Arizona at Utah - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at Utah Utes(#16)Utah logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (10:15 PM EDT)
Utah -7.5 (47.0) (-285)  Open: -9.5
Arizona 23 - Utah: 10  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ coming off BYE
UTAH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah -13.5   (SP+ UTAH -11)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 17 - UTAH: 31 (48)
UTAH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 592 miles, 1 hrs behind
Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona vs New Mexico-28.060.0W 61 - 39ON
Sat 9/7 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-43.065.0W 22 - 10UN
Fri 9/13 Arizona at Kansas State+7.058.0L 7 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Arizona at Utah+7.547.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Arizona vs Texas Tech-6.064.0L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/12 Arizona at BYU+3.048.5L 19 - 41ON
Sat 10/19 Arizona vs Colorado-2.557.5L 7 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arizona vs West Virginia-5.551.5L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/2 Arizona at UCF+6.555.0L 12 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Arizona vs Houston-1.046.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona at TCU+10.560.0L 28 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Arizona vs Arizona State+7.552.5L 7 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Utah's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Utah vs Southern Utah-37.555.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Utah vs Baylor-14.552.5W 23 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Utah at Utah State-20.543.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Utah at Oklahoma State-1.053.5W 22 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Utah vs Arizona-7.547.0L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Utah at Arizona State-6.046.5L 19 - 27UN
Sat 10/19 Utah vs TCU-3.052.0L 7 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Utah at Houston-4.536.0L 14 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah vs BYU+3.540.5L 21 - 22OY
Sat 11/16 Utah at Colorado+13.543.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 Utah vs Iowa State+6.542.5L 28 - 31OY
Fri 11/29 Utah at UCF+9.545.5W 28 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)21.837% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)31.845% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)23.638% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)20.737% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1221.817.838.5%3.531.7193551072483.939%61%37%40%16%.15
UTAH Defense1220.716.835.3%3.131.5 - - - - - 48%51%37%34%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1231.837.444.6%4.551.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%44%14%.24
UTAH Offense1223.62336.7%3.41.8173301301993.949%51%38%35%19%.08

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1229:4518.543%42%6.557.61.71.24.81.7027.6
Utah1232:0616.633%45%5.446.31.81.56.41.9430.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1239% (127)37% (126)27.4106.73.911 (116).03 (112)2.64 (123)55% (134)9% (59)1.21 (6)
UTAH Defense1248% (41)37% (10) - - - - .04 (25)2.53 (9)64% (22)12% (34)1.07 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1251% (73)45% (90) - - - - .18 (100)3.32 (115)78% (99)9% (94)1.08 (109)
UTAH Offense1249% (76)38% (116)33.6130.43.97 (131) (123)2.73 (114)66% (113)12% (117)0.88 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1261% (8)40% (91)21.836.4247.96.811.418 (68)13 (103).22 (88)1.6 (44)36% (124)31% (70).33 (71)6% (88)2.1 (35)
UTAH Defense1251% (92)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (15)1.6 (74)37% (4)25% (8).09 (1)8% (4)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1248% (61)44% (109) - - - - - - 6 (109).31 (103)1.6 (66)31% (88)32% (95).39 (101)5% (93)2.2 (105)
UTAH Offense1251% (58)35% (119)16.629.8199.46.71220 (58)17 (127).16 (106)1.7 (23)36% (127)24% (127).2 (110)7% (107)2.2 (22)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -7.71   Utah: 8.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -2.8   Utah: 7.7




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 31
Arizona 17


Total Points: 48

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Utah10Arizona23ArizonaUtah -7.5Arizona47.0Under
202311/18Arizona42Utah18ArizonaArizona -2.5Arizona45.5Over
202211/05Utah45Arizona20UtahUtah -17.5Utah67.5Under
202111/13Arizona29Utah38UtahUtah -24Arizona54.5Over
201911/23Arizona7Utah35UtahUtah -23.5Utah57.0Under
201810/12Utah42Arizona10UtahUtah -13.5Utah53.5Under
201709/22Arizona24Utah30UtahUtah -4.5Utah61.0Under
201610/08Utah36Arizona23UtahUtah -9Utah53.5Over
201511/14Arizona37Utah30ArizonaUtah -4.5Arizona61.0Over
201411/22Utah10Arizona42ArizonaUtah -3.5Arizona0
201310/19Arizona35Utah24ArizonaArizona -4.5Arizona0
201211/17Utah24Arizona34Arizona
201111/05Arizona21Utah34Utah
200509/02Utah27Arizona24Utah
200409/11Arizona6Utah23Utah
200209/14Arizona23Utah17Arizona
200009/01Utah3Arizona17Arizona
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah954 Overs
Arizona865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 97 - 45 - 22 - 2
Road Teams9 - 84 - 72 - 22 - 5

(#90) Arizona Info
Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona has lost 1 straight
Arizona has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Arizona Notes
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)

Arizona Highlights
Arizona offense is explosive (#8)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Can Not Run the Ball (#40)
Arizona throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Arizona offense is really bad (#96)
Arizona Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#87)
Arizona offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#118)
Arizona run game is really bad (#113)
Arizona Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arizona has a bad defense (#11)
Arizona Does Not Stuff Runs (#19)
Arizona has a bad defensive line (#24)
Arizona has a bad red zone defense (#3)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTAHARIZ
OverallOver#54#71
OffenseOff#79#67
DefenseDef#38#97
Special TeamsST#27#45
PassingPass#106#45
RushingRush#91#66
Run BlockRBLK#13#77
Pass BlockPBLK#47#16
Route RunningWR Rt#70#54
TacklingTkl#113#111
Run DefenseR Def#40#91
Pass Rush DefPRush#71#66
Coverage DefCov#34#92

Rematch from Week 5
Utah -7.5 (47.0)
Arizona won at Utah this year (23-10)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Utah last year (23-10)
Arizona beat Utah in 2023 (42-18)
Utah beat Arizona in 2022 (45-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | UTAH
Depth Chart: ARIZ | UTAH
Rosters: ARIZ | UTAH
(#48) Utah Info
Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Utah has won 4 straight
Utah has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Utah Notes
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs

Utah Highlights
Utah has a really good defense (#14)
Utah defense is really good in red zone (#41)
Utah has a good run defense (#19)
Utah has a good pass defense (#16)
Utah Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#16)
Utah Defensive Line is very good (#43)
Utah Secondary is very good (#34)

Utah Deficiencies
Utah has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Utah Can Not Run the Ball (#14)
Utah throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Utah offense is really bad (#8)
Utah Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#12)
Utah offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#45)
Utah run game is really bad (#5)
Utah pass game is really bad (#19)
Utah offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Utah gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#62)


  
Arizona's OC Dino Babers
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita26043061%295818126.9
Cole Tannenbaum1520%3010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quali Conley (Tr)15074585.058
Kedrick Reescano (Tr)7835914.656
Jacory Merritt1310618.236
Kayden Luke52004.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan841319815.778
Chris Hunter3532339.245
Quali Conley (Tr)3924516.316
Keyan Burnett18217112.135

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Duane Akina
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson785002
Taye Brown644312
Genesis Smith604006
Owen Goss (Tr)494112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith (Tr)487520
Taye Brown644312
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei337331
Chase Kennedy (Tr)174221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith604006
Tacario Davis392016
Emmanuel Karnley140005

Utah's OC Mike Bajakian (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Isaac Wilson12722556%151010116.7
Cameron Rising346652%555738.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Bernard197100945.164
Mike Mitchell4715813.418
Dijon Stanley206603.314
Brandon Rose116606.027
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Brant Kuithe35505614.471
Money Parks21294314.071
Dijon Stanley7166223.779

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lander Barton725214
Tao Johnson702004
Karene Reid546311
Smith Snowden484008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Van Fillinger438515
Karene Reid546311
Logan Fano357341
Connor O'Toole225300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Smith Snowden484008
Van Fillinger438515