Colorado at Nebraska - 2024 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo   Colorado Buffaloes at Nebraska Cornhuskers  Nebraska logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Nebraska -6.5 (55.0) (-280)  Open: -7.0 | 56.5
Nebraska 28 - Colorado: 10

 
Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Colorado -1  (SP+ COLO -2.5)

Projected Score: COLO: 28 - NEB: 27 (55)
NEB Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
COLO Travel: 454 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Colorado vs North Dakota State-9.059.0W 31 - 26UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado at Nebraska+6.555.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 9/14 Colorado at Colorado State-7.558.5W 28 - 9UY
Sat 9/21 Colorado vs Baylor-2.552.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 Colorado at UCF+12.560.5W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Colorado vs Kansas State+3.554.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 10/19 Colorado at Arizona+2.557.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado vs Cincinnati-6.057.0W 34 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Colorado at Texas Tech-5.062.0W 41 - 27OY
Sat 11/16 Colorado vs Utah-13.543.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 Colorado vs Kansas-2.559.0L 21 - 37UN
Fri 11/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-14.566.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Colorado vs BYU-3.055.5L 14 - 36UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Nebraska vs UTEP-27.549.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 Nebraska vs Colorado-6.555.0W 28 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Nebraska vs Northern Iowa-30.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Fri 9/20 Nebraska vs Illinois-9.541.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Nebraska at Purdue-10.047.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Nebraska vs Rutgers-7.039.5W 14 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Nebraska at Indiana+6.548.0L 7 - 56ON
Sat 10/26 Nebraska at Ohio State+25.048.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/2 Nebraska vs UCLA-7.538.5L 20 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Nebraska at USC+6.551.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Nebraska vs Wisconsin-1.540.5W 44 - 25OY
Fri 11/29 Nebraska at Iowa+3.541.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 12/28 Nebraska vs Boston College-3.047.5W 20 - 15UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#58 (.21)41% (77)20.936% (127)3.08 (75)6944% (45)2954.24 (33)#123 (.3)47% (128)30.548% (115)48% (128)4.29 (113)71.20.91.8
NEB#105 (.13)38% (111)28.742% (84)3.31 (33)17734% (125)1363.33 (104)#18 (.1)38% (22)24.637% (18)39% (31)3.09 (16)42.32.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1220.916.841.4%4.240.921364692952.335%65%36%44%17%.21
NEB Defense1224.620.937.6%3.091.2 - - - - - 43%56%37%39%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1230.535.447.4%4.291.8 - - - - - 48%51%48%48%16%.3
NEB Offense1228.736.138.1%3.332.6163131771364.462%36%42%34%22%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1227:3421.238%67%8.971.20.91.85.52.3128.7
Nebraska1230:5316.438%50%542.32.61.26.32.7029
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1235% (131)36% (127)29.868.92.312 (116)-.01 (127)3.08 (75)73% (76)12% (111)0.94 (98)
NEB Defense1243% (8)37% (18) - - - - .03 (16)3.15 (81)73% (70)12% (22)0.77 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1248% (45)48% (115) - - - - .24 (114)3.14 (78)88% (130)10% (68)1.03 (87)
NEB Offense1262% (5)42% (84)39.8176.84.416 (89).12 (84)3.31 (33)76% (51)14% (129)0.99 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1265% (1)44% (45)26.939.5294.77.51129 (18)4 (2).32 (53)1.5 (87)34% (106)34% (34).52 (15)5% (40)2.2 (22)
NEB Defense1256% (126)39% (31) - - - - - - 9 (87).2 (31)1.5 (35)35% (25)26% (20).27 (44)8% (17)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1251% (95)48% (128) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (116)1.5 (49)30% (99)39% (131).51 (128)6% (84)2 (66)
NEB Offense1236% (129)34% (125)11.321.8135.96.31210 (120)16 (121).24 (85)1.9 (7)34% (100)25% (118).28 (84)7% (110)2.4 (5)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.48  #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21  #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47  #15
2024 Talent Rating: 380.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 21%  #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 13.48   Nebraska: 9.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 8.1   Nebraska: 5.5




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 9.615  #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32  #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63  #26
2024 Talent Rating: 495.00  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 18  #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5  #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 28
Nebraska 27


Projected Total Points: 55
Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Nebraska28Colorado10Nebraska -6.5Nebraska55.0Under
202309/09Colorado36Nebraska14Colorado -2.5Colorado56.5Under
201909/07Colorado34Nebraska31Nebraska -4Colorado64.0Over
201809/08Nebraska28Colorado33Nebraska -3Colorado62.0Under
201011/26Nebraska45Colorado17
200911/27Colorado20Nebraska28
200811/28Nebraska40Colorado31
200711/23Colorado65Nebraska51
200611/24Nebraska37Colorado14
200511/25Colorado3Nebraska30
200411/26Nebraska20Colorado26
200311/28Colorado22Nebraska31
200111/23Colorado62Nebraska36
200011/23Nebraska34Colorado32
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska811 Overs
Colorado633 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 53 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams5 - 91 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#18) COLO at (#34) NEB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLONEB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #18 #34
SP+SP+ #39 #45
Perf GradeGrade #27 #75
OffenseOff #26 #65
DefenseDef #39 #78
Spec TeamsST #87 #99
TalentTal #45 #16
Blue ChipsBC% #26 #29
Colorado Notes
(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
(10/13) Star WR/CB Hunter left K St game (inj)
Colorado Injury Report
Nebraska Notes
(12/11) Elevated DB's coach Butler to DC? (NFL 14-23)
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb
(10/19) Unserious team. Def sucked/Rgame sucked
Nebraska Injury Report
Colorado on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
COLO OffNEB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #26 #78
SuccessSuc #77 #22
ExplosiveExp #30 #17
PPAPPA #58 #18
PowerPwr #36 #26
SP+SP+ #27 #12
Pts POPPO #33 #16
HavocHav #90 #12
Colorado Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
COLO OffNEB Def
Run GameRun #98 #77
Run SuccessRSuc #127 #18
Run ExplRExp #98 #3
PPAExp #127 #16
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLY #75 #81
Stuff RateStuff #44 #122
TackleTak -  #49
Colorado Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
COLO OffNEB Def
Pass GamePass #3 #87
Pass SuccessPSuc #45 #31
Pass ExplPExl #87 #35
PPAExp #53 #31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #31
F7 HavocF7 #111 #22
DB HavocDB #40 #17
Nebraska on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatNEB OffCOLO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #65 #39
SuccessSuc #111 #128
ExplosiveExp #70 #73
PPAPPA #105 #123
PowerPwr #53 #15
SP+SP+ #99 #45
Pts POPPO #104 #113
HavocHav #130 #82
Nebraska Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
NEB OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #63 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #84 #115
Run ExplRExp #72 #87
PPAExp #84 #114
Run BlockR Blk #45 -
OL YdsOLY #33 #78
Stuff RateStuff #15 #68
TackleTak -  #72
Nebraska Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatNEB OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #74 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #128
Pass ExplPExl #7 #49
PPAExp #85 #116
Pass Block/RushP Blk #54 #33
F7 HavocF7 #129 #68
DB HavocDB #110 #84
Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Nebraska -6.5 (55.0)
Nebraska won vs Colorado this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Colorado in 2024 (28-10)
Colorado beat Nebraska in 2023 (36-14)

  
COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders35347774%413437108.7
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)8538444.537
Dallan Hayden (Tr)6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Travis Hunter9612581513.158
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)749311012.669
Will Sheppard (Tr)48621612.947
Jimmy Horn Jr.37441111.969

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig8610243
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Shilo Sanders643102
Dylahn McKinney593008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
Arden Walker337520
Taje Mccoy244420
Keaten Wade (Tr)207410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter3510011
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Raiola27440967%280613116.9
Heinrich Haarberg101856%101015.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)143614124.338
Emmett Johnson11759815.142
Rahmir Johnson5426014.822
Jacory Barney Jr.10130313.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)44587313.331
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)34455513.459
Jacory Barney Jr.5544708.140
Thomas Fidone Jr.36373010.433

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Gifford734011
DeShon Singleton711003
John Bullock7010435
Mikai Gbayor496133
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Robinson3713674
James Williams146540
John Bullock7010435
MJ Sherman295440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)391116
John Bullock7010435
Marques Buford351005