Rutgers at Maryland - 2024 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Maryland Terrapins

Saturday, November 16th 2024 (6:00 PM EST)
Maryland -4.5 (54.5) (-185) Open: -4.0 | 51.0
Rutgers 31 - Maryland: 17 (Big Ten)

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (25 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Rutgers -8 (SP+ RUTG -10.5)
Projected Score: RUTG: 31 - MD: 23 (55)
MD Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
RUTG Travel: 170 miles

Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RUTG Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Rutgers vs Howard	-38.5	51.5	W 44 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rutgers vs Akron	-24.5	41.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Rutgers at Virginia Tech	+3.0	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	Y
Fri 9/27	Rutgers vs Washington	-1.5	44.5	W 21 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Rutgers at Nebraska	+7.0	39.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	-1.0	43.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/19	Rutgers vs UCLA	-4.0	42.5	L 32 - 35	O	N
Fri 10/25	Rutgers at USC	+14.0	57.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Rutgers vs Minnesota	+6.5	44.5	W 26 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Rutgers at Maryland	+4.5	54.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Rutgers vs Illinois	-2.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rutgers at Michigan State	+1.5	46.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/26	Rutgers vs Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Maryland's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Maryland vs UConn	-19.0	45.5	W 50 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	44.5	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/14	Maryland at Virginia	+2.5	55.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Maryland vs Villanova	-22.5	46.5	W 38 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/28	Maryland at Indiana	+7.5	50.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Maryland vs Northwestern	-11.0	45.0	L 10 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	Maryland vs USC	+6.5	56.5	W 29 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Maryland at Minnesota	+6.0	45.0	L 23 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Maryland at Oregon	+24.0	58.0	L 18 - 39	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Maryland vs Rutgers	-4.5	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/23	Maryland vs Iowa	+4.0	40.5	L 13 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/30	Maryland at Penn State	+26.5	50.5	L 7 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)	28.9	44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)	25.4	48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)	23.7	41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)	30.4	42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	13	28.9	25	42.9%	4.19	0.6	21	353	164	189	4.5	53%	47%	44%	42%	14%	.16
MD Defense	12	30.4	25.6	43.3%	4.34	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	42%	44%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	13	25.4	22	43.3%	4.03	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	48%	40%	15%	.23
MD Offense	12	23.7	25.9	40.9%	3.62	1.7	22	386	111	276	3.6	40%	60%	41%	41%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	13	29:30	21	43%	48%	3.9	33.8	0.6	0.9	3.7	1.5	1	29.4
Maryland	12	30:05	21.5	40%	45%	6.4	58.6	1.7	1.4	5.7	1.2	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	13	53% (51)	44% (69)	36.8	163.8	4.5	24 (45)	.1 (87)	2.92 (88)	76% (52)	7% (11)	0.91 (97)
MD Defense	12	50% (60)	42% (65)	-	-	-	-	.05 (28)	2.73 (27)	75% (75)	10% (71)	0.89 (27)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	13	46% (18)	48% (113)	-	-	-	-	.26 (126)	3.2 (99)	82% (123)	8% (115)	1.07 (104)
MD Offense	12	40% (125)	41% (97)	30.8	110.6	3.6	15 (96)	.03 (113)	2.89 (94)	69% (100)	9% (45)	0.95 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	13	47% (88)	42% (63)	15.3	27.9	189.2	6.8	12.4	17 (79)	6 (10)	.25 (75)	1.6 (63)	30% (42)	34% (37)	.42 (32)	7% (108)	2 (69)
MD Defense	12	50% (78)	44% (107)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.34 (109)	1.5 (44)	30% (97)	32% (91)	.3 (67)	4% (122)	1.8 (25)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	13	54% (117)	40% (59)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.23 (69)	1.6 (82)	33% (50)	31% (75)	.32 (76)	7% (49)	2.2 (101)
MD Offense	12	60% (10)	41% (74)	26.3	41.1	275.7	6.7	10.5	21 (51)	14 (115)	.19 (97)	1.4 (124)	32% (77)	32% (64)	.24 (101)	8% (120)	1.8 (123)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.77 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 3.77 Maryland: -2.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 6.4 Maryland: -3.9

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Rutgers 31
Maryland 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Maryland 29
Rutgers 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Rutgers 28
Maryland 25

Total Points: 53

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Rutgers	35	Maryland	20	Rutgers -1.5	Rutgers	56.5	Under
2024	11/16	Maryland	17	Rutgers	31	Maryland -4.5	Rutgers	54.5	Under
2023	11/25	Rutgers	24	Maryland	42	Maryland -2	Maryland	45.5	Over
2022	11/26	Maryland	37	Rutgers	0	Maryland -14.5	Maryland	48.5	Under
2021	11/27	Rutgers	16	Maryland	40	Rutgers -2	Maryland	53.0	Over
2020	12/12	Maryland	24	Rutgers	27	Maryland -3	Rutgers	54.0	Under
2019	10/05	Rutgers	7	Maryland	48	Maryland -14	Maryland	55.5	Under
2018	10/13	Maryland	34	Rutgers	7	Maryland -23.5	Maryland	51.0	Under
2017	11/04	Rutgers	31	Maryland	24	Maryland -4.5	Rutgers	50.5	Over
2016	11/26	Maryland	31	Rutgers	13	Maryland -2	Maryland	53.5	Under
2015	11/28	Rutgers	41	Maryland	46	Maryland -2	Maryland	55.5	Over
2014	11/29	Maryland	38	Rutgers	41	Maryland -9	Rutgers	0
2009	09/26	Maryland	13	Rutgers	34
2007	09/29	Rutgers	24	Maryland	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	8	7	4 Overs
Rutgers	6	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 9	5 - 7	4 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 5	7 - 5	3 - 1	4 - 4

(#47) RUTG at (#89) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	MD
Power RatePwr	#47	#89
SP+SP+	#42	#86
Perf GradeGrade	#39	#120
OffenseOff	#21	#122
DefenseDef	#57	#96
Spec TeamsST	#127	#85
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#41

Rutgers Notes(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
(8/20) Star LB/captain Toure out for season (ACL)
Rutgers Injury Report

Maryland Notes(12/3) OC Gattis fired, Locksley play calls much worse
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling
(9/28) 400yds and forced 4 TOs, still L to IU. Def mauled
Maryland Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MD Def
Perf GradePerf	#21	#96
SuccessSuc	#67	#86
ExplosiveExp	#103	#39
PPAPPA	#84	#84
PowerPwr	#57	#92
SP+SP+	#58	#73
Pts POPPO	#44	#116
HavocHav	#38	#103

Rutgers Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#59	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	#69	#65
Run ExplRExp	#97	#27
PPAExp	#87	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#88	#27
Stuff RateStuff	#70	#42
TackleTak	-	#75

Rutgers Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	#63	#107
Pass ExplPExl	#63	#44
PPAExp	#75	#109
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#78
F7 HavocF7	#11	#71
DB HavocDB	#108	#122

Maryland on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	RUTG Def
Perf GradePerf	#122	#57
SuccessSuc	#92	#85
ExplosiveExp	#89	#105
PPAPPA	#106	#106
PowerPwr	#107	#70
SP+SP+	#97	#38
Pts POPPO	#95	#92
HavocHav	#88	#85

Maryland Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#68	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#113
Run ExplRExp	#78	#104
PPAExp	#113	#126
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#99
Stuff RateStuff	#73	#78
TackleTak	-	#57

Maryland Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	#74	#59
Pass ExplPExl	#124	#82
PPAExp	#97	#69
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#135	#27
F7 HavocF7	#45	#115
DB HavocDB	#120	#49

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 53° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Maryland -4.5 (54.5)
Rutgers won at Maryland this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Maryland last year (31-17)
Maryland beat Rutgers in 2023 (42-24)
Maryland beat Rutgers in 2022 (37-0)

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Antwan Raymond	100	457	8	4.6	65
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	92	251	3	2.7	20
Samuel Brown V	40	201	3	5.0	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)	59	757	4	12.8	45
Ian Strong	42	668	5	15.9	65
KJ Duff	28	433	1	15.5	59
Chris Long	11	163	1	14.8	58

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Walker	19	7	4	4	0
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	4

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Billy Edwards	273	420	65%	2881	15	9	6.9
MJ Morris (Tr)	36	61	59%	350	5	5	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	134	607	6	4.5	75
Nolan Ray	75	374	2	5.0	48
Billy Edwards	81	150	5	1.9	15
Colby McDonald	29	150	0	5.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tai Felton	96	1124	9	11.7	75
Kaden Prather	56	624	4	11.1	33
Dylan Wade	29	374	2	12.9	44
Octavian Smith Jr.	30	315	2	10.5	27

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Daniel Wingate	50	7	1	0
Jalen Huskey (Tr)	45	3	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Wheatland	42	7	4	4	2
Quashon Fuller	28	4	2	0	1
Kellan Wyatt	29	7	2	2	0
Taizse Johnson	12	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Donnell Brown	23	4	5	3
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2