Poly	-33.5	59.5	W 41 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Stanford at Syracuse	+9.5	56.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Stanford at Clemson	+24.0	58.0	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/5	Stanford vs Virginia Tech	+9.5	50.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/12	Stanford at Notre Dame	+22.5	45.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/19	Stanford vs SMU	+16.5	52.5	L 10 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/26	Stanford vs Wake Forest	+3.0	53.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Stanford at NC State	+10.0	46.5	L 28 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Stanford vs Louisville	+21.0	57.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Stanford at California	+15.0	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Stanford at San José State	+2.5	54.5	L 31 - 34	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

San José State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	San José State vs Sacramento State	-2.5	62.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	San José State at Air Force	+1.5	43.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/14	San José State vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Fri 9/20	San José State at Washington State	+13.0	55.5	L 52 - 54	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	San José State vs Nevada	-7.0	51.5	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/12	San José State at Colorado State	+2.5	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/19	San José State vs Wyoming	-13.0	53.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	San José State at Fresno State	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 33	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	San José State at Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/16	San José State vs Boise State	+14.5	62.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/22	San José State vs UNLV	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/29	San José State vs Stanford	-2.5	54.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Tue 12/24	San José State vs South Florida	+1.5	66.5	L 39 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#114 (.1)	38% (114)	18.8	41% (95)	2.61 (130)	119	36% (114)	233	3.4 (101)	#133 (.35)	51% (133)	29.2	56% (133)	48% (129)	5.22 (133)	59.1	1.2	1
SJSU	#22 (.29)	45% (29)	21.4	48% (23)	3.21 (48)	184	43% (51)	219	3.73 (81)	#104 (.24)	43% (79)	32.5	45% (91)	41% (60)	3.86 (74)	49.1	0.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	12	18.8	12.5	37.6%	3.4	1.2	20	352	119	233	3.4	42%	57%	41%	36%	21%	.1
SJSU Defense	13	32.5	29.5	42.8%	3.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	41%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	12	29.2	32.3	51.4%	5.22	1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	56%	48%	11%	.35
SJSU Offense	13	21.4	25.8	45.5%	3.73	0.8	21	404	184	219	5.6	50%	50%	48%	43%	15%	.29

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	12	31:16	19.5	36%	33%	6.3	59.1	1.2	1	4.3	1.9	0	27.2
San José State	13	30:35	20.8	45%	37%	5.7	49.1	0.8	1.6	4.8	1.6	3	34.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	12	42% (114)	41% (95)	34.5	118.8	3.4	15 (100)	.06 (114)	2.61 (130)	71% (90)	13% (122)	0.99 (74)
SJSU Defense	13	56% (120)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.25 (121)	3.47 (126)	75% (81)	9% (104)	1.03 (88)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	12	45% (13)	56% (133)	-	-	-	-	.25 (120)	3.45 (124)	76% (87)	7% (129)	0.9 (25)
SJSU Offense	13	50% (71)	48% (23)	33	184.1	5.6	31 (17)	.24 (22)	3.21 (48)	72% (85)	10% (61)	1.11 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	12	57% (17)	36% (114)	19.4	35.6	233	6.6	12	11 (117)	10 (56)	.16 (106)	1.5 (84)	36% (120)	29% (77)	.28 (87)	8% (126)	2 (71)
SJSU Defense	13	43% (10)	41% (60)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (80)	1.6 (80)	31% (91)	33% (108)	.44 (119)	6% (80)	2 (62)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	12	55% (124)	48% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.45 (130)	1.7 (89)	29% (125)	41% (133)	.66 (133)	4% (130)	2.1 (93)
SJSU Offense	13	50% (61)	43% (51)	17.7	28.9	219.5	7.6	12.4	21 (65)	4 (2)	.34 (44)	1.7 (28)	33% (91)	38% (9)	.48 (22)	6% (59)	2 (79)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 410.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.38 San José State: -4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -8.2 San José State: -5.5

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.565 #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
2024 Talent Rating: 174.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 27
Stanford 26

Projected Total Points: 53

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Stanford	30	San José State	29	Stanford -3	San José State	49.5	Over
2024	11/29	San José State	34	Stanford	31	San José State -2.5	San José State	54.5	Over
2013	09/07	Stanford	34	San José State	13	Stanford -20	Stanford	0
2012	08/31	Stanford	20	San José State	17
2011	09/03	Stanford	57	San José State	3
2009	09/19	Stanford	42	San José State	17
2008	09/20	Stanford	23	San José State	10
2007	09/15	Stanford	37	San José State	0
2006	09/09	San José State	35	Stanford	34
2004	09/04	Stanford	43	San José State	3
2003	09/06	Stanford	31	San José State	10
2002	09/14	Stanford	63	San José State	26
2001	12/01	San José State	14	Stanford	41
2000	09/08	Stanford	27	San José State	40

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	3	2	2 Overs
Stanford	11	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 2	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 12	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#79) STAN at (#94) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#79	#94
SP+SP+	#101	#92
Perf GradeGrade	#112	#91
OffenseOff	#121	#86
DefenseDef	#106	#84
Spec TeamsST	#6	#103
TalentTal	#31	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	#35	#102

Stanford Notes(11/29) Def torched by SJSU, Daniels 3 Int, Rgame meh
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic
(8/19) WR Ayomanor who abused T. Hunter back (1K yds)
Stanford Injury Report

San José State Notes(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
(9/17) 3 awful opps, zero run game. Pass game good #'s
San José State Injury Report

Stanford on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#121	#84
SuccessSuc	#114	#79
ExplosiveExp	#68	#60
PPAPPA	#114	#104
PowerPwr	#80	#71
SP+SP+	#90	#90
Pts POPPO	#101	#74
HavocHav	#128	#102

Stanford Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#127	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#95	#91
Run ExplRExp	#74	#88
PPAExp	#114	#121
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	#130	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#130	#113
TackleTak	-	#117

Stanford Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	#114	#60
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#80
PPAExp	#106	#80
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#94	#121
F7 HavocF7	#122	#104
DB HavocDB	#126	#80

San José State on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	STAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#106
SuccessSuc	#29	#133
ExplosiveExp	#12	#63
PPAPPA	#22	#133
PowerPwr	#102	#112
SP+SP+	#73	#112
Pts POPPO	#81	#133
HavocHav	#62	#133

San José State Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#90	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#133
Run ExplRExp	#21	#25
PPAExp	#22	#120
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	#48	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#122	#98
TackleTak	-	#98

San José State Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#129
Pass ExplPExl	#28	#89
PPAExp	#44	#130
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	#53
F7 HavocF7	#61	#129
DB HavocDB	#59	#130

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
San José State -2.5 (54.5)
San José State won vs Stanford this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Stanford beat San José State last year (30-29)
San José State beat Stanford in 2024 (34-31)

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels	170	271	63%	1700	10	12	6.3
Elijah Brown	28	48	58%	274	2	3	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Daniels	148	669	3	4.5	67
Micah Ford	76	309	0	4.1	26
Chris Davis Jr.	54	288	0	5.3	47
Cole Tabb	27	130	0	4.8	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elic Ayomanor	63	831	6	13.2	60
Emmett Mosley V	48	525	6	10.9	62
Sam Roush	40	334	2	8.4	28
Ismael Cisse	26	241	2	9.3	25

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April III (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gaethan Bernadel	86	6	1	2	1
Scotty Edwards	80	2	0	0	2
Tristan Sinclair	77	7	2	5	1
Mitch Leigber	54	4	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Bailey	31	8	6	8	0
Tevarua Tafiti	41	7	4	3	0
Tobin Phillips	16	5	4	1	0
Zach Buckey	11	6	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Collin Wright	45	3	5
Aaron Morris	32	0	4
Zahran Manley	12	0	3

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget	188	328	57%	2504	13	10	7.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)	125	217	58%	1621	16	5	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)	154	721	10	4.7	66
Jabari Bates	59	254	1	4.3	31
Lamar Radcliffe	33	141	1	4.3	18
Walker Eget	29	99	0	3.4	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	104	1382	16	13.3	45
Justin Lockhart	53	983	5	18.5	57
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)	28	482	2	17.2	31
Matthew Coleman	34	401	2	11.8	33

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3
Robert Rahimi (Tr)	82	6	1	1	5
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5
Taniela Latu	71	7	1	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Dansby	37	1	0	0	6
D.J. Harvey	58	7	2	0	6
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5