Sam Houston Bearkats at UCF Knights
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (6:30 PM EDT)
UCF -21.5 (53.5) (-1600) Open: -22.0 | 57.5
UCF 45 - Sam Houston: 14
Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SHSU 2nd straight Road Game
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UCF -11.5 (SP+ UCF -10)
Projected Score: SHSU: 20 - UCF: 32 (52)
UCF Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
SHSU Travel: 873 miles, 1 hrs behind
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UCF -11.5 (SP+ UCF -10)
Projected Score: SHSU: 20 - UCF: 32 (52)
UCF Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
SHSU Travel: 873 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Sam Houston at Rice | +9.5 | 49.0 | W 34 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Sam Houston at UCF | +21.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Sam Houston vs Hawai'i | -3.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Sam Houston vs New Mexico State | -15.5 | 44.5 | W 31 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Sam Houston vs Texas State | +11.0 | 55.0 | W 40 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Thu 10/3 | Sam Houston at UTEP | -10.0 | 49.5 | W 41 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/16 | Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky | -1.5 | 55.0 | L 14 - 31 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/22 | Sam Houston vs Florida International | -5.0 | 47.0 | W 10 - 7 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/29 | Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech | -10.5 | 45.5 | W 9 - 3 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Sam Houston at Kennesaw State | -21.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Sam Houston at Jacksonville State | +5.5 | 57.5 | L 11 - 21 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Sam Houston vs Liberty | +2.5 | 47.5 | W 20 - 18 | U | Y | |
| Thu 12/19 | Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern | +3.5 | 48.0 | W 31 - 26 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| UCF's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | UCF vs New Hampshire | -38.5 | 58.5 | W 57 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | UCF vs Sam Houston | -21.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | UCF at TCU | +1.5 | 61.5 | W 35 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | UCF vs Colorado | -12.5 | 60.5 | L 21 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | UCF at Florida | -1.0 | 62.0 | L 13 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | UCF vs Cincinnati | -2.0 | 58.0 | L 13 - 19 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | UCF at Iowa State | +13.0 | 49.5 | L 35 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | UCF vs BYU | -2.5 | 53.5 | L 24 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | UCF vs Arizona | -6.5 | 55.0 | W 56 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | UCF at Arizona State | +2.5 | 55.5 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | UCF at West Virginia | -3.0 | 60.0 | L 21 - 31 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | UCF vs Utah | -9.5 | 45.5 | L 14 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 23.8 | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 20.5 | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| UCF | #58 (.21) | 46% (28) | 30.4 | 52% (8) | 3.62 (2) | 248 | 38% (103) | 200 | 3.75 (86) | #63 (.16) | 40% (45) | 26.9 | 37% (12) | 42% (84) | 4.37 (118) | 54.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | ||
| UCF | #58 (.21) | 46% (28) | 52% (8) | 3.62 (2) | 248 | 38% (103) | 200 | 3.75 (86) | #63 (.16) | 40% (45) | 37% (12) | 42% (84) | 4.37 (118) | 54.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 23.8 | 24.6 | 39.3% | 2.97 | 1.2 | 19 | 349 | 180 | 168 | 4.3 | 57% | 43% | 41% | 38% | 15% | .1 |
| UCF Defense | 12 | 26.9 | 23 | 39.9% | 4.37 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 37% | 42% | 16% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 20.5 | 23.6 | 41.8% | 3.84 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 47% | 37% | 17% | .11 |
| UCF Offense | 12 | 30.4 | 32.9 | 46.1% | 3.75 | 1.6 | 24 | 448 | 248 | 200 | 5.8 | 58% | 41% | 52% | 38% | 15% | .21 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 13 | 32:10 | 18.8 | 39% | 67% | 4.6 | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 30.4 |
| UCF | 12 | 28:19 | 23.6 | 42% | 54% | 6.5 | 54.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 30.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 57% (25) | 41% (100) | 42.5 | 180.4 | 4.3 | 21 (59) | .1 (83) | 3.18 (44) | 68% (104) | 10% (69) | 0.9 (98) |
| UCF Defense | 12 | 50% (54) | 37% (12) | - | - | - | - | .07 (39) | 2.57 (13) | 79% (106) | 12% (28) | 1.03 (90) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 51% (74) | 47% (105) | - | - | - | - | .17 (92) | 3.37 (119) | 75% (75) | 10% (56) | 0.83 (9) |
| UCF Offense | 12 | 58% (16) | 52% (8) | 43 | 248.1 | 5.8 | 33 (12) | .31 (7) | 3.62 (2) | 72% (80) | 10% (66) | 1.13 (11) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 43% (113) | 38% (105) | 16.7 | 26.8 | 168.2 | 6.3 | 10.1 | 15 (98) | 9 (48) | .13 (114) | 1.5 (106) | 30% (51) | 24% (126) | .13 (130) | 5% (47) | 2 (95) |
| UCF Defense | 12 | 50% (82) | 42% (84) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .26 (81) | 1.6 (64) | 36% (16) | 30% (67) | .38 (99) | 5% (118) | 2.2 (117) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 48% (60) | 37% (27) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .06 (6) | 1.4 (9) | 32% (57) | 25% (11) | .21 (32) | 6% (58) | 1.8 (12) |
| UCF Offense | 12 | 41% (121) | 38% (103) | 15.1 | 25.8 | 199.7 | 7.7 | 13.2 | 14 (108) | 11 (72) | .1 (123) | 1.6 (76) | 29% (33) | 33% (53) | .16 (122) | 5% (48) | 1.8 (126) |
Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.82 UCF: 4.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.9 UCF: 2.8
Sam Houston: -6.82 UCF: 4.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.9 UCF: 2.8
UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 4.39 #58
UCF's Offense Rating: 20.19 #64
UCF's Defense Rating: 9.20 #67
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
UCF's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UCF's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
UCF's Power Rating: 4.39 #58
UCF's Offense Rating: 20.19 #64
UCF's Defense Rating: 9.20 #67
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
UCF's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UCF's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6
Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6
Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 32
Sam Houston 20
Total Points: 52
UCF 32
Sam Houston 20
Total Points: 52
UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
UCF's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
UCF's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/07 | UCF | 45 | Sam Houston | 14 | UCF | UCF -21.5 | UCF | 53.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 1 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Sam Houston | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 1 |
(#88) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Sam Houston has won 1 straight
Sam Houston has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston defense does not give up big plays (#72)
Sam Houston has a good pass defense (#118)
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)
Sam Houston has a bad defensive line (#89)
Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Sam Houston has won 1 straight
Sam Houston has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston defense does not give up big plays (#72)
Sam Houston has a good pass defense (#118)
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)
Sam Houston has a bad defensive line (#89)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UCF | SHSU |
| OverallOver | #38 | #68 |
| OffenseOff | #45 | #83 |
| DefenseDef | #35 | #57 |
| Special TeamsST | #94 | #87 |
| PassingPass | #95 | #77 |
| RushingRush | #13 | #73 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #30 | #86 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #17 | #63 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #74 | #69 |
| TacklingTkl | #50 | #43 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #30 | #96 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #57 | #31 |
| Coverage DefCov | #54 | #30 |
(#58) UCF Info
Power Rating: 4.39 #58
Offense Rating: 20.19 #64
Defense Rating: 9.20 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCF has won 1 straight
UCF has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
UCF Notes
(12/7) Hired HC Scott Frost again (Rams analyst '24)
(12/2) HC Malzahn leaving for FSU OC job. Yikes
(11/23) Even w/ WVU, R Def faded, bad 3rd/4th cost
(11/13) WTF L to ASU, OG's them by 150, Off good
(11/13) ST's disaster vs ASU, blk punt TD, miss FG
(11/2) Found a QB, Rizk great vs Az, Rgame great TW
(10/28) DC Roof fired, co-dc Williams takes over
(10/21) QB J. Brown starter from ISU game forward
(10/14) Benched KJ for Jacurri Brown, was ok/mobile in L
(10/12) Even w/ Cincy, OG'd them but Rzone issues cost
UCF Highlights
UCF has Really Good Running Game (#68)
UCF offense is efficent (#90)
UCF has a top Offensive Line (#111)
UCF does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#108)
UCF has a good run defense (#70)
UCF Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#34)
UCF Defensive Line is very good (#59)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Deficiencies
UCF pass game is really bad (#68)
UCF has a bad red zone defense (#18)
Power Rating: 4.39 #58
Offense Rating: 20.19 #64
Defense Rating: 9.20 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCF has won 1 straight
UCF has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
UCF Notes
(12/7) Hired HC Scott Frost again (Rams analyst '24)
(12/2) HC Malzahn leaving for FSU OC job. Yikes
(11/23) Even w/ WVU, R Def faded, bad 3rd/4th cost
(11/13) WTF L to ASU, OG's them by 150, Off good
(11/13) ST's disaster vs ASU, blk punt TD, miss FG
(11/2) Found a QB, Rizk great vs Az, Rgame great TW
(10/28) DC Roof fired, co-dc Williams takes over
(10/21) QB J. Brown starter from ISU game forward
(10/14) Benched KJ for Jacurri Brown, was ok/mobile in L
(10/12) Even w/ Cincy, OG'd them but Rzone issues cost
UCF Highlights
UCF has Really Good Running Game (#68)
UCF offense is efficent (#90)
UCF has a top Offensive Line (#111)
UCF does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#108)
UCF has a good run defense (#70)
UCF Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#34)
UCF Defensive Line is very good (#59)
UCF Front 7 is disruptive (#12)
UCF Deficiencies
UCF pass game is really bad (#68)
UCF has a bad red zone defense (#18)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 152 | 253 | 60% | 1598 | 11 | 8 | 6.3 |
| Jase Bauer (Tr) | 40 | 65 | 62% | 310 | 2 | 1 | 4.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevyon Ducker | 148 | 719 | 7 | 4.9 | 86 |
| Hunter Watson | 152 | 623 | 7 | 4.1 | 46 |
| DJ McKinney | 95 | 479 | 3 | 5.0 | 59 |
| Jase Bauer (Tr) | 45 | 195 | 0 | 4.3 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Evans | 43 | 474 | 5 | 11.0 | 64 |
| Qua'Vez Humphreys | 18 | 362 | 4 | 20.1 | 67 |
| Noah Smith | 35 | 285 | 0 | 8.1 | 22 |
| Ife Adeyi | 26 | 238 | 1 | 9.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Weaver | 86 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Kavian Gaither | 84 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Trey Fields | 72 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Isaiah Cash | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Murray | 34 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Briceon Hayes | 26 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Isaiah Nixon | 19 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Richard Outland | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Cash | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Caleb Weaver | 86 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| David Fisher | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Rizk | 73 | 118 | 62% | 915 | 5 | 2 | 7.8 |
| KJ Jefferson (Tr) | 64 | 108 | 59% | 1012 | 7 | 4 | 9.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Harvey | 232 | 1577 | 22 | 6.8 | 80 |
| Jacurri Brown (Tr) | 53 | 401 | 4 | 7.6 | 67 |
| Myles Montgomery (Tr) | 51 | 293 | 3 | 5.7 | 25 |
| Peny Boone (Tr) | 34 | 208 | 2 | 6.1 | 59 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Hudson | 47 | 770 | 4 | 16.4 | 53 |
| Randy Pittman | 32 | 416 | 2 | 13.0 | 48 |
| Jacoby Jones (Tr) | 22 | 327 | 2 | 14.9 | 40 |
| RJ Harvey | 20 | 267 | 3 | 13.4 | 75 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Barr | 72 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr) | 68 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Quadric Bullard | 61 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Deshawn Pace (Tr) | 61 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyjalik Kelly (Tr) | 53 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Malachi Lawrence | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Daylan Dotson (Tr) | 31 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Ricky Barber | 34 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Jackson | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Braeden Marshall | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ethan Barr | 72 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |