Sam Houston at Rice - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Rice -9.5 (49.0) (-390) Open: -10.5 | 49.5
Sam Houston 34 - Rice: 14

Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Sam Houston -0.5 (SP+ SHSU -4.5)
Projected Score: SHSU: 25 - RICE: 25 (50)
RICE Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SHSU Travel: 69 miles

Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SHSU Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Sam Houston at Rice	+9.5	49.0	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Sam Houston at UCF	+21.5	53.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/14	Sam Houston vs Hawai'i	-3.5	48.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Sam Houston vs New Mexico State	-15.5	44.5	W 31 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Sam Houston vs Texas State	+11.0	55.0	W 40 - 39	O	Y
Thu 10/3	Sam Houston at UTEP	-10.0	49.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16	Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky	-1.5	55.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/22	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-5.0	47.0	W 10 - 7	U	N
Tue 10/29	Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech	-10.5	45.5	W 9 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Sam Houston at Kennesaw State	-21.0	42.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	Sam Houston at Jacksonville State	+5.5	57.5	L 11 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/29	Sam Houston vs Liberty	+2.5	47.5	W 20 - 18	U	Y
Thu 12/19	Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern	+3.5	48.0	W 31 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule

Rice's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Rice vs Sam Houston	-9.5	49.0	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rice vs Texas Southern	-30.0	52.5	W 69 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Rice at Houston	+3.5	43.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/21	Rice at Army	+7.0	44.0	L 14 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/28	Rice vs Charlotte	-4.0	48.0	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Rice vs UTSA	+3.5	51.0	W 29 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Rice at Tulane	+21.5	53.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Rice at UConn	+6.5	47.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	Rice vs Navy	+12.5	49.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/8	Rice at Memphis	+7.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Rice at UAB	-7.0	52.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rice vs South Florida	+5.5	53.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU	#115 (.1)	39% (107)	23.8	41% (100)	3.18 (44)	180	38% (105)	168	2.97 (129)	#31 (.11)	42% (70)	20.5	47% (105)	37% (27)	3.84 (75)	37.9	1.2	2.1
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)	22.2	36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)	25.4	40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU	#115 (.1)	39% (107)		41% (100)	3.18 (44)	180	38% (105)	168	2.97 (129)	#31 (.11)	42% (70)		47% (105)	37% (27)	3.84 (75)	37.9	1.2	2.1
RICE	#126 (.05)	35% (127)		36% (127)	2.7 (118)	115	35% (121)	239	3.27 (119)	#60 (.16)	37% (11)		40% (37)	34% (4)	3.72 (62)	57.4	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Offense	13	23.8	24.6	39.3%	2.97	1.2	19	349	180	168	4.3	57%	43%	41%	38%	15%	.1
RICE Defense	12	25.4	21.2	37%	3.72	1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	34%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Defense	13	20.5	23.6	41.8%	3.84	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	47%	37%	17%	.11
RICE Offense	12	22.2	31.8	35.5%	3.27	1.8	18	354	115	239	4.6	37%	62%	36%	35%	20%	.05

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sam Houston	13	32:10	18.8	39%	67%	4.6	37.9	1.2	2.1	5.4	2.2	2	30.4
Rice	12	28:40	18.3	35%	35%	7.1	57.4	1.8	1	6.3	2.7	2	32.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense	13	57% (25)	41% (100)	42.5	180.4	4.3	21 (59)	.1 (83)	3.18 (44)	68% (104)	10% (69)	0.9 (98)
RICE Defense	12	55% (112)	40% (37)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.06 (80)	76% (83)	11% (45)	1.07 (103)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense	13	51% (74)	47% (105)	-	-	-	-	.17 (92)	3.37 (119)	75% (75)	10% (56)	0.83 (9)
RICE Offense	12	37% (132)	36% (127)	24.8	114.5	4.6	14 (98)	-.03 (126)	2.7 (118)	86% (3)	10% (63)	1 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense	13	43% (113)	38% (105)	16.7	26.8	168.2	6.3	10.1	15 (98)	9 (48)	.13 (114)	1.5 (106)	30% (51)	24% (126)	.13 (130)	5% (47)	2 (95)
RICE Defense	12	45% (24)	34% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.16 (33)	1.7 (109)	34% (30)	24% (4)	.19 (23)	6% (70)	2.1 (81)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense	13	48% (60)	37% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.06 (6)	1.4 (9)	32% (57)	25% (11)	.21 (32)	6% (58)	1.8 (12)
RICE Offense	12	62% (4)	35% (121)	24.3	39.8	239	6	9.8	17 (79)	13 (103)	.11 (121)	1.5 (97)	38% (129)	25% (119)	.17 (119)	10% (133)	1.9 (104)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.82 Rice: -7.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.9 Rice: -11.4

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Sam Houston 25
Rice 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Sam Houston 28
Rice 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Sam Houston 24
Rice 24

Total Points: 48

Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Rice	14	Sam Houston	34	Rice -9.5	Sam Houston	49.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	0	0	0 Overs
Sam Houston	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#88) SHSU at (#95) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SHSU	RICE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#88	#95
SP+SP+	#98	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#103
OffenseOff	#104	#117
DefenseDef	#75	#43
Spec TeamsST	#105	#105
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Sam Houston Notes(12/1) HC Keeler left for Temple? From PA but why?
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
(7/30) Def returns but new DC. Roster most CUSA exp'd
Sam Houston Injury Report

Rice Notes(11/26) Hired Scott Abell (Davidson) 47-28 in 7 yrs
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ
(9/1) Way off on Rice, killed by S Hou, lines abysmal
Rice Injury Report

Sam Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	SHSU Off	RICE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#43
SuccessSuc	#107	#11
ExplosiveExp	#127	#99
PPAPPA	#115	#60
PowerPwr	#110	#12
SP+SP+	#117	#94
Pts POPPO	#129	#62
HavocHav	#53	#55

Sam Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	SHSU Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#103	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#100	#37
Run ExplRExp	#98	#103
PPAExp	#83	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	#44	#80
Stuff RateStuff	#34	#110
TackleTak	-	#32

Sam Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	SHSU Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#14
Pass SuccessPSuc	#105	#4
Pass ExplPExl	#106	#109
PPAExp	#114	#33
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#47
F7 HavocF7	#69	#45
DB HavocDB	#47	#70

Rice on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	SHSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#75
SuccessSuc	#127	#70
ExplosiveExp	#36	#3
PPAPPA	#126	#31
PowerPwr	#123	#54
SP+SP+	#110	#46
Pts POPPO	#119	#75
HavocHav	#123	#58

Rice Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	SHSU Def
Run GameRun	#111	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#105
Run ExplRExp	#55	#9
PPAExp	#126	#92
Run BlockR Blk	#115	-
OL YdsOLY	#118	#119
Stuff RateStuff	#81	#129
TackleTak	-	#48

Rice Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	RICE Off	SHSU Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#40
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	#27
Pass ExplPExl	#97	#9
PPAExp	#121	#6
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#94	#34
F7 HavocF7	#63	#56
DB HavocDB	#133	#58

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84°( - Hum: 77%)
- Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Rice -9.5 (49.0)
Sam Houston won at Rice this year (34-14)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Rice last year (34-14)

SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hunter Watson	152	253	60%	1598	11	8	6.3
Jase Bauer (Tr)	40	65	62%	310	2	1	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevyon Ducker	148	719	7	4.9	86
Hunter Watson	152	623	7	4.1	46
DJ McKinney	95	479	3	5.0	59
Jase Bauer (Tr)	45	195	0	4.3	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Simeon Evans	43	474	5	11.0	64
Qua'Vez Humphreys	18	362	4	20.1	67
Noah Smith	35	285	0	8.1	22
Ife Adeyi	26	238	1	9.2	32

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Weaver	86	3	0	1	6
Kavian Gaither	84	8	0	5	2
Trey Fields	72	6	1	2	1
Isaiah Cash	58	2	1	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Murray	34	12	6	2	0
Briceon Hayes	26	7	5	3	2
Isaiah Nixon	19	6	4	5	0
Richard Outland	15	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Cash	58	2	1	0	9
Caleb Weaver	86	3	0	1	6
David Fisher	33	2	0	0	6

RICE's OC Marques Tuiasosopo (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)	271	438	62%	2710	17	13	6.2
Drew Devillier	20	38	53%	137	0	0	3.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors	159	780	9	4.9	71
Quinton Jackson	48	275	1	5.7	45
Taji Atkins	24	158	2	6.6	33
Christian Francisco	19	78	0	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matt Sykes	65	795	5	12.2	37
Dean Connors	61	472	2	7.7	69
Kobie Campbell	32	372	1	11.6	33
Braylen Walker	22	264	1	12.0	50

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Brian Smith (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Anthony Morris	49	8	5	0	0
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6
Andrew Awe	44	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Anthony Morris	49	8	5	0	0
Josh Pearcy	35	6	4	4	0
Michael Daley (Tr)	14	6	3	1	0
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Max Ahoia	34	1	0	8
Sean Fresch	47	1	0	8
Gabe Taylor	45	7	3	6