South Carolina at Illinois - 2024 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo South Carolina Gamecocks vs Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Tuesday, December 31st 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
South Carolina -9.5 (50.0) (-355)  Open: 0.0
Illinois 21 - South Carolina: 17  (Cheez-It Citrus Bowl)

 
Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 18 (27 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 12.7 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: South Carolina -8.5  (SP+ SC -7.5)

Projected Score: SC: 29 - ILL: 20 (49)
SC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SC Travel: 376 miles
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 South Carolina vs Old Dominion-20.549.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/7 South Carolina at Kentucky+9.541.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/14 South Carolina vs LSU+7.050.0L 33 - 36OY
Sat 9/21 South Carolina vs Akron-25.042.0W 50 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 South Carolina vs Ole Miss+10.053.0L 3 - 27UN
Sat 10/12 South Carolina at Alabama+21.050.0L 25 - 27OY
Sat 10/19 South Carolina at Oklahoma-1.040.5W 35 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 South Carolina vs Texas A&M+3.043.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 11/9 South Carolina at Vanderbilt-6.044.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 South Carolina vs Missouri-10.542.5W 34 - 30ON
Sat 11/23 South Carolina vs Wofford-42.549.5W 56 - 12OY
Sat 11/30 South Carolina at Clemson+2.548.5W 17 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 South Carolina vs Illinois-9.550.0L 17 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Illinois vs Eastern Illinois-28.550.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Kansas+4.558.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Central Michigan-21.549.5W 30 - 9UN
Fri 9/20 Illinois at Nebraska+9.541.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/28 Illinois at Penn State+19.548.0L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Purdue-22.547.5W 50 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Michigan+6.044.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Oregon+22.554.0L 9 - 38UN
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Minnesota+2.547.0L 17 - 25UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Michigan State-2.047.5W 38 - 16OY
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Rutgers+2.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-8.542.5W 38 - 28OY
Tue 12/31 Illinois vs South Carolina+9.550.0W 21 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)30.544% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)18.145% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)28.345% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)21.750% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC#48 (.22)44% (58)44% (74)3.01 (73)17544% (42)2033.97 (62)#15 (.08)42% (73)45% (93)40% (61)3.19 (16)53.81.51.7
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense1330.527.243.7%3.971.5203781752034.458%41%44%44%17%.22
ILL Defense1321.717.646.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense1318.112.642.1%3.191.7 - - - - - 49%50%45%40%19%.08
ILL Offense1328.33244.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina1328:442042%50%6.253.81.51.76.53.1230.3
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense1358% (15)44% (74)39.5175.24.425 (41).13 (70)3.01 (73)79% (29)13% (121)0.95 (79)
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (127) - - - - .19 (108)3.57 (132)75% (75)8% (120)0.8 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense1349% (52)45% (93) - - - - .03 (23)2.87 (46)69% (43)13% (10)0.73 (4)
ILL Offense1353% (50)45% (51)31.81404.420 (67).13 (67)3.14 (49)81% (17)11% (107)0.91 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense1341% (118)44% (42)15.523.6202.88.613.120 (58)7 (26).37 (23)1.8 (14)30% (45)32% (61).35 (63)4% (17)2.1 (47)
ILL Defense1352% (95)43% (90) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (17)28% (117)34% (111).37 (97)6% (84)1.9 (40)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense1350% (74)40% (61) - - - - - - 13 (31).15 (31)1.5 (35)30% (104)29% (49).26 (45)6% (76)2.1 (76)
ILL Offense1347% (83)44% (44)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (16)1.8 (15)31% (62)31% (81).42 (31)6% (82)2.3 (5)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 16.96  #11
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.17  #65
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 3.17  #13
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 32%  #20
South Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
South Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9  #14
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #35
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0  #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 16.96   Illinois: 8.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 16.9   Illinois: 9.6




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 8.19  #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25  #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87  #72
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6  #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.6

South Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Carolina 29
Illinois 20


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
South Carolina 26
Illinois 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
South Carolina 24
Illinois 23

Total Points: 47
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/31Illinois21South Carolina17South Carolina -9.5Illinois50.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois110 Overs
South Carolina001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

South Carolina Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Citrus Bowl South Carolina vs Illinois-9.550.0L 17 - 21
2022Gator Bowl South Carolina vs Notre Dame+5.050.5L 38 - 45
2021Mayo Bowl South Carolina vs North Carolina+12.557.5W 38 - 21
2018N/A South Carolina vs Virginia-3.554.0L 0 - 28
Illinois Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Citrus Bowl Illinois vs South Carolina+9.550.0W 21 - 17
2022Reliaquest Bowl Illinois vs Mississippi State+3.546.5L 10 - 19
2019Redbox Bowl Illinois vs California+6.047.5L 20 - 35
  
(#11) SC at (#39) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #11 #39
SP+SP+ #14 #31
Perf GradeGrade #21 #38
OffenseOff #78 #38
DefenseDef #10 #50
Spec TeamsST #26 #47
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #20 #48
South Carolina Notes
(12/11) OC Loggains left for App St HC job
(12/11) Hired Mike Shula as OC? Was OA, NLF, Bama HC
(12/1) Sellers future, how much DL can they keep/get?
(12/1) Even w/ Clem, Sellers legs the diff. Run D good
(11/18) Hot team, Sellers 353 yds (Mizzu) Rgame bad
(11/13) Killed Vandy, Sellers improving, Def best in SEC?
(10/18) Allowed most sacks in FBS, also 8 QB fumbles
(10/12) Run Def great vs Bama, Sellers better. Tough team
(10/6) QB Sellers does not look healthy
(9/15) DL top unit in CFB. Rgame good vs LSU, QB bad
(9/8) Huge W @ UK, Def great, Off still awful.
(9/1) Dog fight w/ Old D? Sellers awful, Run game awful
South Carolina Injury Report
South Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
SC OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #50
SuccessSuc #58 #115
ExplosiveExp #56 #8
PPAPPA #48 #76
PowerPwr #65 #72
SP+SP+ #35 #26
Pts POPPO #62 #37
HavocHav #93 #117
South Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
SC OffILL Def
Run GameRun #35 #102
Run SuccessRSuc #74 #127
Run ExplRExp #79 #5
PPAExp #70 #108
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #73 #132
Stuff RateStuff #41 #134
TackleTak -  #7
South Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
SC OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #69 #26
Pass SuccessPSuc #42 #90
Pass ExplPExl #14 #17
PPAExp #23 #44
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #107 #50
F7 HavocF7 #121 #120
DB HavocDB #17 #84
Illinois on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatILL OffSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #10
SuccessSuc #45 #73
ExplosiveExp #44 #5
PPAPPA #31 #15
PowerPwr #47 #13
SP+SP+ #55 #13
Pts POPPO #39 #16
HavocHav #103 #21
Illinois Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ILL OffSC Def
Run GameRun #47 #28
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #93
Run ExplRExp #95 #4
PPAExp #67 #23
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #46
Stuff RateStuff #20 #74
TackleTak -  #42
Illinois Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatILL OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #40 #12
Pass SuccessPSuc #44 #61
Pass ExplPExl #15 #35
PPAExp #16 #31
Pass Block/RushP Blk #87 #3
F7 HavocF7 #107 #10
DB HavocDB #82 #76
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

SC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 77° - Wind: 13 mph
Rain: 0.008
Rematch from Week 1
South Carolina 9.5 (50.0)
Illinois won vs South Carolina this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat South Carolina last year (21-17)

  
SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lanorris Sellers19730066%25271878.4
Robby Ashford (Tr)233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raheim Sanders (Tr)183881114.866
Lanorris Sellers16568174.175
Oscar Adaway III (Tr)7729533.836
Robby Ashford (Tr)4122725.538
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Simon41512712.557
Nyck Harbor26376314.543
Mazeo Bennett30337311.236
Raheim Sanders (Tr)27316211.743

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Emmanwori883002
Demetrius Knight II828201
Bam Martin-Scott668302
Debo Williams635110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Kennard (Tr)29171291
Dylan Stewart2311731
Bryan Thomas Jr.237520
Tonka Hemingway254461
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Judge Collier283008
Jalon Kilgore483035
O'Donnell Fortune472003

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Donovan Leary2540%29005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)56658411.844
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
James Kreutz541021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr)425450
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Seth Coleman537353
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015