Sam Houston at Kennesaw State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Sam Houston Bearkats at Kennesaw State Owls

Saturday, November 16th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Sam Houston -21 (42.5) (-1450) Open: -13.5
Sam Houston 23 - Kennesaw State: 17 (Conference USA)

Bearkats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (88 - 36)
Avg Score : 18 - 38 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SHSU coming off BYE
KENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Sam Houston -16.5 (SP+ SHSU -18)
Projected Score: SHSU: 32 - KENN: 16 (48)
SHSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
SHSU Travel: 680 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brian Bohannon (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 27 - 26 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SHSU Players
KENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sam Houston's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Sam Houston at Rice	+9.5	49.0	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Sam Houston at UCF	+21.5	53.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/14	Sam Houston vs Hawai'i	-3.5	48.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Sam Houston vs New Mexico State	-15.5	44.5	W 31 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Sam Houston vs Texas State	+11.0	55.0	W 40 - 39	O	Y
Thu 10/3	Sam Houston at UTEP	-10.0	49.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/16	Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky	-1.5	55.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/22	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-5.0	47.0	W 10 - 7	U	N
Tue 10/29	Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech	-10.5	45.5	W 9 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Sam Houston at Kennesaw State	-21.0	42.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	Sam Houston at Jacksonville State	+5.5	57.5	L 11 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/29	Sam Houston vs Liberty	+2.5	47.5	W 20 - 18	U	Y
Thu 12/19	Sam Houston vs Georgia Southern	+3.5	48.0	W 31 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule

Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kennesaw State at UTSA	+24.0	49.5	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Kennesaw State vs Louisiana	+14.5	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kennesaw State at San José State	+16.5	41.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Kennesaw State vs UT Martin	+1.5	45.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/4	Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State	+17.5	49.5	L 24 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	50.0	L 5 - 14	U	N
Wed 10/23	Kennesaw State vs Liberty	+27.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/30	Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky	+24.0	49.0	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Kennesaw State at UTEP	+4.5	42.0	L 35 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/16	Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston	+21.0	42.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kennesaw State vs Florida International	+9.0	42.5	W 27 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech	+13.5	41.5	L 0 - 33	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU	#115 (.1)	37% (118)	17.8	34% (130)	2.61 (131)	89	40% (84)	222	3.47 (97)	#69 (.18)	41% (58)	37.8	41% (55)	42% (75)	3.77 (64)	42.2	1.3	1.7
KENN		0%	26.7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	25.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Offense	12	17.8	15.1	36.9%	3.47	1.3	18	311	89	222	2.9	43%	55%	34%	40%	15%	.1
KENN Defense	1	25.5	18.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Defense	12	37.8	39	41.3%	3.77	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	42%	14%	.18
KENN Offense	1	26.7	31.3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sam Houston	12	29:41	18.3	36%	59%	5.1	42.2	1.3	1.7	4.3	1.4	2	28
Kennesaw State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense	12	43% (110)	34% (130)	30.7	89.1	2.9	13 (108)	-.02 (129)	2.61 (131)	83% (7)	9% (56)	0.81 (130)
KENN Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense	12	53% (104)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	.16 (80)	3.2 (92)	79% (104)	8% (119)	1.02 (82)
KENN Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense	12	55% (25)	40% (84)	23.5	37.3	222.3	6	9.5	15 (96)	12 (85)	.24 (81)	1.4 (127)	34% (105)	24% (124)	.17 (112)	6% (55)	1.9 (119)
KENN Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense	12	47% (32)	42% (75)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.23 (49)	1.5 (24)	31% (79)	27% (25)	.26 (41)	6% (87)	2.1 (88)
KENN Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -6.82 #88
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 14.75 #110
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 7.81 #54
2024 Talent Rating: 163.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Sam Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Sam Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #117
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 177.5
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.82 Kennesaw State: -23.145

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -6.9 Kennesaw State: -25.1

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -23.145 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
2024 Talent Rating: 87.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 177.5
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.1
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Sam Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Sam Houston 32
Kennesaw State 16

Projected Total Points: 48

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Kennesaw State	17	Sam Houston	23	Sam Houston -21	Kennesaw State	42.5	Under
2023	11/04	Sam Houston	24	Kennesaw State	21	Sam Houston State -16.5	Kennesaw State	41.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kennesaw State	0	2	1 Overs
Sam Houston	2	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#88) SHSU at (#131) KENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SHSU	KENN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#88	#131
SP+SP+	#98	#132
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#129
OffenseOff	#104	#135
DefenseDef	#75	#89
Spec TeamsST	#105	#15
TalentTal	#125	#131
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Sam Houston Notes(12/1) HC Keeler left for Temple? From PA but why?
(11/25) Off is awful, 11 pts vs Jax St. Def good but ugh
(11/18) Awful perf. @ Kenn St, nearly lost. Took OT, Off bad
(10/23) Off does not function w/ Bauer. Must have Watson
(10/16) Backup QB Bauer meh. Killed by WKU w/o Watson
(10/3) Rgame good, Pass better TW. QB Watson a weapon
(9/29) Rgame awesome in huge W (Tex St). QB can scoot
(9/1) Huge W @ Rice, lines dominated, QB OK, D great
(7/30) 2nd year in FBS/CUSA, started 0-8, won 3/4 late
(7/30) New QB Bauer (CMU starter) should have good WR
(7/30) 4/5 OL and top 2 RB back, improve poor run off LY?
(7/30) Def returns but new DC. Roster most CUSA exp'd
Sam Houston Injury Report

Kennesaw State Notes(12/18) Hired HC Jerry Mack (Jags RB)
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O
(8/3) DB's poss worst in CUSA, wait & see rest
Kennesaw State Injury Report

Sam Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	SHSU Off	KENN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#89
SuccessSuc	#118	NR
ExplosiveExp	#120	NR
PPAPPA	#115	NR
PowerPwr	#110	#97
SP+SP+	#117	#118
Pts POPPO	#97	NR
HavocHav	#56	NR

Sam Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	SHSU Off	KENN Def
Run GameRun	#103	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#130	NR
Run ExplRExp	#130	NR
PPAExp	#129	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	#131	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#55	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Sam Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	SHSU Off	KENN Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#84	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#127	NR
PPAExp	#81	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#83
F7 HavocF7	#56	NR
DB HavocDB	#55	NR

Kennesaw State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	SHSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#135	#75
SuccessSuc	NR	#58
ExplosiveExp	NR	#39
PPAPPA	NR	#69
PowerPwr	#132	#54
SP+SP+	#134	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	#64
HavocHav	NR	#117

Kennesaw State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	SHSU Def
Run GameRun	#129	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#55
Run ExplRExp	NR	#82
PPAExp	NR	#80
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#92
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#112
TackleTak	-	#48

Kennesaw State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	SHSU Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#40
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#75
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#24
PPAExp	NR	#49
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#132	#34
F7 HavocF7	NR	#119
DB HavocDB	NR	#87

Program Comparison
KENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Sam Houston 21.0 (42.5)
Sam Houston won at Kennesaw State this year (23-17)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Kennesaw State in 2024 (23-17)
Sam Houston beat Kennesaw State in 2023 (24-21)

SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hunter Watson	152	253	60%	1598	11	8	6.3
Jase Bauer (Tr)	40	65	62%	310	2	1	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevyon Ducker	148	719	7	4.9	86
Hunter Watson	152	623	7	4.1	46
DJ McKinney	95	479	3	5.0	59
Jase Bauer (Tr)	45	195	0	4.3	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Simeon Evans	43	474	5	11.0	64
Qua'Vez Humphreys	18	362	4	20.1	67
Noah Smith	35	285	0	8.1	22
Ife Adeyi	26	238	1	9.2	32

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Weaver	86	3	0	1	6
Kavian Gaither	84	8	0	5	2
Trey Fields	72	6	1	2	1
Isaiah Cash	58	2	1	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Murray	34	12	6	2	0
Briceon Hayes	26	7	5	3	2
Isaiah Nixon	19	6	4	5	0
Richard Outland	15	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Cash	58	2	1	0	9
Caleb Weaver	86	3	0	1	6
David Fisher	33	2	0	0	6

KENN's OC Chandler Burks (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Bryson	143	261	55%	1494	6	10	5.7
Khalib Johnson	6	22	27%	57	0	3	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Benefield	138	542	5	3.9	59
Qua Ashley	122	409	1	3.4	60
Davis Bryson	112	293	4	2.6	20
Preston Daniels	35	85	3	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Bohannon	24	288	0	12.0	32
Qua Ashley	28	255	1	9.1	51
Christian Moss (Tr)	15	220	2	14.7	60
Carson Kent	18	217	3	12.1	30

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

KENN's DC Greg Harris (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Sidney Porter	66	5	0	2	2
Milon Jones	60	4	1	0	1
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garland Benyard	48	9	4	5	0
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)	22	5	3	2	2
Jordan Miles	45	8	3	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Hallum	56	1	0	0	10
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6
Jayven Williams	29	2	2	1	4