Sam Houston at UTEP Game Matchup
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at UTEP MinersUTEP logo
Thursday, October 3rd 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
Sam Houston -10 (49.5) (-355)  Open: -10.5
Sam Houston 41 - UTEP: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
UTEP coming off BYE
SHSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Sam Houston -14   (SP+ SHSU -16)

Projected Score: SHSU: 32 - UTEP: 18 (48)
SHSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
SHSU Travel: 652 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Miners (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Sam Houston at Rice+9.549.0W 34 - 14UY
Sat 9/7 Sam Houston at UCF+21.553.5L 14 - 45ON
Sat 9/14 Sam Houston vs Hawai'i-3.548.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 Sam Houston vs New Mexico State-15.544.5W 31 - 11UY
Sat 9/28 Sam Houston vs Texas State+11.055.0W 40 - 39OY
Thu 10/3 Sam Houston at UTEP-10.049.5W 41 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16 Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky-1.555.0L 14 - 31UN
Tue 10/22 Sam Houston vs Florida International-5.047.0W 10 - 7UN
Tue 10/29 Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech-10.545.5W 9 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Sam Houston at Kennesaw State-21.042.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 Sam Houston at Jacksonville State+5.557.5L 11 - 21UN
Fri 11/29 Sam Houston vs Liberty+2.547.5W 20 - 18UY
Thu 12/19 Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern+3.548.0W 31 - 26OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
UTEP's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UTEP at Nebraska+27.549.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 9/7 UTEP vs Southern Utah-6.554.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 9/14 UTEP at Liberty+23.557.5L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/21 UTEP at Colorado State+8.549.0L 17 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/3 UTEP vs Sam Houston+10.049.5L 21 - 41ON
Thu 10/10 UTEP at Western Kentucky+19.055.5L 17 - 44ON
Wed 10/16 UTEP vs Florida International+7.047.0W 30 - 21OY
Tue 10/22 UTEP at Louisiana Tech+6.549.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 UTEP vs Middle Tennessee-2.048.0L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 UTEP vs Kennesaw State-4.542.0W 43 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UTEP at Tennessee+41.554.0L 0 - 56ON
Sat 11/30 UTEP at New Mexico State+3.551.5W 42 - 35OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#115 (.1)37% (118)23.834% (130)2.61 (131)8940% (84)2223.47 (97)#69 (.18)41% (58)20.541% (55)42% (75)3.77 (64)42.21.31.7
UTEP#80 (.17)39% (103)19.543% (62)3.05 (83)14436% (113)2183.59 (93)#109 (.25)43% (88)32.348% (122)38% (23)4.62 (127)58.81.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense1223.824.636.9%3.471.318311892222.943%55%34%40%15%.1
UTEP Defense1232.328.843.4%4.621 - - - - - 57%43%48%38%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense1220.523.641.3%3.771.7 - - - - - 53%47%41%42%14%.18
UTEP Offense1219.526.239.5%3.591.5183621442183.953%46%43%36%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston1229:4118.336%59%5.142.21.31.74.31.4228
UTEP1231:2518.333%45%6.858.81.514.32126.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense1243% (110)34% (130)30.789.12.913 (108)-.02 (129)2.61 (131)83% (7)9% (56)0.81 (130)
UTEP Defense1257% (126)48% (122) - - - - .28 (127)3.35 (113)76% (89)9% (106)1.1 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense1253% (104)41% (55) - - - - .16 (80)3.2 (92)79% (104)8% (119)1.02 (82)
UTEP Offense1253% (42)43% (62)37.3144.33.916 (89).09 (105)3.05 (83)76% (44)9% (51)0.89 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense1255% (25)40% (84)23.537.3222.369.515 (96)12 (85).24 (81)1.4 (127)34% (105)24% (124).17 (112)6% (55)1.9 (119)
UTEP Defense1243% (8)38% (23) - - - - - - 6 (120).26 (61)1.7 (104)32% (67)31% (87).48 (126)7% (50)2.3 (128)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense1247% (32)42% (75) - - - - - - 13 (26).23 (49)1.5 (24)31% (79)27% (25).26 (41)6% (87)2.1 (88)
UTEP Offense1246% (94)36% (113)14.827.5217.77.914.713 (111)12 (85).29 (68)1.9 (6)32% (82)29% (82).34 (65)7% (104)2.1 (37)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 330.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.82   UTEP: -20.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.9   UTEP: -22.7




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -20.745 #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
2024 Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Sam Houston 32
UTEP 18


Projected Total Points: 48
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/03UTEP21Sam Houston41Sam HoustonSam Houston -10Sam Houston49.5Over
202310/25Sam Houston34UTEP37UTEPSam Houston State -4UTEP38.5Over
200309/27UTEP59Sam Houston14UTEP
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP212 Overs
Sam Houston110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#88) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 330.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston     Ratings Matchup     UTEP
Power #88
#127
Off #110
#128
Def #54
#95
Talent #125
#116
SP+ #98
#130
SP+ Off #117
#131
SP+ Def #46
#113

Rematch from Week 6
Sam Houston 10.0 (49.5)
Sam Houston won at UTEP this year (41-21)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat UTEP last year (41-21)
UTEP beat Sam Houston in 2023 (37-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | UTEP
Depth Chart: SHSU | UTEP
Rosters: SHSU | UTEP
(#127) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.745 #127
Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 406.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UTEP Notes
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst
(9/8) Outrushed 268-124 by S. Utah? Run D awful
(8/3) Front 7 decimated, will be bad vs run TY
(7/30) Portal 27 in/38 out, took 11 portals from A Peay


  
Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson15225360%15981186.3
Jase Bauer (Tr)406562%310214.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevyon Ducker14871974.986
Hunter Watson15262374.146
DJ McKinney9547935.059
Jase Bauer (Tr)4519504.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Evans43474511.064
Qua'Vez Humphreys18362420.167
Michael Phoenix II13205315.850
Jevyon Ducker1511007.331

View Sam Houston's Full Roster
Sam Houston's DC Skyler Cassity
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver863016
Trey Fields726121
Antavious Fish672111
Isaiah Cash582109
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Murray3412620
Briceon Hayes267532
Richard Outland155330
Kendrick DuJour234310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Cash582109
Caleb Weaver863016
David Fisher332006

UTEP's OC Jake Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear (Tr)14923663%15911066.7
Cade McConnell407156%540437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Ezell Jolly6424813.914
Skyler Locklear (Tr)8023723.018
JP Pickles3913313.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)47761816.276
Kam Thomas (Tr)46512211.169
Trey Goodman (Tr)47469010.037
Jaden Smith (Tr)2117708.441

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC J. J. Clark
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Hopkins (Tr)878101
Nate Dyman8410234
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland459861
Kyran Duhon437702
Kadarion Johnson398411
Kory Chapman (Tr)7613330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Smith (Tr)781005
Josiah Allen615205
A.J. Odums160004