Iowa at Maryland - 2024 Matchup Preview
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Iowa -4 (40.5) (-185)  Open: -7.0
Iowa 29 - Maryland: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (21 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Wind: 15 MPH
MD 2nd straight Home Game
IOWA coming off BYE
Our Line: Iowa -16   (SP+ IOWA -19.5)

Projected Score: IOWA: 30 - MD: 14 (50)
IOWA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
IOWA Travel: 790 miles, 1 hrs behind
Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa vs Illinois State-31.5
Sat 9/7 Iowa vs Iowa State-3.035.0L 19 - 20ON
Sat 9/14 Iowa vs Troy-23.539.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Iowa at Minnesota-3.034.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Iowa at Ohio State+17.046.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 10/12 Iowa vs Washington-2.541.5W 40 - 16OY
Sat 10/19 Iowa at Michigan State-7.039.5L 20 - 32ON
Sat 10/26 Iowa vs Northwestern-16.538.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 11/2 Iowa vs Wisconsin-2.540.0W 42 - 10OY
Fri 11/8 Iowa at UCLA-6.544.5L 17 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Iowa at Maryland-4.040.5W 29 - 13OY
Fri 11/29 Iowa vs Nebraska-3.541.5W 13 - 10UN
Mon 12/30 Iowa vs Missouri+1.041.0L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Maryland's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Maryland vs UConn-19.045.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Maryland vs Michigan State-7.544.5L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/14 Maryland at Virginia+2.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 Maryland vs Villanova-22.546.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/28 Maryland at Indiana+7.550.0L 28 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Maryland vs Northwestern-11.045.0L 10 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 Maryland vs USC+6.556.5W 29 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Maryland at Minnesota+6.045.0L 23 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Maryland at Oregon+24.058.0L 18 - 39UY
Sat 11/16 Maryland vs Rutgers-4.554.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/23 Maryland vs Iowa+4.040.5L 13 - 29ON
Sat 11/30 Maryland at Penn State+26.550.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#133 (-.04)33% (133)27.733% (131)2.47 (132)10934% (124)1142.86 (126)#2 (-.01)34% (5)17.835% (11)34% (6)2.65 (4)281.41.1
MD#43 (.24)44% (45)23.742% (76)3.07 (79)10845% (30)2794.15 (43)#24 (.11)41% (53)30.444% (81)39% (32)3.62 (53)56.51.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1427.720.832.9%2.861.4122231091143.456%43%33%34%19%-.04
MD Defense1330.425.640.7%3.621.8 - - - - - 50%49%44%39%14%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1417.822.834.2%2.651.1 - - - - - 45%53%35%34%16%-.01
MD Offense1323.725.944%4.151.6213871082793.741%58%42%45%17%.24

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1426:2912.131%50%3.3281.41.14.91.9231.2
Maryland1327:5620.842%68%5.556.51.61.84.72.4230.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1456% (23)33% (131)32.1108.73.411 (123)-.08 (133)2.47 (132)66% (113)12% (105)0.82 (129)
MD Defense1350% (60)44% (81) - - - - .12 (57)3.17 (87)73% (72)8% (116)0.84 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1445% (17)35% (11) - - - - -.05 (5)2.8 (21)71% (53)9% (88)0.72 (1)
MD Offense1341% (121)42% (76)29.4108.43.720 (61).17 (54)3.07 (79)69% (101)10% (77)1.07 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1443% (113)34% (124)11.523.1114.459.99 (126)9 (40).08 (125)1.4 (124)34% (99)21% (131).05 (133)7% (112)1.7 (128)
MD Defense1349% (57)39% (32) - - - - - - 17 (3).19 (22)1.5 (31)29% (118)30% (58).27 (45)6% (65)1.8 (12)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1453% (113)34% (6) - - - - - - 10 (67).08 (5)1.4 (8)37% (8)25% (13).12 (3)7% (36)1.7 (4)
MD Offense1358% (11)45% (30)23.636.7278.97.611.827 (25)13 (97).31 (56)1.5 (98)32% (65)35% (28).32 (73)6% (75)2 (94)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 10.13 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 852.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 10.13   Maryland: -2.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 15.8   Maryland: -3.9




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 752.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 30
Maryland 14


Projected Total Points: 50
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Maryland13Iowa29IowaIowa -4Iowa40.5Over
202110/01Maryland14Iowa51IowaIowa -3.0Iowa47.5Over
201810/20Iowa23Maryland0IowaIowa -9.5Iowa44.5Under
201510/31Iowa31Maryland15IowaIowa -16Push51.0Under
201410/18Maryland38Iowa31MarylandMaryland -2.5Maryland0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland112 Overs
Iowa432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 22 - 22 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 32 - 22 - 00 - 2

(#31) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.13 #31
Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5
Talent Rating: 852.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Iowa Notes
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad
Iowa     Ratings Matchup     Maryland
Power #31
#89
Off #88
#107
Def #9
#92
Talent #20
#42
SP+ #16
#86
SP+ Off #69
#97
SP+ Def #5
#73

Rematch from Week 13
Iowa 4.0 (40.5)
Iowa won at Maryland this year (29-13)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Maryland last year (29-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 53° - Wind: 15 mph


Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | MD
Depth Chart: IOWA | MD
Rosters: IOWA | MD
(#89) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 752.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Maryland Notes
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling


  
Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McNamara10417261%1017655.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)385372%474338.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)4715143.230
Max White63505.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)35411211.759
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619
Zach Ortwerth11133012.152
Addison Ostrenga1511417.629

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Deshaun Lee421004
Xavier Nwankpa410001
Aaron Graves338623
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Brian Allen175321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Lee421004
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
MJ Morris (Tr)366159%350555.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby13460764.575
Nolan Ray7537425.048
Billy Edwards8115051.915
DeJuan Williams84615.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Octavian Smith Jr.30315210.527
Roman Hemby4027316.832
Preston Howard2418907.919

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate507010
Jalen Huskey (Tr)453001
Lavain Scruggs431002
Caleb Wheatland427442
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Wheatland427442
Kellan Wyatt297220
Michael Harris342100
Trey Reddick163100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lavain Scruggs431002
Caleb Wheatland427442
Perry Fisher271002