Liberty at Kennesaw State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Kennesaw State OwlsKennesaw State logo
Wednesday, October 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -27.0 (48.0) (-2500)  Open: -23.5 | 45.5
Kennesaw State 27 - Liberty: 24  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -23.5   (SP+ LIB -25.5)

Projected Score: LIB: 37 - KENN: 13 (50)
LIB Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
LIB Travel: 380 miles
Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chandler Burks (Int) (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (20 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27ON
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21OY
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20UN
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kennesaw State at UTSA+24.049.5L 16 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana+14.546.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/14 Kennesaw State at San José State+16.541.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Kennesaw State vs UT Martin+1.545.5L 13 - 24UN
Fri 10/4 Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State+17.549.5L 24 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee+8.550.0L 5 - 14UN
Wed 10/23 Kennesaw State vs Liberty+27.048.0W 27 - 24OY
Wed 10/30 Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky+24.049.0L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/9 Kennesaw State at UTEP+4.542.0L 35 - 43ON
Sat 11/16 Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston+21.042.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/23 Kennesaw State vs Florida International+9.042.5W 27 - 26OY
Sat 11/30 Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech+13.541.5L 0 - 33UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)28.854% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)23.539% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)16.531% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)31.245% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)31% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)45% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1228.828.849.9%4.211.3224002381615.763%36%54%43%14%.26
KENN Defense1231.232.346.2%4.151 - - - - - 52%48%45%48%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1223.524.439.4%3.681.3 - - - - - 55%45%39%40%16%.1
KENN Offense1216.519.731.4%3.51.5142521161363.158%41%31%32%17%-.04

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1228:4222.145%50%6.764.41.31.351.6028.5
Kennesaw State1229:2013.735%39%5.646.31.514.81.8328.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1263% (5)54% (2)41.8238.35.728 (25).25 (16)3.56 (7)76% (47)9% (43)0.91 (94)
KENN Defense1252% (85)45% (91) - - - - .16 (86)3.04 (75)73% (65)9% (93)1 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1255% (115)39% (30) - - - - .02 (20)2.68 (21)73% (62)10% (59)0.99 (68)
KENN Offense1258% (17)31% (134)37.4115.53.113 (105)-.05 (130)2.16 (134)74% (62)12% (115)1.01 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1236% (130)43% (60)12.622.3161.27.212.815 (98)6 (10).27 (56)1.5 (104)24% (2)36% (23).43 (26)5% (36)1.9 (107)
KENN Defense1248% (50)48% (122) - - - - - - 4 (125).27 (86)1.3 (8)26% (131)30% (51).31 (71)5% (119)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1245% (19)40% (66) - - - - - - 8 (93).21 (51)1.6 (77)32% (73)31% (81).18 (17)6% (82)1.8 (9)
KENN Offense1241% (117)32% (129)1324.8136.35.510.56 (133)14 (115)- (133)1.6 (52)38% (131)23% (130).16 (124)5% (24)2.1 (60)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.58   Kennesaw State: -23.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2   Kennesaw State: -25.1




Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -23.145 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 37
Kennesaw State 13


Total Points: 50

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/23Kennesaw State27Liberty24Kennesaw StateLiberty -27.0Kennesaw State48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kennesaw State111 Overs
Liberty000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#60) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Liberty has won 5 straight
Liberty has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.  
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP

Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)

Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)

Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKENNLIB
OverallOver#94#27
OffenseOff#111#20
DefenseDef#69#55
Special TeamsST#14#81
PassingPass#111#31
RushingRush#97#26
Run BlockRBLK#81#4
Pass BlockPBLK#115#86
Route RunningWR Rt#105#77
TacklingTkl#32#62
Run DefenseR Def#78#58
Pass Rush DefPRush#70#59
Coverage DefCov#66#50

Rematch from Week 9
Liberty 27.0 (48.0)
Kennesaw State won vs Liberty this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Kennesaw State beat Liberty last year (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | KENN
Depth Chart: LIB | KENN
Rosters: LIB | KENN
(#131) Kennesaw State Info
Power Rating: -23.145 #131
Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kennesaw State has lost 6 straight
Kennesaw State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Kennesaw State Notes
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O

Kennesaw State Highlights
Kennesaw State defense does not give up big plays (#61)

Kennesaw State Deficiencies
Kennesaw State has a really bad Offense
Kennesaw State has a really bad Offense at Home
Kennesaw State Can Not Run the Ball (#81)
Kennesaw State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Kennesaw State offense is really bad (#133)
Kennesaw State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#134)
Kennesaw State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#122)
Kennesaw State run game is really bad (#130)
Kennesaw State pass game is really bad (#131)
Kennesaw State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kennesaw State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Kennesaw State has a bad defense (#123)
Kennesaw State has a bad red zone defense (#95)


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger (Tr)81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
Elijah Canion (Tr)25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley (Tr)2927619.525

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Quinton Reese405210
Joseph Carter885203
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003

Kennesaw State's OC Chandler Burks
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Bryson14326155%14946105.7
Khalib Johnson62227%57032.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Benefield13854253.959
Qua Ashley12240913.460
Davis Bryson11229342.620
Preston Daniels358532.46
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Bohannon24288012.032
Qua Ashley2825519.151
Christian Moss (Tr)15220214.760
Carson Kent18217312.130

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster
Kennesaw State's DC Greg Harris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donelius Johnson898410
Sidney Porter665022
Milon Jones604101
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garland Benyard489450
Donelius Johnson898410
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)225322
Jordan Miles458360
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Hallum5610010
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
Jayven Williams292214