BYU at Colorado - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 28th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Colorado -3 (55.5) (-148) Open: 0.0
BYU 36 - Colorado: 14 (Valero Alamo Bowl)

Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: BYU -2.5 (SP+ BYU -7)
Projected Score: BYU: 28 - COLO: 25 (53)
COLO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BYU Travel: 1056 miles, 1 hrs behind

Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
BYU Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

BYU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	BYU vs Southern Illinois	-31
Fri 9/6	BYU at SMU	+12.5	55.5	W 18 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/14	BYU at Wyoming	-9.5	40.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/21	BYU vs Kansas State	+7.5	49.5	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/28	BYU at Baylor	+3.0	47.0	W 34 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	BYU vs Arizona	-3.0	48.5	W 41 - 19	O	Y
Fri 10/18	BYU vs Oklahoma State	-8.5	53.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	BYU at UCF	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	BYU at Utah	-3.5	40.5	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/16	BYU vs Kansas	-3.0	55.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	BYU at Arizona State	+3.5	49.0	L 23 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	BYU vs Houston	-9.5	39.5	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 12/28	BYU vs Colorado	+3.0	55.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Colorado's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Colorado vs North Dakota State	-9.0	59.0	W 31 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/7	Colorado at Nebraska	+6.5	55.0	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/14	Colorado at Colorado State	-7.5	58.5	W 28 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Colorado vs Baylor	-2.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Colorado at UCF	+12.5	60.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Colorado vs Kansas State	+3.5	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Colorado at Arizona	+2.5	57.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Colorado vs Cincinnati	-6.0	57.0	W 34 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Colorado at Texas Tech	-5.0	62.0	W 41 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Colorado vs Utah	-13.5	43.5	W 49 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Colorado vs Kansas	-2.5	59.0	L 21 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/29	Colorado vs Oklahoma State	-14.5	66.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Colorado vs BYU	-3.0	55.5	L 14 - 36	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	#120 (.08)	36% (125)	31.4	37% (126)	2.97 (94)	104	36% (115)	205	3.96 (61)	#88 (.21)	44% (97)	19.1	44% (75)	45% (117)	3.59 (50)	43	1.6	1.7
COLO	#58 (.21)	41% (77)	20.9	36% (127)	3.08 (75)	69	44% (45)	295	4.24 (33)	#123 (.3)	47% (128)	30.5	48% (115)	48% (128)	4.29 (113)	71.2	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Offense	12	31.4	27.5	35.9%	3.96	1.6	17	310	104	205	3.5	45%	54%	37%	36%	21%	.08
COLO Defense	12	30.5	27	47.4%	4.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	48%	48%	16%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Defense	12	19.1	21.8	44%	3.59	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	45%	15%	.21
COLO Offense	12	20.9	23.9	41.4%	4.24	0.9	21	364	69	295	2.3	35%	65%	36%	44%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
BYU	12	28:19	16.8	29%	50%	5.3	43	1.6	1.7	4.2	0.9	2	29.3
Colorado	12	27:34	21.2	38%	67%	8.9	71.2	0.9	1.8	5.5	2.3	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Offense	12	45% (101)	37% (126)	30	104.3	3.5	15 (100)	.06 (115)	2.97 (94)	76% (49)	12% (120)	1.05 (42)
COLO Defense	12	48% (45)	48% (115)	-	-	-	-	.24 (114)	3.14 (78)	88% (130)	10% (68)	1.03 (87)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Defense	12	49% (57)	44% (75)	-	-	-	-	.19 (96)	3.35 (114)	66% (28)	8% (124)	1 (70)
COLO Offense	12	35% (131)	36% (127)	29.8	68.9	2.3	12 (116)	-.01 (127)	3.08 (75)	73% (76)	12% (111)	0.94 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Offense	12	54% (30)	36% (115)	18.3	33	205.4	6.2	11.2	17 (85)	9 (40)	.13 (118)	1.7 (45)	36% (128)	23% (126)	.13 (123)	8% (127)	2.2 (29)
COLO Defense	12	51% (95)	48% (128)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (116)	1.5 (49)	30% (99)	39% (131)	.51 (128)	6% (84)	2 (66)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Defense	12	50% (75)	45% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.29 (81)	1.5 (44)	32% (56)	37% (127)	.56 (131)	7% (39)	2 (43)
COLO Offense	12	65% (1)	44% (45)	26.9	39.5	294.7	7.5	11	29 (18)	4 (2)	.32 (53)	1.5 (87)	34% (106)	34% (34)	.52 (15)	5% (40)	2.2 (22)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 10.80 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 309.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 10.80 Colorado: 10.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 15.3 Colorado: 8.1

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 10.79 #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
2024 Talent Rating: 380.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 28
Colorado 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Colorado	21	BYU	24	BYU -6.5	Colorado	48.5	Under
2024	12/28	Colorado	14	BYU	36	Colorado -3	BYU	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	0	1	0 Overs
BYU	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

BYU Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Alamo Bowl	BYU vs Colorado	+3.0	55.5	W 36 - 14
2022	Mexico Bowl	BYU vs SMU	+4.5	65.0	W 24 - 23
2021	Independence Bowl	BYU vs UAB	-7.0	54.5	L 28 - 31
2020	Raton Bowl	BYU vs UCF	-6.0	80.0	W 49 - 23
2019	I Bowl	BYU vs Hawai'i	-3.0	65.5	L 34 - 38
2018	Potato Bowl	BYU vs Western Michigan	-10.0	52.0	W 49 - 18

Colorado Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Alamo Bowl	Colorado vs BYU	-3.0	55.5	L 14 - 36
2020	Alamo Bowl	Colorado vs Texas	+9.5	63.5	L 23 - 55

(#28) BYU at (#18) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BYU	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#28	#18
SP+SP+	#17	#39
Perf GradeGrade	#30	#27
OffenseOff	#52	#26
DefenseDef	#33	#39
Spec TeamsST	#29	#87
TalentTal	#71	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#26

BYU Notes(11/23) 2 str L's, Rgame meh, 2 INTs in L to ASU
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
(9/8) Great W, outgained SMU 336-261. Great Def
BYU Injury Report

Colorado Notes(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
(10/13) Star WR/CB Hunter left K St game (inj)
Colorado Injury Report

BYU on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#39
SuccessSuc	#125	#128
ExplosiveExp	#20	#73
PPAPPA	#120	#123
PowerPwr	#63	#15
SP+SP+	#36	#45
Pts POPPO	#61	#113
HavocHav	#127	#82

BYU Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#71	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#115
Run ExplRExp	#42	#87
PPAExp	#115	#114
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#78
Stuff RateStuff	#35	#68
TackleTak	-	#72

BYU Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#115	#128
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#49
PPAExp	#118	#116
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#33
F7 HavocF7	#120	#68
DB HavocDB	#127	#84

Colorado on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	BYU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#26	#33
SuccessSuc	#77	#97
ExplosiveExp	#30	#53
PPAPPA	#58	#88
PowerPwr	#36	#42
SP+SP+	#27	#21
Pts POPPO	#33	#50
HavocHav	#90	#106

Colorado Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#75
Run ExplRExp	#98	#70
PPAExp	#127	#96
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	#75	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#44	#102
TackleTak	-	#90

Colorado Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	#45	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#87	#44
PPAExp	#53	#81
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#47	#70
F7 HavocF7	#111	#124
DB HavocDB	#40	#39

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Colorado -3.0 (55.5)
BYU won at Colorado this year (36-14)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Colorado last year (24-21)
BYU beat Colorado in 2024 (36-14)

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jake Retzlaff	211	367	58%	2896	19	12	7.9
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	138	723	7	5.2	39
Jake Retzlaff	100	417	6	4.2	29
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Sione I Moa	23	127	3	5.5	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Roberts	50	803	3	16.1	62
Darius Lassiter	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keelan Marion	24	346	1	14.4	52
Jojo Phillips	10	211	2	21.1	57

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Harrison Taggart	69	3	1	4	3
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Tanner Wall	53	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kelly (Tr)	50	10	5	13	1
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marque Collins (Tr)	25	1	0	1	8
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7
Ryan Staub	0	4	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)	85	384	4	4.5	37
Dallan Hayden (Tr)	64	196	1	3.1	27
Micah Welch	43	186	4	4.3	25
Charlie Offerdahl	26	119	1	4.6	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter	96	1258	15	13.1	58
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)	74	931	10	12.6	69
Will Sheppard (Tr)	48	621	6	12.9	47
Jimmy Horn Jr.	37	441	1	11.9	69

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Shilo Sanders	64	3	1	0	2
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
B.J. Green II	32	12	8	5
Arden Walker	33	7	5	2
Taje Mccoy	24	4	4	2
Keaten Wade (Tr)	20	7	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter	35	1	0	11
Dylahn McKinney	59	3	0	8
Carter Stoutmire	42	1	2	7