Colorado at Arizona - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -2.5 (57.5) (-135) Open: -4.0
Colorado 34 - Arizona: 7 (Big 12)

Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (32 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -13.5 (SP+ COLO -11)
Projected Score: COLO: 34 - ARIZ: 21 (55)
ARIZ Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
COLO Travel: 624 miles

Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Colorado vs North Dakota State	-9.0	59.0	W 31 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/7	Colorado at Nebraska	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/14	Colorado at Colorado State	-7.5	58.5	W 28 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Colorado vs Baylor	-2.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Colorado at UCF	+12.5	60.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Colorado vs Kansas State	+3.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Colorado at Arizona	+2.5	57.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Colorado vs Cincinnati	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Colorado at Texas Tech	-5.0	62.0	W 41 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Colorado vs Utah	-13.5	43.5	W 49 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Colorado vs Kansas	-2.5	59.0	L 21 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/29	Colorado vs Oklahoma State	-14.5	66.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Colorado vs BYU	-3.0	55.5	L 14 - 36	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Arizona's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arizona vs New Mexico	-28.0	60.0	W 61 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-43.0	65.0	W 22 - 10	U	N
Fri 9/13	Arizona at Kansas State	+7.0	58.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Arizona at Utah	+7.5	47.0	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Arizona vs Texas Tech	-6.0	64.0	L 22 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/12	Arizona at BYU	+3.0	48.5	L 19 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/19	Arizona vs Colorado	-2.5	57.5	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arizona vs West Virginia	-5.5	51.5	L 26 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/2	Arizona at UCF	+6.5	55.0	L 12 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Arizona vs Houston	-1.0	46.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arizona at TCU	+10.5	60.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Arizona vs Arizona State	+7.5	52.5	L 7 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)	32.9	44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)	23.1	40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)	21.8	37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)	31.8	45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)		44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)		40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)		37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)		45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	13	32.9	32.2	44.5%	4.34	0.9	20	368	66	302	2.7	37%	63%	44%	45%	17%	.24
ARIZ Defense	12	31.8	27.7	44.6%	4.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	45%	44%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	13	23.1	18.4	38.4%	3.3	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	40%	36%	20%	.09
ARIZ Offense	12	21.8	24.6	38.5%	3.53	1.7	19	355	107	248	3.9	39%	61%	37%	40%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	13	26:03	19.7	41%	40%	7.1	62.8	0.9	1.8	6.7	2.8	2	31.4
Arizona	12	29:45	18.5	43%	42%	6.5	57.6	1.7	1.2	4.8	1.7	0	27.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	13	37% (133)	44% (73)	24.2	66	2.7	15 (96)	.08 (94)	2.76 (110)	82% (16)	11% (104)	0.86 (121)
ARIZ Defense	12	51% (73)	45% (90)	-	-	-	-	.18 (100)	3.32 (115)	78% (99)	9% (94)	1.08 (109)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	13	53% (93)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.06 (37)	2.87 (47)	78% (98)	12% (19)	1.06 (100)
ARIZ Offense	12	39% (127)	37% (126)	27.4	106.7	3.9	11 (116)	.03 (112)	2.64 (123)	55% (134)	9% (59)	1.21 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	13	63% (2)	45% (34)	25.9	35.2	302	8.6	11.7	35 (3)	8 (40)	.34 (32)	1.6 (53)	33% (96)	35% (27)	.47 (18)	6% (78)	2.1 (54)
ARIZ Defense	12	48% (61)	44% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.31 (103)	1.6 (66)	31% (88)	32% (95)	.39 (101)	5% (93)	2.2 (105)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	13	47% (46)	36% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.13 (24)	1.6 (61)	35% (25)	29% (50)	.24 (41)	8% (18)	1.9 (31)
ARIZ Offense	12	61% (8)	40% (91)	21.8	36.4	247.9	6.8	11.4	18 (68)	13 (103)	.22 (88)	1.6 (44)	36% (124)	31% (70)	.33 (71)	6% (88)	2.1 (35)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.48 #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 13.48 Arizona: -2.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 8.1 Arizona: -2.8

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -2.755 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.4

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 34
Arizona 21

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado 32
Arizona 19

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Colorado 31
Arizona 22

Total Points: 53

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Colorado	17	Arizona	52	Arizona -4	Arizona	52.5	Over
2024	10/19	Arizona	7	Colorado	34	Arizona -2.5	Colorado	57.5	Under
2023	11/11	Colorado	31	Arizona	34	Arizona -6	Colorado	55.5	Over
2022	10/01	Arizona	43	Colorado	20	Arizona -17.5	Arizona	57.5	Over
2021	10/16	Colorado	34	Arizona	0	Colorado -6.0	Colorado	46.5	Under
2020	12/05	Arizona	13	Colorado	24	Colorado -9.5	Colorado	57.0	Under
2019	10/05	Colorado	30	Arizona	35	Colorado -2.5	Arizona	63.5	Over
2018	11/02	Arizona	42	Colorado	34	Arizona -3	Arizona	57.0	Over
2017	10/07	Colorado	42	Arizona	45	Colorado -7	Arizona	58.5	Over
2016	11/12	Arizona	24	Colorado	49	Colorado -16.5	Colorado	61.0	Over
2015	10/17	Colorado	31	Arizona	38	Arizona -7	NA	67.5	Over
2014	11/08	Arizona	38	Colorado	20	Arizona -15.5	Arizona	0
2013	10/26	Colorado	20	Arizona	44	Arizona -16.5	Arizona	0
2012	11/10	Arizona	56	Colorado	31
2011	11/12	Colorado	48	Arizona	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	10	7	8 Overs
Colorado	5	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 9	5 - 7	4 - 3	1 - 4
Road Teams	9 - 6	7 - 5	4 - 1	3 - 4

(#18) COLO at (#90) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	ARIZ
Power RatePwr	#18	#90
SP+SP+	#39	#82
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#99
OffenseOff	#26	#82
DefenseDef	#39	#118
Spec TeamsST	#87	#53
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#26	#41

Colorado Notes(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
(10/13) Star WR/CB Hunter left K St game (inj)
Colorado Injury Report

Arizona Notes(12/13) Hired OC Seth Doege (Marsh/Purdue/USC)
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)
(10/1) Great W (Utah), Rgame was good, Run D was great
Arizona Injury Report

Colorado on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
Perf GradePerf	#26	#118
SuccessSuc	#48	#100
ExplosiveExp	#31	#96
PPAPPA	#35	#109
PowerPwr	#36	#104
SP+SP+	#27	#84
Pts POPPO	#28	#125
HavocHav	#97	#99

Colorado Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#98	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	#73	#90
Run ExplRExp	#121	#109
PPAExp	#94	#100
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#115
Stuff RateStuff	#106	#102
TackleTak	-	#127

Colorado Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#114
Pass SuccessPSuc	#34	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#66
PPAExp	#32	#103
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#47	#75
F7 HavocF7	#104	#94
DB HavocDB	#78	#93

Arizona on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
Perf GradePerf	#82	#39
SuccessSuc	#117	#30
ExplosiveExp	#3	#76
PPAPPA	#93	#22
PowerPwr	#87	#15
SP+SP+	#90	#45
Pts POPPO	#101	#21
HavocHav	#65	#13

Arizona Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#92	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#43
Run ExplRExp	#6	#100
PPAExp	#112	#37
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#123	#47
Stuff RateStuff	#133	#51
TackleTak	-	#72

Arizona Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#61
PPAExp	#88	#24
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#16	#33
F7 HavocF7	#59	#19
DB HavocDB	#88	#18

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67°

Rematch from Week 8
Arizona -2.5 (57.5)
Colorado won at Arizona this year (34-7)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Arizona last year (34-7)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2023 (34-31)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2022 (43-20)

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7
Ryan Staub	0	4	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)	85	384	4	4.5	37
Dallan Hayden (Tr)	64	196	1	3.1	27
Micah Welch	43	186	4	4.3	25
Charlie Offerdahl	26	119	1	4.6	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter	96	1258	15	13.1	58
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)	74	931	10	12.6	69
Will Sheppard (Tr)	48	621	6	12.9	47
Jimmy Horn Jr.	37	441	1	11.9	69

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Shilo Sanders	64	3	1	0	2
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
B.J. Green II	32	12	8	5
Arden Walker	33	7	5	2
Taje Mccoy	24	4	4	2
Keaten Wade (Tr)	20	7	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter	35	1	0	11
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	8
Carter Stoutmire	42	1	2	7

ARIZ's OC Dino Babers (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	260	430	61%	2958	18	12	6.9
Cole Tannenbaum	1	5	20%	3	0	1	0.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quali Conley (Tr)	150	745	8	5.0	58
Kedrick Reescano (Tr)	78	359	1	4.6	56
Jacory Merritt	13	106	1	8.2	36
Kayden Luke	5	20	0	4.0	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	84	1319	8	15.7	78
Chris Hunter	35	323	3	9.2	45
Quali Conley (Tr)	39	245	1	6.3	16
Keyan Burnett	18	217	1	12.1	35

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Duane Akina (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalton Johnson	78	5	0	0	2
Taye Brown	64	4	3	1	2
Genesis Smith	60	4	0	0	6
Owen Goss (Tr)	49	4	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre Smith (Tr)	48	7	5	2	0
Taye Brown	64	4	3	1	2
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei	33	7	3	3	1
Chase Kennedy (Tr)	17	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Genesis Smith	60	4	0	6
Tacario Davis	39	2	1	6
Emmanuel Karnley	14	0	0	5