Florida International at Liberty - 2024 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Tuesday, October 8th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -15.5 (56.0) (-800)  Open: -19.5
Liberty 31 - Florida International: 24  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (22 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FIU coming off BYE
LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -14.5  (SP+ LIB -12)

Projected Score: FIU: 20 - LIB: 35 (55)
LIB Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
FIU Travel: 805 miles
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida International's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Florida International at Indiana+20.550.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Florida International vs Central Michigan+3.551.5W 52 - 16OY
Sat 9/14 Florida International at Florida Atlantic+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/21 Florida International vs Monmouth-12.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Florida International vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.0W 17 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Florida International at Liberty+15.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Wed 10/16 Florida International at UTEP-7.047.0L 21 - 30ON
Tue 10/22 Florida International vs Sam Houston+5.047.0L 7 - 10UY
Tue 10/29 Florida International vs New Mexico State-7.043.5W 34 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Florida International at Jacksonville State+12.558.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Florida International at Kennesaw State-9.042.5L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/30 Florida International vs Middle Tennessee-9.550.5W 35 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27ON
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21OY
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20UN
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)26.337% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)25.844% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)28.854% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)23.539% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1226.321.539.2%4.441.6183511222293.752%48%37%42%16%.13
LIB Defense1223.522.339.4%3.681.3 - - - - - 55%45%39%40%16%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense1225.831.841.2%3.491.3 - - - - - 56%44%44%37%12%.12
LIB Offense1228.832.349.9%4.211.3224002381615.763%36%54%43%14%.26

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1228:4017.931%54%5.547.41.61.33.91.5229.5
Liberty1228:4222.145%50%6.764.41.31.351.6028.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1252% (58)37% (125)32.9121.73.716 (90)- (124)2.48 (130)58% (128)11% (90)0.9 (101)
LIB Defense1255% (115)39% (30) - - - - .02 (20)2.68 (21)73% (62)10% (59)0.99 (68)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1256% (122)44% (81) - - - - .17 (95)3.18 (95)71% (57)7% (129)1.03 (93)
LIB Offense1263% (5)54% (2)41.8238.35.728 (25).25 (16)3.56 (7)76% (47)9% (43)0.91 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1248% (78)42% (64)17.227.8229.48.213.424 (38)11 (72).29 (48)1.6 (40)32% (79)27% (107).27 (93)5% (46)2 (71)
LIB Defense1245% (19)40% (66) - - - - - - 8 (93).21 (51)1.6 (77)32% (73)31% (81).18 (17)6% (82)1.8 (9)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1244% (14)37% (30) - - - - - - 11 (52).05 (5)1.3 (7)28% (114)25% (5).11 (4)5% (108)1.9 (29)
LIB Offense1236% (130)43% (60)12.622.3161.27.212.815 (98)6 (10).27 (56)1.5 (104)24% (2)36% (23).43 (26)5% (36)1.9 (107)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -10.65  #104
Florida International's Offense Rating: 19.00  #77
Florida International's Defense Rating: 9.00  #65
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Florida International's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida International's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1  #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #110
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -10.65   Liberty: 2.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -12.1   Liberty: 0.2




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 2.89  #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37  #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21  #38
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2  #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Florida International's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 35
Florida International 20


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 30
Florida International 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 30
Florida International 23

Total Points: 53
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Florida International34Liberty27Liberty -2.5Florida International51.5Over
202410/08Liberty31Florida International24Liberty -15.5Florida International56.0Under
202309/23Florida International6Liberty38Liberty -10Liberty54.0Under
202009/26Liberty36Florida International34Liberty -10Florida International61.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty312 Overs
Florida International132 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams1 - 33 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#104) FIU at (#60) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFIULIB
Power RatePwr #104 #60
SP+SP+ #112 #71
Perf GradeGrade #61 #36
OffenseOff #85 #21
DefenseDef #31 #73
Spec TeamsST #102 #98
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #82
Florida International Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Simmons (Duke, RB-FAMU, 45-13)
(12/1) HC MacIntyre fired after 12-24 in 3 years
(11/18) Nearly upset Jax St, Jenkins/Rgame good, D bad
(10/29) Killed NMSU, 400+ yds, Rgame still awful
(10/23) Rgame a bit better. Put 4th QB Peery in, tough L
(10/21) Starting QB Jenkins to start vs Sam Houston
(10/17) Can't run, WR good in space, Def bad vs UTEP
(10/17) Top 2 QB's knocked out of UTEP game
(10/8) Great fight @ Lib. QB Jenkins was good, R-D not
(10/4) Bottom 10 Rgame, Off awful, TO issues, Def trying
(9/25) Bad, crazy L to Mon. Def awful TW, 361/197, 42 pts?
(9/8) Big W over CMU, forced 6 TOs. 185 yds rush
Florida International Injury Report
Liberty Notes
(11/25) Rgame 400+ yds (WKU), W vs SHSU=CUSA title gm
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.  
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
(7/30) QB Salter is v good & mobile. Best backfield in G5?
Liberty Injury Report
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
FIU OffLIB Def
Perf GradePerf #85 #73
SuccessSuc #111 #39
ExplosiveExp #65 #67
PPAPPA #101 #24
PowerPwr #77 #38
SP+SP+ #110 #70
Pts POPPO #21 #58
HavocHav #70 #71
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
FIU OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #114 #73
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #30
Run ExplRExp #101 #68
PPAExp #124 #20
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLY #130 #21
Stuff RateStuff #131 #28
TackleTak -  #71
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
FIU OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #79 #62
Pass SuccessPSuc #64 #66
Pass ExplPExl #40 #77
PPAExp #48 #51
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #124 #67
F7 HavocF7 #90 #59
DB HavocDB #46 #82
Liberty on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCatLIB OffFIU Def
Perf GradePerf #21 #31
SuccessSuc #7 #62
ExplosiveExp #131 #20
PPAPPA #24 #37
PowerPwr #17 #65
SP+SP+ #60 #99
Pts POPPO #43 #39
HavocHav #33 #129
Liberty Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCat
LIB OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #39 #83
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #81
Run ExplRExp #94 #93
PPAExp #16 #95
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #7 #95
Stuff RateStuff #9 #101
TackleTak -  #27
Liberty Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
CategoryCatLIB OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #38 #9
Pass SuccessPSuc #60 #30
Pass ExplPExl #104 #7
PPAExp #56 #5
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #48
F7 HavocF7 #43 #129
DB HavocDB #36 #108
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54°
Rematch from Week 7
Liberty -15.5 (56.0)
Liberty won vs Florida International this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Florida International last year (31-24)
Liberty beat Florida International in 2023 (38-6)

  
FIU's OC David Yost (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins18830462%25572288.4
Chayden Peery71258%58104.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens9239254.326
Lexington Joseph8230833.835
Devonte Lyons4328826.721
Shomari Lawrence4717713.815
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers6211721218.962
Dean Patterson50685713.752
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522
Josiah Miamen10120012.023

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes12911340
Elijah Anderson-Taylor942121
JoJo Evans933017
Jamal Potts814126
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)306531
Keegan Davis304400
Travion Barnes12911340
Jeramy Passmore354231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans933017
Jamal Potts814126
Brian Blades291006

LIB's OC Newland Isaac (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger (Tr)81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
Elijah Canion (Tr)25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley (Tr)2927619.525

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Quinton Reese405210
Joseph Carter885203
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003