Liberty Flames at Massachusetts Minutemen
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Liberty -17 (53.0) (-850) Open: -12.5
Liberty 35 - Massachusetts: 34
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
LIB 2nd straight Road Game
UMASS coming off BYE
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -17 (SP+ LIB -22)
Projected Score: LIB: 36 - UMASS: 19 (54)
LIB Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
LIB Travel: 494 miles
UMASS coming off BYE
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -17 (SP+ LIB -22)
Projected Score: LIB: 36 - UMASS: 19 (54)
LIB Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
LIB Travel: 494 miles
Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
| Liberty's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Liberty vs Campbell | -41.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Liberty at New Mexico State | -22.5 | 54.5 | W 30 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Liberty vs UTEP | -23.5 | 57.5 | W 28 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Liberty vs East Carolina | -7.5 | 55.0 | W 35 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/8 | Liberty vs Florida International | -15.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/23 | Liberty at Kennesaw State | -27.0 | 48.0 | L 24 - 27 | O | N | |
| Wed 10/30 | Liberty vs Jacksonville State | -2.5 | 64.0 | L 21 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Liberty at Middle Tennessee | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 37 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Liberty at Massachusetts | -17.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Liberty vs Western Kentucky | -1.0 | 56.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Liberty at Sam Houston | -2.5 | 47.5 | L 18 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 1/4 | Liberty vs Buffalo | +4.5 | 50.5 | L 7 - 26 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan | -2.5 | 49.0 | L 14 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Massachusetts at Toledo | +17.5 | 50.5 | L 23 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Massachusetts at Buffalo | +3.5 | 45.5 | L 3 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut | -19.5 | 52.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Massachusetts at Miami (OH) | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 20 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Massachusetts at Northern Illinois | +14.0 | 41.0 | L 20 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Massachusetts vs Missouri | +27.0 | 54.0 | L 3 - 45 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | Massachusetts vs Wagner | -23.0 | 48.0 | W 35 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Massachusetts at Mississippi State | +19.5 | 59.5 | L 20 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Massachusetts vs Liberty | +17.0 | 53.0 | L 34 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Massachusetts at Georgia | +42.5 | 55.5 | L 21 - 59 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Massachusetts vs UConn | +9.5 | 49.5 | L 42 - 47 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 28.8 | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 23.5 | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| UMASS | #69 (.19) | 41% (94) | 22.5 | 43% (78) | 3.1 (50) | 164 | 38% (110) | 182 | 3.73 (89) | #114 (.26) | 46% (116) | 35.5 | 51% (128) | 40% (71) | 4.66 (129) | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||
| UMASS | #69 (.19) | 41% (94) | 43% (78) | 3.1 (50) | 164 | 38% (110) | 182 | 3.73 (89) | #114 (.26) | 46% (116) | 51% (128) | 40% (71) | 4.66 (129) | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 28.8 | 28.8 | 49.9% | 4.21 | 1.3 | 22 | 400 | 238 | 161 | 5.7 | 63% | 36% | 54% | 43% | 14% | .26 |
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 35.5 | 32.2 | 46.3% | 4.66 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 39% | 51% | 40% | 14% | .26 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 23.5 | 24.4 | 39.4% | 3.68 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 39% | 40% | 16% | .1 |
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 22.5 | 27.2 | 40.8% | 3.73 | 0.8 | 20 | 346 | 164 | 182 | 4.1 | 56% | 44% | 43% | 38% | 17% | .19 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 12 | 28:42 | 22.1 | 45% | 50% | 6.7 | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.6 | 0 | 28.5 |
| Massachusetts | 12 | 32:19 | 19.7 | 38% | 58% | 7.3 | 63.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 25.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 63% (5) | 54% (2) | 41.8 | 238.3 | 5.7 | 28 (25) | .25 (16) | 3.56 (7) | 76% (47) | 9% (43) | 0.91 (94) |
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 60% (133) | 51% (128) | - | - | - | - | .25 (125) | 3.51 (131) | 87% (131) | 8% (113) | 0.95 (52) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 55% (115) | 39% (30) | - | - | - | - | .02 (20) | 2.68 (21) | 73% (62) | 10% (59) | 0.99 (68) |
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 56% (27) | 43% (78) | 40.2 | 164 | 4.1 | 18 (78) | .16 (53) | 3.1 (50) | 74% (62) | 11% (95) | 0.96 (68) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 36% (130) | 43% (60) | 12.6 | 22.3 | 161.2 | 7.2 | 12.8 | 15 (98) | 6 (10) | .27 (56) | 1.5 (104) | 24% (2) | 36% (23) | .43 (26) | 5% (36) | 1.9 (107) |
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 39% (2) | 40% (71) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (109) | .29 (100) | 1.7 (112) | 28% (118) | 28% (29) | .27 (51) | 6% (72) | 2.1 (89) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 45% (19) | 40% (66) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .21 (51) | 1.6 (77) | 32% (73) | 31% (81) | .18 (17) | 6% (82) | 1.8 (9) |
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 44% (109) | 38% (110) | 15.6 | 27.3 | 181.8 | 6.7 | 11.7 | 14 (108) | 6 (10) | .23 (81) | 1.7 (22) | 33% (87) | 32% (57) | .34 (69) | 6% (80) | 2 (98) |
Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.58 Massachusetts: -16.56
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2 Massachusetts: -21.9
Liberty: 0.58 Massachusetts: -16.56
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2 Massachusetts: -21.9
Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.56 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -16.56 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4
Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4
Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 36
Massachusetts 19
Total Points: 54
Liberty 36
Massachusetts 19
Total Points: 54
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2
Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2
Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Massachusetts | 34 | Liberty | 35 | Liberty | Liberty -17 | Massachusetts | 53.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Liberty | 49 | Massachusetts | 25 | Liberty | Liberty -26.5 | Massachusetts | 64.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Massachusetts | 24 | Liberty | 42 | Liberty | Liberty -22.5 | Massachusetts | 45.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Liberty | 62 | Massachusetts | 17 | Liberty | Liberty -35.5 | Liberty | 56.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/27 | Liberty | 45 | Massachusetts | 0 | Liberty | Liberty -35 | Liberty | 57.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Massachusetts | 21 | Liberty | 63 | Liberty | Liberty -23.5 | Liberty | 72.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Massachusetts | 62 | Liberty | 59 | Massachusetts | Liberty -1.5 | Massachusetts | 66.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | 1 | 4 | 6 Overs |
| Liberty | 6 | 3 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 3 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 3 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 4 | 2 - 5 | 1 - 3 | 1 - 2 |
(#60) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Liberty has won 1 straight
Liberty has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)
Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)
Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)
Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Liberty has won 1 straight
Liberty has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)
Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)
Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UMASS | LIB |
| OverallOver | #93 | #27 |
| OffenseOff | #91 | #20 |
| DefenseDef | #96 | #55 |
| Special TeamsST | #103 | #81 |
| PassingPass | #92 | #31 |
| RushingRush | #87 | #26 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #72 | #4 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #52 | #86 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #95 | #77 |
| TacklingTkl | #13 | #62 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #94 | #58 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #73 | #59 |
| Coverage DefCov | #84 | #50 |
Rematch from Week 12
Liberty 17.0 (53.0)
Liberty won at Massachusetts this year (35-34)
Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Massachusetts last year (35-34)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2023 (49-25)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2022 (42-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: LIB | UMASS
Depth Chart: LIB | UMASS
Rosters: LIB | UMASS
(#115) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -16.56 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Massachusetts has lost 1 straight
Massachusetts has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Highlights
Massachusetts has a great TO Margin (#54)
Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Massachusetts pass game is really bad (#50)
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Massachusetts does not Sack the QB (#97)
Massachusetts has a bad defense (#87)
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)
Massachusetts has a bad red zone defense (#98)
Power Rating: -16.56 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Massachusetts has lost 1 straight
Massachusetts has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out
(7/30) QB Phommachanh bad, WR mostly portal adds
(7/30) Run D nearly last in CFB LY, doesn't look much better
Massachusetts Highlights
Massachusetts has a great TO Margin (#54)
Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Massachusetts pass game is really bad (#50)
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Massachusetts does not Sack the QB (#97)
Massachusetts has a bad defense (#87)
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)
Massachusetts has a bad red zone defense (#98)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaidon Salter | 147 | 261 | 56% | 1886 | 15 | 6 | 7.2 |
| Ryan Burger (Tr) | 8 | 19 | 42% | 88 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Cooley | 205 | 1254 | 13 | 6.1 | 44 |
| Billy Lucas | 123 | 720 | 5 | 5.9 | 55 |
| Kaidon Salter | 114 | 587 | 7 | 5.1 | 41 |
| Vaughn Blue | 35 | 207 | 1 | 5.9 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treon Sibley | 28 | 510 | 2 | 18.2 | 70 |
| Elijah Canion (Tr) | 25 | 354 | 3 | 14.2 | 50 |
| Reese Smith | 18 | 277 | 4 | 15.4 | 44 |
| Tyson Mobley (Tr) | 29 | 276 | 1 | 9.5 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Jerome Jolly Jr. | 55 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Quinton Reese | 40 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| A'Khori Jones | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taisun Phommachanh | 132 | 234 | 56% | 1590 | 8 | 6 | 6.8 |
| AJ Hairston | 40 | 73 | 55% | 480 | 5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen John | 111 | 583 | 5 | 5.3 | 68 |
| C.J. Hester (Tr) | 119 | 529 | 4 | 4.4 | 24 |
| Taisun Phommachanh | 107 | 317 | 3 | 3.0 | 33 |
| Brandon Campbell (Tr) | 61 | 233 | 3 | 3.8 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobie Keeney-James (Tr) | 51 | 870 | 6 | 17.1 | 75 |
| Ty Harding | 18 | 303 | 5 | 16.8 | 58 |
| Jacquon Gibson | 23 | 270 | 1 | 11.7 | 39 |
| Sterling Galban (Tr) | 25 | 210 | 0 | 8.4 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Stewart | 77 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Gerrell Johnson | 74 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Tyler Rudolph | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Te'Rai Powell | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louce Julien | 43 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Kofi Asare | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Stewart | 77 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Christian Lebrun | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Ellis (Tr) | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Isaiah Rutherford | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Tim Grant-Randall (Tr) | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |