Sacramento State at San José State

Sacramento State at San José State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Sacramento State Hornets at San José State Spartans

Thursday, August 29th 2024 (10:00 PM EDT)
San José State -2.5 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 42 - Sacramento State: 24

Hornets (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Andy Thompson (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 17 - 20 (17 - 20 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ SJSU -6)
Projected Score: SAC: 24 - SJSU: 22 (46)
SJSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SAC Travel: 89 miles

Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SAC Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sacramento State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Sacramento State at San José State	+2.5	62.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/7	Sacramento State at Fresno State	+18.5	55.5	L 30 - 46	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule

San José State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	San José State vs Sacramento State	-2.5	62.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	San José State at Air Force	+1.5	43.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/14	San José State vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Fri 9/20	San José State at Washington State	+13.0	55.5	L 52 - 54	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	San José State vs Nevada	-7.0	51.5	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/12	San José State at Colorado State	+2.5	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/19	San José State vs Wyoming	-13.0	53.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	San José State at Fresno State	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 33	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	San José State at Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/16	San José State vs Boise State	+14.5	62.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/22	San José State vs UNLV	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/29	San José State vs Stanford	-2.5	54.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Tue 12/24	San José State vs South Florida	+1.5	66.5	L 39 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SAC		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	20	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU	#22 (.29)	45% (29)	21.4	48% (23)	3.21 (48)	184	43% (51)	219	3.73 (81)	#104 (.24)	43% (79)	32.5	45% (91)	41% (60)	3.86 (74)	49.1	0.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SAC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SAC Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SJSU Defense	13	32.5	29.5	42.8%	3.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	41%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SAC Defense	1	20	20	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SJSU Offense	13	21.4	25.8	45.5%	3.73	0.8	21	404	184	219	5.6	50%	50%	48%	43%	15%	.29

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sacramento State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
San José State	13	30:35	20.8	45%	37%	5.7	49.1	0.8	1.6	4.8	1.6	3	34.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SAC Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
SJSU Defense	13	56% (120)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.25 (121)	3.47 (126)	75% (81)	9% (104)	1.03 (88)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SAC Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
SJSU Offense	13	50% (71)	48% (23)	33	184.1	5.6	31 (17)	.24 (22)	3.21 (48)	72% (85)	10% (61)	1.11 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SAC Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SJSU Defense	13	43% (10)	41% (60)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (80)	1.6 (80)	31% (91)	33% (108)	.44 (119)	6% (80)	2 (62)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SAC Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SJSU Offense	13	50% (61)	43% (51)	17.7	28.9	219.5	7.6	12.4	21 (65)	4 (2)	.34 (44)	1.7 (28)	33% (91)	38% (9)	.48 (22)	6% (59)	2 (79)

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Sacramento State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Sacramento State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State: San José State: -4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State: San José State: -5.5

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.565 #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
2024 Talent Rating: 174.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Sacramento State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Sacramento State 24
San José State 22

Projected Total Points: 46

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/29	San José State	42	Sacramento State	24	San José State -2.5	San José State	62.5	Over
2013	08/29	San José State	24	Sacramento State	0	San José State -33	Sacramento State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	2	1	1 Overs
Sacramento State	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) SAC at (#94) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SAC	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#94
SP+SP+	NR	#92
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#91
OffenseOff	NR	#86
DefenseDef	NR	#84
Spec TeamsST	NR	#103
TalentTal	NR	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#102

Sacramento State Injury Report

San José State Notes(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
(9/17) 3 awful opps, zero run game. Pass game good #'s
San José State Injury Report

Sacramento State on Offense


CategoryCat	SAC Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#84
SuccessSuc	NR	#79
ExplosiveExp	NR	#60
PPAPPA	NR	#104
PowerPwr	NR	#71
SP+SP+	NR	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	#74
HavocHav	NR	#102

Sacramento State Run Game


CategoryCat	SAC Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#91
Run ExplRExp	NR	#88
PPAExp	NR	#121
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#126
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#113
TackleTak	-	#117

Sacramento State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SAC Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#60
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#80
PPAExp	NR	#80
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	#104
DB HavocDB	NR	#80

San José State on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SAC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	NR
SuccessSuc	#29	NR
ExplosiveExp	#12	NR
PPAPPA	#22	NR
PowerPwr	#102	NR
SP+SP+	#73	NR
Pts POPPO	#81	NR
HavocHav	#62	NR

San José State Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SAC Def
Run GameRun	#90	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	NR
Run ExplRExp	#21	NR
PPAExp	#22	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	#48	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#122	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San José State Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SAC Def
Pass GamePass	#27	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#28	NR
PPAExp	#44	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	NR
F7 HavocF7	#61	NR
DB HavocDB	#59	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

SAC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
San José State -2.5 (62.5)
San José State won vs Sacramento State this year (42-24)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Sacramento State in 2024 (42-24)

SAC's OC Bobby Fresques (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Conklin	255	406	63%	2759	27	8	6.8
Kaiden Bennett	22	45	49%	269	1	3	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Tau-Tolliver	183	954	7	5.2	70
Curron Borders	65	361	1	5.6	45
Ezra Moleni	33	170	2	5.2	25
Michael Johnson	12	94	0	7.8	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anderson Grover	59	782	7	13.3	54
Jared Gipson	53	715	9	13.5	78
Danny Scudero	50	650	4	13.0	41
Elijah Tau-Tolliver	37	287	2	7.8	27

View Sacramento State's Full Roster

SAC's DC Andy Thompson (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Will Leota (Tr)	9	0	1
Kaleb Higgins	9	0	0
Alex Rocha	9	0	0
Elias Mullican	9	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Mason Brosseau	7	3	2	1
Fata Puloka	5	1	1	1
Aj Campos	1	0	0	0
Pate Haunga	2	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Zelmar Vedder	5	0	2
Will Leota (Tr)	9	0	1
Derek Houston	6	1	1

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget	188	328	57%	2504	13	10	7.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)	125	217	58%	1621	16	5	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)	154	721	10	4.7	66
Jabari Bates	59	254	1	4.3	31
Lamar Radcliffe	33	141	1	4.3	18
Walker Eget	29	99	0	3.4	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	104	1382	16	13.3	45
Justin Lockhart	53	983	5	18.5	57
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)	28	482	2	17.2	31
Matthew Coleman	34	401	2	11.8	33

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3
Robert Rahimi (Tr)	82	6	1	1	5
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5
Taniela Latu	71	7	1	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Dansby	37	1	0	0	6
D.J. Harvey	58	7	2	0	6
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5