Sacramento State at San José State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Sacramento State logo Sacramento State Hornets at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Thursday, August 29th 2024 (10:00 PM EDT)
San José State -2.5 (62.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
San José State 42 - Sacramento State: 24

 
Hornets (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 44 (27 - 44 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ SJSU -6)
SJSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sacramento State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Sacramento State at San José State+2.562.5L 24 - 42ON
Sat 9/7 Sacramento State at Fresno State+18.555.5L 30 - 46OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sacramento State's Schedule
San José State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 San José State vs Sacramento State-2.562.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 San José State at Air Force+1.543.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 San José State vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 9/20 San José State at Washington State+13.055.5L 52 - 54OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 San José State vs Nevada-7.051.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 San José State at Colorado State+2.555.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/19 San José State vs Wyoming-13.053.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 San José State at Fresno State+6.555.0L 10 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 San José State at Oregon State+3.058.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 San José State vs Boise State+14.562.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/22 San José State vs UNLV+7.559.5L 16 - 27UN
Fri 11/29 San José State vs Stanford-2.554.5W 34 - 31OY
Tue 12/24 San José State vs South Florida+1.566.5L 39 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%270%000%000%440%0%0000
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)28.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)27.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Offense227270%00000000%0%0%0%0%
SJSU Defense1327.525.640.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAC Defense244440%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
SJSU Offense1328.42943.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sacramento State20:000NAN%0%0000000100
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Offense20%0%000000%0%0
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAC Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAC Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)

Sacramento State's Power Ratings
Sacramento State's Power Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Sacramento State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Sacramento State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Sacramento State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    San José State: -4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sacramento State:    San José State: -5.5




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.565  #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16  #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66  #71
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5  #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Sacramento State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 44 PPG
Defense on Road: 44

Sacramento State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
San José State 33
Sacramento State 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
San José State 31
Sacramento State 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
San José State 36
Sacramento State 27

Total Points: 63
San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/29San José State42Sacramento State24San José State -2.5San José State62.5Over
201308/29San José State24Sacramento State0San José State -33Sacramento State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State211 Overs
Sacramento State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#NR) SAC at (#94) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSACSJSU
Power RatePwrNR #94
SP+SP+NR #92
Perf GradeGradeNR #91
OffenseOffNR #86
DefenseDefNR #84
Spec TeamsSTNR #103
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #102
San José State Notes
(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
(9/17) 3 awful opps, zero run game. Pass game good #'s
San José State Injury Report
Sacramento State on Offense
CategoryCat
SAC OffSJSU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #84
SuccessSucNR #57
ExplosiveExpNR #48
PPAPPANR #27
PowerPwrNR #71
SP+SP+NR #90
Pts POPPONR #44
HavocHavNR #47
Sacramento State Run Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNR #96
Run SuccessRSucNR #66
Run ExplRExpNR #16
PPAExpNR #21
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #23
Stuff RateStuffNR #30
TackleTak -  #117
Sacramento State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAC OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #37
Pass SuccessPSucNR #47
Pass ExplPExlNR #105
PPAExpNR #48
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #121
F7 HavocF7NR #41
DB HavocDBNR #56
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffSAC Def
Perf GradePerf #86NR
SuccessSuc #56NR
ExplosiveExp #54NR
PPAPPA #71NR
PowerPwr #102NR
SP+SP+ #73NR
Pts POPPO #96NR
HavocHav #110NR
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffSAC Def
Run GameRun #90NR
Run SuccessRSuc #98NR
Run ExplRExp #127NR
PPAExp #131NR
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLY #133NR
Stuff RateStuff #134NR
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatSJSU OffSAC Def
Pass GamePass #27NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #28NR
Pass ExplPExl #74NR
PPAExp #39NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #130NR
F7 HavocF7 #57NR
DB HavocDB #131NR
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

SAC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 85° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 1
San José State -2.5 (62.5)
San José State won vs Sacramento State this year (42-24)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Sacramento State last year (42-24)

  
SAC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Conklin25540663%27592786.8
Kaiden Bennett224549%269136.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Tau-Tolliver18395475.270
Curron Borders6536115.645
Ezra Moleni3317025.225
Michael Johnson129407.850
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anderson Grover59782713.354
Jared Gipson53715913.578
Danny Scudero50650413.041
Elijah Tau-Tolliver3728727.827

View Sacramento State's Full Roster

SAC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Leota (Tr)90001
Kaleb Higgins90000
Alex Rocha90000
Elias Mullican91001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Brosseau73210
Fata Puloka51110
Aj Campos10000
Pate Haunga20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zelmar Vedder50002
Will Leota (Tr)90001
Derek Houston61001

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)12521758%16211657.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Nash10413821613.345
Justin Lockhart53983518.557
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Matthew Coleman34401211.833

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115
Isiah Revis716125
Taniela Latu717132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Soane Toia5510540
John Ward467341
Jordan Cobbs698311
Jordan Pollard11514223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Dansby371006
D.J. Harvey587206
Isiah Revis716125