Illinois at Rutgers - 2024 Matchup Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Rutgers -2.0 (48.0) (100) Open: -2.0 | 48.0
Illinois 38 - Rutgers: 31 (Big Ten)

Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 21.7 MPH
Our Line: Illinois -0.5 (SP+ ILL -3)
Projected Score: ILL: 28 - RUTG: 27 (55)
RUTG Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ILL Travel: 6760 miles, 1 hrs behind

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ILL Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Illinois vs Eastern Illinois	-28.5	50.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Illinois vs Kansas	+4.5	58.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Illinois vs Central Michigan	-21.5	49.5	W 30 - 9	U	N
Fri 9/20	Illinois at Nebraska	+9.5	41.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Illinois at Penn State	+19.5	48.0	L 7 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Illinois vs Purdue	-22.5	47.5	W 50 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/19	Illinois vs Michigan	+6.0	44.0	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Illinois at Oregon	+22.5	54.0	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/2	Illinois vs Minnesota	+2.5	47.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Illinois vs Michigan State	-2.0	47.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Illinois at Rutgers	+2.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Illinois vs Northwestern	-8.5	42.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Tue 12/31	Illinois vs South Carolina	+9.5	50.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Rutgers vs Howard	-38.5	51.5	W 44 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rutgers vs Akron	-24.5	41.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Rutgers at Virginia Tech	+3.0	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	Y
Fri 9/27	Rutgers vs Washington	-1.5	44.5	W 21 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Rutgers at Nebraska	+7.0	39.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	-1.0	43.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/19	Rutgers vs UCLA	-4.0	42.5	L 32 - 35	O	N
Fri 10/25	Rutgers at USC	+14.0	57.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Rutgers vs Minnesota	+6.5	44.5	W 26 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Rutgers at Maryland	+4.5	54.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Rutgers vs Illinois	-2.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rutgers at Michigan State	+1.5	46.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/26	Rutgers vs Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	#66 (.2)	45% (30)	29.4	44% (56)	3.31 (32)	125	48% (14)	266	3.9 (71)	#85 (.2)	44% (102)	23.6	45% (87)	45% (110)	4.09 (96)	62.4	1.9	1.3
RUTG	#107 (.12)	40% (91)	28.7	43% (65)	3.03 (84)	169	35% (118)	138	3.95 (62)	#43 (.14)	45% (104)	31.8	48% (123)	42% (69)	3.48 (44)	45.2	1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	12	29.4	26.6	45.5%	3.9	1.9	20	391	125	266	3.8	45%	53%	44%	48%	20%	.2
RUTG Defense	13	31.8	30.3	44.6%	3.48	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	42%	15%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	12	23.6	35.6	44.4%	4.09	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	45%	15%	.2
RUTG Offense	13	28.7	35.4	40.1%	3.95	1	17	306	169	138	4.2	62%	38%	43%	35%	12%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	12	28:24	20.3	37%	54%	6.6	62.4	1.9	1.3	4.8	1.9	2	26
Rutgers	13	31:48	17.5	37%	64%	5.1	45.2	1	1.4	3.8	1.5	1	30

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	12	45% (103)	44% (56)	33	125.1	3.8	12 (116)	.07 (108)	3.31 (32)	67% (109)	12% (98)	0.84 (125)
RUTG Defense	13	52% (99)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (54)	3.2 (91)	71% (53)	8% (122)	0.77 (4)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	12	51% (75)	45% (87)	-	-	-	-	.15 (78)	3.27 (104)	73% (68)	9% (100)	0.89 (22)
RUTG Offense	13	62% (7)	43% (65)	39.8	168.8	4.2	24 (41)	.16 (64)	3.03 (84)	77% (38)	7% (11)	0.95 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	12	53% (35)	48% (14)	21.8	34.5	265.9	7.7	12.2	23 (51)	13 (97)	.37 (35)	1.5 (108)	28% (14)	33% (48)	.36 (63)	9% (130)	1.9 (108)
RUTG Defense	13	47% (33)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.22 (40)	1.4 (5)	30% (111)	30% (65)	.17 (8)	6% (55)	1.7 (5)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	12	49% (69)	45% (110)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.28 (76)	1.5 (21)	31% (78)	34% (114)	.3 (63)	6% (62)	1.8 (7)
RUTG Offense	13	38% (126)	35% (118)	10.9	22.6	137.5	6.1	12.6	10 (120)	8 (30)	.07 (126)	1.7 (46)	30% (42)	33% (52)	.34 (64)	5% (19)	1.8 (127)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 6.78 Rutgers: 7.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 9.6 Rutgers: 6.4

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 7.585 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 28
Rutgers 27

Projected Total Points: 55

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Illinois	35	Rutgers	13	Illinois -13.5	Illinois	63.5	Under
2024	11/23	Rutgers	31	Illinois	38	Rutgers -2.0	Illinois	48.0	Over
2021	10/30	Illinois	14	Rutgers	20	Rutgers -1.5	Rutgers	41.5	Under
2020	11/14	Rutgers	20	Illinois	23	Rutgers -5.5	Illinois	51.5	Under
2019	11/02	Illinois	38	Rutgers	10	Illinois -18.5	Illinois	49.0	Under
2018	10/06	Rutgers	17	Illinois	38	Illinois -4.5	Illinois	50.0	Over
2017	10/14	Illinois	24	Rutgers	35	Illinois -1	Rutgers	47.0	Over
2016	10/15	Rutgers	7	Illinois	24	Illinois -6	Illinois	52.0	Under
2006	09/09	Rutgers	33	Illinois	0
2005	09/03	Illinois	33	Rutgers	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	3	2	3 Overs
Illinois	7	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	2 - 6	2 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 4	6 - 2	3 - 0	3 - 2

(#39) ILL at (#47) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ILL	RUTG
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#39	#47
SP+SP+	#31	#42
Perf GradeGrade	#38	#39
OffenseOff	#38	#21
DefenseDef	#50	#57
Spec TeamsST	#47	#127
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#48	#82

Illinois Injury Report

Rutgers Notes(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
(8/20) Star LB/captain Toure out for season (ACL)
Rutgers Injury Report

Illinois on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#57
SuccessSuc	#30	#104
ExplosiveExp	#113	#1
PPAPPA	#66	#43
PowerPwr	#47	#70
SP+SP+	#55	#38
Pts POPPO	#71	#44
HavocHav	#124	#107

Illinois Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#47	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#56	#123
Run ExplRExp	#125	#4
PPAExp	#108	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#32	#91
Stuff RateStuff	#23	#120
TackleTak	-	#57

Illinois Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ILL Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#40	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	#14	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#108	#5
PPAExp	#35	#40
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#87	#27
F7 HavocF7	#98	#122
DB HavocDB	#130	#55

Rutgers on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#50
SuccessSuc	#91	#102
ExplosiveExp	#116	#14
PPAPPA	#107	#85
PowerPwr	#57	#72
SP+SP+	#58	#26
Pts POPPO	#62	#96
HavocHav	#10	#87

Rutgers Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#59	#102
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#87
Run ExplRExp	#94	#22
PPAExp	#64	#78
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#104
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#83
TackleTak	-	#7

Rutgers Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#26
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#110
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#21
PPAExp	#126	#76
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#50
F7 HavocF7	#11	#100
DB HavocDB	#19	#62

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50° - Wind: 22 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Rutgers -2.0 (48.0)
Illinois won at Rutgers this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Rutgers last year (35-13)
Illinois beat Rutgers in 2024 (38-31)

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Luke Altmyer	211	347	61%	2717	22	6	7.8
Donovan Leary	2	5	40%	29	0	0	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua McCray	117	609	10	5.2	60
Aidan Laughery	97	589	4	6.1	64
Kaden Feagin	67	306	3	4.6	34
Luke Altmyer	99	217	4	2.2	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Patrick Bryant	53	978	10	18.5	64
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)	56	658	4	11.8	44
Hank Beatty	20	294	1	14.7	59
Collin Dixon	18	264	0	14.7	41

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Aaron Henry (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Matthew Bailey	94	2	0	0	5
Gabe Jacas	71	13	8	9	0
Dylan Rosiek	61	3	2	0	1
James Kreutz	54	1	0	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gabe Jacas	71	13	8	9	0
Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr)	42	5	4	5	0
Te-Rah Edwards	38	5	3	7	0
Seth Coleman	53	7	3	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Scott	49	2	1	0	6
Matthew Bailey	94	2	0	0	5
Jaheim Clarke	34	1	0	1	5

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Antwan Raymond	100	457	8	4.6	65
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	92	251	3	2.7	20
Samuel Brown V	40	201	3	5.0	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)	59	757	4	12.8	45
Ian Strong	42	668	5	15.9	65
KJ Duff	28	433	1	15.5	59
Chris Long	11	163	1	14.8	58

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Walker	19	7	4	4	0
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	4