Liberty at Kennesaw State - 2024 Matchup Preview
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Liberty Flames at Kennesaw State Owls

Kennesaw State logo
Wednesday, October 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -27.0 (48.0) (-2500)  Open: -23.5 | 45.5
Kennesaw State 27 - Liberty: 24  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -23.5  (SP+ LIB -25.5)

Projected Score: LIB: 37 - KENN: 13 (50)
LIB Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
LIB Travel: 380 miles
Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brian Bohannon (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27ON
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21OY
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20UN
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kennesaw State at UTSA+24.049.5L 16 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana+14.546.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/14 Kennesaw State at San José State+16.541.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Kennesaw State vs UT Martin+1.545.5L 13 - 24UN
Fri 10/4 Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State+17.549.5L 24 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee+8.550.0L 5 - 14UN
Wed 10/23 Kennesaw State vs Liberty+27.048.0W 27 - 24OY
Wed 10/30 Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky+24.049.0L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/9 Kennesaw State at UTEP+4.542.0L 35 - 43ON
Sat 11/16 Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston+21.042.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/23 Kennesaw State vs Florida International+9.042.5W 27 - 26OY
Sat 11/30 Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech+13.541.5L 0 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)25.656% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)26.547% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
KENN0%26.70%000%000%25.50%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1425.619.754.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43
KENN Defense125.518.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1426.525.742.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
KENN Offense126.731.30%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Kennesaw State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)
KENN Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
KENN Offense10%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)
KENN Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
KENN Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58  #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37  #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21  #38
2024 Talent Rating: 274.00  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2  #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 177.5
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.58   Kennesaw State: -23.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2   Kennesaw State: -25.1




Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -23.145  #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76  #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85  #97
2024 Talent Rating: 87.00  #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1  #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2  #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 177.5
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 37
Kennesaw State 13


Projected Total Points: 50
Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Liberty42Kennesaw State48Kennesaw State -2.5Kennesaw State55.5Over
202410/23Kennesaw State27Liberty24Liberty -27.0Kennesaw State48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kennesaw State222 Overs
Liberty000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0

(#60) LIB at (#131) KENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBKENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #60 #131
SP+SP+ #71 #132
Perf GradeGrade #36 #129
OffenseOff #21 #135
DefenseDef #73 #89
Spec TeamsST #98 #15
TalentTal #84 #131
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #102
Liberty Notes
(11/25) Rgame 400+ yds (WKU), W vs SHSU=CUSA title gm
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.  
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
(7/30) QB Salter is v good & mobile. Best backfield in G5?
Liberty Injury Report
Kennesaw State Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Jerry Mack (Jags RB)
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O
(8/3) DB's poss worst in CUSA, wait & see rest
Kennesaw State Injury Report
Liberty on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat
LIB OffKENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #89
SuccessSuc #3NR
ExplosiveExp #94NR
PPAPPA #3NR
PowerPwr #17 #97
SP+SP+ #60 #118
Pts POPPO #20NR
HavocHav #1NR
Liberty Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat
LIB OffKENN Def
Run GameRun #39 #100
Run SuccessRSuc #3NR
Run ExplRExp #81NR
PPAExp #3NR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #2NR
Stuff RateStuff #12NR
TackleTak -  #35
Liberty Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat
LIB OffKENN Def
Pass GamePass #38 #81
Pass SuccessPSuc #8NR
Pass ExplPExl #9NR
PPAExp #2NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #83
F7 HavocF7 #1NR
DB HavocDB #2NR
Kennesaw State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatKENN OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #135 #73
SuccessSucNR #73
ExplosiveExpNR #85
PPAPPANR #59
PowerPwr #132 #38
SP+SP+ #134 #70
Pts POPPONR #54
HavocHavNR #30
Kennesaw State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KENN OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #129 #73
Run SuccessRSucNR #111
Run ExplRExpNR #49
PPAExpNR #94
Run BlockR Blk #104 -
OL YdsOLYNR #77
Stuff RateStuffNR #59
TackleTak -  #71
Kennesaw State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatKENN OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #136 #62
Pass SuccessPSucNR #49
Pass ExplPExlNR #84
PPAExpNR #48
Pass Block/RushP Blk #132 #67
F7 HavocF7NR #84
DB HavocDBNR #6
Program Comparison
KENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Liberty 27.0 (48.0)
Kennesaw State won vs Liberty this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Kennesaw State beat Liberty last year (48-42)
Kennesaw State beat Liberty in 2024 (27-24)

  
LIB's OC Newland Isaac (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger (Tr)81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
Elijah Canion (Tr)25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley (Tr)2927619.525

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Quinton Reese405210
Joseph Carter885203
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003

KENN's OC Chandler Burks (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Bryson14326155%14946105.7
Khalib Johnson62227%57032.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Benefield13854253.959
Qua Ashley12240913.460
Davis Bryson11229342.620
Preston Daniels358532.46
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Bohannon24288012.032
Qua Ashley2825519.151
Christian Moss (Tr)15220214.760
Carson Kent18217312.130

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

KENN's DC Greg Harris (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donelius Johnson898410
Sidney Porter665022
Milon Jones604101
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garland Benyard489450
Donelius Johnson898410
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)225322
Jordan Miles458360
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Hallum5610010
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
Jayven Williams292214