UConn at Maryland - 2024 Matchup Preview
UConn logo UConn Huskies at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -19.0 (45.5) (-1500)  Open: -20.0 | 47.5
Maryland 50 - UConn: 7

 
Huskies (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Jim L. Mora (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (26 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: UConn -1.5   (SP+ CONN -5.5)
Projected Score: CONN: 26 - MD: 24 (50)
MD Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
CONN Travel: 297 miles
Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UConn at Maryland+19.045.5L 7 - 50ON
Sat 9/7 UConn vs Merrimack-14.544.5W 63 - 17OY
Sat 9/14 UConn at Duke+17.546.5L 21 - 26OY
Sat 9/21 UConn vs Florida Atlantic-1.046.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 UConn vs Buffalo-6.044.5W 47 - 3OY
Sat 10/5 UConn vs Temple-17.549.0W 29 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 UConn vs Wake Forest+2.555.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/26 UConn vs Rice-6.547.0W 17 - 10UY
Fri 11/1 UConn vs Georgia State-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/9 UConn at UAB-7.554.0W 31 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UConn at Syracuse+10.053.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 UConn at Massachusetts-9.549.5W 47 - 42ON
Sat 12/28 UConn vs North Carolina+2.053.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Maryland's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Maryland vs UConn-19.045.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Maryland vs Michigan State-7.544.5L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/14 Maryland at Virginia+2.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 Maryland vs Villanova-22.546.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/28 Maryland at Indiana+7.550.0L 28 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Maryland vs Northwestern-11.045.0L 10 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 Maryland vs USC+6.556.5W 29 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Maryland at Minnesota+6.045.0L 23 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Maryland at Oregon+24.058.0L 18 - 39UY
Sat 11/16 Maryland vs Rutgers-4.554.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/23 Maryland vs Iowa+4.040.5L 13 - 29ON
Sat 11/30 Maryland at Penn State+26.550.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)31.943% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)23.142% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)23.741% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)30.442% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)43% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)42% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1331.92641.8%4.091.2193711841875.254%46%43%40%13%.19
MD Defense1230.425.643.3%4.341.4 - - - - - 50%50%42%44%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense1323.134.439.4%3.361.1 - - - - - 49%51%42%37%17%.1
MD Offense1223.725.940.9%3.621.7223861112763.640%60%41%41%17%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1327:1619.137%47%550.41.21.15.21.6231.5
Maryland1230:0521.540%45%6.458.61.71.45.71.2027.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1354% (39)43% (82)35.7184.15.222 (55).18 (40)3.07 (58)77% (39)7% (13)1.03 (45)
MD Defense1250% (60)42% (65) - - - - .05 (28)2.73 (27)75% (75)10% (71)0.89 (27)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1349% (45)42% (63) - - - - .05 (29)2.76 (31)63% (18)10% (78)0.89 (28)
MD Offense1240% (125)41% (97)30.8110.63.615 (96).03 (113)2.89 (94)69% (100)9% (45)0.95 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1346% (96)40% (84)15.828.6186.86.511.823 (41)9 (48).23 (85)1.5 (114)30% (47)30% (88).29 (86)6% (87)2 (82)
MD Defense1250% (78)44% (107) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (109)1.5 (44)30% (97)32% (91).3 (67)4% (122)1.8 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1351% (84)37% (23) - - - - - - 9 (76).17 (35)1.5 (37)32% (72)26% (17).28 (57)7% (23)2.1 (97)
MD Offense1260% (10)41% (74)26.341.1275.76.710.521 (51)14 (115).19 (97)1.4 (124)32% (77)32% (64).24 (101)8% (120)1.8 (123)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -4.45 #80
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
UConn's Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
UConn's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
UConn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -4.45   Maryland: -2.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 1.5   Maryland: -3.9




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

UConn's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 26
Maryland 24


Total Points: 50

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Maryland50UConn7MarylandMaryland -19.0Maryland45.5Over
201309/14UConn21Maryland32MarylandMaryland -8Maryland0
201209/15Maryland21UConn24UConn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland221 Overs
UConn100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#80) UConn Info
Power Rating: -4.45 #80
Offense Rating: 17.51 #89
Defense Rating: 6.05 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #60
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

UConn Notes
(11/3) Rgame 272, 6.5 ypc in W (Ga St). Bowl eligible
(10/28) Sched light, but Def in top 20 in most categories
(10/28) Final 3 games on road, but could win 3/4 for 8 W's
(10/18) QB Fagnano or Evers, doesn't really matter
(10/4) Off lights out, Rgame nearly 250 ypg. Who's QB?
(8/11) Won't leave home weeks 4 - 10
(8/3) Mora grabbed a lot of P5 talent via portal
(7/30) Should improve from 3 W's LY, fringe bowl?
(7/30) QB Fagano back (inj). Add Ewers (bust @ OU/Wisc)
(7/30) Portals really good from bigger schools, good WR

UConn Highlights
UConn has Really Good Running Game (#77)
UConn defense does not give up big plays (#48)
UConn defense is really good in red zone (#29)
UConn has a good pass defense (#60)
UConn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#44)
UConn Secondary is very good (#12)

UConn Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMDCONN
OverallOver#87#32
OffenseOff#98#43
DefenseDef#76#38
Special TeamsST#71#26
PassingPass#65#82
RushingRush#49#63
Run BlockRBLK#107#2
Pass BlockPBLK#118#51
Route RunningWR Rt#59#95
TacklingTkl#65#51
Run DefenseR Def#57#56
Pass Rush DefPRush#67#95
Coverage DefCov#90#11

Rematch from Week 1
Maryland -19.0 (45.5)
Maryland won vs UConn this year (50-7)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat UConn last year (50-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CONN | MD
Depth Chart: CONN | MD
Rosters: CONN | MD
(#89) Maryland Info
Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Record at home: 3 - 4 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Maryland Notes
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling

Maryland Highlights
Maryland Defensive Line is very good (#35)

Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Maryland does not Sack the QB (#8)
Maryland has a bad red zone defense (#4)


  
UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Fagnano12020758%16312047.9
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Durell Robinson (Tr)10773186.868
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell (Tr)50860517.270
TJ Sheffield (Tr)5450539.458
Jasaiah Gathings (Tr)3230739.626
Louis Hansen2423649.855

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Malik Dixon671003
Rante Jones562032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald (Tr)12510483
Pryce Yates217451
Langston Hardy447430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
Dalmont Gourdine274146

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
MJ Morris (Tr)366159%350555.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby13460764.575
Nolan Ray7537425.048
Billy Edwards8115051.915
Colby McDonald2915005.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tai Felton961124911.775
Kaden Prather56624411.133
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Octavian Smith Jr.30315210.527

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ruben Hyppolite II667012
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Daniel Wingate507010
Jalen Huskey (Tr)453001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Wheatland427442
Quashon Fuller284201
Kellan Wyatt297220
Taizse Johnson123200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Donnell Brown234053
Ruben Hyppolite II667012