San José State at Colorado State - 2024 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Colorado State -2.5 (55.5) (-130) Open: -1.0
Colorado State 31 - San José State: 24 (Mountain West)

Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Colorado State -4.5 (SP+ SJSU -0)
Projected Score: SJSU: 24 - CSU: 29 (53)
CSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SJSU Travel: 928 miles, 1 hrs behind

Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	San José State vs Sacramento State	-2.5	62.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	San José State at Air Force	+1.5	43.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/14	San José State vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Fri 9/20	San José State at Washington State	+13.0	55.5	L 52 - 54	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	San José State vs Nevada	-7.0	51.5	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/12	San José State at Colorado State	+2.5	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/19	San José State vs Wyoming	-13.0	53.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	San José State at Fresno State	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 33	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	San José State at Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/16	San José State vs Boise State	+14.5	62.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/22	San José State vs UNLV	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/29	San José State vs Stanford	-2.5	54.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Tue 12/24	San José State vs South Florida	+1.5	66.5	L 39 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Colorado State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Colorado State at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/7	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-31.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/14	Colorado State vs Colorado	+7.5	58.5	L 9 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/21	Colorado State vs UTEP	-8.5	49.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Colorado State at Oregon State	+10.0	47.0	L 31 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Colorado State vs San José State	-2.5	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Colorado State at Air Force	-6.0	43.5	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-3.5	62.0	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Colorado State at Nevada	-2.0	45.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Colorado State vs Wyoming	-8.5	47.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Colorado State at Fresno State	+3.5	43.5	L 22 - 28	O	N
Fri 11/29	Colorado State vs Utah State	-5.5	56.5	W 42 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/28	Colorado State vs Miami (OH)	+1.0	42.5	L 17 - 43	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	#22 (.29)	45% (29)	21.4	48% (23)	3.21 (48)	184	43% (51)	219	3.73 (81)	#104 (.24)	43% (79)	32.5	45% (91)	41% (60)	3.86 (74)	49.1	0.8	1.6
CSU	#81 (.17)	42% (74)	18.5	39% (118)	2.7 (124)	93	45% (38)	307	3.66 (86)	#65 (.18)	43% (80)	30.8	42% (61)	44% (107)	3.4 (31)	69.8	2.1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	13	21.4	17	45.5%	3.73	0.8	21	404	184	219	5.6	50%	50%	48%	43%	15%	.29
CSU Defense	12	30.8	27.1	42.9%	3.4	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	44%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	13	32.5	35.5	42.8%	3.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	41%	15%	.24
CSU Offense	12	18.5	19.9	41.6%	3.66	2.1	21	399	93	307	3.4	39%	59%	39%	45%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	13	30:35	20.8	45%	37%	5.7	49.1	0.8	1.6	4.8	1.6	3	34.5
Colorado State	12	26:34	20.6	41%	42%	7.6	69.8	2.1	1.6	7.2	2.8	2	26.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	13	50% (71)	48% (23)	33	184.1	5.6	31 (17)	.24 (22)	3.21 (48)	72% (85)	10% (61)	1.11 (21)
CSU Defense	12	52% (102)	42% (61)	-	-	-	-	.11 (47)	3.05 (55)	75% (82)	12% (24)	1.04 (90)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	13	56% (120)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.25 (121)	3.47 (126)	75% (81)	9% (104)	1.03 (88)
CSU Offense	12	39% (126)	39% (118)	27.7	92.8	3.4	10 (124)	-.02 (130)	2.7 (124)	69% (102)	7% (15)	0.72 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	13	50% (61)	43% (51)	17.7	28.9	219.5	7.6	12.4	21 (65)	4 (2)	.34 (44)	1.7 (28)	33% (91)	38% (9)	.48 (22)	6% (59)	2 (79)
CSU Defense	12	47% (31)	44% (107)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.29 (87)	1.4 (10)	32% (69)	30% (69)	.3 (60)	4% (126)	2.1 (79)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	13	43% (10)	41% (60)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (80)	1.6 (80)	31% (91)	33% (108)	.44 (119)	6% (80)	2 (62)
CSU Offense	12	59% (9)	45% (38)	25.9	41.8	306.5	7.3	11.8	24 (41)	18 (128)	.35 (43)	1.5 (100)	33% (86)	29% (81)	.31 (74)	8% (124)	2 (105)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -8.63 #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
2024 Talent Rating: 174.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -8.63 Colorado State: -2.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -5.5 Colorado State: -5.7

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 250.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 259.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado State 29
San José State 24

Projected Total Points: 53

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Colorado State	31	San José State	24	Colorado State -2.5	Colorado State	55.5	Under
2022	11/05	San José State	28	Colorado State	16	San José State -24	Colorado State	44.5	Under
2021	10/09	Colorado State	32	San José State	14	Colorado State -3.5	Colorado State	44.0	Over
2018	10/06	San José State	30	Colorado State	42	Colorado State -3	Colorado State	59.0	Over
2017	11/18	Colorado State	42	San José State	14	Colorado State -32	San José State	67.5	Under
2014	11/01	San José State	31	Colorado State	38	Colorado State -8.5	San José State	0
2013	10/12	Colorado State	27	San José State	34	Colorado State -3.5	San José State	0
2012	09/15	San José State	40	Colorado State	20
2011	10/01	Colorado State	31	San José State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	5	4	2 Overs
San José State	4	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 4	3 - 4	2 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 5	4 - 3	1 - 1	3 - 2

(#94) SJSU at (#78) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#94	#78
SP+SP+	#92	#93
Perf GradeGrade	#91	#46
OffenseOff	#86	#40
DefenseDef	#84	#46
Spec TeamsST	#103	#83
TalentTal	#122	#96
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

San José State Notes(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
(9/17) 3 awful opps, zero run game. Pass game good #'s
San José State Injury Report

Colorado State Notes(11/29) QB torched Ut St. Rgame awful, R Def awful
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
(7/30) Very important year for 3rd year staff
Colorado State Injury Report

San José State on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#46
SuccessSuc	#29	#80
ExplosiveExp	#12	#31
PPAPPA	#22	#65
PowerPwr	#102	#69
SP+SP+	#73	#85
Pts POPPO	#81	#31
HavocHav	#62	#70

San José State Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#90	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#61
Run ExplRExp	#21	#90
PPAExp	#22	#47
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	#48	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#122	#47
TackleTak	-	#70

San José State Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#107
Pass ExplPExl	#28	#10
PPAExp	#44	#87
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#130	#95
F7 HavocF7	#61	#24
DB HavocDB	#59	#126

Colorado State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	SJSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#84
SuccessSuc	#74	#79
ExplosiveExp	#99	#60
PPAPPA	#81	#104
PowerPwr	#74	#71
SP+SP+	#92	#90
Pts POPPO	#86	#74
HavocHav	#65	#102

Colorado State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#92	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#118	#91
Run ExplRExp	#133	#88
PPAExp	#130	#121
Run BlockR Blk	#15	-
OL YdsOLY	#124	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#114	#113
TackleTak	-	#117

Colorado State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	#60
Pass ExplPExl	#100	#80
PPAExp	#43	#80
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#13	#121
F7 HavocF7	#15	#104
DB HavocDB	#124	#80

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Colorado State -2.5 (55.5)
Colorado State won vs San José State this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat San José State in 2024 (31-24)

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget	188	328	57%	2504	13	10	7.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)	125	217	58%	1621	16	5	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)	154	721	10	4.7	66
Jabari Bates	59	254	1	4.3	31
Lamar Radcliffe	33	141	1	4.3	18
Walker Eget	29	99	0	3.4	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	104	1382	16	13.3	45
Justin Lockhart	53	983	5	18.5	57
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)	28	482	2	17.2	31
Matthew Coleman	34	401	2	11.8	33

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3
Robert Rahimi (Tr)	82	6	1	1	5
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5
Taniela Latu	71	7	1	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Dansby	37	1	0	0	6
D.J. Harvey	58	7	2	0	6
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	227	374	61%	2755	14	8	7.4
Jackson Brousseau	3	6	50%	15	0	1	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Avery Morrow	184	1006	9	5.5	73
Justin Marshall	156	767	4	4.9	42
Jalen Dupree	25	153	1	6.1	24
Keegan Holles	15	97	1	6.5	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Goodie	21	436	4	20.8	85
Jamari Person	35	373	1	10.7	60
Armani Winfield (Tr)	38	341	2	9.0	62
Tory Horton	25	331	1	13.2	52

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Buom Jock	97	3	0	2	3
Chase Wilson	97	3	0	6	1
Jack Howell	86	1	0	0	5
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)	41	10	6	8	2
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji	35	6	3	5	1
James Mitchell	38	6	2	5	1
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Elias Larry (Tr)	38	3	1	9
Dom Jones	60	2	0	8
Dominic Morris	54	2	0	8