Florida International at Liberty - 2024 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Tuesday, October 8th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -15.5 (56.0) (-800)  Open: -19.5
Liberty 31 - Florida International: 24  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (22 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
FIU coming off BYE
LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -14.5   (SP+ LIB -12)

Projected Score: FIU: 20 - LIB: 35 (55)
LIB Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
FIU Travel: 805 miles
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Florida International's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Florida International at Indiana+20.550.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Florida International vs Central Michigan+3.551.5W 52 - 16OY
Sat 9/14 Florida International at Florida Atlantic+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/21 Florida International vs Monmouth-12.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Florida International vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.0W 17 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Florida International at Liberty+15.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Wed 10/16 Florida International at UTEP-7.047.0L 21 - 30ON
Tue 10/22 Florida International vs Sam Houston+5.047.0L 7 - 10UY
Tue 10/29 Florida International vs New Mexico State-7.043.5W 34 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Florida International at Jacksonville State+12.558.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Florida International at Kennesaw State-9.042.5L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/30 Florida International vs Middle Tennessee-9.550.5W 35 - 24OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27ON
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21OY
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20UN
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)26.337% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)25.844% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)28.854% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)23.539% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1226.321.539.2%4.441.6183511222293.752%48%37%42%16%.13
LIB Defense1223.522.339.4%3.681.3 - - - - - 55%45%39%40%16%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense1225.831.841.2%3.491.3 - - - - - 56%44%44%37%12%.12
LIB Offense1228.832.349.9%4.211.3224002381615.763%36%54%43%14%.26

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1228:4017.931%54%5.547.41.61.33.91.5229.5
Liberty1228:4222.145%50%6.764.41.31.351.6028.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1252% (58)37% (125)32.9121.73.716 (90)- (124)2.48 (130)58% (128)11% (90)0.9 (101)
LIB Defense1255% (115)39% (30) - - - - .02 (20)2.68 (21)73% (62)10% (59)0.99 (68)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1256% (122)44% (81) - - - - .17 (95)3.18 (95)71% (57)7% (129)1.03 (93)
LIB Offense1263% (5)54% (2)41.8238.35.728 (25).25 (16)3.56 (7)76% (47)9% (43)0.91 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1248% (78)42% (64)17.227.8229.48.213.424 (38)11 (72).29 (48)1.6 (40)32% (79)27% (107).27 (93)5% (46)2 (71)
LIB Defense1245% (19)40% (66) - - - - - - 8 (93).21 (51)1.6 (77)32% (73)31% (81).18 (17)6% (82)1.8 (9)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1244% (14)37% (30) - - - - - - 11 (52).05 (5)1.3 (7)28% (114)25% (5).11 (4)5% (108)1.9 (29)
LIB Offense1236% (130)43% (60)12.622.3161.27.212.815 (98)6 (10).27 (56)1.5 (104)24% (2)36% (23).43 (26)5% (36)1.9 (107)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -10.65 #104
Florida International's Offense Rating: 19.00 #77
Florida International's Defense Rating: 9.00 #65
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Florida International's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida International's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -10.65   Liberty: 2.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -12.1   Liberty: 0.2




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 2.89 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Florida International's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 35
Florida International 20


Total Points: 55

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/08Liberty31Florida International24LibertyLiberty -15.5Florida International56.0Under
202309/23Florida International6Liberty38LibertyLiberty -10Liberty54.0Under
202009/26Liberty36Florida International34LibertyLiberty -10Florida International61.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty311 Overs
Florida International022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams1 - 23 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#104) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -10.65 #104
Offense Rating: 19.00 #77
Defense Rating: 9.00 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Florida International has won 1 straight
Florida International has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida International Notes
(12/1) HC MacIntyre fired after 12-24 in 3 years
(11/18) Nearly upset Jax St, Jenkins/Rgame good, D bad
(10/29) Killed NMSU, 400+ yds, Rgame still awful
(10/23) Rgame a bit better. Put 4th QB Peery in, tough L
(10/21) Starting QB Jenkins to start vs Sam Houston
(10/17) Can't run, WR good in space, Def bad vs UTEP
(10/17) Top 2 QB's knocked out of UTEP game
(10/8) Great fight @ Lib. QB Jenkins was good, R-D not
(10/4) Bottom 10 Rgame, Off awful, TO issues, Def trying
(9/25) Bad, crazy L to Mon. Def awful TW, 361/197, 42 pts?

Florida International Highlights
Florida International offense is good in red zone (#57)
Florida International defense does not give up big plays (#106)
Florida International has a good pass defense (#42)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International Can Not Run the Ball (#36)
Florida International offense is really bad (#81)
Florida International Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#74)
Florida International run game is really bad (#51)
Florida International offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida International does not Sack the QB (#64)
Florida International Does Not Stuff Runs (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLIBFIU
OverallOver#27#44
OffenseOff#20#69
DefenseDef#55#24
Special TeamsST#81#85
PassingPass#31#63
RushingRush#26#83
Run BlockRBLK#4#58
Pass BlockPBLK#86#107
Route RunningWR Rt#77#14
TacklingTkl#62#24
Run DefenseR Def#58#66
Pass Rush DefPRush#59#43
Coverage DefCov#50#9

Rematch from Week 7
Liberty -15.5 (56.0)
Liberty won vs Florida International this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Florida International last year (31-24)
Liberty beat Florida International in 2023 (38-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FIU | LIB
Depth Chart: FIU | LIB
Rosters: FIU | LIB
(#60) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 2.89 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Liberty has won 4 straight
Liberty has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.  
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP

Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)

Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)

Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)


  
Florida International's OC David Yost
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins18830462%25572288.4
Chayden Peery71258%58104.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens9239254.326
Lexington Joseph8230833.835
Devonte Lyons4328826.721
Shomari Lawrence4717713.815
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers6211721218.962
Dean Patterson50685713.752
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522
Josiah Miamen10120012.023

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes12911340
Elijah Anderson-Taylor942121
JoJo Evans933017
Jamal Potts814126
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)306531
Keegan Davis304400
Travion Barnes12911340
Jeramy Passmore354231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans933017
Jamal Potts814126
Brian Blades291006

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger (Tr)81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
Elijah Canion (Tr)25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley (Tr)2927619.525

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Quinton Reese405210
Joseph Carter885203
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003