UNLV at San José State Game Matchup
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Friday, November 22nd 2024 (10:00 PM EST)
UNLV -7.5 (59.5) (-305)  Open: -7.5
UNLV 27 - San José State: 16  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Heavy Rain Predicted
Wind: 21.7 MPH
SJSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UNLV -11.5   (SP+ UNLV -15)

Projected Score: UNLV: 34 - SJSU: 23 (57)
UNLV Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 380 miles
Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV at Houston+3.056.0W 27 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.555.5W 72 - 14OY
Fri 9/13 UNLV vs Kansas+7.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV vs Fresno State-2.551.0W 59 - 14OY
Fri 10/4 UNLV vs Syracuse-5.555.5L 41 - 44ON
Fri 10/11 UNLV at Utah State-19.067.5W 50 - 34ON
Sat 10/19 UNLV at Oregon State-6.561.0W 33 - 25UY
Fri 10/25 UNLV vs Boise State+4.064.0L 24 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UNLV at Hawai'i-12.051.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs San Diego State-22.055.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 11/22 UNLV at San José State-7.559.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/30 UNLV vs Nevada-17.554.5W 38 - 14UY
Fri 12/6 UNLV at Boise State+3.557.5L 7 - 21UN
Wed 12/18 UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
San José State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 San José State vs Sacramento State-2.562.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 San José State at Air Force+1.543.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 San José State vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 9/20 San José State at Washington State+13.055.5L 52 - 54OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 San José State vs Nevada-7.051.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 San José State at Colorado State+2.555.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/19 San José State vs Wyoming-13.053.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 San José State at Fresno State+6.555.0L 10 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 San José State at Oregon State+3.058.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 San José State vs Boise State+14.562.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/22 San José State vs UNLV+7.559.5L 16 - 27UN
Fri 11/29 San José State vs Stanford-2.554.5W 34 - 31OY
Tue 12/24 San José State vs South Florida+1.566.5L 39 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#38 (.27)43% (58)35.440% (101)3.17 (58)17446% (28)2394.19 (40)#115 (.26)42% (65)21.341% (52)43% (93)4.08 (94)61.81.41.9
SJSU#22 (.29)45% (29)28.448% (23)3.21 (48)18443% (51)2193.73 (81)#104 (.24)43% (79)27.545% (91)41% (60)3.86 (74)49.10.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1435.428.842.5%4.191.4204131742394.554%45%40%46%13%.27
SJSU Defense1327.525.642.8%3.861.6 - - - - - 56%43%45%41%15%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1421.321.741.7%4.081.9 - - - - - 53%46%41%43%13%.26
SJSU Offense1328.42945.5%3.730.8214041842195.650%50%48%43%15%.29

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1428:0620.349%45%6.961.81.41.941.4133.1
San José State1330:3520.845%37%5.749.10.81.64.81.6334.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1454% (36)40% (101)38.4173.54.539 (2).2 (40)3.17 (58)76% (43)8% (29)1.18 (3)
SJSU Defense1356% (120)45% (91) - - - - .25 (121)3.47 (126)75% (81)9% (104)1.03 (88)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1453% (109)41% (52) - - - - .11 (50)3.1 (69)78% (101)8% (113)0.95 (42)
SJSU Offense1350% (71)48% (23)33184.15.631 (17).24 (22)3.21 (48)72% (85)10% (61)1.11 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1445% (96)46% (28)17.928.9239.28.313.317 (85)12 (85).37 (30)1.6 (56)32% (81)33% (43).4 (44)5% (42)2.1 (59)
SJSU Defense1343% (10)41% (60) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (80)1.6 (80)31% (91)33% (108).44 (119)6% (80)2 (62)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1446% (24)43% (93) - - - - - - 17 (3).48 (133)1.9 (133)33% (52)29% (55).32 (72)4% (128)2.1 (69)
SJSU Offense1350% (61)43% (51)17.728.9219.57.612.421 (65)4 (2).34 (44)1.7 (28)33% (91)38% (9).48 (22)6% (59)2 (79)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.14 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.14   San José State: -4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 9.3   San José State: -5.5




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.565 #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
2024 Talent Rating: 370.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 34
San José State 23


Projected Total Points: 57
San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/22San José State16UNLV27UNLVUNLV -7.5UNLV59.5Under
202311/25UNLV31San José State37San José StateUNLV -3.5San José State58.5Over
202210/07San José State40UNLV7San José StateSan José State -6.5San José State51.5Under
202110/21UNLV20San José State27San José StateSan José State -6San José State44.0Over
202011/14San José State34UNLV17San José StateSan José State -17.0Push62.0Under
201911/23UNLV38San José State35UNLVSan José State -7UNLV65.5Over
201810/27San José State50UNLV37San José StateSan José State -2.5San José State57.5Over
201709/30UNLV41San José State13UNLVUNLV -16.5UNLV63.0Under
201610/29San José State30UNLV24San José StateUNLV -3San José State55.0Under
201510/10UNLV27San José State33San José StateSan José State -3San José State50.0Over
201410/04San José State33UNLV10San José StateSan José State -10.5San José State0
201311/02UNLV24San José State34San José StateSan José State -2.5San José State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State985 Overs
UNLV335 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 56 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams5 - 75 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#46) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.14 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
UNLV     Ratings Matchup     San José State
Power #46
#94
Off #81
#102
Def #27
#71
Talent #96
#123
SP+ #36
#92
SP+ Off #31
#73
SP+ Def #55
#90

Rematch from Week 13
UNLV 7.5 (59.5)
UNLV won at San José State this year (27-16)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat San José State last year (27-16)
San José State beat UNLV in 2023 (37-31)
San José State beat UNLV in 2022 (40-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 59° - Wind: 22 mph
Rain: 0.26


Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | SJSU
Depth Chart: UNLV | SJSU
Rosters: UNLV | SJSU
(#94) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.565 #94
Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 370.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San José State Notes
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks


  
UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)16185195.371
Kylin James (Tr)8965357.386
Matthew Sluka (Tr)3925316.546
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929
Casey Cain (Tr)7136219.450

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Marsel McDuffie468214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad845126
Fisher Camac4615815
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015

San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)12521758%16211657.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Matthew Coleman34401211.833
Jackson Canaan28314211.258
Jacob Stewart3428738.437

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115
Taniela Latu717132
Isiah Revis716125
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Jordan Pollard11514223
D.J. Harvey587206
Justin Stearns284220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. Harvey587206
Michael Dansby371006
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115