UTEP at Liberty - 2024 Matchup Preview
UTEP logo UTEP Miners at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, September 14th 2024 (6:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -23.5 (57.5) (-2500)  Open: -22.0 | 57.5
Liberty 28 - UTEP: 10  (Conference USA)

 
Miners (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Liberty -26  (SP+ LIB -23)
Projected Score: UTEP: 16 - LIB: 42 (57)
LIB Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
UTEP Travel: 1596 miles, 2 hrs behind
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTEP's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UTEP at Nebraska+27.549.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 9/7 UTEP vs Southern Utah-6.554.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 9/14 UTEP at Liberty+23.557.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/21 UTEP at Colorado State+8.549.0L 17 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/3 UTEP vs Sam Houston+10.049.5L 21 - 41ON
Thu 10/10 UTEP at Western Kentucky+19.055.5L 17 - 44ON
Wed 10/16 UTEP vs Florida International+7.047.0W 30 - 21OY
Tue 10/22 UTEP at Louisiana Tech+6.549.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 UTEP vs Middle Tennessee-2.048.0L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 UTEP vs Kennesaw State-4.542.0W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UTEP at Tennessee+41.554.0L 0 - 56ON
Sat 11/30 UTEP at New Mexico State+3.551.5W 42 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27ON
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21OY
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20UN
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)19.538% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)32.340% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)28.854% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)23.539% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1219.514.737%2.811.6173211212003.352%47%38%36%20%.07
LIB Defense1223.522.339.4%3.681.3 - - - - - 55%45%39%40%16%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1232.334.939.7%3.851.5 - - - - - 54%46%40%39%18%.13
LIB Offense1228.832.349.9%4.211.3224002381615.763%36%54%43%14%.26

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1227:5716.733%30%5.750.91.61.57.12.9227.1
Liberty1228:4222.145%50%6.764.41.31.351.6028.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1252% (56)38% (118)36.4120.83.39 (125).02 (118)2.8 (106)59% (127)13% (125)0.88 (114)
LIB Defense1255% (115)39% (30) - - - - .02 (20)2.68 (21)73% (62)10% (59)0.99 (68)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1254% (103)40% (42) - - - - .07 (40)2.85 (44)59% (7)12% (18)1.07 (102)
LIB Offense1263% (5)54% (2)41.8238.35.728 (25).25 (16)3.56 (7)76% (47)9% (43)0.91 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1247% (81)36% (117)18.630.42006.610.815 (98)12 (85).15 (108)1.5 (112)34% (111)23% (128).23 (104)7% (110)2.2 (20)
LIB Defense1245% (19)40% (66) - - - - - - 8 (93).21 (51)1.6 (77)32% (73)31% (81).18 (17)6% (82)1.8 (9)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1246% (36)39% (46) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (54)1.7 (115)34% (34)30% (56).28 (59)6% (66)2.1 (75)
LIB Offense1236% (130)43% (60)12.622.3161.27.212.815 (98)6 (10).27 (56)1.5 (104)24% (2)36% (23).43 (26)5% (36)1.9 (107)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -23.79  #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45  #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53  #95
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7  #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7  #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -23.79   Liberty: 2.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -22.7   Liberty: 0.2




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 2.89  #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37  #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21  #38
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2  #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.7
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 42
UTEP 16


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 37
UTEP 24

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 32
UTEP 20

Total Points: 52
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/08UTEP8Liberty19Liberty -1.5Liberty46.5Under
202409/14Liberty28UTEP10Liberty -23.5UTEP57.5Under
202311/25UTEP28Liberty42Liberty -18.0UTEP54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty311 Overs
UTEP022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams2 - 12 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#127) UTEP at (#60) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTEPLIB
Power RatePwr #127 #60
SP+SP+ #130 #71
Perf GradeGrade #130 #36
OffenseOff #127 #21
DefenseDef #105 #73
Spec TeamsST #136 #98
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #82
UTEP Notes
(12/11) Joining MWC on July 1, 2026
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst
(9/8) Outrushed 268-124 by S. Utah? Run D awful
(8/3) Front 7 decimated, will be bad vs run TY
(7/30) Portal 27 in/38 out, took 11 portals from A Peay
(7/30) QB Battle Locklear(A.P.)/McConnell some PT LY
UTEP Injury Report
Liberty Notes
(11/25) Rgame 400+ yds (WKU), W vs SHSU=CUSA title gm
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.  
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
(7/30) QB Salter is v good & mobile. Best backfield in G5?
Liberty Injury Report
UTEP on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffLIB Def
Perf GradePerf #127 #73
SuccessSuc #124 #39
ExplosiveExp #125 #67
PPAPPA #121 #24
PowerPwr #128 #38
SP+SP+ #131 #70
Pts POPPO #132 #58
HavocHav #126 #71
UTEP Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #121 #73
Run SuccessRSuc #118 #30
Run ExplRExp #114 #68
PPAExp #118 #20
Run BlockR Blk #98 -
OL YdsOLY #106 #21
Stuff RateStuff #118 #28
TackleTak -  #71
UTEP Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #116 #62
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #66
Pass ExplPExl #112 #77
PPAExp #108 #51
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #100 #67
F7 HavocF7 #125 #59
DB HavocDB #110 #82
Liberty on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCatLIB OffUTEP Def
Perf GradePerf #21 #105
SuccessSuc #7 #42
ExplosiveExp #131 #111
PPAPPA #24 #46
PowerPwr #17 #95
SP+SP+ #60 #113
Pts POPPO #43 #78
HavocHav #33 #34
Liberty Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat
LIB OffUTEP Def
Run GameRun #39 #86
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #42
Run ExplRExp #94 #102
PPAExp #16 #40
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #7 #44
Stuff RateStuff #9 #34
TackleTak -  #51
Liberty Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCatLIB OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePass #38 #118
Pass SuccessPSuc #60 #46
Pass ExplPExl #104 #115
PPAExp #56 #54
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #81
F7 HavocF7 #43 #18
DB HavocDB #36 #66
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Liberty -23.5 (57.5)
Liberty won vs UTEP this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat UTEP last year (28-10)
Liberty beat UTEP in 2023 (42-28)

  
UTEP's OC Jake Brown (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear (Tr)14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Ezell Jolly6424813.914
Skyler Locklear (Tr)8023723.018
JP Pickles3913313.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)47761816.276
Kam Thomas (Tr)46512211.169
Trey Goodman (Tr)47469010.037
Jaden Smith (Tr)2117708.441

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC J. J. Clark (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Hopkins (Tr)878101
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland459861
Kyran Duhon437702
Kadarion Johnson398411
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Josiah Allen615205
Nate Dyman8410234

LIB's OC Newland Isaac (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger (Tr)81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
Elijah Canion (Tr)25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley (Tr)2927619.525

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Quinton Reese405210
Joseph Carter885203
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003