Arizona at Utah - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (10:15 PM EDT)
Utah -7.5 (47.0) (-285) Open: -9.5
Arizona 23 - Utah: 10 (Big 12)

Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARIZ coming off BYE
UTAH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah -13.5 (SP+ UTAH -11)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 17 - UTAH: 31 (49)
UTAH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 592 miles, 1 hrs behind

Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arizona vs New Mexico	-28.0	60.0	W 61 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-43.0	65.0	W 22 - 10	U	N
Fri 9/13	Arizona at Kansas State	+7.0	58.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Arizona at Utah	+7.5	47.0	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Arizona vs Texas Tech	-6.0	64.0	L 22 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/12	Arizona at BYU	+3.0	48.5	L 19 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/19	Arizona vs Colorado	-2.5	57.5	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arizona vs West Virginia	-5.5	51.5	L 26 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/2	Arizona at UCF	+6.5	55.0	L 12 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Arizona vs Houston	-1.0	46.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arizona at TCU	+10.5	60.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Arizona vs Arizona State	+7.5	52.5	L 7 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Utah's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Utah vs Southern Utah	-37.5	55.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Utah vs Baylor	-14.5	52.5	W 23 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Utah at Utah State	-20.5	43.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Utah at Oklahoma State	-1.0	53.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Utah vs Arizona	-7.5	47.0	L 10 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Utah at Arizona State	-6.0	46.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/19	Utah vs TCU	-3.0	52.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/26	Utah at Houston	-4.5	36.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Utah vs BYU	+3.5	40.5	L 21 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Utah at Colorado	+13.5	43.5	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	Utah vs Iowa State	+6.5	42.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Utah at UCF	+9.5	45.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#10 (.34)	51% (6)	21.8	52% (5)	3.26 (40)	140	50% (10)	308	4.42 (29)	#57 (.16)	42% (67)	31.8	43% (71)	41% (62)	3.37 (29)	53	1.1	1.4
UTAH	#112 (.11)	40% (89)	23.6	42% (83)	3.09 (72)	183	39% (92)	166	3.29 (107)	#38 (.14)	36% (16)	20.7	38% (30)	35% (9)	3.48 (45)	41.2	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTAH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	13	21.8	17.8	50.6%	4.42	1.1	23	448	140	308	4.6	43%	57%	52%	50%	14%	.34
UTAH Defense	13	20.7	16.8	36.4%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	39%	60%	38%	35%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	13	31.8	37.4	41.9%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	43%	41%	17%	.16
UTAH Offense	13	23.6	23	40.4%	3.29	1	19	348	183	166	4.2	60%	39%	42%	39%	14%	.11

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	13	30:50	23	49%	67%	6.3	53	1.1	1.4	5.3	2.4	1	29.9
Utah	13	34:07	18.8	41%	41%	4.9	41.2	1	1.2	5.3	2.5	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	13	43% (112)	52% (5)	30.6	139.7	4.6	17 (81)	.21 (34)	3.26 (40)	74% (68)	9% (38)	0.9 (109)
UTAH Defense	13	39% (1)	38% (30)	-	-	-	-	.09 (37)	2.93 (39)	70% (49)	11% (41)	1.01 (77)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (21)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.12 (58)	3 (50)	75% (82)	11% (54)	0.97 (51)
UTAH Offense	13	60% (11)	42% (83)	43.2	182.5	4.2	19 (69)	.13 (82)	3.09 (72)	69% (100)	8% (37)	1 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	13	57% (20)	50% (10)	25.5	35.7	308.3	8.6	12.1	36 (5)	11 (68)	.47 (15)	1.6 (68)	29% (19)	41% (6)	.54 (13)	6% (69)	2 (103)
UTAH Defense	13	60% (133)	35% (9)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.18 (20)	1.7 (99)	38% (4)	23% (4)	.2 (18)	6% (77)	2.1 (90)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	13	53% (115)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.26 (57)	1.5 (48)	34% (38)	32% (95)	.25 (38)	6% (60)	2 (36)
UTAH Offense	13	39% (123)	39% (92)	14.5	25.2	165.8	6.6	11.4	15 (96)	11 (68)	.13 (117)	1.5 (114)	30% (37)	28% (92)	.17 (113)	5% (38)	1.8 (121)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -7.71 Utah: 8.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -2.8 Utah: 7.7

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 690.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Utah 31
Arizona 17

Projected Total Points: 49

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Utah	10	Arizona	23	Arizona	Utah -7.5	Arizona	47.0	Under
2023	11/18	Arizona	42	Utah	18	Arizona	Arizona -2.5	Arizona	45.5	Over
2022	11/05	Utah	45	Arizona	20	Utah	Utah -17.5	Utah	67.5	Under
2021	11/13	Arizona	29	Utah	38	Utah	Utah -24	Arizona	54.5	Over
2019	11/23	Arizona	7	Utah	35	Utah	Utah -23.5	Utah	57.0	Under
2018	10/12	Utah	42	Arizona	10	Utah	Utah -13.5	Utah	53.5	Under
2017	09/22	Arizona	24	Utah	30	Utah	Utah -4.5	Utah	61.0	Under
2016	10/08	Utah	36	Arizona	23	Utah	Utah -9	Utah	53.5	Over
2015	11/14	Arizona	37	Utah	30	Arizona	Utah -4.5	Arizona	61.0	Over
2014	11/22	Utah	10	Arizona	42	Arizona	Utah -3.5	Arizona	0
2013	10/19	Arizona	35	Utah	24	Arizona	Arizona -4.5	Arizona	0
2012	11/17	Utah	24	Arizona	34	Arizona
2011	11/05	Arizona	21	Utah	34	Utah
2005	09/02	Utah	27	Arizona	24	Utah
2004	09/11	Arizona	6	Utah	23	Utah
2002	09/14	Arizona	23	Utah	17	Arizona
2000	09/01	Utah	3	Arizona	17	Arizona

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	9	5	4 Overs
Arizona	8	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 9	7 - 4	5 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 8	4 - 7	2 - 2	2 - 5

(#90) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona Notes
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)

Arizona Ratings Matchup Utah

Power #90

#48

Off #87

#127

Def #104

Talent #64

#59

SP+ #82

#40

SP+ Off #90

#96

SP+ Def #84

#16

Rematch from Week 5
Utah -7.5 (47.0)
Arizona won at Utah this year (23-10)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Utah last year (23-10)
Arizona beat Utah in 2023 (42-18)
Utah beat Arizona in 2022 (45-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 76° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | UTAH
Depth Chart: ARIZ | UTAH
Rosters: ARIZ | UTAH

(#48) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16
Talent Rating: 690.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 3.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Utah Notes
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs

Arizona's OC Dino Babers

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	260	430	61%	2958	18	12	6.9
Cole Tannenbaum	1	5	20%	3	0	1	0.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quali Conley (Tr)	150	745	8	5.0	58
Kedrick Reescano (Tr)	78	359	1	4.6	56
Jacory Merritt	13	106	1	8.2	36
Kayden Luke	5	20	0	4.0	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Hunter	35	323	3	9.2	45
Quali Conley (Tr)	39	245	1	6.3	16
Keyan Burnett	18	217	1	12.1	35
Jeremiah Patterson	26	196	2	7.5	21

View Arizona's Full Roster

Arizona's DC Duane Akina

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalton Johnson	78	5	0	0	2
Taye Brown	64	4	3	1	2
Genesis Smith	60	4	0	0	6
Owen Goss (Tr)	49	4	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre Smith (Tr)	48	7	5	2	0
Taye Brown	64	4	3	1	2
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei	33	7	3	3	1
Chase Kennedy (Tr)	17	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Genesis Smith	60	4	0	6
Tacario Davis	39	2	1	6
Emmanuel Karnley	14	0	0	5

Utah's OC Mike Bajakian (Int)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Isaac Wilson	127	225	56%	1510	10	11	6.7
Brandon Rose	19	36	53%	157	2	2	4.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mike Mitchell	47	158	1	3.4	18
Dijon Stanley	20	66	0	3.3	14
Brandon Rose	11	66	0	6.0	27
Jaylon Glover	12	60	0	5.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Dijon Stanley	7	166	2	23.7	79
Daidren Zipperer	8	122	0	15.3	46
Carsen Ryan (Tr)	10	113	1	11.3	25

View Utah's Full Roster

Utah's DC Morgan Scalley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lander Barton	72	5	2	1	4
Tao Johnson	70	2	0	0	4
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8
Alaka'i Gilman (Tr)	41	6	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Logan Fano	35	7	3	4	1
Lander Barton	72	5	2	1	4
Dallas Vakalahi	16	3	2	0	0
John Henry Daley	4	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)	21	1	0	0	9
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8
Lander Barton	72	5	2	1	4