Oklahoma State at Colorado - 2024 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Friday, November 29th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Colorado -14.5 (66.5) (-700)  Open: -16.5 | 64.5
Colorado 52 - Oklahoma State: 0  (Big 12)

 
Cowboys (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (166 - 79)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (24 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
COLO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -14.5   (SP+ COLO -11)

Projected Score: OKST: 24 - COLO: 39 (59)
COLO Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
OKST Travel: 520 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Oklahoma State vs South Dakota State-9.554.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/7 Oklahoma State vs Arkansas-10.560.5W 39 - 31ON
Sat 9/14 Oklahoma State at Tulsa-17.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 Oklahoma State vs Utah+1.053.5L 19 - 22UN
Sat 9/28 Oklahoma State at Kansas State+6.058.0L 20 - 42ON
Sat 10/5 Oklahoma State vs West Virginia-2.565.0L 14 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Oklahoma State at BYU+8.553.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 10/26 Oklahoma State at Baylor+7.064.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 11/2 Oklahoma State vs Arizona State+5.057.0L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/9 Oklahoma State at TCU+10.568.5L 13 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+5.063.5L 48 - 56ON
Fri 11/29 Oklahoma State at Colorado+14.566.5L 0 - 52UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Colorado vs North Dakota State-9.059.0W 31 - 26UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado at Nebraska+6.555.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 9/14 Colorado at Colorado State-7.558.5W 28 - 9UY
Sat 9/21 Colorado vs Baylor-2.552.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 Colorado at UCF+12.560.5W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Colorado vs Kansas State+3.554.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 10/19 Colorado at Arizona+2.557.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado vs Cincinnati-6.057.0W 34 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Colorado at Texas Tech-5.062.0W 41 - 27OY
Sat 11/16 Colorado vs Utah-13.543.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 Colorado vs Kansas-2.559.0L 21 - 37UN
Fri 11/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-14.566.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Colorado vs BYU-3.055.5L 14 - 36UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 4, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#69 (.19)43% (53)27.242% (78)2.84 (115)15545% (33)2773.92 (63)#116 (.26)40% (43)35.639% (33)42% (71)4.22 (107)41.41.61.6
COLO#58 (.21)41% (77)32.936% (127)3.08 (75)6944% (45)2954.24 (33)#123 (.3)47% (128)23.148% (115)48% (128)4.29 (113)71.20.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1427.223.543.3%3.921.6224321552774.842%57%42%45%14%.19
COLO Defense1223.122.547.4%4.291.8 - - - - - 48%51%48%48%16%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1435.636.340.1%4.221.6 - - - - - 50%50%39%42%15%.26
COLO Offense1232.938.741.4%4.240.921364692952.335%65%36%44%17%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1429:5621.638%55%541.41.61.65.71.8130.3
Colorado1227:3421.238%67%8.971.20.91.85.52.3128.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1442% (118)42% (78)32.1155.24.829 (22).14 (78)2.84 (115)65% (120)7% (9)1.1 (22)
COLO Defense1248% (45)48% (115) - - - - .24 (114)3.14 (78)88% (130)10% (68)1.03 (87)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1450% (63)39% (33) - - - - .15 (74)3 (49)76% (87)11% (48)1.17 (123)
COLO Offense1235% (131)36% (127)29.868.92.312 (116)-.01 (127)3.08 (75)73% (76)12% (111)0.94 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1457% (15)45% (33)24.640.7276.56.811.318 (81)16 (121).27 (71)1.5 (113)31% (55)34% (36).34 (66)7% (101)1.9 (114)
COLO Defense1251% (95)48% (128) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (116)1.5 (49)30% (99)39% (131).51 (128)6% (84)2 (66)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1450% (74)42% (71) - - - - - - 12 (37).4 (119)1.9 (131)36% (11)28% (32).29 (52)4% (127)2.3 (122)
COLO Offense1265% (1)44% (45)26.939.5294.77.51129 (18)4 (2).32 (53)1.5 (87)34% (106)34% (34).52 (15)5% (40)2.2 (22)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 0.59 #59
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 25.18 #18
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 834.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Oklahoma State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 0.59   Colorado: 13.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -2.6   Colorado: 8.1




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.29 #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
2024 Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.5
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Oklahoma State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 39
Oklahoma State 24


Projected Total Points: 59
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Colorado52Oklahoma State0ColoradoColorado -14.5Colorado66.5Under
201612/29Colorado8Oklahoma State38Oklahoma StateColorado -2Oklahoma State64.0Under
200911/19Oklahoma State31Colorado28Oklahoma State
200811/15Colorado17Oklahoma State30Oklahoma State
200510/01Oklahoma State0Colorado34Colorado
200410/09Colorado14Oklahoma State42Oklahoma State
200110/27Oklahoma State19Colorado22Colorado
200010/27Colorado37Oklahoma State21Colorado
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado410 Overs
Oklahoma State412 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 51 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams5 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#59) Oklahoma State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.59 #59
Offense Rating: 25.18 #18
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102
Talent Rating: 834.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oklahoma State Notes
(11/29) What does Gundy do to reset? Or does he?
(11/29) Killed by Buffs 52-0. OG'd 471-147. QB/RB awful
(11/29) 18 yr bowl streak over, was 2nd longest in CFB
(11/23) Fight w/ TT, QB Smith great, Def abysmal
(11/13) Quit. Awful vs TCU, Def is shockingly awful
(11/3) Pokes Def is worst in P4 and near worst in CFB
(11/2) Team has Quit. Have all 40 ppg in B12 play.
(10/19) Rangel inj vs BYU, out 'a while'. Bowman back
(10/19) Monitor for quit watch after BYU collapse
(10/18) QB Bowman benched, SO Rangel (FR Flores?)
Oklahoma State     Ratings Matchup     Colorado
Power #59
#18
Off #18
#36
Def #105
#15
Talent #25
#54
SP+ #81
#39
SP+ Off #53
#27
SP+ Def #102
#45

Rematch from Week 14
Colorado -14.5 (66.5)
Colorado won vs Oklahoma State this year (52-0)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Oklahoma State last year (52-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 34°

Team Information
Injuries: OKST | COLO
Depth Chart: OKST | COLO
Rosters: OKST | COLO
(#18) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.29 #18
Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45
Talent Rating: 718.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Colorado Notes
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok


  
Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maealiuaki Smith447559%499246.7
Garret Rangel173352%192215.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trenten Howland4123015.623
Sesi Vailahi429922.411
Rodney Fields Jr.219914.722
Garret Rangel991010.154
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
De'Zhaun Stribling52892617.277
Talyn Shettron12245120.478
Da'Wain Lofton (Tr)6140023.356
Josh Ford109219.226

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Bryan Nardo
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendal Daniels6411637
Jeff Roberson589370
Parker Robertson492001
Obi Ezeigbo (Tr)429340
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendal Daniels6411637
Obi Ezeigbo (Tr)429340
Jeff Roberson589370
Jaleel Johnson213240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendal Daniels6411637
Cam Smith341007
Kale Smith310005

Colorado's OC Pat Shurmur
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)8538444.537
Dallan Hayden (Tr)6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)749311012.669
Will Sheppard (Tr)48621612.947
Drelon Miller3227738.749
Omarion Miller10216121.658

View Colorado's Full Roster
Colorado's DC Robert Livingston
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027
Arden Walker337520
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
Arden Walker337520
Keaten Wade (Tr)207410
Taje Mccoy244420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027
Colton Hood (Tr)231006