(#9)Illinois Fighting Illini vs Northwestern Wildcats
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Illinois -8.5 (42.5) (-340) Open: -7.5 | 44.5
Illinois 38 - Northwestern: 28 (Big Ten)
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ILL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Illinois -17.5 (SP+ ILL -18)
Projected Score: ILL: 31 - NW: 14 (45)
ILL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ILL Travel: 139 miles
Our Line: Illinois -17.5 (SP+ ILL -18)
Projected Score: ILL: 31 - NW: 14 (45)
ILL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ILL Travel: 139 miles
Wildcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Illinois's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Illinois vs Eastern Illinois | -28.5 | 50.5 | W 45 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Illinois vs Kansas | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Illinois vs Central Michigan | -21.5 | 49.5 | W 30 - 9 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/20 | Illinois at Nebraska | +9.5 | 41.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Illinois at Penn State | +19.5 | 48.0 | L 7 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Illinois vs Purdue | -22.5 | 47.5 | W 50 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Illinois vs Michigan | +6.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Illinois at Oregon | +22.5 | 54.0 | L 9 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Illinois vs Minnesota | +2.5 | 47.0 | L 17 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Illinois vs Michigan State | -2.0 | 47.5 | W 38 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Illinois at Rutgers | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Illinois vs Northwestern | -8.5 | 42.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Illinois vs South Carolina | +9.5 | 50.0 | W 21 - 17 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Northwestern's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Northwestern vs Miami (OH) | -4.0 | 43.0 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Fri 9/6 | Northwestern vs Duke | -2.5 | 37.5 | L 20 - 26 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois | -26.5 | 38.5 | W 31 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Northwestern at Washington | +11.5 | 42.5 | L 5 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Northwestern vs Indiana | +12.5 | 40.5 | L 24 - 41 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Northwestern at Maryland | +11.0 | 45.0 | W 37 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Northwestern vs Wisconsin | +9.5 | 42.5 | L 3 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Northwestern at Iowa | +16.5 | 38.5 | L 14 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Northwestern at Purdue | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Northwestern vs Ohio State | +28.0 | 43.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Northwestern at Michigan | +10.5 | 35.5 | L 6 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Northwestern vs Illinois | +8.5 | 42.5 | L 28 - 38 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 5, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 5, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | #31 (.25) | 45% (45) | 28.3 | 45% (51) | 3.14 (49) | 140 | 44% (44) | 198 | 4.23 (39) | #76 (.18) | 46% (115) | 21.7 | 50% (127) | 43% (90) | 3.48 (37) | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| NW | #129 (.02) | 37% (123) | 17.8 | 39% (113) | 2.63 (124) | 99 | 36% (116) | 186 | 3.02 (127) | #57 (.15) | 45% (106) | 26.3 | 44% (80) | 46% (117) | 3.74 (64) | 38.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | #31 (.25) | 45% (45) | 45% (51) | 3.14 (49) | 140 | 44% (44) | 198 | 4.23 (39) | #76 (.18) | 46% (115) | 50% (127) | 43% (90) | 3.48 (37) | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 | ||
| NW | #129 (.02) | 37% (123) | 39% (113) | 2.63 (124) | 99 | 36% (116) | 186 | 3.02 (127) | #57 (.15) | 45% (106) | 44% (80) | 46% (117) | 3.74 (64) | 38.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Offense | 13 | 28.3 | 21.3 | 44.6% | 4.23 | 0.9 | 19 | 338 | 140 | 198 | 4.4 | 53% | 47% | 45% | 44% | 18% | .25 |
| NW Defense | 12 | 26.3 | 26.3 | 45% | 3.74 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 44% | 46% | 15% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Defense | 13 | 21.7 | 28.5 | 46.3% | 3.48 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 50% | 43% | 13% | .18 |
| NW Offense | 12 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 37.1% | 3.02 | 1.5 | 16 | 285 | 99 | 186 | 3.4 | 45% | 54% | 39% | 36% | 19% | .02 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois | 13 | 26:52 | 18.7 | 44% | 50% | 5.1 | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 30.2 |
| Northwestern | 12 | 29:49 | 16 | 33% | 50% | 4.8 | 38.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 28 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Offense | 13 | 53% (50) | 45% (51) | 31.8 | 140 | 4.4 | 20 (67) | .13 (67) | 3.14 (49) | 81% (17) | 11% (107) | 0.91 (95) |
| NW Defense | 12 | 47% (26) | 44% (80) | - | - | - | - | .07 (42) | 2.99 (63) | 69% (47) | 8% (107) | 0.86 (15) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Defense | 13 | 48% (37) | 50% (127) | - | - | - | - | .19 (108) | 3.57 (132) | 75% (75) | 8% (120) | 0.8 (5) |
| NW Offense | 12 | 45% (106) | 39% (113) | 29.3 | 98.6 | 3.4 | 12 (114) | .07 (102) | 2.63 (124) | 66% (112) | 11% (98) | 1.1 (20) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Offense | 13 | 47% (83) | 44% (44) | 15.4 | 25.5 | 197.8 | 7.8 | 12.9 | 21 (51) | 5 (6) | .38 (16) | 1.8 (15) | 31% (62) | 31% (81) | .42 (31) | 6% (82) | 2.3 (5) |
| NW Defense | 12 | 53% (110) | 46% (117) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .25 (77) | 1.4 (13) | 27% (128) | 35% (116) | .28 (55) | 7% (33) | 1.8 (24) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL Defense | 13 | 52% (95) | 43% (90) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .19 (44) | 1.4 (17) | 28% (117) | 34% (111) | .37 (97) | 6% (84) | 1.9 (40) |
| NW Offense | 12 | 54% (31) | 36% (116) | 17.6 | 32.7 | 186.1 | 5.7 | 10.6 | 7 (130) | 11 (72) | .02 (132) | 1.3 (134) | 35% (119) | 31% (79) | .2 (109) | 8% (121) | 1.8 (119) |
Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Illinois's Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 6.78 Northwestern: -9.06
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 9.6 Northwestern: -8.2
Illinois: 6.78 Northwestern: -9.06
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 9.6 Northwestern: -8.2
Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5
Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5
Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 31
Northwestern 14
Total Points: 45
Illinois 31
Northwestern 14
Total Points: 45
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3
Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3
Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | Northwestern | 28 | Illinois | 38 | Illinois | Illinois -8.5 | Illinois | 42.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/25 | Illinois | 43 | Northwestern | 45 | Northwestern | Illinois -5 | Northwestern | 46.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Northwestern | 3 | Illinois | 41 | Illinois | Illinois -15.0 | Illinois | 38.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Illinois | 47 | Northwestern | 14 | Illinois | Illinois -7 | Illinois | 45.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Northwestern | 28 | Illinois | 10 | Northwestern | Northwestern -13 | Northwestern | 41.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Illinois | 10 | Northwestern | 29 | Northwestern | Illinois -6.5 | Northwestern | 38.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Northwestern | 24 | Illinois | 16 | Northwestern | Northwestern -14.5 | Illinois | 56.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Illinois | 7 | Northwestern | 42 | Northwestern | Northwestern -16.5 | Northwestern | 46.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Northwestern | 42 | Illinois | 21 | Northwestern | Northwestern -15 | Northwestern | 48.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Illinois | 14 | Northwestern | 24 | Northwestern | Northwestern -3.5 | Northwestern | 42.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Northwestern | 33 | Illinois | 47 | Illinois | Northwestern -9 | Illinois | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | Illinois | 34 | Northwestern | 37 | Northwestern | Northwestern -4 | Illinois | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Northwestern | 50 | Illinois | 14 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2011 | 10/01 | Illinois | 38 | Northwestern | 35 | Illinois | ||||
| 2010 | 11/20 | Northwestern | 27 | Illinois | 48 | Illinois | ||||
| 2009 | 11/14 | Illinois | 16 | Northwestern | 21 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | Northwestern | 27 | Illinois | 10 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Illinois | 41 | Northwestern | 22 | Illinois | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Northwestern | 27 | Illinois | 16 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | Illinois | 21 | Northwestern | 38 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Northwestern | 28 | Illinois | 21 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Illinois | 20 | Northwestern | 37 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2001 | 11/22 | Illinois | 34 | Northwestern | 28 | Illinois | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Northwestern | 61 | Illinois | 23 | Northwestern |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | 16 | 6 | 7 Overs |
| Illinois | 8 | 6 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 12 | 4 - 8 | 3 - 4 | 1 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 12 | 8 - 4 | 4 - 1 | 4 - 3 |
(#39) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Illinois has won 2 straight
Illinois has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Illinois Highlights
Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#80)
Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#53)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)
Illinois Deficiencies
Illinois has a bad defense (#56)
Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#6)
Illinois has a bad defensive line (#49)
Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Illinois has won 2 straight
Illinois has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Illinois Highlights
Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#80)
Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#53)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)
Illinois Deficiencies
Illinois has a bad defense (#56)
Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#6)
Illinois has a bad defensive line (#49)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NW | ILL |
| OverallOver | #79 | #29 |
| OffenseOff | #107 | #34 |
| DefenseDef | #35 | #37 |
| Special TeamsST | #100 | #41 |
| PassingPass | #105 | #33 |
| RushingRush | #97 | #32 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #65 | #54 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #55 | #74 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #104 | #11 |
| TacklingTkl | #88 | #6 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #60 | #79 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #36 | #45 |
| Coverage DefCov | #40 | #18 |
Rematch from Week 14
Illinois 8.5 (42.5)
Illinois won at Northwestern this year (38-28)
Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Northwestern last year (38-28)
Northwestern beat Illinois in 2023 (45-43)
Illinois beat Northwestern in 2022 (41-3)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wrigley Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ILL | NW
Depth Chart: ILL | NW
Rosters: ILL | NW
(#100) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northwestern has lost 2 straight
Northwestern has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Northwestern Notes
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
(9/1) Rock fight 13-6 W over Mia Oh, QB Wright JAG
(8/28) QB battle (3 way), WR decent with exp.
(8/28) QB Wright (Miss St) seems to have won this job
Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense does not give up big plays (#66)
Northwestern commits very few Penalties (#38)
Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern Can Not Run the Ball (#51)
Northwestern offense is really bad (#69)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#61)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern run game is really bad (#53)
Northwestern pass game is really bad (#70)
Northwestern offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northwestern has a bad defense (#55)
Power Rating: -9.06 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northwestern has lost 2 straight
Northwestern has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Northwestern Notes
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
(9/1) Rock fight 13-6 W over Mia Oh, QB Wright JAG
(8/28) QB battle (3 way), WR decent with exp.
(8/28) QB Wright (Miss St) seems to have won this job
Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense does not give up big plays (#66)
Northwestern commits very few Penalties (#38)
Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern Can Not Run the Ball (#51)
Northwestern offense is really bad (#69)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#61)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern run game is really bad (#53)
Northwestern pass game is really bad (#70)
Northwestern offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northwestern has a bad defense (#55)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Altmyer | 211 | 347 | 61% | 2717 | 22 | 6 | 7.8 |
| Donovan Leary | 2 | 5 | 40% | 29 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua McCray | 117 | 609 | 10 | 5.2 | 60 |
| Aidan Laughery | 97 | 589 | 4 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Kaden Feagin | 67 | 306 | 3 | 4.6 | 34 |
| Luke Altmyer | 99 | 217 | 4 | 2.2 | 37 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bryant | 53 | 978 | 10 | 18.5 | 64 |
| Zakhari Franklin (Tr) | 56 | 658 | 4 | 11.8 | 44 |
| Hank Beatty | 20 | 294 | 1 | 14.7 | 59 |
| Collin Dixon | 18 | 264 | 0 | 14.7 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Bailey | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Gabe Jacas | 71 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Dylan Rosiek | 61 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| James Kreutz | 54 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Jacas | 71 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr) | 42 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Te-Rah Edwards | 38 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Seth Coleman | 53 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Scott | 49 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Matthew Bailey | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jaheim Clarke | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Lausch | 159 | 296 | 54% | 1714 | 7 | 8 | 5.8 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 39 | 67 | 58% | 356 | 0 | 1 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Porter | 126 | 501 | 6 | 4.0 | 44 |
| Joseph Himon II | 52 | 257 | 2 | 4.9 | 51 |
| Jack Lausch | 87 | 213 | 2 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Caleb Komolafe | 50 | 139 | 0 | 2.8 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Henning | 59 | 603 | 4 | 10.2 | 46 |
| Bryce Kirtz | 39 | 598 | 0 | 15.3 | 55 |
| Thomas Gordon | 27 | 252 | 1 | 9.3 | 26 |
| Cam Porter | 23 | 174 | 0 | 7.6 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Uihlein | 84 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Xander Mueller | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Theran Johnson | 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Devin Turner | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hubbard | 33 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| Anto Saka | 15 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Michael Kilbane | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mac Uihlein | 84 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theran Johnson | 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Josh Fussell | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Xander Mueller | 57 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 |