Arizona Wildcats at UCF Knights
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
UCF -6.5 (55.0) (-225) Open: -4.0
UCF 56 - Arizona: 12 (Big 12)
Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 15 MPH
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
UCF is playing their 6th straight game
ARIZ is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UCF -9.5 (SP+ UCF -6)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 23 - UCF: 32 (55)
UCF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ARIZ Travel: 1785 miles, 3 hrs behind
Wind: 15 MPH
UCF 2nd straight Home Game
UCF is playing their 6th straight game
ARIZ is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UCF -9.5 (SP+ UCF -6)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 23 - UCF: 32 (55)
UCF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ARIZ Travel: 1785 miles, 3 hrs behind
Knights (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (33 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
| Arizona's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Arizona vs New Mexico | -28.0 | 60.0 | W 61 - 39 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Arizona vs Northern Arizona | -43.0 | 65.0 | W 22 - 10 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/13 | Arizona at Kansas State | +7.0 | 58.0 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Arizona at Utah | +7.5 | 47.0 | W 23 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Arizona vs Texas Tech | -6.0 | 64.0 | L 22 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Arizona at BYU | +3.0 | 48.5 | L 19 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Arizona vs Colorado | -2.5 | 57.5 | L 7 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Arizona vs West Virginia | -5.5 | 51.5 | L 26 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Arizona at UCF | +6.5 | 55.0 | L 12 - 56 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Arizona vs Houston | -1.0 | 46.5 | W 27 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Arizona at TCU | +10.5 | 60.0 | L 28 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Arizona vs Arizona State | +7.5 | 52.5 | L 7 - 49 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| UCF's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | UCF vs New Hampshire | -38.5 | 58.5 | W 57 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | UCF vs Sam Houston | -21.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | UCF at TCU | +1.5 | 61.5 | W 35 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | UCF vs Colorado | -12.5 | 60.5 | L 21 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | UCF at Florida | -1.0 | 62.0 | L 13 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | UCF vs Cincinnati | -2.0 | 58.0 | L 13 - 19 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | UCF at Iowa State | +13.0 | 49.5 | L 35 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | UCF vs BYU | -2.5 | 53.5 | L 24 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | UCF vs Arizona | -6.5 | 55.0 | W 56 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | UCF at Arizona State | +2.5 | 55.5 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | UCF at West Virginia | -3.0 | 60.0 | L 21 - 31 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | UCF vs Utah | -9.5 | 45.5 | L 14 - 28 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | #10 (.34) | 51% (6) | 21.8 | 52% (5) | 3.26 (40) | 140 | 50% (10) | 308 | 4.42 (29) | #57 (.16) | 42% (67) | 31.8 | 43% (71) | 41% (62) | 3.37 (29) | 53 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| UCF | #16 (.31) | 45% (41) | 30.4 | 47% (27) | 3.28 (36) | 228 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.76 (80) | #58 (.16) | 47% (125) | 26.9 | 51% (128) | 43% (80) | 3.79 (69) | 50.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| UCF | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ Offense | 13 | 21.8 | 17.8 | 50.6% | 4.42 | 1.1 | 23 | 448 | 140 | 308 | 4.6 | 43% | 57% | 52% | 50% | 14% | .34 |
| UCF Defense | 13 | 26.9 | 23 | 46.6% | 3.79 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 43% | 51% | 43% | 12% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ Defense | 13 | 31.8 | 37.4 | 41.9% | 3.37 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 43% | 41% | 17% | .16 |
| UCF Offense | 13 | 30.4 | 32.9 | 44.9% | 3.76 | 1.4 | 23 | 487 | 228 | 259 | 5.6 | 56% | 43% | 47% | 43% | 15% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 13 | 30:50 | 23 | 49% | 67% | 6.3 | 53 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 29.9 |
| UCF | 13 | 28:52 | 23.1 | 49% | 57% | 6.1 | 50.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0 | 26.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ Offense | 13 | 43% (112) | 52% (5) | 30.6 | 139.7 | 4.6 | 17 (81) | .21 (34) | 3.26 (40) | 74% (68) | 9% (38) | 0.9 (109) |
| UCF Defense | 13 | 56% (121) | 51% (128) | - | - | - | - | .23 (110) | 3.39 (117) | 81% (111) | 7% (127) | 0.99 (62) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ Defense | 13 | 46% (21) | 43% (71) | - | - | - | - | .12 (58) | 3 (50) | 75% (82) | 11% (54) | 0.97 (51) |
| UCF Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 47% (27) | 40.7 | 228.2 | 5.6 | 28 (25) | .24 (19) | 3.28 (36) | 71% (93) | 9% (48) | 1.14 (10) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ Offense | 13 | 57% (20) | 50% (10) | 25.5 | 35.7 | 308.3 | 8.6 | 12.1 | 36 (5) | 11 (68) | .47 (15) | 1.6 (68) | 29% (19) | 41% (6) | .54 (13) | 6% (69) | 2 (103) |
| UCF Defense | 13 | 43% (11) | 43% (80) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .17 (17) | 1.4 (4) | 29% (120) | 34% (113) | .23 (33) | 5% (120) | 1.7 (1) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ Defense | 13 | 53% (115) | 41% (62) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (87) | .26 (57) | 1.5 (48) | 34% (38) | 32% (95) | .25 (38) | 6% (60) | 2 (36) |
| UCF Offense | 13 | 43% (111) | 43% (57) | 17.6 | 28.2 | 258.8 | 9.2 | 14.7 | 24 (41) | 11 (68) | .48 (12) | 1.9 (5) | 30% (30) | 37% (15) | .52 (17) | 6% (51) | 2.2 (27) |
Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Arizona's Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -7.71 UCF: 4.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -2.8 UCF: 2.8
Arizona: -7.71 UCF: 4.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -2.8 UCF: 2.8
UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 4.39 #58
UCF's Offense Rating: 20.19 #64
UCF's Defense Rating: 9.20 #67
2024 Talent Rating: 796.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
UCF's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UCF's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
UCF's Power Rating: 4.39 #58
UCF's Offense Rating: 20.19 #64
UCF's Defense Rating: 9.20 #67
2024 Talent Rating: 796.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
UCF's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UCF's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4
Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4
Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 32
Arizona 23
Projected Total Points: 55
UCF 32
Arizona 23
Projected Total Points: 55
UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
UCF's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
UCF's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | UCF | 56 | Arizona | 12 | UCF | UCF -6.5 | UCF | 55.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 1 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Arizona | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 1 |
(#90) Arizona Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arizona Notes
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Arizona Notes
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)
Power #90
#58Off #87
#64Def #104
#67Talent #64
#31SP+ #82
#61SP+ Off #90
#55SP+ Def #84
#61Rematch from Week 10
UCF -6.5 (55.0)
UCF won vs Arizona this year (56-12)
Previous Matchups
UCF beat Arizona last year (56-12)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 73° - Wind: 15 mph
Rain: 0.016
Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | UCF
Depth Chart: ARIZ | UCF
Rosters: ARIZ | UCF
(#58) UCF Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.39 #58
Offense Rating: 20.19 #64
Defense Rating: 9.20 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 796.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCF Notes
(12/7) Hired HC Scott Frost again (Rams analyst '24)
(12/2) HC Malzahn leaving for FSU OC job. Yikes
(11/23) Even w/ WVU, R Def faded, bad 3rd/4th cost
(11/13) WTF L to ASU, OG's them by 150, Off good
(11/13) ST's disaster vs ASU, blk punt TD, miss FG
(11/2) Found a QB, Rizk great vs Az, Rgame great TW
(10/28) DC Roof fired, co-dc Williams takes over
(10/21) QB J. Brown starter from ISU game forward
(10/14) Benched KJ for Jacurri Brown, was ok/mobile in L
(10/12) Even w/ Cincy, OG'd them but Rzone issues cost
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.39 #58
Offense Rating: 20.19 #64
Defense Rating: 9.20 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 796.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.37 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCF Notes
(12/7) Hired HC Scott Frost again (Rams analyst '24)
(12/2) HC Malzahn leaving for FSU OC job. Yikes
(11/23) Even w/ WVU, R Def faded, bad 3rd/4th cost
(11/13) WTF L to ASU, OG's them by 150, Off good
(11/13) ST's disaster vs ASU, blk punt TD, miss FG
(11/2) Found a QB, Rizk great vs Az, Rgame great TW
(10/28) DC Roof fired, co-dc Williams takes over
(10/21) QB J. Brown starter from ISU game forward
(10/14) Benched KJ for Jacurri Brown, was ok/mobile in L
(10/12) Even w/ Cincy, OG'd them but Rzone issues cost
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Fifita | 260 | 430 | 61% | 2958 | 18 | 12 | 6.9 |
| Cole Tannenbaum | 1 | 5 | 20% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quali Conley (Tr) | 150 | 745 | 8 | 5.0 | 58 |
| Kedrick Reescano (Tr) | 78 | 359 | 1 | 4.6 | 56 |
| Jacory Merritt | 13 | 106 | 1 | 8.2 | 36 |
| Kayden Luke | 5 | 20 | 0 | 4.0 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hunter | 35 | 323 | 3 | 9.2 | 45 |
| Quali Conley (Tr) | 39 | 245 | 1 | 6.3 | 16 |
| Keyan Burnett | 18 | 217 | 1 | 12.1 | 35 |
| Jeremiah Patterson | 26 | 196 | 2 | 7.5 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Johnson | 78 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Taye Brown | 64 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Genesis Smith | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Owen Goss (Tr) | 49 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Smith (Tr) | 48 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Taye Brown | 64 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei | 33 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Chase Kennedy (Tr) | 17 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genesis Smith | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Tacario Davis | 39 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Emmanuel Karnley | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Rizk | 73 | 118 | 62% | 915 | 5 | 2 | 7.8 |
| KJ Jefferson (Tr) | 64 | 108 | 59% | 1012 | 7 | 4 | 9.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacurri Brown (Tr) | 53 | 401 | 4 | 7.6 | 67 |
| Myles Montgomery (Tr) | 51 | 293 | 3 | 5.7 | 25 |
| Peny Boone (Tr) | 34 | 208 | 2 | 6.1 | 59 |
| KJ Jefferson (Tr) | 61 | 193 | 2 | 3.2 | 23 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Pittman | 32 | 416 | 2 | 13.0 | 48 |
| Jacoby Jones (Tr) | 22 | 327 | 2 | 14.9 | 40 |
| Chauncey Magwood | 5 | 102 | 0 | 20.4 | 34 |
| Xavier Townsend | 10 | 69 | 1 | 6.9 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Barr | 72 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Xe'Ree Alexander (Tr) | 68 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Deshawn Pace (Tr) | 61 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nyjalik Kelly (Tr) | 53 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyjalik Kelly (Tr) | 53 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Malachi Lawrence | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Daylan Dotson (Tr) | 31 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Lee Hunter | 44 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Jackson | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Braeden Marshall | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Ethan Barr | 72 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |