Kansas at Illinois - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo   Kansas Jayhawks at Illinois Fighting Illini  Illinois logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kansas -4.5 (58.5) (-200)  Open: -5.0 | 55.5
Illinois 23 - Kansas: 17

 
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Illinois -5  (SP+ ILL -5)

Projected Score: KU: 25 - ILL: 30 (55)
KU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
KU Travel: 382 miles
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Kansas vs Lindenwood-48.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas at Illinois-4.558.5L 17 - 23UN
Fri 9/13 Kansas vs UNLV-7.057.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/21 Kansas at West Virginia+1.556.0L 28 - 32ON
Sat 9/28 Kansas vs TCU-1.558.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Kansas at Arizona State+2.550.0L 31 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Kansas vs Houston-4.545.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas at Kansas State+10.056.5L 27 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kansas vs Iowa State+2.550.5W 45 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 Kansas at BYU+3.055.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Kansas vs Colorado+2.559.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 Kansas at Baylor-2.562.5L 17 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Illinois vs Eastern Illinois-28.550.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Kansas+4.558.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Central Michigan-21.549.5W 30 - 9UN
Fri 9/20 Illinois at Nebraska+9.541.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/28 Illinois at Penn State+19.548.0L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Purdue-22.547.5W 50 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Michigan+6.044.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Oregon+22.554.0L 9 - 38UN
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Minnesota+2.547.0L 17 - 25UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Michigan State-2.047.5W 38 - 16OY
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Rutgers+2.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-8.542.5W 38 - 28OY
Tue 12/31 Illinois vs South Carolina+9.550.0W 21 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#5 (.4)48% (13)28.147% (28)3.42 (10)20651% (9)2404.43 (27)#83 (.2)45% (108)26.846% (101)44% (102)4.15 (102)56.91.31.5
ILL#66 (.2)45% (30)29.444% (56)3.31 (32)12548% (14)2663.9 (71)#85 (.2)44% (102)23.645% (87)45% (110)4.09 (96)62.41.91.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1328.121.848.1%4.431.3214462062405.459%40%47%51%13%.4
ILL Defense1223.614.444.4%4.091.3 - - - - - 51%49%45%45%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1326.833.244.9%4.151.5 - - - - - 52%48%46%44%15%.2
ILL Offense1229.431.345.5%3.91.9203911252663.845%53%44%48%20%.2

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1330:5521.548%37%5.656.91.31.54.61.8428.4
Illinois1228:2420.337%54%6.662.41.91.34.81.9226
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1359% (13)47% (28)38.42065.432 (10).24 (20)3.42 (10)75% (52)8% (30)1.06 (36)
ILL Defense1251% (75)45% (87) - - - - .15 (78)3.27 (104)73% (68)9% (100)0.89 (22)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1352% (95)46% (101) - - - - .2 (101)3.23 (99)78% (98)8% (111)1 (73)
ILL Offense1245% (103)44% (56)33125.13.812 (116).07 (108)3.31 (32)67% (109)12% (98)0.84 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1340% (122)51% (9)15.423.9240.11015.624 (41)11 (68).67 (1)1.9 (4)31% (52)35% (24).5 (18)5% (26)2.2 (20)
ILL Defense1249% (69)45% (110) - - - - - - 7 (111).28 (76)1.5 (21)31% (78)34% (114).3 (63)6% (62)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1348% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 14 (21).23 (47)1.5 (23)31% (75)30% (59).29 (51)7% (48)2 (50)
ILL Offense1253% (35)48% (14)21.834.5265.97.712.223 (51)13 (97).37 (35)1.5 (108)28% (14)33% (48).36 (63)9% (130)1.9 (108)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 6.04  #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66  #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87  #98
2024 Talent Rating: 343.00  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 6.04   Illinois: 10.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.9   Illinois: 9.6




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.69  #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25  #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87  #72
2024 Talent Rating: 328.00  #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6  #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 30
Kansas 25


Projected Total Points: 55
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Illinois23Kansas17Kansas -4.5Illinois58.5Under
202309/08Kansas34Illinois23Kansas -3.5Kansas57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois110 Overs
Kansas112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#41) KU at (#39) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #41 #39
SP+SP+ #50 #31
Perf GradeGrade #31 #38
OffenseOff #8 #38
DefenseDef #95 #50
Spec TeamsST #8 #47
TalentTal #60 #65
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #48
Kansas Notes
(12/7) Elevated Jim Zebrowski to OC (Co-OC/QB's)
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth
(7/30) 6 win floor, game 2 vs Illinois very interesting
Kansas Injury Report
Kansas on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #8 #50
SuccessSuc #13 #102
ExplosiveExp #7 #14
PPAPPA #5 #85
PowerPwr #3 #72
SP+SP+ #32 #26
Pts POPPO #27 #96
HavocHav #16 #87
Kansas Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffILL Def
Run GameRun #11 #102
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #87
Run ExplRExp #36 #22
PPAExp #20 #78
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLY #10 #104
Stuff RateStuff #25 #83
TackleTak -  #7
Kansas Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #51 #26
Pass SuccessPSuc #9 #110
Pass ExplPExl #4 #21
PPAExp #1 #76
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #14 #50
F7 HavocF7 #30 #100
DB HavocDB #26 #62
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatILL OffKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #95
SuccessSuc #30 #108
ExplosiveExp #113 #32
PPAPPA #66 #83
PowerPwr #47 #98
SP+SP+ #55 #68
Pts POPPO #71 #102
HavocHav #124 #95
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ILL OffKU Def
Run GameRun #47 #93
Run SuccessRSuc #56 #101
Run ExplRExp #125 #73
PPAExp #108 #101
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #32 #99
Stuff RateStuff #23 #127
TackleTak -  #101
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatILL OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #40 #86
Pass SuccessPSuc #14 #102
Pass ExplPExl #108 #23
PPAExp #35 #47
Pass Block/RushP Blk #87 #102
F7 HavocF7 #98 #111
DB HavocDB #130 #48
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Kansas 4.5 (58.5)
Illinois won vs Kansas this year (23-17)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Kansas in 2024 (23-17)
Kansas beat Illinois in 2023 (34-23)

  
KU's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels17130057%245414128.2
Cole Ballard5683%51108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2191266165.854
Jalon Daniels9344764.833
Daniel Hishaw Jr.6537635.832
Sevion Morrison2716426.138
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Grimm51690613.570
Quentin Skinner25557422.362
Lawrence Arnold26360113.840
Devin Neal24254110.651

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JB Brown7410552
Cornell Wheeler655004
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jereme Robinson219650
JB Brown7410552
Dean Miller3210543
Marvin Grant594316
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobee Bryant374107
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Donovan Leary2540%29005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)56658411.844
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
James Kreutz541021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr)425450
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Seth Coleman537353
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015