New Mexico State Aggies at Sam Houston Bearkats
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Sam Houston -15.5 (44.5) (-750) Open: 0.0
Sam Houston 31 - New Mexico State: 11 (Conference USA)
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
SHSU 2nd straight Home Game
SHSU is playing their 4th straight game
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Sam Houston -17.5 (SP+ SHSU -12)
Projected Score: NMSU: 14 - SHSU: 32 (46)
SHSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
NMSU Travel: 668 miles, 1 hrs behind
SHSU 2nd straight Home Game
SHSU is playing their 4th straight game
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Sam Houston -17.5 (SP+ SHSU -12)
Projected Score: NMSU: 14 - SHSU: 32 (46)
SHSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
NMSU Travel: 668 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State | -9.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | New Mexico State vs Liberty | +22.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico State at Fresno State | +19.5 | 48.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico State at Sam Houston | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 11 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico State vs New Mexico | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 40 - 50 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/9 | New Mexico State at Jacksonville State | +21.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 54 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech | +12.5 | 49.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | New Mexico State vs Florida International | +7.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky | +18.0 | 53.5 | L 28 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico State at Texas A&M | +38.5 | 54.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee | +3.5 | 54.0 | W 36 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico State vs UTEP | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 35 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Sam Houston at Rice | +9.5 | 49.0 | W 34 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Sam Houston at UCF | +21.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Sam Houston vs Hawai'i | -3.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Sam Houston vs New Mexico State | -15.5 | 44.5 | W 31 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Sam Houston vs Texas State | +11.0 | 55.0 | W 40 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Thu 10/3 | Sam Houston at UTEP | -10.0 | 49.5 | W 41 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/16 | Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky | -1.5 | 55.0 | L 14 - 31 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/22 | Sam Houston vs Florida International | -5.0 | 47.0 | W 10 - 7 | U | N | |
| Tue 10/29 | Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech | -10.5 | 45.5 | W 9 - 3 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Sam Houston at Kennesaw State | -21.0 | 42.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Sam Houston at Jacksonville State | +5.5 | 57.5 | L 11 - 21 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Sam Houston vs Liberty | +2.5 | 47.5 | W 20 - 18 | U | Y | |
| Thu 12/19 | Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern | +3.5 | 48.0 | W 31 - 26 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 21.6 | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 36.3 | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 23.8 | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 20.5 | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | ||
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 39.3% | 3.8 | 1.9 | 19 | 322 | 179 | 143 | 4.4 | 58% | 42% | 46% | 30% | 18% | .08 |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 20.5 | 15.2 | 41.8% | 3.84 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 47% | 37% | 17% | .11 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 36.3 | 38.4 | 41.3% | 3.7 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 43% | 40% | 12% | .26 |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 23.8 | 21 | 39.3% | 2.97 | 1.2 | 19 | 349 | 180 | 168 | 4.3 | 57% | 43% | 41% | 38% | 15% | .1 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 12 | 29:26 | 19.3 | 38% | 38% | 5.4 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 27 |
| Sam Houston | 13 | 32:10 | 18.8 | 39% | 67% | 4.6 | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 2 | 30.4 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 58% (20) | 46% (41) | 41.3 | 179.3 | 4.4 | 16 (90) | .11 (81) | 3.33 (21) | 77% (37) | 11% (103) | 0.98 (61) |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 51% (74) | 47% (105) | - | - | - | - | .17 (92) | 3.37 (119) | 75% (75) | 10% (56) | 0.83 (9) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (55) | 43% (69) | - | - | - | - | .18 (98) | 3.17 (93) | 58% (5) | 7% (134) | 1.04 (95) |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 57% (25) | 41% (100) | 42.5 | 180.4 | 4.3 | 21 (59) | .1 (83) | 3.18 (44) | 68% (104) | 10% (69) | 0.9 (98) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 42% (116) | 30% (132) | 11.8 | 26.7 | 143.2 | 5.4 | 12.2 | 12 (118) | 12 (85) | .05 (128) | 1.8 (17) | 33% (100) | 30% (87) | .13 (131) | 7% (104) | 1.7 (132) |
| SHSU Defense | 13 | 48% (60) | 37% (27) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .06 (6) | 1.4 (9) | 32% (57) | 25% (11) | .21 (32) | 6% (58) | 1.8 (12) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (76) | 40% (68) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .36 (118) | 1.9 (132) | 31% (80) | 29% (42) | .42 (107) | 6% (78) | 2.3 (126) |
| SHSU Offense | 13 | 43% (113) | 38% (105) | 16.7 | 26.8 | 168.2 | 6.3 | 10.1 | 15 (98) | 9 (48) | .13 (114) | 1.5 (106) | 30% (51) | 24% (126) | .13 (130) | 5% (47) | 2 (95) |
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -24.23 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -24.23 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -24.23 Sam Houston: -4.36
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0 Sam Houston: -6.9
New Mexico State: -24.23 Sam Houston: -4.36
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0 Sam Houston: -6.9
Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Sam Houston 32
New Mexico State 14
Total Points: 46
Sam Houston 32
New Mexico State 14
Total Points: 46
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2
Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2
Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/21 | Sam Houston | 31 | New Mexico State | 11 | Sam Houston | Sam Houston -15.5 | Sam Houston | 44.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/11 | New Mexico State | 27 | Sam Houston | 13 | New Mexico State | New Mexico State -4.5 | New Mexico State | 43.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 1 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| New Mexico State | 1 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 2 |
(#129) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: -24.23 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 2 straight
New Mexico State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)
New Mexico State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#136)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State pass game is really bad (#73)
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico State does not Sack the QB (#80)
New Mexico State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#57)
Power Rating: -24.23 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 2 straight
New Mexico State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)
New Mexico State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#136)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State pass game is really bad (#73)
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico State does not Sack the QB (#80)
New Mexico State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#57)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | SHSU | NMSU |
| OverallOver | #68 | #91 |
| OffenseOff | #83 | #106 |
| DefenseDef | #57 | #88 |
| Special TeamsST | #87 | #60 |
| PassingPass | #77 | #108 |
| RushingRush | #73 | #72 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #86 | #53 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #63 | #87 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #69 | #107 |
| TacklingTkl | #43 | #59 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #96 | #80 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #31 | #109 |
| Coverage DefCov | #30 | #77 |
Rematch from Week 4
Sam Houston -15.5 (44.5)
Sam Houston won vs New Mexico State this year (31-11)
Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat New Mexico State last year (31-11)
New Mexico State beat Sam Houston in 2023 (27-13)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | SHSU
Depth Chart: NMSU | SHSU
Rosters: NMSU | SHSU
(#88) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Sam Houston has won 1 straight
Sam Houston has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston defense does not give up big plays (#72)
Sam Houston has a good pass defense (#118)
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)
Sam Houston has a bad defensive line (#89)
Power Rating: -4.36 #88
Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Sam Houston has won 1 straight
Sam Houston has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 1 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Sam Houston Notes
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston defense does not give up big plays (#72)
Sam Houston has a good pass defense (#118)
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)
Sam Houston has a bad defensive line (#89)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Awad | 74 | 159 | 47% | 1079 | 7 | 4 | 6.8 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 49 | 112 | 44% | 519 | 3 | 5 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan | 153 | 813 | 3 | 5.3 | 38 |
| Michael Washington | 158 | 713 | 8 | 4.5 | 47 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 37 | 131 | 1 | 3.5 | 38 |
| Larenzo McMillan | 7 | 111 | 1 | 15.9 | 84 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Pride | 34 | 374 | 2 | 11.0 | 53 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 19 | 346 | 2 | 18.2 | 54 |
| Seth McGowan | 23 | 277 | 3 | 12.0 | 43 |
| Kordell David | 18 | 191 | 0 | 10.6 | 38 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Marcus Crosby | 81 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddha Peleti | 20 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Kale Edwards (Tr) | 36 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Noah Arinze | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakerric Hobbs (Tr) | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 152 | 253 | 60% | 1598 | 11 | 8 | 6.3 |
| Jase Bauer (Tr) | 40 | 65 | 62% | 310 | 2 | 1 | 4.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevyon Ducker | 148 | 719 | 7 | 4.9 | 86 |
| Hunter Watson | 152 | 623 | 7 | 4.1 | 46 |
| DJ McKinney | 95 | 479 | 3 | 5.0 | 59 |
| Jase Bauer (Tr) | 45 | 195 | 0 | 4.3 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Evans | 43 | 474 | 5 | 11.0 | 64 |
| Qua'Vez Humphreys | 18 | 362 | 4 | 20.1 | 67 |
| Noah Smith | 35 | 285 | 0 | 8.1 | 22 |
| Ife Adeyi | 26 | 238 | 1 | 9.2 | 32 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Weaver | 86 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Kavian Gaither | 84 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Trey Fields | 72 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Isaiah Cash | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Murray | 34 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Briceon Hayes | 26 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Isaiah Nixon | 19 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Richard Outland | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Cash | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| Caleb Weaver | 86 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| David Fisher | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |