UNLV at San José State - 2024 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Friday, November 22nd 2024 (10:00 PM EST)
UNLV -7.5 (59.5) (-305)  Open: -7.5
UNLV 27 - San José State: 16  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Predicted
Wind: 21.7 MPH
SJSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UNLV -11.5  (SP+ UNLV -15)

Projected Score: UNLV: 34 - SJSU: 23 (57)
UNLV Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 380 miles
Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV at Houston+3.056.0W 27 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.555.5W 72 - 14OY
Fri 9/13 UNLV vs Kansas+7.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV vs Fresno State-2.551.0W 59 - 14OY
Fri 10/4 UNLV vs Syracuse-5.555.5L 41 - 44ON
Fri 10/11 UNLV at Utah State-19.067.5W 50 - 34ON
Sat 10/19 UNLV at Oregon State-6.561.0W 33 - 25UY
Fri 10/25 UNLV vs Boise State+4.064.0L 24 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UNLV at Hawai'i-12.051.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs San Diego State-22.055.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 11/22 UNLV at San José State-7.559.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/30 UNLV vs Nevada-17.554.5W 38 - 14UY
Fri 12/6 UNLV at Boise State+3.557.5L 7 - 21UN
Wed 12/18 UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
San José State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 San José State vs Sacramento State-2.562.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 San José State at Air Force+1.543.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 San José State vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 9/20 San José State at Washington State+13.055.5L 52 - 54OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 San José State vs Nevada-7.051.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 San José State at Colorado State+2.555.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/19 San José State vs Wyoming-13.053.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 San José State at Fresno State+6.555.0L 10 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 San José State at Oregon State+3.058.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 San José State vs Boise State+14.562.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/22 San José State vs UNLV+7.559.5L 16 - 27UN
Fri 11/29 San José State vs Stanford-2.554.5W 34 - 31OY
Tue 12/24 San José State vs South Florida+1.566.5L 39 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)35.443% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)21.340% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)28.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)27.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1435.428.841.7%4.260.6214202481735.761%39%43%40%14%.21
SJSU Defense1327.525.640.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1421.321.737.4%4.051.6 - - - - - 44%56%40%36%19%.11
SJSU Offense1328.42943.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1429:5921.140%70%5.649.20.61.66.32.6434.7
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1461% (8)43% (83)43.5247.85.729 (18).23 (23)3.36 (16)73% (71)9% (58)1.16 (9)
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1444% (8)40% (39) - - - - .11 (63)2.63 (19)73% (65)10% (55)1.08 (108)
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1439% (127)40% (90)12.722.1172.67.813.625 (31)6 (10).2 (94)1.7 (32)30% (43)29% (93).26 (97)5% (25)2.1 (58)
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1456% (128)36% (14) - - - - - - 17 (5).13 (25)1.5 (47)36% (17)25% (7).19 (24)8% (9)2.2 (106)
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.14  #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48  #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05  #27
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.14   San José State: -4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 9.3   San José State: -5.5




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.565  #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16  #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66  #71
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5  #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 34
San José State 23


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 29
San José State 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 30
San José State 25

Total Points: 55
San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/22San José State16UNLV27UNLV -7.5UNLV59.5Under
202311/25UNLV31San José State37UNLV -3.5San José State58.5Over
202210/07San José State40UNLV7San José State -6.5San José State51.5Under
202110/21UNLV20San José State27San José State -6San José State44.0Over
202011/14San José State34UNLV17San José State -17.0Push62.0Under
201911/23UNLV38San José State35San José State -7UNLV65.5Over
201810/27San José State50UNLV37San José State -2.5San José State57.5Over
201709/30UNLV41San José State13UNLV -16.5UNLV63.0Under
201610/29San José State30UNLV24UNLV -3San José State55.0Under
201510/10UNLV27San José State33San José State -3San José State50.0Over
201410/04San José State33UNLV10San José State -10.5San José State0
201311/02UNLV24San José State34San José State -2.5San José State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State985 Overs
UNLV335 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 56 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams5 - 75 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#46) UNLV at (#94) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVSJSU
Power RatePwr #46 #94
SP+SP+ #36 #92
Perf GradeGrade #16 #91
OffenseOff #20 #86
DefenseDef #28 #84
Spec TeamsST #47 #103
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #102
UNLV Notes
(12/30) Hired DC Z Arnett (MSU HC)
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
(7/31) Team is really good, sched is really rough
UNLV Injury Report
San José State Notes
(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
(9/17) 3 awful opps, zero run game. Pass game good #'s
San José State Injury Report
UNLV on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffSJSU Def
Perf GradePerf #20 #84
SuccessSuc #84 #57
ExplosiveExp #23 #48
PPAPPA #56 #27
PowerPwr #81 #71
SP+SP+ #31 #90
Pts POPPO #33 #44
HavocHav #41 #47
UNLV Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #19 #96
Run SuccessRSuc #83 #66
Run ExplRExp #9 #16
PPAExp #23 #21
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLY #16 #23
Stuff RateStuff #40 #30
TackleTak -  #117
UNLV Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #66 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #90 #47
Pass ExplPExl #32 #105
PPAExp #94 #48
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #7 #121
F7 HavocF7 #58 #41
DB HavocDB #25 #56
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffUNLV Def
Perf GradePerf #86 #28
SuccessSuc #56 #14
ExplosiveExp #54 #93
PPAPPA #71 #34
PowerPwr #102 #27
SP+SP+ #73 #55
Pts POPPO #96 #97
HavocHav #110 #27
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #90 #46
Run SuccessRSuc #98 #39
Run ExplRExp #127 #108
PPAExp #131 #63
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLY #133 #19
Stuff RateStuff #134 #18
TackleTak -  #79
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #27 #16
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #14
Pass ExplPExl #74 #47
PPAExp #39 #25
Pass Block/RushP Blk #130 #56
F7 HavocF7 #57 #55
DB HavocDB #131 #9
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 59° - Wind: 22 mph
Rain: 0.26
Rematch from Week 13
UNLV 7.5 (59.5)
UNLV won at San José State this year (27-16)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat San José State last year (27-16)
San José State beat UNLV in 2023 (37-31)
San José State beat UNLV in 2022 (40-7)

  
UNLV's OC Brennan Marion (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)16185195.371
Kylin James (Tr)8965357.386
Greg Burrell6637035.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White7910411113.255
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)12521758%16211657.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Nash10413821613.345
Justin Lockhart53983518.557
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Matthew Coleman34401211.833

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115
Isiah Revis716125
Taniela Latu717132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Soane Toia5510540
John Ward467341
Jordan Cobbs698311
Jordan Pollard11514223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Dansby371006
D.J. Harvey587206
Isiah Revis716125