Utah at Colorado - 2024 Matchup Preview
Utah logo (#16)Utah Utes at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Colorado -13.5 (43.5) (-410)  Open: -10.0 | 47.5
Colorado 49 - Utah: 24  (Big 12)

 
Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (24 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Colorado -8   (SP+ COLO -0)
Projected Score: UTAH: 20 - COLO: 28 (48)
COLO Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
UTAH Travel: 350 miles
Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Utah vs Southern Utah-37.555.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Utah vs Baylor-14.552.5W 23 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Utah at Utah State-20.543.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Utah at Oklahoma State-1.053.5W 22 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Utah vs Arizona-7.547.0L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Utah at Arizona State-6.046.5L 19 - 27UN
Sat 10/19 Utah vs TCU-3.052.0L 7 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Utah at Houston-4.536.0L 14 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah vs BYU+3.540.5L 21 - 22OY
Sat 11/16 Utah at Colorado+13.543.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 Utah vs Iowa State+6.542.5L 28 - 31OY
Fri 11/29 Utah at UCF+9.545.5W 28 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Colorado vs North Dakota State-9.059.0W 31 - 26UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado at Nebraska+6.555.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 9/14 Colorado at Colorado State-7.558.5W 28 - 9UY
Sat 9/21 Colorado vs Baylor-2.552.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 Colorado at UCF+12.560.5W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Colorado vs Kansas State+3.554.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 10/19 Colorado at Arizona+2.557.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado vs Cincinnati-6.057.0W 34 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Colorado at Texas Tech-5.062.0W 41 - 27OY
Sat 11/16 Colorado vs Utah-13.543.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 Colorado vs Kansas-2.559.0L 21 - 37UN
Fri 11/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-14.566.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Colorado vs BYU-3.055.5L 14 - 36UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)23.638% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)20.737% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)32.944% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)23.140% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense1223.624.236.7%3.41.8173301301993.949%51%38%35%19%.08
COLO Defense1323.122.538.4%3.31.8 - - - - - 53%47%40%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense1220.724.535.3%3.131.5 - - - - - 48%51%37%34%20%.05
COLO Offense1332.938.744.5%4.340.920368663022.737%63%44%45%17%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah1232:0616.633%45%5.446.31.81.56.41.9430.7
Colorado1326:0319.741%40%7.162.80.91.86.72.8231.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense1249% (76)38% (116)33.6130.43.97 (131) (123)2.73 (114)66% (113)12% (117)0.88 (111)
COLO Defense1353% (93)40% (43) - - - - .06 (37)2.87 (47)78% (98)12% (19)1.06 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense1248% (41)37% (10) - - - - .04 (25)2.53 (9)64% (22)12% (34)1.07 (105)
COLO Offense1337% (133)44% (73)24.2662.715 (96).08 (94)2.76 (110)82% (16)11% (104)0.86 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense1251% (58)35% (119)16.629.8199.46.71220 (58)17 (127).16 (106)1.7 (23)36% (127)24% (127).2 (110)7% (107)2.2 (22)
COLO Defense1347% (46)36% (17) - - - - - - 12 (39).13 (24)1.6 (61)35% (25)29% (50).24 (41)8% (18)1.9 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense1251% (92)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (15)1.6 (74)37% (4)25% (8).09 (1)8% (4)2 (59)
COLO Offense1363% (2)45% (34)25.935.23028.611.735 (3)8 (40).34 (32)1.6 (53)33% (96)35% (27).47 (18)6% (78)2.1 (54)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 3.37 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 3.37   Colorado: 13.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 7.7   Colorado: 8.1




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.29 #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 28
Utah 20


Total Points: 48

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Colorado49Utah24ColoradoColorado -13.5Colorado43.5Over
202311/25Utah23Colorado17UtahUtah -21.5Colorado43.5Under
202211/26Colorado21Utah63UtahUtah -30Utah52.0Over
202111/26Utah28Colorado13UtahUtah -24Colorado52.5Under
202012/12Colorado21Utah38UtahUtah -2.5Utah49.0Over
201911/30Utah45Colorado15UtahUtah -28Utah49.5Over
201811/17Colorado7Utah30UtahUtah -7Utah47.0Under
201711/25Utah34Colorado13UtahUtah -9.5Utah57.0Under
201611/26Colorado27Utah22ColoradoColorado -11Utah53.5Under
201511/28Utah20Colorado14UtahUtah -15.5Colorado48.5Under
201411/29Colorado34Utah38UtahUtah -10Colorado0
201311/30Utah24Colorado17UtahUtah -14Colorado0
201211/23Colorado35Utah42Utah
201111/25Utah14Colorado17Colorado
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado364 Overs
Utah1166 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 64 - 83 - 51 - 3
Road Teams6 - 88 - 43 - 15 - 3

(#48) Utah Info
Power Rating: 3.37 #48
Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #25
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Utah has lost 5 straight
Utah has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Utah Notes
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs

Utah Highlights
Utah has a really good defense (#14)
Utah defense is really good in red zone (#41)
Utah has a good run defense (#19)
Utah has a good pass defense (#16)
Utah Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#16)
Utah Defensive Line is very good (#43)
Utah Secondary is very good (#34)

Utah Deficiencies
Utah has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah Can Not Run the Ball (#14)
Utah throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah offense is really bad (#8)
Utah Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#12)
Utah offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#45)
Utah run game is really bad (#5)
Utah pass game is really bad (#19)
Utah offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Utah gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#62)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCOLOUTAH
OverallOver#20#54
OffenseOff#24#79
DefenseDef#28#38
Special TeamsST#73#27
PassingPass#3#106
RushingRush#69#91
Run BlockRBLK#64#13
Pass BlockPBLK#47#47
Route RunningWR Rt#7#70
TacklingTkl#63#113
Run DefenseR Def#48#40
Pass Rush DefPRush#30#71
Coverage DefCov#14#34

Rematch from Week 12
Colorado -13.5 (43.5)
Colorado won vs Utah this year (49-24)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Utah last year (49-24)
Utah beat Colorado in 2023 (23-17)
Utah beat Colorado in 2022 (63-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTAH | COLO
Depth Chart: UTAH | COLO
Rosters: UTAH | COLO
(#18) Colorado Info
Power Rating: 13.29 #18
Offense Rating: 23.21 #36
Defense Rating: 3.47 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #45
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Colorado has won 3 straight
Colorado has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Colorado Notes
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok

Colorado Highlights
Colorado offense is good in red zone (#17)
Colorado Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Colorado has a really good defense (#114)
Colorado defense is really good in red zone (#68)
Colorado has a good pass defense (#100)
Colorado Front 7 is disruptive (#102)
Colorado Secondary is very good (#84)
Colorado has a great TO Margin (#28)

Colorado Deficiencies
Colorado Can Not Run the Ball (#99)
Colorado Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Colorado Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#91)


  
Utah's OC Mike Bajakian (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Isaac Wilson12722556%151010116.7
Cameron Rising346652%555738.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Bernard197100945.164
Mike Mitchell4715813.418
Dijon Stanley206603.314
Brandon Rose116606.027
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Brant Kuithe35505614.471
Money Parks21294314.071
Dijon Stanley7166223.779

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lander Barton725214
Tao Johnson702004
Karene Reid546311
Smith Snowden484008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Van Fillinger438515
Karene Reid546311
Logan Fano357341
Connor O'Toole225300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Smith Snowden484008
Van Fillinger438515

Colorado's OC Pat Shurmur
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders35347774%413437108.7
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)8538444.537
Dallan Hayden (Tr)6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Travis Hunter9612581513.158
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)749311012.669
Will Sheppard (Tr)48621612.947
Jimmy Horn Jr.37441111.969

View Colorado's Full Roster
Colorado's DC Robert Livingston
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig8610243
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Shilo Sanders643102
Dylahn McKinney593008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
Arden Walker337520
Taje Mccoy244420
Keaten Wade (Tr)207410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter3510011
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027