Villanova at Maryland - 2024 Matchup Preview

Villanova Wildcats at Maryland Terrapins

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -22.5 (46.5) (-1800) Open: -17.5 | 43.5
Maryland 38 - Villanova: 20

Wildcats (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (20 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ MD -4)
MD Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%

Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NOVA Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Villanova's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Villanova at Maryland	+22.5	46.5	L 20 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Villanova's Schedule

Maryland's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Maryland vs UConn	-19.0	45.5	W 50 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	44.5	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/14	Maryland at Virginia	+2.5	55.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Maryland vs Villanova	-22.5	46.5	W 38 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/28	Maryland at Indiana	+7.5	50.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Maryland vs Northwestern	-11.0	45.0	L 10 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	Maryland vs USC	+6.5	56.5	W 29 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Maryland at Minnesota	+6.0	45.0	L 23 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Maryland at Oregon	+24.0	58.0	L 18 - 39	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Maryland vs Rutgers	-4.5	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/23	Maryland vs Iowa	+4.0	40.5	L 13 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/30	Maryland at Penn State	+26.5	50.5	L 7 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NOVA		0%	20	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)	23.7	41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)	30.4	42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NOVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NOVA Offense	1	20	20	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MD Defense	12	30.4	25.6	43.3%	4.34	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	42%	44%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NOVA Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MD Offense	12	23.7	25.9	40.9%	3.62	1.7	22	386	111	276	3.6	40%	60%	41%	41%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Villanova	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Maryland	12	30:05	21.5	40%	45%	6.4	58.6	1.7	1.4	5.7	1.2	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NOVA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MD Defense	12	50% (60)	42% (65)	-	-	-	-	.05 (28)	2.73 (27)	75% (75)	10% (71)	0.89 (27)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NOVA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MD Offense	12	40% (125)	41% (97)	30.8	110.6	3.6	15 (96)	.03 (113)	2.89 (94)	69% (100)	9% (45)	0.95 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NOVA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MD Defense	12	50% (78)	44% (107)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.34 (109)	1.5 (44)	30% (97)	32% (91)	.3 (67)	4% (122)	1.8 (25)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NOVA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MD Offense	12	60% (10)	41% (74)	26.3	41.1	275.7	6.7	10.5	21 (51)	14 (115)	.19 (97)	1.4 (124)	32% (77)	32% (64)	.24 (101)	8% (120)	1.8 (123)

Villanova's Power Ratings
Villanova's Power Rating: #NR
Villanova's Offense Rating: #NR
Villanova's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Villanova's 2024 Expected Record: -
Villanova's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Villanova's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Villanova's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Villanova: Maryland: -2.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Villanova: Maryland: -3.9

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Villanova Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Villanova's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 32
Villanova 24

Total Points: 56

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Maryland	38	Villanova	20	Maryland	Maryland -22.5	Villanova	46.5	Over
2007	09/01	Maryland	31	Villanova	14	Maryland

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	2	0	1 Overs
Villanova	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) Villanova Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Villanova Highlights
Villanova is Undefeated vs Spread

Villanova Deficiencies
Villanova has a really bad Offense
Villanova Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	MD	NOVA
OverallOver	#87	—
OffenseOff	#98	—
DefenseDef	#76	—
Special TeamsST	#71	—
PassingPass	#65	—
RushingRush	#49	—
Run BlockRBLK	#107	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#118	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#59	—
TacklingTkl	#65	—
Run DefenseR Def	#57	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#67	—
Coverage DefCov	#90	—

Rematch from Week 4
Maryland -22.5 (46.5)
Maryland won vs Villanova this year (38-20)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat Villanova last year (38-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NOVA | MD
Depth Chart: NOVA | MD
Rosters: NOVA | MD

(#89) Maryland Info
Power Rating: -2.875 #89
Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Maryland has won 1 straight
Maryland has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Maryland Notes
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling

Maryland Highlights
Maryland Defensive Line is very good (#35)

Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Maryland does not Sack the QB (#8)
Maryland has a bad red zone defense (#4)

Villanova's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Connor Watkins	164	315	52%	1999	13	4	6.3
Tanner Maddocks	6	10	60%	86	0	0	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
David Avit	163	887	9	5.4	72
Isaiah Ragland	101	508	4	5.0	65
Connor Watkins	111	424	7	3.8	45
Ja'briel Mace	38	177	1	4.7	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylan Sanchez	33	483	3	14.6	72
Devin Smith	36	461	6	12.8	71
Lucas Kopecky	24	279	2	11.6	26
David Avit	11	175	0	15.9	56

View Villanova's Full Roster

Villanova's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ethan Potter	10	1	0	1
Shane Hartzell	7	2	1	0
Ayden Howard	6	0	0	0
Jalen Goodman	5	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Shane Hartzell	7	2	1	0
Ethan Potter	10	1	0	1
Mike Kennedy	1	0	0	0
Newton Essiem	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Ethan Potter	10	1	1
Isas Waxter	2	1	0
Mike Kennedy	1	0	0

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Billy Edwards	273	420	65%	2881	15	9	6.9
MJ Morris (Tr)	36	61	59%	350	5	5	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	134	607	6	4.5	75
Nolan Ray	75	374	2	5.0	48
Billy Edwards	81	150	5	1.9	15
Colby McDonald	29	150	0	5.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tai Felton	96	1124	9	11.7	75
Kaden Prather	56	624	4	11.1	33
Dylan Wade	29	374	2	12.9	44
Octavian Smith Jr.	30	315	2	10.5	27

View Maryland's Full Roster

Maryland's DC Brian Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Daniel Wingate	50	7	1	0
Jalen Huskey (Tr)	45	3	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caleb Wheatland	42	7	4	4	2
Quashon Fuller	28	4	2	0	1
Kellan Wyatt	29	7	2	2	0
Taizse Johnson	12	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	4
Donnell Brown	23	4	5	3
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	1	2