Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Sam Houston Bearkats
Wednesday, October 16th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Sam Houston -1.5 (55.0) (-118) Open: -1.0
Western Kentucky 31 - Sam Houston: 14 (Conference USA)
Hilltoppers (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Coach Tyson Helton (40 - 26)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 6 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
SHSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Sam Houston -1 (SP+ WKU -4.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 25 - SHSU: 26 (52)
SHSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WKU Travel: 677 miles
Our Line: Sam Houston -1 (SP+ WKU -4.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 25 - SHSU: 26 (52)
SHSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WKU Travel: 677 miles
Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
| Western Kentucky's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Western Kentucky at Alabama | +31.0 | 60.0 | L 0 - 63 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky | -18.5 | 59.5 | W 31 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee | -10.5 | 53.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Western Kentucky vs Toledo | +2.0 | 60.5 | W 26 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Western Kentucky at Boston College | +7.5 | 48.0 | L 20 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Western Kentucky vs UTEP | -19.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Wed 10/16 | Western Kentucky at Sam Houston | +1.5 | 55.0 | W 31 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/30 | Western Kentucky vs Kennesaw State | -24.0 | 49.0 | W 31 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Western Kentucky at New Mexico State | -18.0 | 53.5 | W 41 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech | -11.5 | 52.5 | L 7 - 12 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Western Kentucky at Liberty | +1.0 | 56.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State | +0.5 | 62.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 12/6 | Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State | +4.5 | 58.5 | L 12 - 52 | O | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | Western Kentucky vs James Madison | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 17 - 27 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Sam Houston at Rice | +9.5 | 49.0 | W 34 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Sam Houston at UCF | +21.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Sam Houston vs Hawai'i | -3.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Sam Houston vs New Mexico State | -15.5 | 44.5 | W 31 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Sam Houston vs Texas State | +11.0 | 55.0 | W 40 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Thu 10/3 | Sam Houston at UTEP | -10.0 | 49.5 | W 41 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/16 | Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky | -1.5 | 55.0 | L 14 - 31 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/22 | Sam Houston vs Florida International | -5.0 | 47.0 | W 10 - 7 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/29 | Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech | -10.5 | 45.5 | W 9 - 3 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Sam Houston at Kennesaw State | -21.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Sam Houston at Jacksonville State | +5.5 | 57.5 | L 11 - 21 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Sam Houston vs Liberty | +2.5 | 47.5 | W 20 - 18 | U | Y | |
| Thu 12/19 | Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern | +3.5 | 48.0 | W 31 - 26 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 24.9 | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 24.6 | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 23.8 | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 20.5 | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | ||
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 24.9 | 24.9 | 41.8% | 3.83 | 1.7 | 19 | 374 | 110 | 265 | 3.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% | 45% | 16% | .19 |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 20.5 | 15.2 | 41.8% | 3.84 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 47% | 37% | 17% | .11 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 24.6 | 33.9 | 44.7% | 3.66 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 63% | 36% | 48% | 40% | 13% | .21 |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 23.8 | 21 | 39.3% | 2.97 | 1.2 | 19 | 349 | 180 | 168 | 4.3 | 57% | 43% | 41% | 38% | 15% | .1 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 14 | 27:52 | 19.3 | 41% | 59% | 4.1 | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0 | 29.7 |
| Sam Houston | 13 | 32:10 | 18.8 | 39% | 67% | 4.6 | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 45% (105) | 38% (117) | 31.1 | 109.7 | 3.5 | 14 (98) | .01 (121) | 2.78 (108) | 69% (100) | 11% (87) | 0.95 (75) |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 51% (74) | 47% (105) | - | - | - | - | .17 (92) | 3.37 (119) | 75% (75) | 10% (56) | 0.83 (9) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 63% (134) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | .19 (103) | 3.36 (116) | 77% (93) | 9% (88) | 0.9 (35) |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 57% (25) | 41% (100) | 42.5 | 180.4 | 4.3 | 21 (59) | .1 (83) | 3.18 (44) | 68% (104) | 10% (69) | 0.9 (98) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Offense | 14 | 55% (26) | 45% (33) | 22.1 | 33.5 | 264.6 | 7.9 | 12 | 28 (15) | 12 (85) | .36 (28) | 1.6 (59) | 33% (91) | 30% (91) | .29 (89) | 6% (56) | 1.9 (100) |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 48% (60) | 37% (27) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .06 (6) | 1.4 (9) | 32% (57) | 25% (11) | .21 (32) | 6% (58) | 1.8 (12) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WKU Defense | 14 | 36% (1) | 40% (60) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .29 (99) | 1.8 (128) | 28% (116) | 29% (47) | .23 (37) | 3% (132) | 2.1 (92) |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 43% (113) | 38% (105) | 16.7 | 26.8 | 168.2 | 6.3 | 10.1 | 15 (98) | 9 (48) | .13 (114) | 1.5 (106) | 30% (51) | 24% (126) | .13 (130) | 5% (47) | 2 (95) |
Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Western Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Western Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -8.09 Sam Houston: -4.36
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2 Sam Houston: -6.9
Western Kentucky: -8.09 Sam Houston: -4.36
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -2.2 Sam Houston: -6.9
Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9
Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9
Western Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Sam Houston 26
Western Kentucky 25
Total Points: 52
Sam Houston 26
Western Kentucky 25
Total Points: 52
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2
Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2
Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/23 | Western Kentucky | 41 | Sam Houston | 24 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -9.5 | Western Kentucky | 60.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 10/16 | Sam Houston | 14 | Western Kentucky | 31 | Western Kentucky | Sam Houston -1.5 | Western Kentucky | 55.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Western Kentucky | 28 | Sam Houston | 23 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -12.5 | Sam Houston | 52.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 0 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Western Kentucky | 3 | 2 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 1 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 2 - 1 |
(#92) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Kentucky has won 1 straight
Western Kentucky has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky commits very few Penalties (#75)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky has a bad defense (#37)
Western Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#80)
Western Kentucky has a bad defensive line (#94)
Power Rating: -8.09 #92
Offense Rating: 19.32 #71
Defense Rating: 11.86 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #62
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Kentucky has won 1 straight
Western Kentucky has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Kentucky Notes
(12/2) Veltkamp good in Jax St upset, great 3rd down D
(11/25) 2 str L's as R Def mauled by Lib. Likely out race
(11/18) Shocking L to La Tech, Off esp Rgame awful
(11/18) Def all. 209 yds, 4.3 ypc to La Tech? 2-11 on 3rd
(11/1) Beating CUSA teams by 3 TD's, 20 ppg margin Oct
(10/16) Even w/ SHSU until backup QB. Vetlkamp great W
(10/10) Def #'s skewed by Bama game. Not great but Avg
(10/4) QB Veltkamp has WR options, Rgame v bad so far
(9/28) Outgained/played BC. 3 TOs killer. Veltkamp OK
(9/23) Big W over Tol. 3-12 on 3rd but forced 4 TOs
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky commits very few Penalties (#75)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky has a bad defense (#37)
Western Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#80)
Western Kentucky has a bad defensive line (#94)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | SHSU | WKU |
| OverallOver | #68 | #45 |
| OffenseOff | #83 | #50 |
| DefenseDef | #57 | #62 |
| Special TeamsST | #87 | #66 |
| PassingPass | #77 | #22 |
| RushingRush | #73 | #83 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #86 | #65 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #63 | #5 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #69 | #46 |
| TacklingTkl | #43 | #5 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #96 | #77 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #31 | #37 |
| Coverage DefCov | #30 | #73 |
Rematch from Week 8
Sam Houston -1.5 (55.0)
Western Kentucky won at Sam Houston this year (31-14)
Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Sam Houston last year (31-14)
Western Kentucky beat Sam Houston in 2023 (28-23)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: WKU | SHSU
Depth Chart: WKU | SHSU
Rosters: WKU | SHSU
(#88) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Sam Houston has won 4 straight
Sam Houston has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston defense does not give up big plays (#72)
Sam Houston has a good pass defense (#118)
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)
Sam Houston has a bad defensive line (#89)
Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Sam Houston has won 4 straight
Sam Houston has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston defense does not give up big plays (#72)
Sam Houston has a good pass defense (#118)
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)
Sam Houston has a bad defensive line (#89)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Veltkamp | 258 | 389 | 66% | 3108 | 25 | 10 | 8.0 |
| TJ Finley (Tr) | 48 | 75 | 64% | 490 | 1 | 2 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Young | 201 | 883 | 3 | 4.4 | 30 |
| George Hart III (Tr) | 44 | 204 | 2 | 4.6 | 30 |
| Caden Veltkamp | 113 | 150 | 7 | 1.3 | 25 |
| LT Sanders | 21 | 103 | 1 | 4.9 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kisean Johnson (Tr) | 75 | 925 | 7 | 12.3 | 51 |
| Easton Messer | 55 | 793 | 4 | 14.4 | 64 |
| Dalvin Smith | 30 | 397 | 4 | 13.2 | 65 |
| K.D. Hutchinson | 26 | 392 | 3 | 15.1 | 74 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Mathews (Tr) | 99 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Keyshawn Swanson (Tr) | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Hosea Wheeler | 62 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Chandler Matthews (Tr) | 59 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Thomas | 54 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Sebastian Benjamin | 56 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Kylan Guidry | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Kent Robinson (Tr) | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson Jr. | 48 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Kent Robinson (Tr) | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Keyshawn Swanson (Tr) | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 152 | 253 | 60% | 1598 | 11 | 8 | 6.3 |
| Jase Bauer (Tr) | 40 | 65 | 62% | 310 | 2 | 1 | 4.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevyon Ducker | 148 | 719 | 7 | 4.9 | 86 |
| Hunter Watson | 152 | 623 | 7 | 4.1 | 46 |
| DJ McKinney | 95 | 479 | 3 | 5.0 | 59 |
| Jase Bauer (Tr) | 45 | 195 | 0 | 4.3 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Evans | 43 | 474 | 5 | 11.0 | 64 |
| Qua'Vez Humphreys | 18 | 362 | 4 | 20.1 | 67 |
| Noah Smith | 35 | 285 | 0 | 8.1 | 22 |
| Ife Adeyi | 26 | 238 | 1 | 9.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Weaver | 86 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Kavian Gaither | 84 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Trey Fields | 72 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Isaiah Cash | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Murray | 34 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Briceon Hayes | 26 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Isaiah Nixon | 19 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Richard Outland | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Cash | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Caleb Weaver | 86 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| David Fisher | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |