UConn at Maryland - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -19.0 (45.5) (-1500) Open: -20.0 | 47.5
Maryland 50 - UConn: 7

Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: UConn -1.5 (SP+ CONN -5.5)
Projected Score: CONN: 27 - MD: 25 (52)
MD Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
CONN Travel: 297 miles

Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UConn at Maryland	+19.0	45.5	L 7 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/7	UConn vs Merrimack	-14.5	44.5	W 63 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	UConn at Duke	+17.5	46.5	L 21 - 26	O	Y
Sat 9/21	UConn vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	46.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/28	UConn vs Buffalo	-6.0	44.5	W 47 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/5	UConn vs Temple	-17.5	49.0	W 29 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	UConn vs Wake Forest	+2.5	55.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/26	UConn vs Rice	-6.5	47.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/1	UConn vs Georgia State	-7.0	48.0	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/9	UConn at UAB	-7.5	54.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	UConn at Syracuse	+10.0	53.0	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UConn at Massachusetts	-9.5	49.5	W 47 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/28	UConn vs North Carolina	+2.0	53.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Maryland's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Maryland vs UConn	-19.0	45.5	W 50 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	44.5	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/14	Maryland at Virginia	+2.5	55.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Maryland vs Villanova	-22.5	46.5	W 38 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/28	Maryland at Indiana	+7.5	50.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Maryland vs Northwestern	-11.0	45.0	L 10 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	Maryland vs USC	+6.5	56.5	W 29 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Maryland at Minnesota	+6.0	45.0	L 23 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Maryland at Oregon	+24.0	58.0	L 18 - 39	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Maryland vs Rutgers	-4.5	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/23	Maryland vs Iowa	+4.0	40.5	L 13 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/30	Maryland at Penn State	+26.5	50.5	L 7 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#111 (.11)	40% (96)	35.3	43% (68)	2.76 (120)	137	37% (108)	190	3.29 (106)	#99 (.23)	47% (124)	27	45% (89)	49% (133)	3.88 (75)	53.8	1.4	1.1
MD	#43 (.24)	44% (45)	23.5	42% (76)	3.07 (79)	108	45% (30)	279	4.15 (43)	#24 (.11)	41% (53)	26.5	44% (81)	39% (32)	3.62 (53)	56.5	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	12	35.3	33.5	39.8%	3.29	1.4	18	327	137	190	4.2	51%	48%	43%	37%	16%	.11
MD Defense	13	26.5	27.3	40.7%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	44%	39%	14%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	12	27	32.2	46.6%	3.88	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	49%	16%	.23
MD Offense	13	23.5	26.3	44%	4.15	1.6	21	387	108	279	3.7	41%	58%	42%	45%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	12	31:15	18.1	35%	38%	6.1	53.8	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.3	1	27.5
Maryland	13	27:56	20.8	42%	68%	5.5	56.5	1.6	1.8	4.7	2.4	2	30.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	12	51% (54)	43% (68)	32.8	136.6	4.2	15 (100)	.01 (125)	2.76 (120)	77% (41)	11% (93)	0.9 (112)
MD Defense	13	50% (60)	44% (81)	-	-	-	-	.12 (57)	3.17 (87)	73% (72)	8% (116)	0.84 (8)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	12	51% (77)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.11 (48)	2.9 (34)	79% (103)	11% (45)	0.98 (59)
MD Offense	13	41% (121)	42% (76)	29.4	108.4	3.7	20 (61)	.17 (54)	3.07 (79)	69% (101)	10% (77)	1.07 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	12	48% (79)	37% (108)	18.3	31.8	190.3	6	10.4	12 (113)	7 (21)	.25 (78)	1.6 (51)	35% (112)	28% (90)	.23 (98)	5% (33)	1.8 (122)
MD Defense	13	49% (57)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.19 (22)	1.5 (31)	29% (118)	30% (58)	.27 (45)	6% (65)	1.8 (12)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	12	49% (61)	49% (133)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.4 (118)	1.4 (17)	30% (113)	33% (112)	.35 (86)	5% (110)	1.8 (8)
MD Offense	13	58% (11)	45% (30)	23.6	36.7	278.9	7.6	11.8	27 (25)	13 (97)	.31 (56)	1.5 (98)	32% (65)	35% (28)	.32 (73)	6% (75)	2 (94)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -4.45 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 230.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 392
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -4.45 Maryland: -2.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 1.5 Maryland: -3.9

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 384.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 27
Maryland 25

Projected Total Points: 52

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Maryland	50	UConn	7	Maryland -19.0	Maryland	45.5	Over
2013	09/14	UConn	21	Maryland	32	Maryland -8	Maryland	0
2012	09/15	Maryland	21	UConn	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	2	2	1 Overs
UConn	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#80) CONN at (#89) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#80	#89
SP+SP+	#67	#86
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#120
OffenseOff	#50	#122
DefenseDef	#51	#96
Spec TeamsST	#30	#85
TalentTal	#106	#42
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#41

UConn Notes(11/25) Pass D torched by Cuse. Off good, fought hard
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR
(7/30) Def hoping new adds improve pretty poor unit LY
UConn Injury Report

Maryland Notes(12/3) OC Gattis fired, Locksley play calls much worse
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling
(9/28) 400yds and forced 4 TOs, still L to IU. Def mauled
Maryland Injury Report

UConn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#50	#96
SuccessSuc	#96	#53
ExplosiveExp	#102	#8
PPAPPA	#111	#24
PowerPwr	#89	#92
SP+SP+	#70	#73
Pts POPPO	#106	#53
HavocHav	#75	#109

UConn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#87	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#81
Run ExplRExp	#112	#8
PPAExp	#125	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	#120	#87
Stuff RateStuff	#125	#119
TackleTak	-	#75

UConn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	#108	#32
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#31
PPAExp	#78	#22
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#78
F7 HavocF7	#93	#116
DB HavocDB	#33	#65

Maryland on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	CONN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#122	#51
SuccessSuc	#45	#124
ExplosiveExp	#38	#33
PPAPPA	#43	#99
PowerPwr	#107	#36
SP+SP+	#97	#60
Pts POPPO	#43	#75
HavocHav	#80	#80

Maryland Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#68	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#89
Run ExplRExp	#32	#59
PPAExp	#54	#48
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	#79	#34
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#41
TackleTak	-	#57

Maryland Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#133
Pass ExplPExl	#98	#17
PPAExp	#56	#118
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#135	#111
F7 HavocF7	#77	#45
DB HavocDB	#75	#110

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Maryland -19.0 (45.5)
Maryland won vs UConn this year (50-7)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat UConn in 2024 (50-7)

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano	120	207	58%	1631	20	4	7.9
Nick Evers (Tr)	97	180	54%	918	5	5	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Edwards	146	830	8	5.7	71
Durell Robinson (Tr)	107	731	8	6.8	68
Jayden Brown	98	578	2	5.9	52
Nick Evers (Tr)	80	245	3	3.1	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)	50	860	5	17.2	70
TJ Sheffield (Tr)	54	505	3	9.4	58
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)	32	307	3	9.6	26
Louis Hansen	24	236	4	9.8	55

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)	125	10	4	8	3
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3
Rante Jones	56	2	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Jayden McDonald (Tr)	125	10	4	8	3
Pryce Yates	21	7	4	5	1
Langston Hardy	44	7	4	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tui Faumuina-Brown	91	11	5	7	6
Cam Chadwick	47	1	0	1	6
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Billy Edwards	273	420	65%	2881	15	9	6.9
MJ Morris (Tr)	36	61	59%	350	5	5	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	134	607	6	4.5	75
Nolan Ray	75	374	2	5.0	48
Billy Edwards	81	150	5	1.9	15
Colby McDonald	29	150	0	5.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tai Felton	96	1124	9	11.7	75
Kaden Prather	56	624	4	11.1	33
Dylan Wade	29	374	2	12.9	44
Octavian Smith Jr.	30	315	2	10.5	27

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Daniel Wingate	50	7	1	0
Jalen Huskey (Tr)	45	3	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Wheatland	42	7	4	4	2
Quashon Fuller	28	4	2	0	1
Kellan Wyatt	29	7	2	2	0
Taizse Johnson	12	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Donnell Brown	23	4	5	3
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2