San José State at Colorado State Game Matchup
San José State logo San José State Spartans at Colorado State RamsColorado State logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Colorado State -2.5 (55.5) (-130)  Open: -1.0
Colorado State 31 - San José State: 24  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Colorado State -4.5   (SP+ SJSU -0)
Projected Score: SJSU: 25 - CSU: 29 (53)
CSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SJSU Travel: 928 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
 
San José State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 San José State vs Sacramento State-2.562.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 San José State at Air Force+1.543.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 San José State vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 9/20 San José State at Washington State+13.055.5L 52 - 54OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 San José State vs Nevada-7.051.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 San José State at Colorado State+2.555.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/19 San José State vs Wyoming-13.053.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 San José State at Fresno State+6.555.0L 10 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 San José State at Oregon State+3.058.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 San José State vs Boise State+14.562.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/22 San José State vs UNLV+7.559.5L 16 - 27UN
Fri 11/29 San José State vs Stanford-2.554.5W 34 - 31OY
Tue 12/24 San José State vs South Florida+1.566.5L 39 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Colorado State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Colorado State at Texas+35.559.0L 0 - 52UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-31.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/14 Colorado State vs Colorado+7.558.5L 9 - 28UN
Sat 9/21 Colorado State vs UTEP-8.549.0W 27 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Colorado State at Oregon State+10.047.0L 31 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 Colorado State vs San José State-2.555.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Colorado State at Air Force-6.043.5W 21 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado State vs New Mexico-3.562.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Colorado State at Nevada-2.045.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Colorado State vs Wyoming-8.547.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/23 Colorado State at Fresno State+3.543.5L 22 - 28ON
Fri 11/29 Colorado State vs Utah State-5.556.5W 42 - 37ON
Sat 12/28 Colorado State vs Miami (OH)+1.042.5L 17 - 43ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#22 (.29)45% (29)28.448% (23)3.21 (48)18443% (51)2193.73 (81)#104 (.24)43% (79)27.545% (91)41% (60)3.86 (74)49.10.81.6
CSU#81 (.17)42% (74)24.439% (118)2.7 (124)9345% (38)3073.66 (86)#65 (.18)43% (80)25.842% (61)44% (107)3.4 (31)69.82.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense1328.425.445.5%3.730.8214041842195.650%50%48%43%15%.29
CSU Defense1225.819.942.9%3.41.6 - - - - - 52%47%42%44%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1327.527.642.8%3.861.6 - - - - - 56%43%45%41%15%.24
CSU Offense1224.426.941.6%3.662.121399933073.439%59%39%45%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1330:3520.845%37%5.749.10.81.64.81.6334.5
Colorado State1226:3420.641%42%7.669.82.11.67.22.8226.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1350% (71)48% (23)33184.15.631 (17).24 (22)3.21 (48)72% (85)10% (61)1.11 (21)
CSU Defense1252% (102)42% (61) - - - - .11 (47)3.05 (55)75% (82)12% (24)1.04 (90)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1356% (120)45% (91) - - - - .25 (121)3.47 (126)75% (81)9% (104)1.03 (88)
CSU Offense1239% (126)39% (118)27.792.83.410 (124)-.02 (130)2.7 (124)69% (102)7% (15)0.72 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1350% (61)43% (51)17.728.9219.57.612.421 (65)4 (2).34 (44)1.7 (28)33% (91)38% (9).48 (22)6% (59)2 (79)
CSU Defense1247% (31)44% (107) - - - - - - 9 (87).29 (87)1.4 (10)32% (69)30% (69).3 (60)4% (126)2.1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1343% (10)41% (60) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (80)1.6 (80)31% (91)33% (108).44 (119)6% (80)2 (62)
CSU Offense1259% (9)45% (38)25.941.8306.57.311.824 (41)18 (128).35 (43)1.5 (100)33% (86)29% (81).31 (74)8% (124)2 (105)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -8.63 #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
2024 Talent Rating: 370.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -8.63   Colorado State: -2.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -5.5   Colorado State: -5.7




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 29
San José State 25


Projected Total Points: 53
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9

Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Colorado State31San José State24Colorado StateColorado State -2.5Colorado State55.5Under
202211/05San José State28Colorado State16San José StateSan José State -24Colorado State44.5Under
202110/09Colorado State32San José State14Colorado StateColorado State -3.5Colorado State44.0Over
201810/06San José State30Colorado State42Colorado StateColorado State -3Colorado State59.0Over
201711/18Colorado State42San José State14Colorado StateColorado State -32San José State67.5Under
201411/01San José State31Colorado State38Colorado StateColorado State -8.5San José State0
201310/12Colorado State27San José State34San José StateColorado State -3.5San José State0
201209/15San José State40Colorado State20San José State
201110/01Colorado State31San José State38San José State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State542 Overs
San José State433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 43 - 42 - 31 - 1
Road Teams4 - 54 - 31 - 13 - 2

(#94) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.63 #94
Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 370.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San José State Notes
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
San José State     Ratings Matchup     Colorado State
Power #94
#78
Off #102
#74
Def #71
#69
Talent #123
#98
SP+ #92
#93
SP+ Off #73
#92
SP+ Def #90
#85

Rematch from Week 7
Colorado State -2.5 (55.5)
Colorado State won vs San José State this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat San José State last year (31-24)
San José State beat Colorado State in 2022 (28-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79°

Team Information
Injuries: SJSU | CSU
Depth Chart: SJSU | CSU
Rosters: SJSU | CSU
(#78) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on


  
San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)12521758%16211657.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Matthew Coleman34401211.833
Jackson Canaan28314211.258
Jacob Stewart3428738.437

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115
Taniela Latu717132
Isiah Revis716125
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Jordan Pollard11514223
D.J. Harvey587206
Justin Stearns284220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. Harvey587206
Michael Dansby371006
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi22737461%27551487.4
Jackson Brousseau3650%15012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Marshall15676744.942
Jalen Dupree2515316.124
Keegan Holles159716.518
Caleb Goodie587017.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Goodie21436420.885
Jamari Person35373110.760
Armani Winfield (Tr)3834129.062
Vince Brown II24256310.730

View Colorado State's Full Roster
Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Wilson973061
Buom Jock973023
Owen Long441002
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
Kennedy McDowell82220
Ayden Hector405206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Larry (Tr)383019
Ayden Hector405206
Isaiah Essissima (Tr)141004