Colorado at Nebraska - 2024 Matchup Preview

Colorado Buffaloes at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Nebraska -6.5 (55.0) (-280) Open: -7.0 | 56.5
Nebraska 28 - Colorado: 10

Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (32 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Colorado -1 (SP+ COLO -2.5)
Projected Score: COLO: 26 - NEB: 25 (51)
NEB Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
COLO Travel: 454 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Colorado vs North Dakota State	-9.0	59.0	W 31 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/7	Colorado at Nebraska	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/14	Colorado at Colorado State	-7.5	58.5	W 28 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Colorado vs Baylor	-2.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Colorado at UCF	+12.5	60.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Colorado vs Kansas State	+3.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Colorado at Arizona	+2.5	57.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Colorado vs Cincinnati	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Colorado at Texas Tech	-5.0	62.0	W 41 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Colorado vs Utah	-13.5	43.5	W 49 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Colorado vs Kansas	-2.5	59.0	L 21 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/29	Colorado vs Oklahoma State	-14.5	66.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Colorado vs BYU	-3.0	55.5	L 14 - 36	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Nebraska vs UTEP	-27.5	49.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Nebraska vs Colorado	-6.5	55.0	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Nebraska vs Northern Iowa	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Nebraska vs Illinois	-9.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Nebraska at Purdue	-10.0	47.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Nebraska vs Rutgers	-7.0	39.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Nebraska at Indiana	+6.5	48.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	Nebraska at Ohio State	+25.0	48.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Nebraska vs UCLA	-7.5	38.5	L 20 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Nebraska at USC	+6.5	51.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Nebraska at Iowa	+3.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Nebraska vs Boston College	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)	32.9	44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)	23.1	40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)	23.5	48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)	19.5	39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)		44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)		40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)		48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)		39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	13	32.9	32.2	44.5%	4.34	0.9	20	368	66	302	2.7	37%	63%	44%	45%	17%	.24
NEB Defense	13	19.5	15.7	40.3%	3.06	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	42%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	13	23.1	18.4	38.4%	3.3	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	40%	36%	20%	.09
NEB Offense	13	23.5	29.1	45%	3.38	1.3	20	331	121	210	3.8	48%	51%	48%	43%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	13	26:03	19.7	41%	40%	7.1	62.8	0.9	1.8	6.7	2.8	2	31.4
Nebraska	13	29:43	20.1	43%	32%	5.7	48.9	1.3	1.2	5.7	2	3	27.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	13	37% (133)	44% (73)	24.2	66	2.7	15 (96)	.08 (94)	2.76 (110)	82% (16)	11% (104)	0.86 (121)
NEB Defense	13	47% (29)	39% (24)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (9)	2.72 (26)	69% (40)	12% (33)	0.9 (32)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	13	53% (93)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.06 (37)	2.87 (47)	78% (98)	12% (19)	1.06 (100)
NEB Offense	13	48% (80)	48% (22)	31.7	121.1	3.8	20 (67)	.18 (38)	3.21 (40)	83% (8)	10% (71)	0.89 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	13	63% (2)	45% (34)	25.9	35.2	302	8.6	11.7	35 (3)	8 (40)	.34 (32)	1.6 (53)	33% (96)	35% (27)	.47 (18)	6% (78)	2.1 (54)
NEB Defense	13	52% (101)	42% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (88)	1.6 (89)	33% (52)	31% (80)	.37 (96)	6% (55)	2.2 (98)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	13	47% (46)	36% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.13 (24)	1.6 (61)	35% (25)	29% (50)	.24 (41)	8% (18)	1.9 (31)
NEB Offense	13	51% (57)	43% (55)	20.3	31	209.5	6.8	10.3	12 (118)	11 (72)	.21 (91)	1.4 (132)	28% (18)	34% (45)	.31 (79)	6% (67)	1.8 (125)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.48 #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 13.48 Nebraska: 9.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 8.1 Nebraska: 5.5

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 9.615 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.4

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 26
Nebraska 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Nebraska 30
Colorado 15

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Colorado 25
Nebraska 23

Total Points: 48

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.1
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Nebraska	28	Colorado	10	Nebraska -6.5	Nebraska	55.0	Under
2023	09/09	Colorado	36	Nebraska	14	Colorado -2.5	Colorado	56.5	Under
2019	09/07	Colorado	34	Nebraska	31	Nebraska -4	Colorado	64.0	Over
2018	09/08	Nebraska	28	Colorado	33	Nebraska -3	Colorado	62.0	Under
2010	11/26	Nebraska	45	Colorado	17
2009	11/27	Colorado	20	Nebraska	28
2008	11/28	Nebraska	40	Colorado	31
2007	11/23	Colorado	65	Nebraska	51
2006	11/24	Nebraska	37	Colorado	14
2005	11/25	Colorado	3	Nebraska	30
2004	11/26	Nebraska	20	Colorado	26
2003	11/28	Colorado	22	Nebraska	31
2001	11/23	Colorado	62	Nebraska	36
2000	11/23	Nebraska	34	Colorado	32

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	8	1	1 Overs
Colorado	6	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 9	1 - 3	0 - 1	1 - 2

(#18) COLO at (#34) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	NEB
Power RatePwr	#18	#34
SP+SP+	#39	#45
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#75
OffenseOff	#26	#65
DefenseDef	#39	#78
Spec TeamsST	#87	#99
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#26	#29

Colorado Notes(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
(10/13) Star WR/CB Hunter left K St game (inj)
Colorado Injury Report

Nebraska Notes(12/11) Elevated DB's coach Butler to DC? (NFL 14-23)
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb
(10/19) Unserious team. Def sucked/Rgame sucked
Nebraska Injury Report

Colorado on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	NEB Def
Perf GradePerf	#26	#78
SuccessSuc	#48	#50
ExplosiveExp	#31	#89
PPAPPA	#35	#44
PowerPwr	#36	#26
SP+SP+	#27	#12
Pts POPPO	#28	#11
HavocHav	#97	#40

Colorado Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#98	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#73	#24
Run ExplRExp	#121	#32
PPAExp	#94	#9
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#26
Stuff RateStuff	#106	#24
TackleTak	-	#49

Colorado Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#34	#82
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#89
PPAExp	#32	#88
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#47	#31
F7 HavocF7	#104	#33
DB HavocDB	#78	#55

Nebraska on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	COLO Def
Perf GradePerf	#65	#39
SuccessSuc	#37	#30
ExplosiveExp	#129	#76
PPAPPA	#74	#22
PowerPwr	#53	#15
SP+SP+	#99	#45
Pts POPPO	#114	#21
HavocHav	#62	#13

Nebraska Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#63	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#43
Run ExplRExp	#105	#100
PPAExp	#38	#37
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#47
Stuff RateStuff	#7	#51
TackleTak	-	#72

Nebraska Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#55	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#61
PPAExp	#91	#24
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#33
F7 HavocF7	#71	#19
DB HavocDB	#67	#18

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Nebraska -6.5 (55.0)
Nebraska won vs Colorado this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Colorado last year (28-10)
Colorado beat Nebraska in 2023 (36-14)

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7
Ryan Staub	0	4	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)	85	384	4	4.5	37
Dallan Hayden (Tr)	64	196	1	3.1	27
Micah Welch	43	186	4	4.3	25
Charlie Offerdahl	26	119	1	4.6	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter	96	1258	15	13.1	58
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)	74	931	10	12.6	69
Will Sheppard (Tr)	48	621	6	12.9	47
Jimmy Horn Jr.	37	441	1	11.9	69

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Shilo Sanders	64	3	1	0	2
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
B.J. Green II	32	12	8	5
Arden Walker	33	7	5	2
Taje Mccoy	24	4	4	2
Keaten Wade (Tr)	20	7	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter	35	1	0	11
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	8
Carter Stoutmire	42	1	2	7

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	274	409	67%	2806	13	11	6.9
Heinrich Haarberg	10	18	56%	101	0	1	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)	143	614	12	4.3	38
Emmett Johnson	117	598	1	5.1	42
Rahmir Johnson	54	260	1	4.8	22
Jacory Barney Jr.	10	130	3	13.0	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)	44	587	3	13.3	31
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)	34	455	5	13.4	59
Jacory Barney Jr.	55	447	0	8.1	40
Thomas Fidone Jr.	36	373	0	10.4	33

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Gifford	73	4	0	1	1
DeShon Singleton	71	1	0	0	3
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Mikai Gbayor	49	6	1	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4
James Williams	14	6	5	4	0
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
MJ Sherman	29	5	4	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Marques Buford	35	1	0	0	5