Maryland at Oregon - 2024 Matchup Preview
Maryland logo Maryland Terrapins at Oregon Ducks(#6)Oregon logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Oregon -24.0 (58.0) (-3500)  Open: -25.0 | 57.5
Oregon 39 - Maryland: 18  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
MD coming off BYE
ORE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -33.5   (SP+ ORE -30)

Projected Score: MD: 12 - ORE: 45 (57)
ORE Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
MD Travel: 2380 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Ducks (13 - 1) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (22 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Maryland's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Maryland vs UConn-19.045.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Maryland vs Michigan State-7.544.5L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/14 Maryland at Virginia+2.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 Maryland vs Villanova-22.546.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/28 Maryland at Indiana+7.550.0L 28 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Maryland vs Northwestern-11.045.0L 10 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 Maryland vs USC+6.556.5W 29 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Maryland at Minnesota+6.045.0L 23 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Maryland at Oregon+24.058.0L 18 - 39UY
Sat 11/16 Maryland vs Rutgers-4.554.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/23 Maryland vs Iowa+4.040.5L 13 - 29ON
Sat 11/30 Maryland at Penn State+26.550.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Oregon's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Oregon vs Idaho-36.5
Sat 9/7 Oregon vs Boise State-17.560.5W 37 - 34ON
Sat 9/14 Oregon at Oregon State-16.050.0W 49 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Oregon at UCLA-23.554.5W 34 - 13UN
Fri 10/4 Oregon vs Michigan State-22.553.0W 31 - 10UN
Sat 10/12 Oregon vs Ohio State+3.554.5W 32 - 31OY
Fri 10/18 Oregon at Purdue-30.061.0W 35 - 0UY
Sat 10/26 Oregon vs Illinois-22.554.0W 38 - 9UY
Sat 11/2 Oregon at Michigan-14.545.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/9 Oregon vs Maryland-24.058.0W 39 - 18UN
Sat 11/16 Oregon at Wisconsin-13.549.5W 16 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Oregon vs Washington-17.550.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 12/7 Oregon vs Penn State-3.551.5W 45 - 37OY
Wed 1/1 Oregon vs Ohio State+2.555.5L 21 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)23.741% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)30.442% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)34.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)19.442% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense1223.720.640.9%3.621.7223861112763.640%60%41%41%17%.13
ORE Defense1419.419.637.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense1230.437.243.3%4.341.4 - - - - - 50%50%42%44%14%.19
ORE Offense1434.935.750.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland1230:0521.540%45%6.458.61.71.45.71.2027.8
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense1240% (125)41% (97)30.8110.63.615 (96).03 (113)2.89 (94)69% (100)9% (45)0.95 (78)
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense1250% (60)42% (65) - - - - .05 (28)2.73 (27)75% (75)10% (71)0.89 (27)
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense1260% (10)41% (74)26.341.1275.76.710.521 (51)14 (115).19 (97)1.4 (124)32% (77)32% (64).24 (101)8% (120)1.8 (123)
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense1250% (78)44% (107) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (109)1.5 (44)30% (97)32% (91).3 (67)4% (122)1.8 (25)
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -6.85   Oregon: 28.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -3.9   Oregon: 26.0




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Oregon's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0
Oregon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.6
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 45
Maryland 12


Total Points: 57

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Oregon39Maryland18OregonOregon -24.0Maryland58.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon100 Overs
Maryland011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#89) Maryland Info
Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Maryland has lost 1 straight
Maryland has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Maryland Notes
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling

Maryland Highlights
Maryland Defensive Line is very good (#35)

Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Maryland does not Sack the QB (#8)
Maryland has a bad red zone defense (#4)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOREMD
OverallOver#4#87
OffenseOff#9#98
DefenseDef#4#76
Special TeamsST#23#71
PassingPass#10#65
RushingRush#11#49
Run BlockRBLK#22#107
Pass BlockPBLK#21#118
Route RunningWR Rt#24#59
TacklingTkl#7#65
Run DefenseR Def#26#57
Pass Rush DefPRush#7#67
Coverage DefCov#4#90

Rematch from Week 11
Oregon -24.0 (58.0)
Oregon won vs Maryland this year (39-18)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Maryland last year (39-18)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MD | ORE
Depth Chart: MD | ORE
Rosters: MD | ORE
(#2) Oregon Info
Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oregon has won 9 straight
Oregon has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Oregon Notes
(11/4) Tez Johnson inj (Mich), out weeks, not year
(10/27) Rgame mauled Illinois, 229 yds, 5.9 ypc in blowout
(10/19) Rgame bad vs Purdue, Run Def bad, still shutout
(10/12) Off torched Ohio St. Gabriel/Rgame great
(9/14) Dominanted Beavs. 240 yds rushing, Gabriel good
(9/9) OL & DL are a big issue, outgained by Boise but won
(9/1) Run game a big ? after 2.9 YPC vs Idaho.
(8/4) Gabriel perfect for Off, can lines play B1G ball?
(8/4) Lots of travel weeks 7-11, 3 MW/cold trips
(7/30) Portal QBs Gabriel(UCF)/Moore(UCLA), WR Stewart

Oregon Highlights
Oregon is Undefeated at Home

Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)

Oregon Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Front 7 is disruptive (#67)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)

Oregon Deficiencies
Oregon offense is not Explosive (#24)
Oregon Does Not Stuff Runs (#90)


  
Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
MJ Morris (Tr)366159%350555.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby13460764.575
Nolan Ray7537425.048
Billy Edwards8115051.915
Colby McDonald2915005.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tai Felton961124911.775
Kaden Prather56624411.133
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Octavian Smith Jr.30315210.527

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ruben Hyppolite II667012
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Daniel Wingate507010
Jalen Huskey (Tr)453001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Wheatland427442
Quashon Fuller284201
Kellan Wyatt297220
Taizse Johnson123200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Donnell Brown234053
Ruben Hyppolite II667012

Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dillon Gabriel (Tr)32644773%38573068.6
Dante Moore (Tr)7888%49006.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan James2331267155.441
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Dillon Gabriel (Tr)7514972.054
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tez Johnson838981010.852
Traeshon Holden45718516.059
Evan Stewart (Tr)48613512.869
Terrance Ferguson43591313.762

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher877204
Tysheem Johnson583000
Kobe Savage (Tr)573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Jordan Burch2911945
Teitum Tuioti538631
Derrick Harmon (Tr)43115102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)3810010
Dontae Manning181006
Jordan Burch2911945