Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Liberty Flames
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (1:00 PM EST)
Liberty -1 (56.5) (-112) Open: -1.0
Liberty 38 - Western Kentucky: 21 (Conference USA)
Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
LIB is playing their 5th straight game
WKU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -8 (SP+ LIB -2)
Projected Score: WKU: 24 - LIB: 32 (55)
LIB Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WKU Travel: 402 miles, 1 hrs behind
WKU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -8 (SP+ LIB -2)
Projected Score: WKU: 24 - LIB: 32 (55)
LIB Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WKU Travel: 402 miles, 1 hrs behind
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Western Kentucky at Alabama | +31.0 | 60.0 | L 0 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky | -18.5 | 59.5 | W 31 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee | -10.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Western Kentucky vs Toledo | +2.0 | 60.5 | W 26 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Western Kentucky at Boston College | +7.5 | 48.0 | L 20 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Western Kentucky vs UTEP | -19.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Wed 10/16 | Western Kentucky at Sam Houston | +1.5 | 55.0 | W 31 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/30 | Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State | -24.0 | 49.0 | W 31 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Western Kentucky at New Mexico State | -18.0 | 53.5 | W 41 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech | -11.5 | 52.5 | L 7 - 12 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Western Kentucky at Liberty | +1.0 | 56.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State | +0.5 | 62.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/6 | Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State | +4.5 | 58.5 | L 12 - 52 | O | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | Western Kentucky vs James Madison | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 17 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Liberty's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Liberty vs Campbell | -41.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Liberty at New Mexico State | -22.5 | 54.5 | W 30 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Liberty vs UTEP | -23.5 | 57.5 | W 28 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Liberty vs East Carolina | -7.5 | 55.0 | W 35 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/8 | Liberty vs Florida International | -15.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/23 | Liberty at Kennesaw State | -27.0 | 48.0 | L 24 - 27 | O | N | |
| Wed 10/30 | Liberty vs Jacksonville State | -2.5 | 64.0 | L 21 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Liberty at Middle Tennessee | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 37 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Liberty at Massachusetts | -17.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Liberty vs Western Kentucky | -1.0 | 56.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Liberty at Sam Houston | -2.5 | 47.5 | L 18 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 1/4 | Liberty vs Buffalo | +4.5 | 50.5 | L 7 - 26 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 24.9 | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 24.6 | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 28.8 | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 23.5 | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | ||
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 24.9 | 24.9 | 41.8% | 3.83 | 1.7 | 19 | 374 | 110 | 265 | 3.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% | 45% | 16% | .19 |
| LIB Defense | 12 | 23.5 | 22.3 | 39.4% | 3.68 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 39% | 40% | 16% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 24.6 | 33.9 | 44.7% | 3.66 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 63% | 36% | 48% | 40% | 13% | .21 |
| LIB Offense | 12 | 28.8 | 32.3 | 49.9% | 4.21 | 1.3 | 22 | 400 | 238 | 161 | 5.7 | 63% | 36% | 54% | 43% | 14% | .26 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 14 | 27:52 | 19.3 | 41% | 59% | 4.1 | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0 | 29.7 |
| Liberty | 12 | 28:42 | 22.1 | 45% | 50% | 6.7 | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.6 | 0 | 28.5 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 45% (105) | 38% (117) | 31.1 | 109.7 | 3.5 | 14 (98) | .01 (121) | 2.78 (108) | 69% (100) | 11% (87) | 0.95 (75) |
| LIB Defense | 12 | 55% (115) | 39% (30) | - | - | - | - | .02 (20) | 2.68 (21) | 73% (62) | 10% (59) | 0.99 (68) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 63% (134) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | .19 (103) | 3.36 (116) | 77% (93) | 9% (88) | 0.9 (35) |
| LIB Offense | 12 | 63% (5) | 54% (2) | 41.8 | 238.3 | 5.7 | 28 (25) | .25 (16) | 3.56 (7) | 76% (47) | 9% (43) | 0.91 (94) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 55% (26) | 45% (33) | 22.1 | 33.5 | 264.6 | 7.9 | 12 | 28 (15) | 12 (85) | .36 (28) | 1.6 (59) | 33% (91) | 30% (91) | .29 (89) | 6% (56) | 1.9 (100) |
| LIB Defense | 12 | 45% (19) | 40% (66) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .21 (51) | 1.6 (77) | 32% (73) | 31% (81) | .18 (17) | 6% (82) | 1.8 (9) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 36% (1) | 40% (60) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .29 (99) | 1.8 (128) | 28% (116) | 29% (47) | .23 (37) | 3% (132) | 2.1 (92) |
| LIB Offense | 12 | 36% (130) | 43% (60) | 12.6 | 22.3 | 161.2 | 7.2 | 12.8 | 15 (98) | 6 (10) | .27 (56) | 1.5 (104) | 24% (2) | 36% (23) | .43 (26) | 5% (36) | 1.9 (107) |
Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -8.09 Liberty: 2.89
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2 Liberty: 0.2
Western Kentucky: -8.09 Liberty: 2.89
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2 Liberty: 0.2
Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 2.89 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Liberty's Power Rating: 2.89 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9
Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9
Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 32
Western Kentucky 24
Total Points: 55
Liberty 32
Western Kentucky 24
Total Points: 55
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Liberty | 38 | Western Kentucky | 21 | Liberty | Liberty -1 | Liberty | 56.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/24 | Western Kentucky | 29 | Liberty | 42 | Liberty | Liberty -4 | Liberty | 61.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 09/19 | Western Kentucky | 24 | Liberty | 30 | Liberty | Western Kentucky -15.5 | Liberty | 52.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 3 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Western Kentucky | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#92) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Kentucky has lost 1 straight
Western Kentucky has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky commits very few Penalties (#75)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky has a bad defense (#37)
Western Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#80)
Western Kentucky has a bad defensive line (#94)
Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Kentucky has lost 1 straight
Western Kentucky has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky commits very few Penalties (#75)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky has a bad defense (#37)
Western Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#80)
Western Kentucky has a bad defensive line (#94)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LIB | WKU |
| OverallOver | #27 | #45 |
| OffenseOff | #20 | #50 |
| DefenseDef | #55 | #62 |
| Special TeamsST | #81 | #66 |
| PassingPass | #31 | #22 |
| RushingRush | #26 | #83 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #4 | #65 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #86 | #5 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #77 | #46 |
| TacklingTkl | #62 | #5 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #58 | #77 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #59 | #37 |
| Coverage DefCov | #50 | #73 |
Rematch from Week 13
Liberty -1.0 (56.5)
Liberty won vs Western Kentucky this year (38-21)
Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Western Kentucky last year (38-21)
Liberty beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (42-29)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: WKU | LIB
Depth Chart: WKU | LIB
Rosters: WKU | LIB
(#60) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 2.89 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Liberty has won 2 straight
Liberty has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)
Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)
Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)
Power Rating: 2.89 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Liberty has won 2 straight
Liberty has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)
Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)
Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Veltkamp | 258 | 389 | 66% | 3108 | 25 | 10 | 8.0 |
| TJ Finley (Tr) | 48 | 75 | 64% | 490 | 1 | 2 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Young | 201 | 883 | 3 | 4.4 | 30 |
| George Hart III (Tr) | 44 | 204 | 2 | 4.6 | 30 |
| Caden Veltkamp | 113 | 150 | 7 | 1.3 | 25 |
| LT Sanders | 21 | 103 | 1 | 4.9 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kisean Johnson (Tr) | 75 | 925 | 7 | 12.3 | 51 |
| Easton Messer | 55 | 793 | 4 | 14.4 | 64 |
| Dalvin Smith | 30 | 397 | 4 | 13.2 | 65 |
| K.D. Hutchinson | 26 | 392 | 3 | 15.1 | 74 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Mathews (Tr) | 99 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keyshawn Swanson (Tr) | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Hosea Wheeler | 62 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chandler Matthews (Tr) | 59 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Thomas | 54 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Sebastian Benjamin | 56 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Kylan Guidry | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Kent Robinson (Tr) | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson Jr. | 48 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Kent Robinson (Tr) | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Keyshawn Swanson (Tr) | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaidon Salter | 147 | 261 | 56% | 1886 | 15 | 6 | 7.2 |
| Ryan Burger (Tr) | 8 | 19 | 42% | 88 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Cooley | 205 | 1254 | 13 | 6.1 | 44 |
| Billy Lucas | 123 | 720 | 5 | 5.9 | 55 |
| Kaidon Salter | 114 | 587 | 7 | 5.1 | 41 |
| Vaughn Blue | 35 | 207 | 1 | 5.9 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treon Sibley | 28 | 510 | 2 | 18.2 | 70 |
| Elijah Canion (Tr) | 25 | 354 | 3 | 14.2 | 50 |
| Reese Smith | 18 | 277 | 4 | 15.4 | 44 |
| Tyson Mobley (Tr) | 29 | 276 | 1 | 9.5 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Jerome Jolly Jr. | 55 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Quinton Reese | 40 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| A'Khori Jones | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |