Maryland at Indiana - 2024 Matchup Preview

Maryland Terrapins at Indiana Hoosiers(#11)

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Indiana -7.5 (50.0) (-290) Open: -6.5
Indiana 42 - Maryland: 28 (Big Ten)

Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IND 2nd straight Home Game
IND is playing their 5th straight game
MD is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -26.5 (SP+ IND -24)
Projected Score: MD: 14 - IND: 40 (54)
IND Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
MD Travel: 514 miles

Hoosiers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 16 (47 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MD Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Maryland vs UConn	-19.0	45.5	W 50 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	44.5	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/14	Maryland at Virginia	+2.5	55.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Maryland vs Villanova	-22.5	46.5	W 38 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/28	Maryland at Indiana	+7.5	50.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Maryland vs Northwestern	-11.0	45.0	L 10 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	Maryland vs USC	+6.5	56.5	W 29 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Maryland at Minnesota	+6.0	45.0	L 23 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Maryland at Oregon	+24.0	58.0	L 18 - 39	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Maryland vs Rutgers	-4.5	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/23	Maryland vs Iowa	+4.0	40.5	L 13 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/30	Maryland at Penn State	+26.5	50.5	L 7 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Indiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Indiana vs Florida International	-20.5	50.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/6	Indiana vs Western Illinois	-44.5	52.5	W 77 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Indiana at UCLA	-3.5	46.5	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Indiana vs Charlotte	-28.5	50.0	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Indiana vs Maryland	-7.5	50.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Indiana vs Northwestern	-12.5	40.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Indiana vs Nebraska	-6.5	48.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Indiana vs Washington	-5.5	54.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Indiana at Michigan State	-7.5	53.5	W 47 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Indiana vs Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Indiana at Ohio State	+10.5	52.5	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Indiana vs Purdue	-28.5	56.5	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Indiana at Notre Dame	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)	23.7	41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)	30.4	42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)	41.3	50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)	15.6	35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)		50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)		35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	12	23.7	20.6	40.9%	3.62	1.7	22	386	111	276	3.6	40%	60%	41%	41%	17%	.13
IND Defense	13	15.6	11.4	38.1%	3.66	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	35%	40%	21%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	12	30.4	37.2	43.3%	4.34	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	42%	44%	14%	.19
IND Offense	13	41.3	46.9	52.4%	5.03	0.7	23	428	166	261	4.5	52%	48%	50%	56%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	12	30:05	21.5	40%	45%	6.4	58.6	1.7	1.4	5.7	1.2	0	27.8
Indiana	13	30:42	23.5	48%	59%	4.8	43.9	0.7	1.8	6.7	2.7	2	34.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	12	40% (125)	41% (97)	30.8	110.6	3.6	15 (96)	.03 (113)	2.89 (94)	69% (100)	9% (45)	0.95 (78)
IND Defense	13	45% (10)	35% (7)	-	-	-	-	.01 (16)	2.4 (4)	66% (27)	13% (9)	1.05 (96)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	12	50% (60)	42% (65)	-	-	-	-	.05 (28)	2.73 (27)	75% (75)	10% (71)	0.89 (27)
IND Offense	13	52% (60)	50% (13)	37.2	166.2	4.5	37 (6)	.17 (48)	3.09 (55)	75% (53)	7% (16)	0.89 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	12	60% (10)	41% (74)	26.3	41.1	275.7	6.7	10.5	21 (51)	14 (115)	.19 (97)	1.4 (124)	32% (77)	32% (64)	.24 (101)	8% (120)	1.8 (123)
IND Defense	13	55% (127)	40% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (18)	.15 (29)	1.3 (3)	32% (59)	28% (30)	.19 (21)	7% (26)	1.6 (1)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	12	50% (78)	44% (107)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.34 (109)	1.5 (44)	30% (97)	32% (91)	.3 (67)	4% (122)	1.8 (25)
IND Offense	13	48% (73)	56% (2)	18.9	27.8	261.3	9.4	13.8	33 (5)	6 (10)	.53 (2)	1.6 (64)	27% (12)	39% (3)	.5 (11)	6% (73)	2.1 (52)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -6.85 Indiana: 21.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -3.9 Indiana: 20.1

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 21.3 #10
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Indiana's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Indiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.6
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 40
Maryland 14

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Indiana 35
Maryland 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 39
Maryland 18

Total Points: 57

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.9
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Indiana's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Maryland	10	Indiana	55	Indiana -21	Indiana	50.5	Over
2024	09/28	Indiana	42	Maryland	28	Indiana -7.5	Indiana	50.0	Over
2023	09/30	Maryland	44	Indiana	17	Maryland -14.5	Maryland	50.0	Over
2022	10/15	Indiana	33	Maryland	38	Maryland -11	Indiana	63.0	Over
2021	10/30	Maryland	38	Indiana	35	Maryland -3.5	Indiana	48.0	Over
2020	11/28	Indiana	27	Maryland	11	Indiana -11.5	Indiana	65.0	Under
2019	10/19	Maryland	28	Indiana	34	Indiana -6.5	Maryland	59.5	Over
2018	11/10	Indiana	34	Maryland	32	Indiana -1	Indiana	55.0	Over
2017	10/28	Maryland	42	Indiana	39	Indiana -6.5	Maryland	51.5	Over
2016	10/29	Indiana	42	Maryland	36	Indiana -5	Indiana	55.5	Over
2015	11/21	Maryland	28	Indiana	47	Indiana -1.5	Indiana	63.0	Over
2014	09/27	Indiana	15	Maryland	37	Indiana -3	Maryland	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	7	8	10 Overs
Maryland	5	4	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	8 - 4	5 - 2	3 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 7	4 - 8	2 - 3	2 - 5

(#89) MD at (#10) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MD	IND
Power RatePwr	#89	#10
SP+SP+	#86	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#1
OffenseOff	#122	#2
DefenseDef	#96	#4
Spec TeamsST	#85	#4
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#41	#38

Maryland Notes(12/3) OC Gattis fired, Locksley play calls much worse
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling
(9/28) 400yds and forced 4 TOs, still L to IU. Def mauled
Maryland Injury Report

Indiana Notes(12/24) Signed QB Mendoza (Cal)/RB Hemby (MD)
(12/5) Co-OC Sunseri hired as UCLA OC after '24
(11/24) Off awful vs OSU, 153 total yards. Def wilted
(11/13) Off human vs Mich, Rgame awful (40 yds, 1.4 ypc)
(11/2) Run Def killed MSU. Off 47 pts but #'s bad
(11/1) 3-0, avg 27 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/28) QB Rourke (inj) could play vs Michigan St
(10/19) 500 yds, owned Nebraska. Def was good, fun team
(9/28) 500+ yds vs MD. Overcame 5 TOs, still won
(9/19) V good WR's. Cooper top 5 M2M, 4 good options.
(9/1) Grounded FIU, 234 yds rushing (6 ypc). Def was good
(8/4) Cignetti is cocky/confident & wins everywhere.
Indiana Injury Report

Maryland on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	IND Def
Perf GradePerf	#122	#4
SuccessSuc	#92	#24
ExplosiveExp	#89	#25
PPAPPA	#106	#19
PowerPwr	#107	#24
SP+SP+	#97	#15
Pts POPPO	#95	#55
HavocHav	#88	#6

Maryland Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#68	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#7
Run ExplRExp	#78	#96
PPAExp	#113	#16
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#4
Stuff RateStuff	#73	#6
TackleTak	-	#94

Maryland Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	MD Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#82	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#74	#70
Pass ExplPExl	#124	#3
PPAExp	#97	#29
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#135	#11
F7 HavocF7	#45	#9
DB HavocDB	#120	#26

Indiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	MD Def
Perf GradePerf	#2	#96
SuccessSuc	#2	#86
ExplosiveExp	#90	#39
PPAPPA	#6	#84
PowerPwr	#6	#92
SP+SP+	#18	#73
Pts POPPO	#1	#116
HavocHav	#27	#103

Indiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#33	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	#13	#65
Run ExplRExp	#107	#27
PPAExp	#48	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#19	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	#27
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#42
TackleTak	-	#75

Indiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	#2	#107
Pass ExplPExl	#64	#44
PPAExp	#2	#109
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#78
F7 HavocF7	#16	#71
DB HavocDB	#73	#122

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 66° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.035

Rematch from Week 5
Indiana -7.5 (50.0)
Indiana won vs Maryland this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Maryland last year (42-28)
Maryland beat Indiana in 2023 (44-17)
Maryland beat Indiana in 2022 (38-33)

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Billy Edwards	273	420	65%	2881	15	9	6.9
MJ Morris (Tr)	36	61	59%	350	5	5	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	134	607	6	4.5	75
Nolan Ray	75	374	2	5.0	48
Billy Edwards	81	150	5	1.9	15
Colby McDonald	29	150	0	5.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tai Felton	96	1124	9	11.7	75
Kaden Prather	56	624	4	11.1	33
Dylan Wade	29	374	2	12.9	44
Octavian Smith Jr.	30	315	2	10.5	27

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Daniel Wingate	50	7	1	0
Jalen Huskey (Tr)	45	3	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Wheatland	42	7	4	4	2
Quashon Fuller	28	4	2	0	1
Kellan Wyatt	29	7	2	2	0
Taizse Johnson	12	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Donnell Brown	23	4	5	3
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke (Tr)	222	320	69%	3042	29	5	9.5
Tayven Jackson	23	37	62%	349	4	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justice Ellison (Tr)	159	848	10	5.3	47
Ty Son Lawton	141	668	12	4.7	29
Kaelon Black (Tr)	46	251	2	5.5	21
Elijah Green (Tr)	29	201	5	6.9	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt (Tr)	53	957	8	18.1	84
Omar Cooper Jr.	28	594	7	21.2	69
Myles Price (Tr)	38	466	3	12.3	41
Ke'Shawn Williams (Tr)	39	448	5	11.5	52

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher (Tr)	118	6	2	3	4
Jailin Walker (Tr)	82	10	2	5	8
Shawn Asbury II (Tr)	69	5	2	1	4
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikail Kamara (Tr)	46	14	9	6	1
James Carpenter (Tr)	37	11	5	5	2
Tyrique Tucker (Tr)	24	5	3	4	1
Lanell Carr	39	5	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9
Jailin Walker (Tr)	82	10	2	5	8
Jamari Sharpe	13	1	1	0	6