Jacksonville State at Liberty Game Matchup
Jacksonville State logo Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Wednesday, October 30th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -2.5 (64.0) (-135)  Open: -1.0
Jacksonville State 31 - Liberty: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Gamecocks (9 - 5) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Liberty -6.5   (SP+ LIB -1)
Projected Score: JVST: 28 - LIB: 34 (58)
LIB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
JVST Travel: 443 miles, 1 hrs behind
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Jacksonville State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Jacksonville State vs Coastal Carolina-3.554.5L 27 - 55ON
Sat 9/7 Jacksonville State at Louisville+27.556.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/14 Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan-2.553.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 9/21 Jacksonville State vs Southern Miss-6.059.5W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/4 Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State-17.549.5W 63 - 24OY
Wed 10/9 Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State-21.058.5W 54 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee-20.564.5W 42 - 20UY
Wed 10/30 Jacksonville State at Liberty+2.564.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/9 Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech-10.055.5W 44 - 37ON
Sat 11/16 Jacksonville State vs Florida International-12.558.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston-5.557.5W 21 - 11UY
Sat 11/30 Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky-0.562.5L 17 - 19UN
Fri 12/6 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky-4.558.5W 52 - 12OY
Fri 12/20 Jacksonville State vs Ohio+6.557.5L 27 - 30UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Liberty's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Liberty vs Campbell-41.558.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/7 Liberty at New Mexico State-22.554.5W 30 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Liberty vs UTEP-23.557.5W 28 - 10UN
Sat 9/21 Liberty vs East Carolina-7.555.0W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Liberty vs Florida International-15.556.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/23 Liberty at Kennesaw State-27.048.0L 24 - 27ON
Wed 10/30 Liberty vs Jacksonville State-2.564.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 11/9 Liberty at Middle Tennessee-12.554.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 11/16 Liberty at Massachusetts-17.053.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/23 Liberty vs Western Kentucky-1.056.5W 38 - 21OY
Fri 11/29 Liberty at Sam Houston-2.547.5L 18 - 20UN
Sat 1/4 Liberty vs Buffalo+4.550.5L 7 - 26UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#103 (.13)42% (65)3646% (41)3.08 (73)23738% (101)1713.77 (79)#10 (.07)36% (15)26.133% (6)39% (39)3.33 (24)43.41.61.9
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)28.856% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)23.547% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Offense133633.842.3%3.771.6224082371714.861%38%46%38%16%.13
LIB Defense1423.522.342.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Defense1326.131.235.9%3.331.9 - - - - - 50%48%33%39%18%.07
LIB Offense1428.832.354.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jacksonville State1326:4322.238%52%4.843.41.61.972.9130.6
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Offense1361% (8)46% (41)49.8236.74.835 (5).18 (51)3.08 (73)72% (82)9% (54)0.99 (73)
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Defense1350% (66)33% (6) - - - - -.06 (2)2.45 (4)71% (57)12% (28)0.85 (12)
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Offense1338% (128)38% (101)1426.91716.412.212 (113)12 (85).12 (119)1.6 (75)31% (47)30% (71).15 (119)6% (90)2 (90)
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Defense1348% (53)39% (39) - - - - - - 16 (9).27 (69)1.7 (106)35% (30)25% (12).18 (10)6% (68)2 (63)
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -5.79 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 290.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -5.79   Liberty: 2.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -1.0   Liberty: 0.2




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 2.89 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 550.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 34
Jacksonville State 28


Projected Total Points: 58
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/30Liberty21Jacksonville State31Jacksonville StateLiberty -2.5Jacksonville State64.0Under
202310/10Jacksonville State13Liberty31LibertyLiberty -7Liberty59.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty110 Overs
Jacksonville State112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#85) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.79 #85
Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 290.00 #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Jacksonville State Notes
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
Jacksonville State     Ratings Matchup     Liberty
Power #85
#60
Off #21
#17
Def #76
#38
Talent #127
#84
SP+ #73
#71
SP+ Off #57
#60
SP+ Def #81
#70

Rematch from Week 10
Liberty -2.5 (64.0)
Jacksonville State won at Liberty this year (31-21)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Liberty last year (31-21)
Liberty beat Jacksonville State in 2023 (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 63°

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | LIB
Depth Chart: JVST | LIB
Rosters: JVST | LIB
(#60) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.89 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 550.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.  
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP


  
Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Huff (Tr)17829361%25431478.7
Zion Turner (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Stewart2791636255.975
Tyler Huff (Tr)2271344155.951
Andrew Paul (Tr)3816644.428
Anwar Lewis3512723.623
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn49804516.475
Michael Pettway25454318.292
Brock Rechsteiner16241215.185
Tre Stewart17233113.750

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster
Jacksonville State's DC Luke Olson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry10910322
Antonio Carter II (Tr)1033013
Reginald Hughes (Tr)8310460
Zechariah Poyser773008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Swain4411420
Reginald Hughes (Tr)8310460
Fred Perry10910322
Jawaun Campbell478212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Mack3220011
Zechariah Poyser773008
Geimere Latimer460005

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Burger (Tr)81942%88004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaidon Salter11458775.141
Vaughn Blue3520715.945
Ryan Burger (Tr)177014.157
Julian Gray (Tr)106216.241
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Canion (Tr)25354314.250
Reese Smith18277415.444
Tyson Mobley (Tr)2927619.525
Donte Lee Jr10148114.824

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Carter885203
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
A'Khori Jones535003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
CJ Bazile Jr.545220
Joseph Carter885203
Eliyt Nairne252110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush5810614
Joseph Carter885203
A'Khori Jones535003