Liberty at Kennesaw State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Wednesday, October 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -27.0 (48.0) (-2500) Open: -23.5 | 45.5
Kennesaw State 27 - Liberty: 24 (Conference USA)

Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -23.5 (SP+ LIB -25.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 37 - KENN: 13 (50)
LIB Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
LIB Travel: 380 miles

Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brian Bohannon (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (20 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
KENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Liberty vs Campbell	-41.5	58.5	W 41 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/7	Liberty at New Mexico State	-22.5	54.5	W 30 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/14	Liberty vs UTEP	-23.5	57.5	W 28 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/21	Liberty vs East Carolina	-7.5	55.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8	Liberty vs Florida International	-15.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23	Liberty at Kennesaw State	-27.0	48.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Wed 10/30	Liberty vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	64.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/9	Liberty at Middle Tennessee	-12.5	54.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Liberty at Massachusetts	-17.0	53.0	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/23	Liberty vs Western Kentucky	-1.0	56.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Liberty at Sam Houston	-2.5	47.5	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 1/4	Liberty vs Buffalo	+4.5	50.5	L 7 - 26	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kennesaw State at UTSA	+24.0	49.5	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Kennesaw State vs Louisiana	+14.5	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kennesaw State at San José State	+16.5	41.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Kennesaw State vs UT Martin	+1.5	45.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/4	Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State	+17.5	49.5	L 24 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	50.0	L 5 - 14	U	N
Wed 10/23	Kennesaw State vs Liberty	+27.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/30	Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky	+24.0	49.0	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Kennesaw State at UTEP	+4.5	42.0	L 35 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/16	Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston	+21.0	42.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kennesaw State vs Florida International	+9.0	42.5	W 27 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech	+13.5	41.5	L 0 - 33	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	#24 (.26)	50% (7)	28.8	54% (2)	3.56 (7)	238	43% (60)	161	4.21 (43)	#24 (.1)	39% (39)	23.5	39% (30)	40% (66)	3.68 (58)	64.4	1.3	1.3
KENN	#134 (-.04)	31% (133)	16.5	31% (134)	2.16 (134)	116	32% (129)	136	3.5 (103)	#93 (.21)	46% (114)	31.2	45% (91)	48% (122)	4.15 (102)	46.3	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	#24 (.26)	50% (7)		54% (2)	3.56 (7)	238	43% (60)	161	4.21 (43)	#24 (.1)	39% (39)		39% (30)	40% (66)	3.68 (58)	64.4	1.3	1.3
KENN	#134 (-.04)	31% (133)		31% (134)	2.16 (134)	116	32% (129)	136	3.5 (103)	#93 (.21)	46% (114)		45% (91)	48% (122)	4.15 (102)	46.3	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	12	28.8	28.8	49.9%	4.21	1.3	22	400	238	161	5.7	63%	36%	54%	43%	14%	.26
KENN Defense	12	31.2	32.3	46.2%	4.15	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	48%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	12	23.5	24.4	39.4%	3.68	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	39%	40%	16%	.1
KENN Offense	12	16.5	19.7	31.4%	3.5	1.5	14	252	116	136	3.1	58%	41%	31%	32%	17%	-.04

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	12	28:42	22.1	45%	50%	6.7	64.4	1.3	1.3	5	1.6	0	28.5
Kennesaw State	12	29:20	13.7	35%	39%	5.6	46.3	1.5	1	4.8	1.8	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	12	63% (5)	54% (2)	41.8	238.3	5.7	28 (25)	.25 (16)	3.56 (7)	76% (47)	9% (43)	0.91 (94)
KENN Defense	12	52% (85)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.16 (86)	3.04 (75)	73% (65)	9% (93)	1 (73)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	12	55% (115)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	.02 (20)	2.68 (21)	73% (62)	10% (59)	0.99 (68)
KENN Offense	12	58% (17)	31% (134)	37.4	115.5	3.1	13 (105)	-.05 (130)	2.16 (134)	74% (62)	12% (115)	1.01 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	12	36% (130)	43% (60)	12.6	22.3	161.2	7.2	12.8	15 (98)	6 (10)	.27 (56)	1.5 (104)	24% (2)	36% (23)	.43 (26)	5% (36)	1.9 (107)
KENN Defense	12	48% (50)	48% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.27 (86)	1.3 (8)	26% (131)	30% (51)	.31 (71)	5% (119)	2 (63)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	12	45% (19)	40% (66)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.21 (51)	1.6 (77)	32% (73)	31% (81)	.18 (17)	6% (82)	1.8 (9)
KENN Offense	12	41% (117)	32% (129)	13	24.8	136.3	5.5	10.5	6 (133)	14 (115)	- (133)	1.6 (52)	38% (131)	23% (130)	.16 (124)	5% (24)	2.1 (60)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.58 Kennesaw State: -23.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2 Kennesaw State: -25.1

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -23.145 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 37
Kennesaw State 13

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 34
Kennesaw State 19

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 30
Kennesaw State 21

Total Points: 51

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Liberty	42	Kennesaw State	48	Kennesaw State -2.5	Kennesaw State	55.5	Over
2024	10/23	Kennesaw State	27	Liberty	24	Liberty -27.0	Kennesaw State	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kennesaw State	2	2	2 Overs
Liberty	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0

(#60) LIB at (#131) KENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	KENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#60	#131
SP+SP+	#71	#132
Perf GradeGrade	#36	#129
OffenseOff	#21	#135
DefenseDef	#73	#89
Spec TeamsST	#98	#15
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#102

Liberty Notes(11/25) Rgame 400+ yds (WKU), W vs SHSU=CUSA title gm
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
(7/30) QB Salter is v good & mobile. Best backfield in G5?
Liberty Injury Report

Kennesaw State Notes(12/18) Hired HC Jerry Mack (Jags RB)
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O
(8/3) DB's poss worst in CUSA, wait & see rest
Kennesaw State Injury Report

Liberty on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	LIB Off	KENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#89
SuccessSuc	#7	#114
ExplosiveExp	#131	#23
PPAPPA	#24	#93
PowerPwr	#17	#97
SP+SP+	#60	#118
Pts POPPO	#43	#102
HavocHav	#33	#112

Liberty Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	LIB Off	KENN Def
Run GameRun	#39	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#2	#91
Run ExplRExp	#94	#73
PPAExp	#16	#86
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#36
TackleTak	-	#35

Liberty Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat	LIB Off	KENN Def
Pass GamePass	#38	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#60	#122
Pass ExplPExl	#104	#8
PPAExp	#56	#86
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#102	#83
F7 HavocF7	#43	#93
DB HavocDB	#36	#119

Kennesaw State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	LIB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#135	#73
SuccessSuc	#133	#39
ExplosiveExp	#78	#67
PPAPPA	#134	#24
PowerPwr	#132	#38
SP+SP+	#134	#70
Pts POPPO	#103	#58
HavocHav	#84	#71

Kennesaw State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#129	#73
Run SuccessRSuc	#134	#30
Run ExplRExp	#51	#68
PPAExp	#130	#20
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#134	#21
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#28
TackleTak	-	#71

Kennesaw State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#62
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	#66
Pass ExplPExl	#52	#77
PPAExp	#133	#51
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#132	#67
F7 HavocF7	#115	#59
DB HavocDB	#24	#82

Program Comparison
KENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74°

Rematch from Week 9
Liberty 27.0 (48.0)
Kennesaw State won vs Liberty this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Kennesaw State beat Liberty last year (27-24)

LIB's OC Newland Isaac (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaidon Salter	147	261	56%	1886	15	6	7.2
Ryan Burger (Tr)	8	19	42%	88	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Cooley	205	1254	13	6.1	44
Billy Lucas	123	720	5	5.9	55
Kaidon Salter	114	587	7	5.1	41
Vaughn Blue	35	207	1	5.9	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Treon Sibley	28	510	2	18.2	70
Elijah Canion (Tr)	25	354	3	14.2	50
Reese Smith	18	277	4	15.4	44
Tyson Mobley (Tr)	29	276	1	9.5	25

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Carter	88	5	2	0	3
T.J. Bush	58	10	6	1	4
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1
CJ Bazile Jr.	54	5	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Bush	58	10	6	1	4
CJ Bazile Jr.	54	5	2	2	0
Quinton Reese	40	5	2	1	0
Joseph Carter	88	5	2	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Bush	58	10	6	1	4
Joseph Carter	88	5	2	0	3
A'Khori Jones	53	5	0	0	3

KENN's OC Chandler Burks (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Bryson	143	261	55%	1494	6	10	5.7
Khalib Johnson	6	22	27%	57	0	3	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Benefield	138	542	5	3.9	59
Qua Ashley	122	409	1	3.4	60
Davis Bryson	112	293	4	2.6	20
Preston Daniels	35	85	3	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Bohannon	24	288	0	12.0	32
Qua Ashley	28	255	1	9.1	51
Christian Moss (Tr)	15	220	2	14.7	60
Carson Kent	18	217	3	12.1	30

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

KENN's DC Greg Harris (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Sidney Porter	66	5	0	2	2
Milon Jones	60	4	1	0	1
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garland Benyard	48	9	4	5	0
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)	22	5	3	2	2
Jordan Miles	45	8	3	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Hallum	56	1	0	0	10
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6
Jayven Williams	29	2	2	1	4