Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting Illini(#9)
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Illinois -22.5 (47.5) (-1800) Open: -17.5
Illinois 50 - Purdue: 49 (Big Ten)
Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
PUR 2nd straight Road Game
ILL coming off BYE
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -28 (SP+ ILL -26)
Projected Score: PUR: 11 - ILL: 39 (51)
ILL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
PUR Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs ahead
ILL coming off BYE
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -28 (SP+ ILL -26)
Projected Score: PUR: 11 - ILL: 39 (51)
ILL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
PUR Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
| Purdue's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Purdue vs Indiana State | -35.5 | 52.5 | W 49 - 0 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/14 | Purdue vs Notre Dame | +11.5 | 45.5 | L 7 - 66 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Purdue at Oregon State | +1.5 | 51.0 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Purdue vs Nebraska | +10.0 | 47.5 | L 10 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Purdue at Wisconsin | +12.0 | 44.5 | L 6 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Purdue at Illinois | +22.5 | 47.5 | L 49 - 50 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/18 | Purdue vs Oregon | +30.0 | 61.0 | L 0 - 35 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Purdue vs Northwestern | -3.0 | 44.5 | L 20 - 26 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Purdue at Ohio State | +37.5 | 55.5 | L 0 - 45 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Purdue vs Penn State | +30.0 | 51.5 | L 10 - 49 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/22 | Purdue at Michigan State | +14.0 | 49.0 | L 17 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Purdue at Indiana | +28.5 | 56.5 | L 0 - 66 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Illinois's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Illinois vs Eastern Illinois | -28.5 | 50.5 | W 45 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Illinois vs Kansas | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Illinois vs Central Michigan | -21.5 | 49.5 | W 30 - 9 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/20 | Illinois at Nebraska | +9.5 | 41.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Illinois at Penn State | +19.5 | 48.0 | L 7 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Illinois vs Purdue | -22.5 | 47.5 | W 50 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Illinois vs Michigan | +6.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Illinois at Oregon | +22.5 | 54.0 | L 9 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Illinois vs Minnesota | +2.5 | 47.0 | L 17 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Illinois vs Michigan State | -2.0 | 47.5 | W 38 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Illinois at Rutgers | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Illinois vs Northwestern | -8.5 | 42.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Illinois vs South Carolina | +9.5 | 50.0 | W 21 - 17 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | #112 (.11) | 41% (96) | 15.8 | 42% (90) | 3.04 (65) | 116 | 40% (93) | 184 | 3.34 (115) | #134 (.39) | 49% (129) | 39.9 | 49% (120) | 50% (129) | 4.82 (134) | 51.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| ILL | #31 (.25) | 45% (45) | 28.3 | 45% (51) | 3.14 (49) | 140 | 44% (44) | 198 | 4.23 (39) | #76 (.18) | 46% (115) | 21.7 | 50% (127) | 43% (90) | 3.48 (37) | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | #112 (.11) | 41% (96) | 42% (90) | 3.04 (65) | 116 | 40% (93) | 184 | 3.34 (115) | #134 (.39) | 49% (129) | 49% (120) | 50% (129) | 4.82 (134) | 51.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | ||
| ILL | #31 (.25) | 45% (45) | 45% (51) | 3.14 (49) | 140 | 44% (44) | 198 | 4.23 (39) | #76 (.18) | 46% (115) | 50% (127) | 43% (90) | 3.48 (37) | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUR Offense | 12 | 15.8 | 15.5 | 40.8% | 3.34 | 1.6 | 15 | 299 | 116 | 184 | 4 | 46% | 53% | 42% | 40% | 22% | .11 |
| ILL Defense | 13 | 21.7 | 17.6 | 46.3% | 3.48 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 50% | 43% | 13% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUR Defense | 12 | 39.9 | 45.8 | 49.3% | 4.82 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 47% | 49% | 50% | 12% | .39 |
| ILL Offense | 13 | 28.3 | 32 | 44.6% | 4.23 | 0.9 | 19 | 338 | 140 | 198 | 4.4 | 53% | 47% | 45% | 44% | 18% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue | 12 | 26:50 | 14.6 | 31% | 28% | 5.5 | 51.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0 | 26.8 |
| Illinois | 13 | 26:52 | 18.7 | 44% | 50% | 5.1 | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 30.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUR Offense | 12 | 46% (94) | 42% (90) | 28.8 | 115.5 | 4 | 9 (125) | .04 (108) | 3.04 (65) | 59% (126) | 14% (128) | 0.8 (130) |
| ILL Defense | 13 | 48% (37) | 50% (127) | - | - | - | - | .19 (108) | 3.57 (132) | 75% (75) | 8% (120) | 0.8 (5) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUR Defense | 12 | 53% (96) | 49% (120) | - | - | - | - | .32 (134) | 3.39 (120) | 76% (79) | 8% (109) | 1.15 (124) |
| ILL Offense | 13 | 53% (50) | 45% (51) | 31.8 | 140 | 4.4 | 20 (67) | .13 (67) | 3.14 (49) | 81% (17) | 11% (107) | 0.91 (95) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUR Offense | 12 | 53% (40) | 40% (93) | 15.8 | 27.4 | 183.9 | 6.7 | 11.7 | 13 (116) | 9 (48) | .16 (103) | 1.5 (92) | 32% (78) | 31% (72) | .49 (14) | 8% (118) | 2.1 (29) |
| ILL Defense | 13 | 52% (95) | 43% (90) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .19 (44) | 1.4 (17) | 28% (117) | 34% (111) | .37 (97) | 6% (84) | 1.9 (40) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUR Defense | 12 | 47% (40) | 50% (129) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (125) | .48 (130) | 1.6 (88) | 28% (115) | 41% (134) | .63 (134) | 4% (125) | 2.1 (90) |
| ILL Offense | 13 | 47% (83) | 44% (44) | 15.4 | 25.5 | 197.8 | 7.8 | 12.9 | 21 (51) | 5 (6) | .38 (16) | 1.8 (15) | 31% (62) | 31% (81) | .42 (31) | 6% (82) | 2.3 (5) |
Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Purdue's Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -18.22 Illinois: 10.69
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -16.2 Illinois: 9.6
Purdue: -18.22 Illinois: 10.69
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -16.2 Illinois: 9.6
Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8
Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8
Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 39
Purdue 11
Total Points: 51
Illinois 39
Purdue 11
Total Points: 51
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6
Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6
Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/12 | Illinois | 50 | Purdue | 49 | Illinois | Illinois -22.5 | Purdue | 47.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Purdue | 44 | Illinois | 19 | Purdue | Purdue -1.0 | Purdue | 54.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Illinois | 24 | Purdue | 31 | Purdue | Illinois -6.0 | Purdue | 44.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 09/25 | Purdue | 13 | Illinois | 9 | Purdue | Purdue -10.5 | Illinois | 53.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Illinois | 24 | Purdue | 31 | Purdue | Purdue -7.0 | NA | 0 | |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Purdue | 6 | Illinois | 24 | Illinois | Purdue -9 | Illinois | 54.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Illinois | 7 | Purdue | 46 | Purdue | Purdue -10.5 | Purdue | 62.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Purdue | 29 | Illinois | 10 | Purdue | Purdue -14 | Purdue | 50.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Illinois | 31 | Purdue | 34 | Purdue | Illinois -9 | Purdue | 49.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/07 | Purdue | 14 | Illinois | 48 | Illinois | Illinois -1.5 | Illinois | 50.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Illinois | 27 | Purdue | 38 | Purdue | Illinois -10.5 | Purdue | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/23 | Purdue | 16 | Illinois | 20 | Illinois | Illinois -6.5 | Purdue | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/17 | Illinois | 17 | Purdue | 20 | Purdue | ||||
| 2011 | 10/22 | Purdue | 21 | Illinois | 14 | Purdue | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | Illinois | 44 | Purdue | 10 | Illinois | ||||
| 2009 | 10/24 | Purdue | 24 | Illinois | 14 | Purdue | ||||
| 2006 | 11/11 | Illinois | 31 | Purdue | 42 | Purdue | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Purdue | 37 | Illinois | 3 | Purdue | ||||
| 2004 | 09/25 | Illinois | 30 | Purdue | 38 | Purdue | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | Purdue | 43 | Illinois | 10 | Purdue | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | Illinois | 38 | Purdue | 31 | Illinois | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Purdue | 13 | Illinois | 38 | Illinois |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois | 7 | 3 | 5 Overs |
| Purdue | 15 | 8 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 10 - 12 | 3 - 8 | 2 - 6 | 1 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 12 - 10 | 8 - 3 | 2 - 1 | 6 - 2 |
(#120) Purdue Info
Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Purdue has lost 4 straight
Purdue has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Purdue Notes
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
(10/3) Fired OC Harrell after 4 games
(9/28) Run D better vs Neb. Off was awful, esp run
(9/23) Run Def all 341 (6.0 ypc) @ Oreg St, Card awful
Purdue Highlights
Purdue Deficiencies
Purdue has a really bad Offense
Purdue Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Purdue Can Not Run the Ball (#107)
Purdue offense is not Explosive (#69)
Purdue offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
Purdue offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Purdue Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Purdue has a bad defense (#95)
Purdue gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#59)
Purdue Does Not Stuff Runs (#92)
Purdue has a bad defensive line (#109)
Purdue has a bad red zone defense (#60)
Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Purdue has lost 4 straight
Purdue has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Purdue Notes
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
(10/3) Fired OC Harrell after 4 games
(9/28) Run D better vs Neb. Off was awful, esp run
(9/23) Run Def all 341 (6.0 ypc) @ Oreg St, Card awful
Purdue Highlights
Purdue Deficiencies
Purdue has a really bad Offense
Purdue Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Purdue Can Not Run the Ball (#107)
Purdue offense is not Explosive (#69)
Purdue offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
Purdue offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Purdue Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Purdue has a bad defense (#95)
Purdue gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#59)
Purdue Does Not Stuff Runs (#92)
Purdue has a bad defensive line (#109)
Purdue has a bad red zone defense (#60)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ILL | PUR |
| OverallOver | #29 | #88 |
| OffenseOff | #34 | #74 |
| DefenseDef | #37 | #111 |
| Special TeamsST | #41 | #55 |
| PassingPass | #33 | #57 |
| RushingRush | #32 | #62 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #54 | #60 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #74 | #83 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #11 | #61 |
| TacklingTkl | #6 | #96 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #79 | #89 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #45 | #83 |
| Coverage DefCov | #18 | #111 |
Rematch from Week 7
Illinois -22.5 (47.5)
Illinois won vs Purdue this year (50-49)
Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2022 (31-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: PUR | ILL
Depth Chart: PUR | ILL
Rosters: PUR | ILL
(#39) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Illinois has lost 1 straight
Illinois has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Illinois Highlights
Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#80)
Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#53)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)
Illinois Deficiencies
Illinois has a bad defense (#56)
Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#6)
Illinois has a bad defensive line (#49)
Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Illinois has lost 1 straight
Illinois has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Illinois Highlights
Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#80)
Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#53)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)
Illinois Deficiencies
Illinois has a bad defense (#56)
Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#6)
Illinois has a bad defensive line (#49)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Card | 144 | 248 | 58% | 1641 | 9 | 7 | 6.6 |
| Ryan Browne | 43 | 76 | 57% | 532 | 4 | 2 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Mockobee | 138 | 687 | 4 | 5.0 | 63 |
| Reggie Love III (Tr) | 83 | 372 | 2 | 4.5 | 22 |
| Ryan Browne | 50 | 155 | 0 | 3.1 | 23 |
| Elijah Jackson | 6 | 97 | 1 | 16.2 | 69 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Klare | 51 | 685 | 4 | 13.4 | 62 |
| Jahmal Edrine | 23 | 365 | 2 | 15.9 | 53 |
| Jaron Tibbs | 25 | 305 | 2 | 12.2 | 38 |
| Devin Mockobee | 17 | 170 | 1 | 10.0 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Thieneman | 104 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Kydran Jenkins | 83 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| Yanni Karlaftis | 57 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Will Heldt | 56 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kydran Jenkins | 83 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| Will Heldt | 56 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Nyland Green (Tr) | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Cole Brevard | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Thieneman | 104 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Nyland Green (Tr) | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr) | 40 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Altmyer | 211 | 347 | 61% | 2717 | 22 | 6 | 7.8 |
| Donovan Leary | 2 | 5 | 40% | 29 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua McCray | 117 | 609 | 10 | 5.2 | 60 |
| Aidan Laughery | 97 | 589 | 4 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Kaden Feagin | 67 | 306 | 3 | 4.6 | 34 |
| Luke Altmyer | 99 | 217 | 4 | 2.2 | 37 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bryant | 53 | 978 | 10 | 18.5 | 64 |
| Zakhari Franklin (Tr) | 56 | 658 | 4 | 11.8 | 44 |
| Hank Beatty | 20 | 294 | 1 | 14.7 | 59 |
| Collin Dixon | 18 | 264 | 0 | 14.7 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Bailey | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Gabe Jacas | 71 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Dylan Rosiek | 61 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| James Kreutz | 54 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Jacas | 71 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr) | 42 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Te-Rah Edwards | 38 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Seth Coleman | 53 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Scott | 49 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Matthew Bailey | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jaheim Clarke | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |