Liberty at Kennesaw State Game Matchup
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Kennesaw State OwlsKennesaw State logo
Wednesday, October 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -27.0 (48.0) (-2500)  Open: -23.5 | 45.5
Kennesaw State 27 - Liberty: 24  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -23.5   (SP+ LIB -25.5)

Projected Score: LIB: 37 - KENN: 13 (50)
LIB Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
LIB Travel: 380 miles
Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chandler Burks (Int) (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (20 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27ON
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21OY
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20UN
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kennesaw State at UTSA+24.049.5L 16 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana+14.546.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/14 Kennesaw State at San José State+16.541.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Kennesaw State vs UT Martin+1.545.5L 13 - 24UN
Fri 10/4 Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State+17.549.5L 24 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee+8.550.0L 5 - 14UN
Wed 10/23 Kennesaw State vs Liberty+27.048.0W 27 - 24OY
Wed 10/30 Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky+24.049.0L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/9 Kennesaw State at UTEP+4.542.0L 35 - 43ON
Sat 11/16 Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston+21.042.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/23 Kennesaw State vs Florida International+9.042.5W 27 - 26OY
Sat 11/30 Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech+13.541.5L 0 - 33UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)28.856% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)23.547% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
KENN0%16.50%000%000%31.20%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1428.828.854.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43
KENN Defense131.232.30%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1423.524.442.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
KENN Offense116.519.70%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Kennesaw State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)
KENN Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
KENN Offense10%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)
KENN Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
KENN Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 550.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.58   Kennesaw State: -23.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2   Kennesaw State: -25.1




Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -23.145 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
2024 Talent Rating: 178.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 37
Kennesaw State 13


Projected Total Points: 50
Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/23Kennesaw State27Liberty24Kennesaw StateLiberty -27.0Kennesaw State48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kennesaw State111 Overs
Liberty000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#60) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 550.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.  
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty     Ratings Matchup     Kennesaw State
Power #60
#131
Off #17
#132
Def #38
#97
Talent #84
#132
SP+ #71
#132
SP+ Off #60
#134
SP+ Def #70
#118

Rematch from Week 9
Liberty 27.0 (48.0)
Kennesaw State won vs Liberty this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Kennesaw State beat Liberty last year (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | KENN
Depth Chart: LIB | KENN
Rosters: LIB | KENN
(#131) Kennesaw State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.145 #131
Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118
Talent Rating: 178.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Kennesaw State Notes
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger (Tr)81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Ryan Burger (Tr)177014.157
Julian Gray (Tr)106216.241
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Canion (Tr)25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley (Tr)2927619.525
Donte Lee Jr10148114.824

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
A'Khori Jones535003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Joseph Carter885203
Eliyt Nairne252110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003

Kennesaw State's OC Chandler Burks
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Bryson14326155%14946105.7
Khalib Johnson62227%57032.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley12240913.460
Davis Bryson11229342.620
Gabriel Benyard444011.044
Alexander Diggs92903.28
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley2825519.151
Christian Moss (Tr)15220214.760
Carson Kent18217312.130
Tykeem Wallace2318107.924

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster
Kennesaw State's DC Greg Harris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donelius Johnson898410
Milon Jones604101
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
Tyler Hallum5610010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donelius Johnson898410
Garland Benyard489450
Jordan Miles458360
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)225322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Hallum5610010
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
Jayven Williams292214