Villanova at Maryland - 2024 Matchup Preview
Villanova logo Villanova Wildcats at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -22.5 (46.5) (-1800)  Open: -17.5 | 43.5
Maryland 38 - Villanova: 20

 
Wildcats (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (20 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ MD -4)
MD Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Villanova's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Villanova at Maryland+22.546.5L 20 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Villanova's Schedule
Maryland's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Maryland vs UConn-19.045.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Maryland vs Michigan State-7.544.5L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/14 Maryland at Virginia+2.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 Maryland vs Villanova-22.546.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/28 Maryland at Indiana+7.550.0L 28 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Maryland vs Northwestern-11.045.0L 10 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 Maryland vs USC+6.556.5W 29 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Maryland at Minnesota+6.045.0L 23 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Maryland at Oregon+24.058.0L 18 - 39UY
Sat 11/16 Maryland vs Rutgers-4.554.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/23 Maryland vs Iowa+4.040.5L 13 - 29ON
Sat 11/30 Maryland at Penn State+26.550.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NOVA0%200%000%000%380%0%0000
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)23.741% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)30.442% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NOVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NOVA Offense120200%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MD Defense1230.425.643.3%4.341.4 - - - - - 50%50%42%44%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NOVA Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MD Offense1223.725.940.9%3.621.7223861112763.640%60%41%41%17%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Villanova10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Maryland1230:0521.540%45%6.458.61.71.45.71.2027.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NOVA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
MD Defense1250% (60)42% (65) - - - - .05 (28)2.73 (27)75% (75)10% (71)0.89 (27)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NOVA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MD Offense1240% (125)41% (97)30.8110.63.615 (96).03 (113)2.89 (94)69% (100)9% (45)0.95 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NOVA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
MD Defense1250% (78)44% (107) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (109)1.5 (44)30% (97)32% (91).3 (67)4% (122)1.8 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NOVA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MD Offense1260% (10)41% (74)26.341.1275.76.710.521 (51)14 (115).19 (97)1.4 (124)32% (77)32% (64).24 (101)8% (120)1.8 (123)

Villanova's Power Ratings
Villanova's Power Rating: NR
Villanova's Offense Rating: NR
Villanova's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Villanova's 2024 Expected Record: -
Villanova's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Villanova's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Villanova's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Villanova:    Maryland: -2.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Villanova:    Maryland: -3.9




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -2.875  #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06  #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27  #92
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9  #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Villanova Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Villanova's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Maryland 35
Villanova 20

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Maryland 37
Villanova 16

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Maryland 32
Villanova 24

Total Points: 56
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Maryland38Villanova20Maryland -22.5Villanova46.5Over
200709/01Maryland31Villanova14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland201 Overs
Villanova010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) NOVA at (#89) MD
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNOVAMD
Power RatePwrNR #89
SP+SP+NR #86
Perf GradeGradeNR #120
OffenseOffNR #122
DefenseDefNR #96
Spec TeamsSTNR #85
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #41
Maryland Notes
(12/3) OC Gattis fired, Locksley play calls much worse
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling
(9/28) 400yds and forced 4 TOs, still L to IU. Def mauled
Maryland Injury Report
Villanova on Offense
CategoryCat
NOVA OffMD Def
Perf GradePerfNR #96
SuccessSucNR #86
ExplosiveExpNR #39
PPAPPANR #84
PowerPwrNR #92
SP+SP+NR #73
Pts POPPONR #116
HavocHavNR #103
Villanova Run Game
CategoryCat
NOVA OffMD Def
Run GameRunNR #72
Run SuccessRSucNR #65
Run ExplRExpNR #27
PPAExpNR #28
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #27
Stuff RateStuffNR #42
TackleTak -  #75
Villanova Pass Game
CategoryCat
NOVA OffMD Def
Pass GamePassNR #112
Pass SuccessPSucNR #107
Pass ExplPExlNR #44
PPAExpNR #109
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #78
F7 HavocF7NR #71
DB HavocDBNR #122
Maryland on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatMD OffNOVA Def
Perf GradePerf #122NR
SuccessSuc #92NR
ExplosiveExp #89NR
PPAPPA #106NR
PowerPwr #107NR
SP+SP+ #97NR
Pts POPPO #95NR
HavocHav #88NR
Maryland Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
MD OffNOVA Def
Run GameRun #68NR
Run SuccessRSuc #97NR
Run ExplRExp #78NR
PPAExp #113NR
Run BlockR Blk #135 -
OL YdsOLY #94NR
Stuff RateStuff #73NR
TackleTak - NR
Maryland Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatMD OffNOVA Def
Pass GamePass #82NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #74NR
Pass ExplPExl #124NR
PPAExp #97NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #135NR
F7 HavocF7 #45NR
DB HavocDB #120NR
Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

NOVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Maryland -22.5 (46.5)
Maryland won vs Villanova this year (38-20)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat Villanova last year (38-20)

  
NOVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Watkins16431552%19991346.3
Tanner Maddocks61060%86008.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
David Avit16388795.472
Isaiah Ragland10150845.065
Connor Watkins11142473.845
Ja'briel Mace3817714.724
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylan Sanchez33483314.672
Devin Smith36461612.871
Lucas Kopecky24279211.626
David Avit11175015.956

View Villanova's Full Roster

NOVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Potter101001
Shane Hartzell72100
Ayden Howard60000
Jalen Goodman50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Hartzell72100
Ethan Potter101001
Mike Kennedy10000
Newton Essiem10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Potter101001
Isas Waxter21000
Mike Kennedy10000

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
MJ Morris (Tr)366159%350555.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby13460764.575
Nolan Ray7537425.048
Billy Edwards8115051.915
Colby McDonald2915005.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tai Felton961124911.775
Kaden Prather56624411.133
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Octavian Smith Jr.30315210.527

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ruben Hyppolite II667012
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Daniel Wingate507010
Jalen Huskey (Tr)453001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Wheatland427442
Quashon Fuller284201
Kellan Wyatt297220
Taizse Johnson123200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Donnell Brown234053
Ruben Hyppolite II667012