Illinois at Nebraska - 2024 Matchup Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Friday, September 20th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -9.5 (41.5) (-350) Open: -8.5 | 43.5
Illinois 31 - Nebraska: 24 (Big Ten)

Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB 4th straight Home Game
NEB is playing their 4th straight game
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Nebraska -1.5 (SP+ ILL -4)
Projected Score: ILL: 21 - NEB: 23 (47)
NEB Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ILL Travel: 448 miles

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ILL Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Illinois vs Eastern Illinois	-28.5	50.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Illinois vs Kansas	+4.5	58.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Illinois vs Central Michigan	-21.5	49.5	W 30 - 9	U	N
Fri 9/20	Illinois at Nebraska	+9.5	41.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Illinois at Penn State	+19.5	48.0	L 7 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Illinois vs Purdue	-22.5	47.5	W 50 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/19	Illinois vs Michigan	+6.0	44.0	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Illinois at Oregon	+22.5	54.0	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/2	Illinois vs Minnesota	+2.5	47.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Illinois vs Michigan State	-2.0	47.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Illinois at Rutgers	+2.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Illinois vs Northwestern	-8.5	42.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Tue 12/31	Illinois vs South Carolina	+9.5	50.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Nebraska vs UTEP	-27.5	49.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Nebraska vs Colorado	-6.5	55.0	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Nebraska vs Northern Iowa	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Nebraska vs Illinois	-9.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Nebraska at Purdue	-10.0	47.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Nebraska vs Rutgers	-7.0	39.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Nebraska at Indiana	+6.5	48.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	Nebraska at Ohio State	+25.0	48.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Nebraska vs UCLA	-7.5	38.5	L 20 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Nebraska at USC	+6.5	51.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Nebraska at Iowa	+3.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Nebraska vs Boston College	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	#66 (.2)	45% (30)	28.3	44% (56)	3.31 (32)	125	48% (14)	266	3.9 (71)	#85 (.2)	44% (102)	21.7	45% (87)	45% (110)	4.09 (96)	62.4	1.9	1.3
NEB	#105 (.13)	38% (111)	23.5	42% (84)	3.31 (33)	177	34% (125)	136	3.33 (104)	#18 (.1)	38% (22)	19.5	37% (18)	39% (31)	3.09 (16)	42.3	2.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	12	28.3	21.3	45.5%	3.9	1.9	20	391	125	266	3.8	45%	53%	44%	48%	20%	.2
NEB Defense	12	19.5	15.7	37.6%	3.09	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	37%	39%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	12	21.7	28.5	44.4%	4.09	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	45%	15%	.2
NEB Offense	12	23.5	29.1	38.1%	3.33	2.6	16	313	177	136	4.4	62%	36%	42%	34%	22%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	12	28:24	20.3	37%	54%	6.6	62.4	1.9	1.3	4.8	1.9	2	26
Nebraska	12	30:53	16.4	38%	50%	5	42.3	2.6	1.2	6.3	2.7	0	29

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	12	45% (103)	44% (56)	33	125.1	3.8	12 (116)	.07 (108)	3.31 (32)	67% (109)	12% (98)	0.84 (125)
NEB Defense	12	43% (8)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	.03 (16)	3.15 (81)	73% (70)	12% (22)	0.77 (3)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	12	51% (75)	45% (87)	-	-	-	-	.15 (78)	3.27 (104)	73% (68)	9% (100)	0.89 (22)
NEB Offense	12	62% (5)	42% (84)	39.8	176.8	4.4	16 (89)	.12 (84)	3.31 (33)	76% (51)	14% (129)	0.99 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	12	53% (35)	48% (14)	21.8	34.5	265.9	7.7	12.2	23 (51)	13 (97)	.37 (35)	1.5 (108)	28% (14)	33% (48)	.36 (63)	9% (130)	1.9 (108)
NEB Defense	12	56% (126)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.2 (31)	1.5 (35)	35% (25)	26% (20)	.27 (44)	8% (17)	2.1 (83)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	12	49% (69)	45% (110)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.28 (76)	1.5 (21)	31% (78)	34% (114)	.3 (63)	6% (62)	1.8 (7)
NEB Offense	12	36% (129)	34% (125)	11.3	21.8	135.9	6.3	12	10 (120)	16 (121)	.24 (85)	1.9 (7)	34% (100)	25% (118)	.28 (84)	7% (110)	2.4 (5)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 6.78 Nebraska: 9.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 9.6 Nebraska: 5.5

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 9.615 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 23
Illinois 21

Projected Total Points: 47

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.1
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/20	Nebraska	24	Illinois	31	Illinois	Nebraska -9.5	Illinois	41.5	Over
2023	10/06	Illinois	7	Nebraska	20	Nebraska	Illinois -3.5	Nebraska	43.0	Under
2022	10/29	Nebraska	9	Illinois	26	Illinois	Illinois -7.5	Illinois	50.5	Under
2021	08/28	Illinois	30	Nebraska	22	Illinois	Nebraska -6.5	Illinois	52.0	Push
2020	11/21	Nebraska	23	Illinois	41	Illinois	Nebraska -17.0	Illinois	61.0	Over
2019	09/21	Illinois	38	Nebraska	42	Nebraska	Nebraska -13	Illinois	62.5	Over
2018	11/10	Nebraska	54	Illinois	35	Nebraska	Nebraska -17	Nebraska	71.0	Over
2017	09/29	Illinois	6	Nebraska	28	Nebraska	Nebraska -6.5	Nebraska	47.5	Under
2016	10/01	Nebraska	31	Illinois	16	Nebraska	Nebraska -21.5	Illinois	53.0	Under
2015	10/03	Illinois	14	Nebraska	13	Illinois	Nebraska -7.5	Illinois	57.0	Under
2014	09/27	Nebraska	45	Illinois	14	Nebraska	Nebraska -19	Nebraska	0
2013	10/05	Nebraska	39	Illinois	19	Nebraska	Nebraska -10.5	Nebraska	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	7	5	4 Overs
Illinois	5	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 6	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3

(#39) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Illinois Ratings Matchup Nebraska

Power #39

#34

Off #47

#53

Def #72

#26

Talent #65

#12

SP+ #31

#45

SP+ Off #55

#99

SP+ Def #26

#12

Rematch from Week 4
Nebraska -9.5 (41.5)
Illinois won at Nebraska this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Nebraska last year (31-24)
Nebraska beat Illinois in 2023 (20-7)
Illinois beat Nebraska in 2022 (26-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | NEB
Depth Chart: ILL | NEB
Rosters: ILL | NEB

(#34) Nebraska Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.615 #34
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Nebraska Notes
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Luke Altmyer	211	347	61%	2717	22	6	7.8
Donovan Leary	2	5	40%	29	0	0	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua McCray	117	609	10	5.2	60
Aidan Laughery	97	589	4	6.1	64
Kaden Feagin	67	306	3	4.6	34
Luke Altmyer	99	217	4	2.2	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)	56	658	4	11.8	44
Hank Beatty	20	294	1	14.7	59
Collin Dixon	18	264	0	14.7	41
Joshua McCray	13	116	1	8.9	30

View Illinois's Full Roster

Illinois's DC Aaron Henry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Bailey	94	2	0	0	5
Gabe Jacas	71	13	8	9	0
Dylan Rosiek	61	3	2	0	1
Miles Scott	54	0	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gabe Jacas	71	13	8	9	0
Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr)	42	5	4	5	0
Alec Bryant	22	2	2	1	2
Malachi Hood	14	2	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Scott	49	2	1	0	6
Matthew Bailey	94	2	0	0	5
Jaheim Clarke	34	1	0	1	5

Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	274	409	67%	2806	13	11	6.9
Heinrich Haarberg	10	18	56%	101	0	1	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)	143	614	12	4.3	38
Emmett Johnson	117	598	1	5.1	42
Jacory Barney Jr.	10	130	3	13.0	31
Heinrich Haarberg	25	102	1	4.1	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)	44	587	3	13.3	31
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)	34	455	5	13.4	59
Jacory Barney Jr.	55	447	0	8.1	40
Emmett Johnson	38	273	2	7.2	29

View Nebraska's Full Roster

Nebraska's DC Tony White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeShon Singleton	71	1	0	0	3
Mikai Gbayor	49	6	1	3	3
Malcolm Hartzog	45	2	0	0	4
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Williams	14	6	5	4	0
Jimari Butler	22	7	2	5	0
Princewill Umanmielen	12	2	1	2	1
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6
Marques Buford	35	1	0	0	5
Malcolm Hartzog	45	2	0	0	4