Kansas at Illinois - 2024 Matchup Preview

Kansas Jayhawks at Illinois Fighting Illini(#11)

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kansas -4.5 (58.5) (-200) Open: -5.0 | 55.5
Illinois 23 - Kansas: 17

Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ILL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Illinois -5 (SP+ ILL -5)
Projected Score: KU: 26 - ILL: 31 (57)
KU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
KU Travel: 382 miles

Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Kansas vs Lindenwood	-48.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas at Illinois	-4.5	58.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas vs UNLV	-7.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/21	Kansas at West Virginia	+1.5	56.0	L 28 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas vs TCU	-1.5	58.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Kansas at Arizona State	+2.5	50.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Kansas vs Houston	-4.5	45.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas at Kansas State	+10.0	56.5	L 27 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Kansas vs Iowa State	+2.5	50.5	W 45 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Kansas at BYU	+3.0	55.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kansas vs Colorado	+2.5	59.0	W 37 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas at Baylor	-2.5	62.5	L 17 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Illinois's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Illinois vs Eastern Illinois	-28.5	50.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Illinois vs Kansas	+4.5	58.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Illinois vs Central Michigan	-21.5	49.5	W 30 - 9	U	N
Fri 9/20	Illinois at Nebraska	+9.5	41.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Illinois at Penn State	+19.5	48.0	L 7 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Illinois vs Purdue	-22.5	47.5	W 50 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/19	Illinois vs Michigan	+6.0	44.0	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Illinois at Oregon	+22.5	54.0	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/2	Illinois vs Minnesota	+2.5	47.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Illinois vs Michigan State	-2.0	47.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Illinois at Rutgers	+2.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Illinois vs Northwestern	-8.5	42.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Tue 12/31	Illinois vs South Carolina	+9.5	50.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)	29.7	49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)	26	46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)	28.3	45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)	21.7	50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)		49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)		46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4
ILL	#31 (.25)	45% (45)		45% (51)	3.14 (49)	140	44% (44)	198	4.23 (39)	#76 (.18)	46% (115)		50% (127)	43% (90)	3.48 (37)	39	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	12	29.7	22.8	48.1%	4.68	1.4	22	421	213	209	5.6	58%	41%	49%	48%	12%	.32
ILL Defense	13	21.7	17.6	46.3%	3.48	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	50%	43%	13%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	12	26	29.5	44.5%	3.83	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	17%	.23
ILL Offense	13	28.3	32	44.6%	4.23	0.9	19	338	140	198	4.4	53%	47%	45%	44%	18%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	12	30:54	21.5	51%	67%	4.5	38.4	1.4	1.4	5.8	2.3	2	25.3
Illinois	13	26:52	18.7	44%	50%	5.1	39	0.9	1.5	3.8	2.2	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	12	58% (19)	49% (15)	37.8	212.7	5.6	29 (18)	.33 (4)	3.6 (3)	83% (8)	7% (20)	1.08 (29)
ILL Defense	13	48% (37)	50% (127)	-	-	-	-	.19 (108)	3.57 (132)	75% (75)	8% (120)	0.8 (5)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	12	50% (58)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.22 (117)	3.4 (124)	82% (117)	10% (62)	1 (78)
ILL Offense	13	53% (50)	45% (51)	31.8	140	4.4	20 (67)	.13 (67)	3.14 (49)	81% (17)	11% (107)	0.91 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	12	41% (122)	48% (11)	14.7	25.5	208.8	8.2	14.2	15 (98)	12 (85)	.38 (17)	1.6 (62)	30% (38)	36% (26)	.38 (51)	5% (31)	1.9 (117)
ILL Defense	13	52% (95)	43% (90)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.19 (44)	1.4 (17)	28% (117)	34% (111)	.37 (97)	6% (84)	1.9 (40)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	12	50% (72)	43% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.3 (101)	1.7 (110)	32% (60)	33% (104)	.29 (61)	7% (31)	2.1 (80)
ILL Offense	13	47% (83)	44% (44)	15.4	25.5	197.8	7.8	12.9	21 (51)	5 (6)	.38 (16)	1.8 (15)	31% (62)	31% (81)	.42 (31)	6% (82)	2.3 (5)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 6.04 #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 6.04 Illinois: 10.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.9 Illinois: 9.6

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 31
Kansas 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas 31
Illinois 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 29
Kansas 23

Total Points: 52

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Illinois	23	Kansas	17	Kansas -4.5	Illinois	58.5	Under
2023	09/08	Kansas	34	Illinois	23	Kansas -3.5	Kansas	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	1	1	0 Overs
Kansas	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#41) KU at (#39) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KU	ILL
Power RatePwr	#41	#39
SP+SP+	#50	#31
Perf GradeGrade	#31	#38
OffenseOff	#8	#38
DefenseDef	#95	#50
Spec TeamsST	#8	#47
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#48

Kansas Notes(12/7) Elevated Jim Zebrowski to OC (Co-OC/QB's)
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth
(7/30) 6 win floor, game 2 vs Illinois very interesting
Kansas Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Kansas on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	ILL Def
Perf GradePerf	#8	#50
SuccessSuc	#16	#115
ExplosiveExp	#63	#8
PPAPPA	#9	#76
PowerPwr	#3	#72
SP+SP+	#32	#26
Pts POPPO	#11	#37
HavocHav	#19	#117

Kansas Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#11	#102
Run SuccessRSuc	#15	#127
Run ExplRExp	#29	#5
PPAExp	#4	#108
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	#3	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#134
TackleTak	-	#7

Kansas Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#51	#26
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	#90
Pass ExplPExl	#62	#17
PPAExp	#17	#44
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#14	#50
F7 HavocF7	#20	#120
DB HavocDB	#31	#84

Illinois on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ILL Off	KU Def
Perf GradePerf	#38	#95
SuccessSuc	#45	#99
ExplosiveExp	#44	#101
PPAPPA	#31	#108
PowerPwr	#47	#98
SP+SP+	#55	#68
Pts POPPO	#39	#73
HavocHav	#103	#54

Illinois Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ILL Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#47	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#51	#104
Run ExplRExp	#95	#78
PPAExp	#67	#117
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#49	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#20	#118
TackleTak	-	#101

Illinois Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ILL Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#40	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	#44	#95
Pass ExplPExl	#15	#110
PPAExp	#16	#101
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#87	#102
F7 HavocF7	#107	#62
DB HavocDB	#82	#31

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 59° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Kansas 4.5 (58.5)
Illinois won vs Kansas this year (23-17)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Kansas last year (23-17)
Kansas beat Illinois in 2023 (34-23)

KU's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalon Daniels	171	300	57%	2454	14	12	8.2
Cole Ballard	5	6	83%	51	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Neal	219	1266	16	5.8	54
Jalon Daniels	93	447	6	4.8	33
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	65	376	3	5.8	32
Sevion Morrison	27	164	2	6.1	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Grimm	51	690	6	13.5	70
Quentin Skinner	25	557	4	22.3	62
Lawrence Arnold	26	360	1	13.8	40
Devin Neal	24	254	1	10.6	51

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JB Brown	74	10	5	5	2
Cornell Wheeler	65	5	0	0	4
O.J. Burroughs	64	4	0	0	6
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jereme Robinson	21	9	6	5	0
JB Brown	74	10	5	5	2
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacobee Bryant	37	4	1	0	7
O.J. Burroughs	64	4	0	0	6
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Luke Altmyer	211	347	61%	2717	22	6	7.8
Donovan Leary	2	5	40%	29	0	0	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua McCray	117	609	10	5.2	60
Aidan Laughery	97	589	4	6.1	64
Kaden Feagin	67	306	3	4.6	34
Luke Altmyer	99	217	4	2.2	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Patrick Bryant	53	978	10	18.5	64
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)	56	658	4	11.8	44
Hank Beatty	20	294	1	14.7	59
Collin Dixon	18	264	0	14.7	41

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Bailey	94	2	0	0	5
Gabe Jacas	71	13	8	9	0
Dylan Rosiek	61	3	2	0	1
James Kreutz	54	1	0	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gabe Jacas	71	13	8	9	0
Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr)	42	5	4	5	0
Te-Rah Edwards	38	5	3	7	0
Seth Coleman	53	7	3	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Scott	49	2	1	0	6
Matthew Bailey	94	2	0	0	5
Jaheim Clarke	34	1	0	1	5