Georgia Southern at Sam Houston - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia Southern logo Georgia Southern Eagles vs Sam Houston BearkatsSam Houston logo
Thursday, December 19th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Georgia Southern -3.5 (48.0) (-166)  Open: 0.0
Sam Houston 31 - Georgia Southern: 26  (R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl)

 
Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Georgia Southern -1.5  (SP+ GASO -5)

Projected Score: GASO: 26 - SHSU: 25 (51)
GASO Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
GASO Travel: 818 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia Southern's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia Southern vs Boise State+13.057.5L 45 - 56OY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Southern at Nevada+1.556.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State-27.552.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Southern at Ole Miss+35.068.5L 13 - 52UN
Sat 9/28 Georgia Southern at Georgia State+3.557.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia Southern vs Marshall-1.058.5W 24 - 23UN
Sat 10/19 Georgia Southern vs James Madison+9.558.5W 28 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Georgia Southern at Old Dominion-1.052.0L 19 - 47ON
Sat 11/2 Georgia Southern at South Alabama+5.560.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Georgia Southern vs Troy-7.054.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina+2.059.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 11/30 Georgia Southern vs App State-2.560.5W 29 - 20UY
Thu 12/19 Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston-3.548.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule
Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Sam Houston at Rice+9.549.0W 34 - 14UY
Sat 9/7 Sam Houston at UCF+21.553.5L 14 - 45ON
Sat 9/14 Sam Houston vs Hawai'i-3.548.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 Sam Houston vs New Mexico State-15.544.5W 31 - 11UY
Sat 9/28 Sam Houston vs Texas State+11.055.0W 40 - 39OY
Thu 10/3 Sam Houston at UTEP-10.049.5W 41 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16 Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky-1.555.0L 14 - 31UN
Tue 10/22 Sam Houston vs Florida International-5.047.0W 10 - 7UN
Tue 10/29 Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech-10.545.5W 9 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Sam Houston at Kennesaw State-21.042.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 Sam Houston at Jacksonville State+5.557.5L 11 - 21UN
Fri 11/29 Sam Houston vs Liberty+2.547.5W 20 - 18UY
Thu 12/19 Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern+3.548.0W 31 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)2846% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)27.647% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)23.841% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)20.547% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)46% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)47% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)41% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)47% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Offense13282542.9%4.571.7223661282383.846%53%46%40%17%.19
SHSU Defense1320.515.241.8%3.842.1 - - - - - 51%48%47%37%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Defense1327.628.845.5%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%47%44%14%.23
SHSU Offense1323.82139.3%2.971.2193491801684.357%43%41%38%15%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Southern1330:0921.845%75%5.648.31.71.54.61.6127.7
Sam Houston1332:1018.839%67%4.637.91.22.15.42.2230.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Offense1346% (95)46% (44)33.8128.23.824 (45).15 (57)2.84 (101)78% (36)11% (94)0.99 (57)
SHSU Defense1351% (74)47% (105) - - - - .17 (92)3.37 (119)75% (75)10% (56)0.83 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Defense1347% (27)47% (109) - - - - .18 (99)3.1 (87)72% (60)8% (106)1 (79)
SHSU Offense1357% (25)41% (100)42.5180.44.321 (59).1 (83)3.18 (44)68% (104)10% (69)0.9 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Offense1353% (39)40% (85)22.234.2237.8710.721 (51)11 (72).23 (86)1.5 (84)31% (60)33% (48).39 (43)6% (65)2 (90)
SHSU Defense1348% (60)37% (27) - - - - - - 16 (10).06 (6)1.4 (9)32% (57)25% (11).21 (32)6% (58)1.8 (12)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Defense1353% (108)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (97)1.5 (52)31% (89)32% (94).35 (89)5% (100)2 (54)
SHSU Offense1343% (113)38% (105)16.726.8168.26.310.115 (98)9 (48).13 (114)1.5 (106)30% (51)24% (126).13 (130)5% (47)2 (95)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -8.83  #96
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 20.12  #66
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 14.04  #102
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Georgia Southern's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Georgia Southern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7  #76
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #72
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -8.83   Sam Houston: -6.86

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -1.7   Sam Houston: -6.9




Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -6.86  #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75  #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81  #54
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Georgia Southern's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Southern 26
Sam Houston 25


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Sam Houston 34
Georgia Southern 24

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Sam Houston 25
Georgia Southern 22

Total Points: 47
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/19Sam Houston31Georgia Southern26Georgia Southern -3.5Sam Houston48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Sam Houston111 Overs
Georgia Southern000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

Georgia Southern Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Orleans Bowl Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston-3.548.0L 26 - 31
2023Beach Bowl Georgia Southern vs Ohio-1.548.5L 21 - 41
2022Camellia Bowl Georgia Southern vs Buffalo-6.067.0L 21 - 23
2020Orleans Bowl Georgia Southern vs Louisiana Tech-7.048.0W 38 - 3
2019Cure Bowl Georgia Southern vs Liberty-5.059.0L 16 - 23
2018Camellia Bowl Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan-3.045.5W 23 - 21
Sam Houston Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Orleans Bowl Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern+3.548.0W 31 - 26
  
(#96) GASO at (#88) SHSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGASOSHSU
Power RatePwr #96 #88
SP+SP+ #76 #98
Perf GradeGrade #95 #95
OffenseOff #96 #104
DefenseDef #90 #75
Spec TeamsST #74 #105
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #102
Georgia Southern Notes
(11/25) Big W @ Coastal. Beat App & help=SBC title
(11/25) French torced CC, Rgame awful, Def 3 INTs in W
(11/18) Bad L vs Troy, Rgame awful, Pass D awful
(11/3) Big W (S. Al), Outgained (100+) but forced 2 TOs
(10/24) Killed by ODU, gave up 500+ yds, 250+ rushing
(10/20) Rgame 190 (4.8 ypc), Def great in JMU upset
(10/18) QB French (concussion) cleared for JMU game
(10/13) Rgame bad vs Marshall, 21 pt 4Q comeback W
(9/28) Rgame 261 (5.4), French good vs Ga St.
(9/1) Good fight vs Boise, QB French good. Def awful
(8/17) Big year for Helton, need progress
(7/30) QB battle, Williams (IU) vs French, WR look good
Georgia Southern Injury Report
Sam Houston Notes
(12/1) HC Keeler left for Temple? From PA but why?
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
(7/30) Def returns but new DC. Roster most CUSA exp'd
Sam Houston Injury Report
Georgia Southern on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
GASO OffSHSU Def
Perf GradePerf #96 #75
SuccessSuc #65 #70
ExplosiveExp #77 #3
PPAPPA #68 #31
PowerPwr #66 #54
SP+SP+ #72 #46
Pts POPPO #17 #75
HavocHav #87 #58
Georgia Southern Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
GASO OffSHSU Def
Run GameRun #80 #121
Run SuccessRSuc #44 #105
Run ExplRExp #57 #9
PPAExp #57 #92
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #101 #119
Stuff RateStuff #98 #129
TackleTak -  #48
Georgia Southern Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
GASO OffSHSU Def
Pass GamePass #87 #40
Pass SuccessPSuc #85 #27
Pass ExplPExl #84 #9
PPAExp #86 #6
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #23 #34
F7 HavocF7 #94 #56
DB HavocDB #65 #58
Sam Houston on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatSHSU OffGASO Def
Perf GradePerf #104 #90
SuccessSuc #107 #108
ExplosiveExp #127 #70
PPAPPA #115 #105
PowerPwr #110 #102
SP+SP+ #117 #90
Pts POPPO #129 #71
HavocHav #53 #110
Sam Houston Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffGASO Def
Run GameRun #103 #84
Run SuccessRSuc #100 #109
Run ExplRExp #98 #79
PPAExp #83 #99
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLY #44 #87
Stuff RateStuff #34 #52
TackleTak -  #64
Sam Houston Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatSHSU OffGASO Def
Pass GamePass #97 #77
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #102
Pass ExplPExl #106 #52
PPAExp #114 #97
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #89
F7 HavocF7 #69 #106
DB HavocDB #47 #100
Program Comparison
SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 59° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Georgia Southern 3.5 (48.0)
Sam Houston won vs Georgia Southern this year (31-26)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Georgia Southern last year (31-26)

  
GASO's OC Ryan Aplin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)193063%248308.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen White164745144.549
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Derwin Burgess Jr.59659311.248
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
LV Bunkley-Shelton (Tr)30322010.734

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Watson-Trent1188221
Davon Gilmore625341
Jusfin Meyers613111
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davon Gilmore625341
Davion Rhodes226310
Elhadj Fall205311
Marc Stampley II422207
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
Marc Stampley II422207
Isaac Walker234233

SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Watson15225360%15981186.3
Jase Bauer (Tr)406562%310214.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevyon Ducker14871974.986
Hunter Watson15262374.146
DJ McKinney9547935.059
Jase Bauer (Tr)4519504.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Evans43474511.064
Qua'Vez Humphreys18362420.167
Noah Smith3528508.122
Ife Adeyi2623819.232

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver863016
Kavian Gaither848052
Trey Fields726121
Isaiah Cash582109
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Murray3412620
Briceon Hayes267532
Isaiah Nixon196450
Richard Outland155330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Cash582109
Caleb Weaver863016
David Fisher332006