Colorado at Kansas - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Colorado -2.5 (59.0) (-145) Open: -2.5 | 59.5
Kansas 37 - Colorado: 21 (Big 12)

Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Colorado -5.5 (SP+ COLO -3)
Projected Score: COLO: 31 - KU: 26 (57)
COLO Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
COLO Travel: 578 miles, 1 hrs behind

Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
KU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Colorado vs North Dakota State	-9.0	59.0	W 31 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/7	Colorado at Nebraska	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/14	Colorado at Colorado State	-7.5	58.5	W 28 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Colorado vs Baylor	-2.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Colorado at UCF	+12.5	60.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Colorado vs Kansas State	+3.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Colorado at Arizona	+2.5	57.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Colorado vs Cincinnati	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Colorado at Texas Tech	-5.0	62.0	W 41 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Colorado vs Utah	-13.5	43.5	W 49 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Colorado vs Kansas	-2.5	59.0	L 21 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/29	Colorado vs Oklahoma State	-14.5	66.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Colorado vs BYU	-3.0	55.5	L 14 - 36	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Kansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Kansas vs Lindenwood	-48.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas at Illinois	-4.5	58.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas vs UNLV	-7.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/21	Kansas at West Virginia	+1.5	56.0	L 28 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas vs TCU	-1.5	58.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Kansas at Arizona State	+2.5	50.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Kansas vs Houston	-4.5	45.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas at Kansas State	+10.0	56.5	L 27 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Kansas vs Iowa State	+2.5	50.5	W 45 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Kansas at BYU	+3.0	55.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kansas vs Colorado	+2.5	59.0	W 37 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas at Baylor	-2.5	62.5	L 17 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#58 (.21)	41% (77)	20.9	36% (127)	3.08 (75)	69	44% (45)	295	4.24 (33)	#123 (.3)	47% (128)	30.5	48% (115)	48% (128)	4.29 (113)	71.2	0.9	1.8
KU	#5 (.4)	48% (13)	28.1	47% (28)	3.42 (10)	206	51% (9)	240	4.43 (27)	#83 (.2)	45% (108)	26.8	46% (101)	44% (102)	4.15 (102)	56.9	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	20.9	16.8	41.4%	4.24	0.9	21	364	69	295	2.3	35%	65%	36%	44%	17%	.21
KU Defense	13	26.8	22.1	44.9%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	44%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	30.5	35.4	47.4%	4.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	48%	48%	16%	.3
KU Offense	13	28.1	32.6	48.1%	4.43	1.3	21	446	206	240	5.4	59%	40%	47%	51%	13%	.4

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	27:34	21.2	38%	67%	8.9	71.2	0.9	1.8	5.5	2.3	1	28.7
Kansas	13	30:55	21.5	48%	37%	5.6	56.9	1.3	1.5	4.6	1.8	4	28.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	35% (131)	36% (127)	29.8	68.9	2.3	12 (116)	-.01 (127)	3.08 (75)	73% (76)	12% (111)	0.94 (98)
KU Defense	13	52% (95)	46% (101)	-	-	-	-	.2 (101)	3.23 (99)	78% (98)	8% (111)	1 (73)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	48% (45)	48% (115)	-	-	-	-	.24 (114)	3.14 (78)	88% (130)	10% (68)	1.03 (87)
KU Offense	13	59% (13)	47% (28)	38.4	206	5.4	32 (10)	.24 (20)	3.42 (10)	75% (52)	8% (30)	1.06 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	65% (1)	44% (45)	26.9	39.5	294.7	7.5	11	29 (18)	4 (2)	.32 (53)	1.5 (87)	34% (106)	34% (34)	.52 (15)	5% (40)	2.2 (22)
KU Defense	13	48% (43)	44% (102)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.23 (47)	1.5 (23)	31% (75)	30% (59)	.29 (51)	7% (48)	2 (50)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	51% (95)	48% (128)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (116)	1.5 (49)	30% (99)	39% (131)	.51 (128)	6% (84)	2 (66)
KU Offense	13	40% (122)	51% (9)	15.4	23.9	240.1	10	15.6	24 (41)	11 (68)	.67 (1)	1.9 (4)	31% (52)	35% (24)	.5 (18)	5% (26)	2.2 (20)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.48 #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
2024 Talent Rating: 380.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 13.48 Kansas: 5.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 8.1 Kansas: 4.9

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 5.47 #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
2024 Talent Rating: 343.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 31
Kansas 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Kansas	37	Colorado	21	Colorado -2.5	Kansas	59.0	Under
2010	11/06	Kansas	52	Colorado	45
2009	10/17	Colorado	34	Kansas	30
2008	10/11	Kansas	30	Colorado	14
2007	10/20	Colorado	14	Kansas	19
2006	10/28	Kansas	20	Colorado	15
2005	10/22	Colorado	44	Kansas	13
2004	11/06	Kansas	21	Colorado	30
2003	10/11	Colorado	50	Kansas	47
2002	10/12	Kansas	29	Colorado	53
2001	09/22	Colorado	27	Kansas	16
2000	10/20	Kansas	23	Colorado	15

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas	6	1	0 Overs
Colorado	6	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 3	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 9	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#18) COLO at (#41) KU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	KU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#18	#41
SP+SP+	#39	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#31
OffenseOff	#26	#8
DefenseDef	#39	#95
Spec TeamsST	#87	#8
TalentTal	#45	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	#26	#65

Colorado Notes(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
(10/13) Star WR/CB Hunter left K St game (inj)
Colorado Injury Report

Kansas Notes(12/7) Elevated Jim Zebrowski to OC (Co-OC/QB's)
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth
(7/30) 6 win floor, game 2 vs Illinois very interesting
Kansas Injury Report

Colorado on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	KU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#26	#95
SuccessSuc	#77	#108
ExplosiveExp	#30	#32
PPAPPA	#58	#83
PowerPwr	#36	#98
SP+SP+	#27	#68
Pts POPPO	#33	#102
HavocHav	#90	#95

Colorado Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#101
Run ExplRExp	#98	#73
PPAExp	#127	#101
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	#75	#99
Stuff RateStuff	#44	#127
TackleTak	-	#101

Colorado Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	#45	#102
Pass ExplPExl	#87	#23
PPAExp	#53	#47
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#47	#102
F7 HavocF7	#111	#111
DB HavocDB	#40	#48

Kansas on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#39
SuccessSuc	#13	#128
ExplosiveExp	#7	#73
PPAPPA	#5	#123
PowerPwr	#3	#15
SP+SP+	#32	#45
Pts POPPO	#27	#113
HavocHav	#16	#82

Kansas Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#11	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#28	#115
Run ExplRExp	#36	#87
PPAExp	#20	#114
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	#10	#78
Stuff RateStuff	#25	#68
TackleTak	-	#72

Kansas Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#51	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#9	#128
Pass ExplPExl	#4	#49
PPAExp	#1	#116
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#14	#33
F7 HavocF7	#30	#68
DB HavocDB	#26	#84

Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arrowhead Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Colorado 2.5 (59.0)
Kansas won vs Colorado this year (37-21)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Colorado in 2024 (37-21)

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7
Ryan Staub	0	4	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)	85	384	4	4.5	37
Dallan Hayden (Tr)	64	196	1	3.1	27
Micah Welch	43	186	4	4.3	25
Charlie Offerdahl	26	119	1	4.6	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter	96	1258	15	13.1	58
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)	74	931	10	12.6	69
Will Sheppard (Tr)	48	621	6	12.9	47
Jimmy Horn Jr.	37	441	1	11.9	69

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Shilo Sanders	64	3	1	0	2
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
B.J. Green II	32	12	8	5
Arden Walker	33	7	5	2
Taje Mccoy	24	4	4	2
Keaten Wade (Tr)	20	7	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter	35	1	0	11
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	8
Carter Stoutmire	42	1	2	7

KU's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalon Daniels	171	300	57%	2454	14	12	8.2
Cole Ballard	5	6	83%	51	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Neal	219	1266	16	5.8	54
Jalon Daniels	93	447	6	4.8	33
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	65	376	3	5.8	32
Sevion Morrison	27	164	2	6.1	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Grimm	51	690	6	13.5	70
Quentin Skinner	25	557	4	22.3	62
Lawrence Arnold	26	360	1	13.8	40
Devin Neal	24	254	1	10.6	51

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JB Brown	74	10	5	5	2
Cornell Wheeler	65	5	0	0	4
O.J. Burroughs	64	4	0	0	6
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jereme Robinson	21	9	6	5	0
JB Brown	74	10	5	5	2
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacobee Bryant	37	4	1	0	7
O.J. Burroughs	64	4	0	0	6
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6