Stanford at San José State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Friday, November 29th 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
San José State -2.5 (54.5) (-135)  Open: -2.5 | 55.5
San José State 34 - Stanford: 31

 
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
STAN 2nd straight Road Game
SJSU 3rd straight Home Game
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: San José State -1.5  (SP+ SJSU -3)

Projected Score: STAN: 27 - SJSU: 28 (55)
SJSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
STAN Travel: 18 miles
Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Stanford's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Stanford vs TCU+8.058.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/7 Stanford vs Cal Poly-33.559.5W 41 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Stanford at Syracuse+9.556.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 9/28 Stanford at Clemson+24.058.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/5 Stanford vs Virginia Tech+9.550.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 10/12 Stanford at Notre Dame+22.545.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Stanford vs SMU+16.552.5L 10 - 40UN
Sat 10/26 Stanford vs Wake Forest+3.053.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Stanford at NC State+10.046.5L 28 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Stanford vs Louisville+21.057.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Stanford at California+15.053.5L 21 - 24UY
Fri 11/29 Stanford at San José State+2.554.5L 31 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
San José State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 San José State vs Sacramento State-2.562.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 San José State at Air Force+1.543.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 San José State vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 9/20 San José State at Washington State+13.055.5L 52 - 54OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 San José State vs Nevada-7.051.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 San José State at Colorado State+2.555.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/19 San José State vs Wyoming-13.053.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 San José State at Fresno State+6.555.0L 10 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 San José State at Oregon State+3.058.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 San José State vs Boise State+14.562.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/22 San José State vs UNLV+7.559.5L 16 - 27UN
Fri 11/29 San José State vs Stanford-2.554.5W 34 - 31OY
Tue 12/24 San José State vs South Florida+1.566.5L 39 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)22.841% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)33.745% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)28.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)27.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense1222.821.240.1%3.671.8193251341913.750%50%41%39%22%.1
SJSU Defense1327.525.640.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense1233.738.346.6%4.531.3 - - - - - 43%57%45%48%14%.27
SJSU Offense1328.42943.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford1231:4118.535%56%5.4491.81.35.32.1228.5
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense1250% (71)41% (95)36.3133.83.711 (116).08 (97)2.72 (116)66% (111)15% (131)1.01 (52)
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense1243% (4)45% (92) - - - - .11 (62)2.92 (53)68% (39)10% (58)0.99 (70)
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense1250% (64)39% (98)18.730.8191.36.210.318 (68)17 (127).13 (111)1.5 (120)32% (82)26% (116).22 (106)7% (102)2.1 (29)
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense1257% (131)48% (124) - - - - - - 9 (76).4 (125)1.6 (69)30% (96)34% (113).33 (85)4% (129)2 (51)
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.38  #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63  #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49  #112
2024 Talent Rating: 798.00  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12%  #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2  #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.38   San José State: -4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -8.2   San José State: -5.5




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.565  #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16  #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66  #71
2024 Talent Rating: 370.00  #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5  #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
San José State 28
Stanford 27


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Stanford 29
San José State 29

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
San José State 32
Stanford 24

Total Points: 56
San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Stanford30San José State29Stanford -3San José State49.5Over
202411/29San José State34Stanford31San José State -2.5San José State54.5Over
201309/07Stanford34San José State13Stanford -20Stanford0
201208/31Stanford20San José State17
201109/03Stanford57San José State3
200909/19Stanford42San José State17
200809/20Stanford23San José State10
200709/15Stanford37San José State0
200609/09San José State35Stanford34
200409/04Stanford43San José State3
200309/06Stanford31San José State10
200209/14Stanford63San José State26
200112/01San José State14Stanford41
200009/08Stanford27San José State40
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State322 Overs
Stanford1110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 22 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 121 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#79) STAN at (#94) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTANSJSU
Power RatePwr #79 #94
SP+SP+ #101 #92
Perf GradeGrade #112 #91
OffenseOff #121 #86
DefenseDef #106 #84
Spec TeamsST #6 #103
TalentTal #30 #123
Blue ChipsBC% #35 #102

Stanford Notes
(11/29) Def torched by SJSU, Daniels 3 Int, Rgame meh
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic

San José State Notes
(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
STAN OffSJSU Def
Perf GradePerf #121 #84
SuccessSuc #101 #57
ExplosiveExp #98 #48
PPAPPA #114 #27
PowerPwr #80 #71
SP+SP+ #90 #90
Pts POPPO #92 #44
HavocHav #132 #47
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
STAN OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #127 #96
Run SuccessRSuc #95 #66
Run ExplRExp #52 #16
PPAExp #97 #21
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLY #116 #23
Stuff RateStuff #127 #30
TackleTak -  #117
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
STAN OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #119 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #98 #47
Pass ExplPExl #120 #105
PPAExp #111 #48
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #94 #121
F7 HavocF7 #131 #41
DB HavocDB #102 #56
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffSTAN Def
Perf GradePerf #86 #106
SuccessSuc #56 #119
ExplosiveExp #54 #103
PPAPPA #71 #120
PowerPwr #102 #112
SP+SP+ #73 #112
Pts POPPO #96 #124
HavocHav #110 #94
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #90 #93
Run SuccessRSuc #98 #92
Run ExplRExp #127 #70
PPAExp #131 #62
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLY #133 #53
Stuff RateStuff #134 #29
TackleTak -  #98
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #27 #117
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #124
Pass ExplPExl #74 #69
PPAExp #39 #125
Pass Block/RushP Blk #130 #53
F7 HavocF7 #57 #58
DB HavocDB #131 #129
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59°
Rematch from Week 14
San José State -2.5 (54.5)
San José State won vs Stanford this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Stanford last year (34-31)

  
STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels17027163%170010126.3
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Daniels14866934.567
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor63831613.260
Emmett Mosley V48525610.962
Sam Roush4033428.428
Ismael Cisse2624129.325

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel866121
Scotty Edwards802002
Tristan Sinclair777251
Mitch Leigber544011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey318680
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Tobin Phillips165410
Zach Buckey116301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Zahran Manley120003

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)12521758%16211657.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Nash10413821613.345
Justin Lockhart53983518.557
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Matthew Coleman34401211.833

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115
Isiah Revis716125
Taniela Latu717132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Soane Toia5510540
John Ward467341
Jordan Cobbs698311
Jordan Pollard11514223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Dansby371006
D.J. Harvey587206
Isiah Revis716125