Sacramento State at San José State

Sacramento State at San José State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Sacramento State Hornets at San José State Spartans

Thursday, August 29th 2024 (10:00 PM EDT)
San José State -2.5 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 42 - Sacramento State: 24

Hornets (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 44 (27 - 44 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ SJSU -6)
SJSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%

Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SAC Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sacramento State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Sacramento State at San José State	+2.5	62.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/7	Sacramento State at Fresno State	+18.5	55.5	L 30 - 46	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule

San José State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	San José State vs Sacramento State	-2.5	62.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/7	San José State at Air Force	+1.5	43.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/14	San José State vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Fri 9/20	San José State at Washington State	+13.0	55.5	L 52 - 54	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	San José State vs Nevada	-7.0	51.5	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/12	San José State at Colorado State	+2.5	55.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/19	San José State vs Wyoming	-13.0	53.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/26	San José State at Fresno State	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 33	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	San José State at Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/16	San José State vs Boise State	+14.5	62.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/22	San José State vs UNLV	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 27	U	N
Fri 11/29	San José State vs Stanford	-2.5	54.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Tue 12/24	San José State vs South Florida	+1.5	66.5	L 39 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SAC		0%	27	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	44	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU	#71 (.18)	44% (56)	28.4	41% (98)	2.27 (133)	88	46% (28)	322	3.6 (96)	#27 (.1)	41% (57)	27.5	42% (66)	39% (47)	3.58 (44)	61.5	2.2	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SAC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU	#71 (.18)	44% (56)		41% (98)	2.27 (133)	88	46% (28)	322	3.6 (96)	#27 (.1)	41% (57)		42% (66)	39% (47)	3.58 (44)	61.5	2.2	2.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SAC Offense	2	27	27	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SJSU Defense	13	27.5	25.6	40.8%	3.58	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	42%	39%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SAC Defense	2	44	44	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SJSU Offense	13	28.4	29	43.9%	3.6	2.2	22	410	88	322	3.6	37%	63%	41%	46%	18%	.18

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sacramento State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
San José State	13	26:23	21.7	40%	53%	7	61.5	2.2	2.2	7.2	1.9	2	28.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SAC Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
SJSU Defense	13	53% (94)	42% (66)	-	-	-	-	.03 (21)	2.71 (23)	77% (96)	11% (41)	0.86 (16)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SAC Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
SJSU Offense	13	37% (131)	41% (98)	24.6	87.9	3.6	13 (105)	-.06 (131)	2.27 (133)	70% (91)	9% (57)	0.81 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SAC Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SJSU Defense	13	47% (43)	39% (47)	-	-	-	-	-	-	21 (1)	.19 (48)	1.7 (105)	34% (36)	29% (45)	.24 (38)	6% (56)	2.1 (87)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SAC Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SJSU Offense	13	63% (3)	46% (28)	24.3	42.3	321.8	7.6	13.2	31 (6)	16 (124)	.33 (39)	1.6 (74)	30% (53)	34% (46)	.38 (49)	9% (131)	2.1 (65)

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: #NR
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: #NR
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Sacramento State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Sacramento State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State: San José State: -4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State: San José State: -5.5

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.565 #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 44 PPG
Defense on Road: 44

Sacramento State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 36
Sacramento State 27

Total Points: 63

San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/29	San José State	42	Sacramento State	24	San José State	San José State -2.5	San José State	62.5	Over
2013	08/29	San José State	24	Sacramento State	0	San José State	San José State -33	Sacramento State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	2	1	1 Overs
Sacramento State	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#NR) Sacramento State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Sacramento State Highlights

Sacramento State Deficiencies
Sacramento State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	SJSU	SAC
OverallOver	#65	—
OffenseOff	#70	—
DefenseDef	#65	—
Special TeamsST	#86	—
PassingPass	#23	—
RushingRush	#65	—
Run BlockRBLK	#103	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#113	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#26	—
TacklingTkl	#101	—
Run DefenseR Def	#76	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#102	—
Coverage DefCov	#27	—

Rematch from Week 1
San José State -2.5 (62.5)
San José State won vs Sacramento State this year (42-24)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Sacramento State last year (42-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SAC | SJSU
Depth Chart: SAC | SJSU
Rosters: SAC | SJSU

(#94) San José State Info
Power Rating: -4.565 #94
Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 5 - 2 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

San José State Notes
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks

San José State Highlights
San José State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#87)
San José State Defensive Line is very good (#101)
San José State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

San José State Deficiencies
San José State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
San José State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
San José State Can Not Run the Ball (#134)
San José State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
San José State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
San José State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#45)

Sacramento State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Conklin	255	406	63%	2759	27	8	6.8
Kaiden Bennett	22	45	49%	269	1	3	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Tau-Tolliver	183	954	7	5.2	70
Curron Borders	65	361	1	5.6	45
Ezra Moleni	33	170	2	5.2	25
Michael Johnson	12	94	0	7.8	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anderson Grover	59	782	7	13.3	54
Jared Gipson	53	715	9	13.5	78
Danny Scudero	50	650	4	13.0	41
Elijah Tau-Tolliver	37	287	2	7.8	27

View Sacramento State's Full Roster

Sacramento State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Will Leota (Tr)	9	0	1
Kaleb Higgins	9	0	0
Alex Rocha	9	0	0
Elias Mullican	9	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Mason Brosseau	7	3	2	1
Fata Puloka	5	1	1	1
Aj Campos	1	0	0	0
Pate Haunga	2	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Zelmar Vedder	5	0	2
Will Leota (Tr)	9	0	1
Derek Houston	6	1	1

San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget	188	328	57%	2504	13	10	7.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)	125	217	58%	1621	16	5	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)	154	721	10	4.7	66
Jabari Bates	59	254	1	4.3	31
Lamar Radcliffe	33	141	1	4.3	18
Walker Eget	29	99	0	3.4	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	104	1382	16	13.3	45
Justin Lockhart	53	983	5	18.5	57
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)	28	482	2	17.2	31
Matthew Coleman	34	401	2	11.8	33

View San José State's Full Roster

San José State's DC Derrick Odum

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3
Robert Rahimi (Tr)	82	6	1	1	5
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5
Taniela Latu	71	7	1	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Soane Toia	55	10	5	4	0
John Ward	46	7	3	4	1
Jordan Cobbs	69	8	3	1	1
Jordan Pollard	115	14	2	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Dansby	37	1	0	0	6
D.J. Harvey	58	7	2	0	6
Isiah Revis	71	6	1	2	5