Oklahoma State at Colorado - 2024 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Friday, November 29th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Colorado -14.5 (66.5) (-700)  Open: -16.5 | 64.5
Colorado 52 - Oklahoma State: 0  (Big 12)

 
Cowboys (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (166 - 79)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (24 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
COLO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -14.5  (SP+ COLO -11)

Projected Score: OKST: 25 - COLO: 39 (64)
COLO Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
OKST Travel: 520 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Oklahoma State vs South Dakota State-9.554.0W 44 - 20OY
Sat 9/7 Oklahoma State vs Arkansas-10.560.5W 39 - 31ON
Sat 9/14 Oklahoma State at Tulsa-17.562.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 Oklahoma State vs Utah+1.053.5L 19 - 22UN
Sat 9/28 Oklahoma State at Kansas State+6.058.0L 20 - 42ON
Sat 10/5 Oklahoma State vs West Virginia-2.565.0L 14 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Oklahoma State at BYU+8.553.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 10/26 Oklahoma State at Baylor+7.064.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 11/2 Oklahoma State vs Arizona State+5.057.0L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/9 Oklahoma State at TCU+10.568.5L 13 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+5.063.5L 48 - 56ON
Fri 11/29 Oklahoma State at Colorado+14.566.5L 0 - 52UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Colorado vs North Dakota State-9.059.0W 31 - 26UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado at Nebraska+6.555.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 9/14 Colorado at Colorado State-7.558.5W 28 - 9UY
Sat 9/21 Colorado vs Baylor-2.552.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 Colorado at UCF+12.560.5W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Colorado vs Kansas State+3.554.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 10/19 Colorado at Arizona+2.557.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado vs Cincinnati-6.057.0W 34 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Colorado at Texas Tech-5.062.0W 41 - 27OY
Sat 11/16 Colorado vs Utah-13.543.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 Colorado vs Kansas-2.559.0L 21 - 37UN
Fri 11/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-14.566.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Colorado vs BYU-3.055.5L 14 - 36UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 4, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)27.243% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)35.647% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)32.944% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)23.140% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1227.223.543.1%4.221.8203791142653.942%58%43%44%15%.21
COLO Defense1323.122.538.4%3.31.8 - - - - - 53%47%40%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1235.636.345.6%3.931.3 - - - - - 50%50%47%44%15%.34
COLO Offense1332.938.744.5%4.340.920368663022.737%63%44%45%17%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1227:0320.435%65%543.21.81.35.52.1127.1
Colorado1326:0319.741%40%7.162.80.91.86.72.8231.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1242% (117)43% (86)29.4114.23.918 (78).04 (109)2.79 (107)74% (61)7% (19)0.87 (119)
COLO Defense1353% (93)40% (43) - - - - .06 (37)2.87 (47)78% (98)12% (19)1.06 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1250% (65)47% (107) - - - - .31 (133)3.43 (126)73% (68)8% (112)1.25 (133)
COLO Offense1337% (133)44% (73)24.2662.715 (96).08 (94)2.76 (110)82% (16)11% (104)0.86 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1258% (17)44% (47)22.337.5264.77.111.922 (46)17 (127).34 (30)1.6 (67)31% (66)31% (82).32 (77)7% (109)1.9 (99)
COLO Defense1347% (46)36% (17) - - - - - - 12 (39).13 (24)1.6 (61)35% (25)29% (50).24 (41)8% (18)1.9 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1250% (73)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (39).37 (123)1.8 (124)32% (56)36% (119).46 (120)6% (53)2.1 (88)
COLO Offense1363% (2)45% (34)25.935.23028.611.735 (3)8 (40).34 (32)1.6 (53)33% (96)35% (27).47 (18)6% (78)2.1 (54)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 0.59  #59
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 25.18  #18
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.51  #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #53
Oklahoma State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 0.59   Colorado: 13.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -2.6   Colorado: 8.1




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.29  #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21  #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47  #15
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21  #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.5
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Oklahoma State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 39
Oklahoma State 25


Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado 40
Oklahoma State 25

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Colorado 36
Oklahoma State 24

Total Points: 60
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Colorado52Oklahoma State0Colorado -14.5Colorado66.5Under
201612/29Colorado8Oklahoma State38Colorado -2Oklahoma State64.0Under
200911/19Oklahoma State31Colorado28
200811/15Colorado17Oklahoma State30
200510/01Oklahoma State0Colorado34
200410/09Colorado14Oklahoma State42
200110/27Oklahoma State19Colorado22
200010/27Colorado37Oklahoma State21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado410 Overs
Oklahoma State412 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 51 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams5 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#59) OKST at (#18) COLO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTCOLO
Power RatePwr #59 #18
SP+SP+ #81 #39
Perf GradeGrade #103 #27
OffenseOff #65 #26
DefenseDef #128 #39
Spec TeamsST #49 #87
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #53 #26

Oklahoma State Notes
(12/10) Hired DC Todd Grantham (NFL, Florida)
(11/29) What does Gundy do to reset? Or does he?
(11/29) Killed by Buffs 52-0. OG'd 471-147. QB/RB awful
(11/29) 18 yr bowl streak over, was 2nd longest in CFB
(11/23) Fight w/ TT, QB Smith great, Def abysmal
(11/13) Quit. Awful vs TCU, Def is shockingly awful
(11/3) Pokes Def is worst in P4 and near worst in CFB
(11/2) Team has Quit. Have all 40 ppg in B12 play.
(10/19) Rangel inj vs BYU, out 'a while'. Bowman back
(10/19) Monitor for quit watch after BYU collapse
(10/18) QB Bowman benched, SO Rangel (FR Flores?)

Colorado Notes
(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
Oklahoma State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
OKST OffCOLO Def
Perf GradePerf #65 #39
SuccessSuc #63 #30
ExplosiveExp #69 #76
PPAPPA #52 #22
PowerPwr #18 #15
SP+SP+ #53 #45
Pts POPPO #42 #21
HavocHav #45 #13
Oklahoma State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
OKST OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #92 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #86 #43
Run ExplRExp #119 #100
PPAExp #109 #37
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #107 #47
Stuff RateStuff #80 #51
TackleTak -  #72
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
OKST OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #101 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #47 #17
Pass ExplPExl #67 #61
PPAExp #30 #24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #4 #33
F7 HavocF7 #19 #19
DB HavocDB #109 #18
Colorado on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatCOLO OffOKST Def
Perf GradePerf #26 #128
SuccessSuc #48 #109
ExplosiveExp #31 #132
PPAPPA #35 #131
PowerPwr #36 #105
SP+SP+ #27 #102
Pts POPPO #28 #82
HavocHav #97 #89
Colorado Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
COLO OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #98 #128
Run SuccessRSuc #73 #107
Run ExplRExp #121 #133
PPAExp #94 #133
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #126
Stuff RateStuff #106 #119
TackleTak -  #122
Colorado Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatCOLO OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #3 #119
Pass SuccessPSuc #34 #108
Pass ExplPExl #53 #124
PPAExp #32 #123
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47 #126
F7 HavocF7 #104 #112
DB HavocDB #78 #53
Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Colorado -14.5 (66.5)
Colorado won vs Oklahoma State this year (52-0)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Oklahoma State last year (52-0)

  
OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman20434060%244217127.2
Maealiuaki Smith447559%499246.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon189858124.568
Trenten Howland4123015.623
Sesi Vailahi429922.411
Rodney Fields Jr.219914.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
De'Zhaun Stribling52892617.277
Brennan Presley8976478.636
Rashod Owens32515416.158
Talyn Shettron12245120.478

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Bryan Nardo (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Rucker841001
Kendal Daniels6411637
Jeff Roberson589370
Parker Robertson492001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendal Daniels6411637
Jeff Roberson589370
Obi Ezeigbo (Tr)429340
Xavier Ross123311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korie Black360009
Kendal Daniels6411637
Cam Smith341007

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders35347774%413437108.7
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)8538444.537
Dallan Hayden (Tr)6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Travis Hunter9612581513.158
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)749311012.669
Will Sheppard (Tr)48621612.947
Jimmy Horn Jr.37441111.969

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig8610243
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Shilo Sanders643102
Dylahn McKinney593008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
Arden Walker337520
Taje Mccoy244420
Keaten Wade (Tr)207410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter3510011
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027