Maryland at Minnesota Game Matchup
Maryland logo Maryland Terrapins at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -6.0 (45.0) (-185)  Open: -4.5 | 45.5
Minnesota 48 - Maryland: 23  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
MINN coming off BYE
Our Line: Minnesota -18   (SP+ MINN -14)

Projected Score: MD: 15 - MINN: 33 (48)
MINN Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
MD Travel: 930 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (29 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Maryland's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Maryland vs UConn-19.045.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Maryland vs Michigan State-7.544.5L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/14 Maryland at Virginia+2.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 Maryland vs Villanova-22.546.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/28 Maryland at Indiana+7.550.0L 28 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Maryland vs Northwestern-11.045.0L 10 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 Maryland vs USC+6.556.5W 29 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Maryland at Minnesota+6.045.0L 23 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Maryland at Oregon+24.058.0L 18 - 39UY
Sat 11/16 Maryland vs Rutgers-4.554.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/23 Maryland vs Iowa+4.040.5L 13 - 29ON
Sat 11/30 Maryland at Penn State+26.550.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Minnesota's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Minnesota vs North Carolina+2.052.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/7 Minnesota vs Rhode Island-27.547.5W 48 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Minnesota vs Nevada-17.544.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Minnesota vs Iowa+3.034.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Minnesota at Michigan+10.534.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/5 Minnesota vs USC+8.545.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Minnesota at UCLA-3.539.0W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Minnesota vs Maryland-6.045.0W 48 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Minnesota at Illinois-2.547.0W 25 - 17UY
Sat 11/9 Minnesota at Rutgers-6.544.5L 19 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Minnesota vs Penn State+11.045.0L 25 - 26OY
Fri 11/29 Minnesota at Wisconsin-1.540.5W 24 - 7UY
Fri 1/3 Minnesota vs Virginia Tech-10.043.5W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#43 (.24)44% (45)23.742% (76)3.07 (79)10845% (30)2794.15 (43)#24 (.11)41% (53)30.444% (81)39% (32)3.62 (53)56.51.61.8
MINN#118 (.09)41% (87)26.244% (53)3.15 (61)15836% (116)1433.85 (73)#93 (.22)43% (75)16.945% (90)41% (63)4.67 (129)27.11.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense1323.720.644%4.151.6213871082793.741%58%42%45%17%.24
MINN Defense1316.916.642.6%4.671.5 - - - - - 47%51%45%41%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense1330.437.240.7%3.621.8 - - - - - 50%49%44%39%14%.11
MINN Offense1326.22940.5%3.851.3183011581434.159%40%44%36%13%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland1327:5620.842%68%5.556.51.61.84.72.4230.9
Minnesota1331:4918.235%82%327.11.31.53.21.6029
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense1341% (121)42% (76)29.4108.43.720 (61).17 (54)3.07 (79)69% (101)10% (77)1.07 (32)
MINN Defense1347% (34)45% (90) - - - - .2 (102)3.15 (79)80% (109)7% (132)0.99 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense1350% (60)44% (81) - - - - .12 (57)3.17 (87)73% (72)8% (116)0.84 (8)
MINN Offense1359% (12)44% (53)38.8157.54.113 (108).11 (92)3.15 (61)75% (52)7% (13)0.83 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense1358% (11)45% (30)23.636.7278.97.611.827 (25)13 (97).31 (56)1.5 (98)32% (65)35% (28).32 (73)6% (75)2 (94)
MINN Defense1351% (94)41% (63) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (83)1.6 (73)30% (106)30% (71).42 (112)5% (116)2.2 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense1349% (57)39% (32) - - - - - - 17 (3).19 (22)1.5 (31)29% (118)30% (58).27 (45)6% (65)1.8 (12)
MINN Offense1340% (121)36% (116)12.624143.4611.416 (92)11 (68).1 (123)1.6 (53)29% (26)27% (99).16 (117)6% (52)1.9 (106)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 752.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -6.85   Minnesota: 12.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -3.9   Minnesota: 10.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 12.545 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.6
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 33
Maryland 15


Projected Total Points: 48
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Minnesota48Maryland23MinnesotaMinnesota -6.0Minnesota45.0Over
202110/23Minnesota34Maryland16MinnesotaMinnesota -4Minnesota53.0Under
202010/30Maryland45Minnesota44MarylandMinnesota -17.5Maryland60.5Over
201910/26Minnesota52Maryland10MinnesotaMinnesota -14Minnesota59.0Over
201809/22Maryland42Minnesota13MarylandMaryland -2.5Maryland46.5Over
201709/30Minnesota24Maryland31MarylandMinnesota -13.5Maryland45.0Over
201610/15Maryland10Minnesota31MinnesotaMaryland -3Minnesota47.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota445 Overs
Maryland332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 25 - 24 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 52 - 50 - 12 - 4

(#89) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 752.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Maryland Notes
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling
Maryland     Ratings Matchup     Minnesota
Power #89
#32
Off #107
#37
Def #92
#14
Talent #42
#27
SP+ #86
#27
SP+ Off #97
#79
SP+ Def #73
#11

Rematch from Week 9
Minnesota -6.0 (45.0)
Minnesota won vs Maryland this year (48-23)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Maryland last year (48-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 58° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MD | MINN
Depth Chart: MD | MINN
Rosters: MD | MINN
(#32) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.545 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Minnesota Notes
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent


  
Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
MJ Morris (Tr)366159%350555.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby13460764.575
Nolan Ray7537425.048
Billy Edwards8115051.915
DeJuan Williams84615.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Octavian Smith Jr.30315210.527
Roman Hemby4027316.832
Preston Howard2418907.919

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate507010
Jalen Huskey (Tr)453001
Lavain Scruggs431002
Caleb Wheatland427442
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Wheatland427442
Kellan Wyatt297220
Michael Harris342100
Trey Reddick163100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lavain Scruggs431002
Caleb Wheatland427442
Perry Fisher271002

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Brosmer (Tr)26840367%28291867.0
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
Marcus Major (Tr)7835234.540
Jaren Mangham (Tr)1912306.518
Jordan Nubin111901.77
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Jameson Geers27286410.623
Lemeke Brockington18282115.735
Marcus Major (Tr)2014417.225

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Corey Hetherman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Koi Perich463012
Devon Williams443101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Deven Eastern275222
Maverick Baranowski655112
Darius Green111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Robinson (Tr)423009
Za'Quan Bryan191005
Jalen Logan-Redding272054