Iowa at Maryland - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Iowa -4 (40.5) (-185) Open: -7.0
Iowa 29 - Maryland: 13 (Big Ten)

Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MD 2nd straight Home Game
IOWA coming off BYE
Our Line: Iowa -16 (SP+ IOWA -19.5)
Projected Score: IOWA: 30 - MD: 14 (45)
IOWA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
IOWA Travel: 790 miles, 1 hrs behind

Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IOWA Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Iowa vs Illinois State	-31.5
Sat 9/7	Iowa vs Iowa State	-3.0	35.0	L 19 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/14	Iowa vs Troy	-23.5	39.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Iowa at Minnesota	-3.0	34.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Iowa at Ohio State	+17.0	46.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/12	Iowa vs Washington	-2.5	41.5	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Iowa at Michigan State	-7.0	39.5	L 20 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/26	Iowa vs Northwestern	-16.5	38.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Iowa vs Wisconsin	-2.5	40.0	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Fri 11/8	Iowa at UCLA	-6.5	44.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Iowa at Maryland	-4.0	40.5	W 29 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Iowa vs Nebraska	-3.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/30	Iowa vs Missouri	+1.0	41.0	L 24 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Maryland's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Maryland vs UConn	-19.0	45.5	W 50 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	44.5	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/14	Maryland at Virginia	+2.5	55.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Maryland vs Villanova	-22.5	46.5	W 38 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/28	Maryland at Indiana	+7.5	50.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Maryland vs Northwestern	-11.0	45.0	L 10 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	Maryland vs USC	+6.5	56.5	W 29 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Maryland at Minnesota	+6.0	45.0	L 23 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Maryland at Oregon	+24.0	58.0	L 18 - 39	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Maryland vs Rutgers	-4.5	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/23	Maryland vs Iowa	+4.0	40.5	L 13 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/30	Maryland at Penn State	+26.5	50.5	L 7 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	#133 (-.04)	33% (133)	29.3	33% (131)	2.47 (132)	109	34% (124)	114	2.86 (126)	#2 (-.01)	34% (5)	16.1	35% (11)	34% (6)	2.65 (4)	28	1.4	1.1
MD	#43 (.24)	44% (45)	23.5	42% (76)	3.07 (79)	108	45% (30)	279	4.15 (43)	#24 (.11)	41% (53)	26.5	44% (81)	39% (32)	3.62 (53)	56.5	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	14	29.3	29.8	32.9%	2.86	1.4	12	223	109	114	3.4	56%	43%	33%	34%	19%	-.04
MD Defense	13	26.5	27.3	40.7%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	44%	39%	14%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	14	16.1	17.2	34.2%	2.65	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	35%	34%	16%	-.01
MD Offense	13	23.5	26.3	44%	4.15	1.6	21	387	108	279	3.7	41%	58%	42%	45%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	14	26:29	12.1	31%	50%	3.3	28	1.4	1.1	4.9	1.9	2	31.2
Maryland	13	27:56	20.8	42%	68%	5.5	56.5	1.6	1.8	4.7	2.4	2	30.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	14	56% (23)	33% (131)	32.1	108.7	3.4	11 (123)	-.08 (133)	2.47 (132)	66% (113)	12% (105)	0.82 (129)
MD Defense	13	50% (60)	44% (81)	-	-	-	-	.12 (57)	3.17 (87)	73% (72)	8% (116)	0.84 (8)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	14	45% (17)	35% (11)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (5)	2.8 (21)	71% (53)	9% (88)	0.72 (1)
MD Offense	13	41% (121)	42% (76)	29.4	108.4	3.7	20 (61)	.17 (54)	3.07 (79)	69% (101)	10% (77)	1.07 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	14	43% (113)	34% (124)	11.5	23.1	114.4	5	9.9	9 (126)	9 (40)	.08 (125)	1.4 (124)	34% (99)	21% (131)	.05 (133)	7% (112)	1.7 (128)
MD Defense	13	49% (57)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.19 (22)	1.5 (31)	29% (118)	30% (58)	.27 (45)	6% (65)	1.8 (12)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	14	53% (113)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.08 (5)	1.4 (8)	37% (8)	25% (13)	.12 (3)	7% (36)	1.7 (4)
MD Offense	13	58% (11)	45% (30)	23.6	36.7	278.9	7.6	11.8	27 (25)	13 (97)	.31 (56)	1.5 (98)	32% (65)	35% (28)	.32 (73)	6% (75)	2 (94)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 10.13 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 438.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 10.13 Maryland: -2.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 15.8 Maryland: -3.9

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 384.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 30
Maryland 14

Projected Total Points: 45

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Maryland	13	Iowa	29	Iowa -4	Iowa	40.5	Over
2021	10/01	Maryland	14	Iowa	51	Iowa -3.0	Iowa	47.5	Over
2018	10/20	Iowa	23	Maryland	0	Iowa -9.5	Iowa	44.5	Under
2015	10/31	Iowa	31	Maryland	15	Iowa -16	Push	51.0	Under
2014	10/18	Maryland	38	Iowa	31	Maryland -2.5	Maryland	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	1	1	2 Overs
Iowa	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	2 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 2

(#31) IOWA at (#89) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#31	#89
SP+SP+	#16	#86
Perf GradeGrade	#9	#120
OffenseOff	#34	#122
DefenseDef	#8	#96
Spec TeamsST	#9	#85
TalentTal	#26	#42
Blue ChipsBC%	#44	#41

Iowa Notes(11/30) 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still beat Nebraska
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad
(9/1) QB: McNamara over Sullivan (NW, mobile)
Iowa Injury Report

Maryland Notes(12/3) OC Gattis fired, Locksley play calls much worse
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling
(9/28) 400yds and forced 4 TOs, still L to IU. Def mauled
Maryland Injury Report

Iowa on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#96
SuccessSuc	#133	#53
ExplosiveExp	#133	#8
PPAPPA	#133	#24
PowerPwr	#88	#92
SP+SP+	#69	#73
Pts POPPO	#126	#53
HavocHav	#113	#109

Iowa Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#82	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#81
Run ExplRExp	#129	#8
PPAExp	#133	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#132	#87
Stuff RateStuff	#119	#119
TackleTak	-	#75

Iowa Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	#124	#32
Pass ExplPExl	#124	#31
PPAExp	#125	#22
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#15	#78
F7 HavocF7	#105	#116
DB HavocDB	#112	#65

Maryland on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#122	#8
SuccessSuc	#45	#5
ExplosiveExp	#38	#2
PPAPPA	#43	#2
PowerPwr	#107	#9
SP+SP+	#97	#5
Pts POPPO	#43	#4
HavocHav	#80	#64

Maryland Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#68	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#11
Run ExplRExp	#32	#1
PPAExp	#54	#5
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	#79	#21
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#89
TackleTak	-	#30

Maryland Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#6
Pass ExplPExl	#98	#8
PPAExp	#56	#5
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#135	#12
F7 HavocF7	#77	#88
DB HavocDB	#75	#36

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Iowa 4.0 (40.5)
Iowa won at Maryland this year (29-13)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Maryland in 2024 (29-13)

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McNamara	104	172	61%	1017	6	5	5.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	38	53	72%	474	3	3	8.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaleb Johnson	240	1537	21	6.4	75
Kamari Moulton	84	473	3	5.6	68
Jaziun Patterson	63	309	2	4.9	39
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	47	151	4	3.2	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)	35	411	2	11.7	59
Luke Lachey	28	231	0	8.3	28
Kaleb Johnson	22	188	2	8.5	72
Reece Vander Zee	14	176	3	12.6	19

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5
Nick Jackson	91	5	3	5	7
Quinn Schulte	62	0	0	0	3
Sebastian Castro	57	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Hurkett	56	12	7	2	0
Aaron Graves	33	8	6	2	3
Max Llewellyn	22	8	6	7	3
Deontae Craig	43	7	3	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Jackson	91	5	3	5	7
Jermari Harris	27	1	0	0	7
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Billy Edwards	273	420	65%	2881	15	9	6.9
MJ Morris (Tr)	36	61	59%	350	5	5	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	134	607	6	4.5	75
Nolan Ray	75	374	2	5.0	48
Billy Edwards	81	150	5	1.9	15
Colby McDonald	29	150	0	5.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tai Felton	96	1124	9	11.7	75
Kaden Prather	56	624	4	11.1	33
Dylan Wade	29	374	2	12.9	44
Octavian Smith Jr.	30	315	2	10.5	27

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Daniel Wingate	50	7	1	0
Jalen Huskey (Tr)	45	3	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Wheatland	42	7	4	4	2
Quashon Fuller	28	4	2	0	1
Kellan Wyatt	29	7	2	2	0
Taizse Johnson	12	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Donnell Brown	23	4	5	3
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2