Liberty Flames at Sam Houston Bearkats
Friday, November 29th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Liberty -2.5 (47.5) (-140) Open: -2.5 | 47.5
Sam Houston 20 - Liberty: 18 (Conference USA)
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
LIB is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -5 (SP+ LIB -7)
Projected Score: LIB: 26 - SHSU: 21 (47)
LIB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 1041 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: Liberty -5 (SP+ LIB -7)
Projected Score: LIB: 26 - SHSU: 21 (47)
LIB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 1041 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Liberty's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Liberty vs Campbell | -41.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Liberty at New Mexico State | -22.5 | 54.5 | W 30 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Liberty vs UTEP | -23.5 | 57.5 | W 28 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Liberty vs East Carolina | -7.5 | 55.0 | W 35 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/8 | Liberty vs Florida International | -15.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/23 | Liberty at Kennesaw State | -27.0 | 48.0 | L 24 - 27 | O | N | |
| Wed 10/30 | Liberty vs Jacksonville State | -2.5 | 64.0 | L 21 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Liberty at Middle Tennessee | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 37 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Liberty at Massachusetts | -17.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Liberty vs Western Kentucky | -1.0 | 56.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Liberty at Sam Houston | -2.5 | 47.5 | L 18 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 1/4 | Liberty vs Buffalo | +4.5 | 50.5 | L 7 - 26 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
| Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Sam Houston at Rice | +9.5 | 49.0 | W 34 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Sam Houston at UCF | +21.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Sam Houston vs Hawai'i | -3.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Sam Houston vs New Mexico State | -15.5 | 44.5 | W 31 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Sam Houston vs Texas State | +11.0 | 55.0 | W 40 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Thu 10/3 | Sam Houston at UTEP | -10.0 | 49.5 | W 41 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/16 | Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky | -1.5 | 55.0 | L 14 - 31 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/22 | Sam Houston vs Florida International | -5.0 | 47.0 | W 10 - 7 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/29 | Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech | -10.5 | 45.5 | W 9 - 3 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Sam Houston at Kennesaw State | -21.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Sam Houston at Jacksonville State | +5.5 | 57.5 | L 11 - 21 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Sam Houston vs Liberty | +2.5 | 47.5 | W 20 - 18 | U | Y | |
| Thu 12/19 | Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern | +3.5 | 48.0 | W 31 - 26 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 7
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 28.8 | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 23.5 | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 23.8 | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 20.5 | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 28.8 | 28.8 | 49.9% | 4.21 | 1.3 | 22 | 400 | 238 | 161 | 5.7 | 63% | 36% | 54% | 43% | 14% | .26 |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 20.5 | 15.2 | 41.8% | 3.84 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 47% | 37% | 17% | .11 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 23.5 | 24.4 | 39.4% | 3.68 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 39% | 40% | 16% | .1 |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 23.8 | 21 | 39.3% | 2.97 | 1.2 | 19 | 349 | 180 | 168 | 4.3 | 57% | 43% | 41% | 38% | 15% | .1 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 12 | 28:42 | 22.1 | 45% | 50% | 6.7 | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.6 | 0 | 28.5 |
| Sam Houston | 13 | 32:10 | 18.8 | 39% | 67% | 4.6 | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 63% (5) | 54% (2) | 41.8 | 238.3 | 5.7 | 28 (25) | .25 (16) | 3.56 (7) | 76% (47) | 9% (43) | 0.91 (94) |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 51% (74) | 47% (105) | - | - | - | - | .17 (92) | 3.37 (119) | 75% (75) | 10% (56) | 0.83 (9) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 55% (115) | 39% (30) | - | - | - | - | .02 (20) | 2.68 (21) | 73% (62) | 10% (59) | 0.99 (68) |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 57% (25) | 41% (100) | 42.5 | 180.4 | 4.3 | 21 (59) | .1 (83) | 3.18 (44) | 68% (104) | 10% (69) | 0.9 (98) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 36% (130) | 43% (60) | 12.6 | 22.3 | 161.2 | 7.2 | 12.8 | 15 (98) | 6 (10) | .27 (56) | 1.5 (104) | 24% (2) | 36% (23) | .43 (26) | 5% (36) | 1.9 (107) |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 48% (60) | 37% (27) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .06 (6) | 1.4 (9) | 32% (57) | 25% (11) | .21 (32) | 6% (58) | 1.8 (12) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 45% (19) | 40% (66) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .21 (51) | 1.6 (77) | 32% (73) | 31% (81) | .18 (17) | 6% (82) | 1.8 (9) |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 43% (113) | 38% (105) | 16.7 | 26.8 | 168.2 | 6.3 | 10.1 | 15 (98) | 9 (48) | .13 (114) | 1.5 (106) | 30% (51) | 24% (126) | .13 (130) | 5% (47) | 2 (95) |
Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.58 Sam Houston: -4.36
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2 Sam Houston: -6.9
Liberty: 0.58 Sam Houston: -4.36
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2 Sam Houston: -6.9
Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4
Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4
Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 26
Sam Houston 21
Total Points: 47
Liberty 26
Sam Houston 21
Total Points: 47
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2
Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2
Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/29 | Sam Houston | 20 | Liberty | 18 | Sam Houston | Liberty -2.5 | Sam Houston | 47.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/05 | Liberty | 21 | Sam Houston | 16 | Liberty | Liberty -21 | Sam Houston | 46.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 1 | 2 | 0 Overs |
| Liberty | 1 | 0 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
(#60) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Liberty has won 3 straight
Liberty has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)
Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)
Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)
Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Liberty has won 3 straight
Liberty has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)
Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)
Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | SHSU | LIB |
| OverallOver | #68 | #27 |
| OffenseOff | #83 | #20 |
| DefenseDef | #57 | #55 |
| Special TeamsST | #87 | #81 |
| PassingPass | #77 | #31 |
| RushingRush | #73 | #26 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #86 | #4 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #63 | #86 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #69 | #77 |
| TacklingTkl | #43 | #62 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #96 | #58 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #31 | #59 |
| Coverage DefCov | #30 | #50 |
Rematch from Week 14
Liberty 2.5 (47.5)
Sam Houston won vs Liberty this year (20-18)
Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Liberty last year (20-18)
Liberty beat Sam Houston in 2023 (21-16)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: LIB | SHSU
Depth Chart: LIB | SHSU
Rosters: LIB | SHSU
(#88) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Sam Houston has lost 1 straight
Sam Houston has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Sam Houston defense does not give up big plays (#72)
Sam Houston has a good pass defense (#118)
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)
Sam Houston has a bad defensive line (#89)
Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Sam Houston has lost 1 straight
Sam Houston has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Sam Houston defense does not give up big plays (#72)
Sam Houston has a good pass defense (#118)
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)
Sam Houston has a bad defensive line (#89)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaidon Salter | 147 | 261 | 56% | 1886 | 15 | 6 | 7.2 |
| Ryan Burger (Tr) | 8 | 19 | 42% | 88 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Cooley | 205 | 1254 | 13 | 6.1 | 44 |
| Billy Lucas | 123 | 720 | 5 | 5.9 | 55 |
| Kaidon Salter | 114 | 587 | 7 | 5.1 | 41 |
| Vaughn Blue | 35 | 207 | 1 | 5.9 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treon Sibley | 28 | 510 | 2 | 18.2 | 70 |
| Elijah Canion (Tr) | 25 | 354 | 3 | 14.2 | 50 |
| Reese Smith | 18 | 277 | 4 | 15.4 | 44 |
| Tyson Mobley (Tr) | 29 | 276 | 1 | 9.5 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Jerome Jolly Jr. | 55 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Quinton Reese | 40 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| A'Khori Jones | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 152 | 253 | 60% | 1598 | 11 | 8 | 6.3 |
| Jase Bauer (Tr) | 40 | 65 | 62% | 310 | 2 | 1 | 4.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevyon Ducker | 148 | 719 | 7 | 4.9 | 86 |
| Hunter Watson | 152 | 623 | 7 | 4.1 | 46 |
| DJ McKinney | 95 | 479 | 3 | 5.0 | 59 |
| Jase Bauer (Tr) | 45 | 195 | 0 | 4.3 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Evans | 43 | 474 | 5 | 11.0 | 64 |
| Qua'Vez Humphreys | 18 | 362 | 4 | 20.1 | 67 |
| Noah Smith | 35 | 285 | 0 | 8.1 | 22 |
| Ife Adeyi | 26 | 238 | 1 | 9.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Weaver | 86 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Kavian Gaither | 84 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Trey Fields | 72 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Isaiah Cash | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Murray | 34 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Briceon Hayes | 26 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Isaiah Nixon | 19 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Richard Outland | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Cash | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Caleb Weaver | 86 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| David Fisher | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |