Illinois at Rutgers - 2024 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo (#9)Illinois Fighting Illini at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Rutgers -2.0 (48.0) (100)  Open: -2.0 | 48.0
Illinois 38 - Rutgers: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Illinois -0.5   (SP+ ILL -3)
Projected Score: ILL: 25 - RUTG: 25 (50)
RUTG Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ILL Travel: 725 miles, 1 hrs behind
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Illinois vs Eastern Illinois-28.550.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Illinois vs Kansas+4.558.5W 23 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Illinois vs Central Michigan-21.549.5W 30 - 9UN
Fri 9/20 Illinois at Nebraska+9.541.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/28 Illinois at Penn State+19.548.0L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Illinois vs Purdue-22.547.5W 50 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Illinois vs Michigan+6.044.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Illinois at Oregon+22.554.0L 9 - 38UN
Sat 11/2 Illinois vs Minnesota+2.547.0L 17 - 25UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Illinois vs Michigan State-2.047.5W 38 - 16OY
Sat 11/23 Illinois at Rutgers+2.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/30 Illinois vs Northwestern-8.542.5W 38 - 28OY
Tue 12/31 Illinois vs South Carolina+9.550.0W 21 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Rutgers vs Howard-38.551.5W 44 - 7UN
Sat 9/7 Rutgers vs Akron-24.541.5W 49 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Rutgers at Virginia Tech+3.045.0W 26 - 23OY
Fri 9/27 Rutgers vs Washington-1.544.5W 21 - 18UY
Sat 10/5 Rutgers at Nebraska+7.039.5L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Rutgers vs Wisconsin-1.043.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/19 Rutgers vs UCLA-4.042.5L 32 - 35ON
Fri 10/25 Rutgers at USC+14.057.0L 20 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Rutgers vs Minnesota+6.544.5W 26 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Rutgers at Maryland+4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Rutgers vs Illinois-2.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Rutgers at Michigan State+1.546.5W 41 - 14OY
Thu 12/26 Rutgers vs Kansas State+7.551.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)28.345% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)21.750% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)28.944% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)25.448% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1328.321.344.6%4.230.9193381401984.453%47%45%44%18%.25
RUTG Defense1325.425.143.3%4.030.9 - - - - - 46%54%48%40%15%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1321.728.546.3%3.481.5 - - - - - 48%52%50%43%13%.18
RUTG Offense1328.93042.9%4.190.6213531641894.553%47%44%42%14%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1326:5218.744%50%5.1390.91.53.82.2130.2
Rutgers1329:302143%48%3.933.80.60.93.71.5129.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1353% (50)45% (51)31.81404.420 (67).13 (67)3.14 (49)81% (17)11% (107)0.91 (95)
RUTG Defense1346% (18)48% (113) - - - - .26 (126)3.2 (99)82% (123)8% (115)1.07 (104)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1348% (37)50% (127) - - - - .19 (108)3.57 (132)75% (75)8% (120)0.8 (5)
RUTG Offense1353% (51)44% (69)36.8163.84.524 (45).1 (87)2.92 (88)76% (52)7% (11)0.91 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1347% (83)44% (44)15.425.5197.87.812.921 (51)5 (6).38 (16)1.8 (15)31% (62)31% (81).42 (31)6% (82)2.3 (5)
RUTG Defense1354% (117)40% (59) - - - - - - 7 (104).23 (69)1.6 (82)33% (50)31% (75).32 (76)7% (49)2.2 (101)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1352% (95)43% (90) - - - - - - 12 (39).19 (44)1.4 (17)28% (117)34% (111).37 (97)6% (84)1.9 (40)
RUTG Offense1347% (88)42% (63)15.327.9189.26.812.417 (79)6 (10).25 (75)1.6 (63)30% (42)34% (37).42 (32)7% (108)2 (69)

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 6.78   Rutgers: 7.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 9.6   Rutgers: 6.4




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 7.585 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 25
Rutgers 25


Total Points: 50

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Rutgers31Illinois38IllinoisRutgers -2.0Illinois48.0Over
202110/30Illinois14Rutgers20RutgersRutgers -1.5Rutgers41.5Under
202011/14Rutgers20Illinois23IllinoisRutgers -5.5Illinois51.5Under
201911/02Illinois38Rutgers10IllinoisIllinois -18.5Illinois49.0Under
201810/06Rutgers17Illinois38IllinoisIllinois -4.5Illinois50.0Over
201710/14Illinois24Rutgers35RutgersIllinois -1Rutgers47.0Over
201610/15Rutgers7Illinois24IllinoisIllinois -6Illinois52.0Under
200609/09Rutgers33Illinois0Rutgers
200509/03Illinois33Rutgers30Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers323 Overs
Illinois654 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 61 - 61 - 30 - 3
Road Teams6 - 36 - 13 - 03 - 1

(#39) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 6.78 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Illinois has won 1 straight
Illinois has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Illinois Highlights
Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#80)

Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#53)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)

Illinois Deficiencies
Illinois has a bad defense (#56)
Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#6)
Illinois has a bad defensive line (#49)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatRUTGILL
OverallOver#30#29
OffenseOff#20#34
DefenseDef#41#37
Special TeamsST#104#41
PassingPass#32#33
RushingRush#42#32
Run BlockRBLK#7#54
Pass BlockPBLK#72#74
Route RunningWR Rt#43#11
TacklingTkl#51#6
Run DefenseR Def#71#79
Pass Rush DefPRush#25#45
Coverage DefCov#58#18

Rematch from Week 13
Rutgers -2.0 (48.0)
Illinois won at Rutgers this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Rutgers last year (38-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | RUTG
Depth Chart: ILL | RUTG
Rosters: ILL | RUTG
(#47) Rutgers Info
Power Rating: 7.585 #47
Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Rutgers has won 2 straight
Rutgers has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Rutgers Notes
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough

Rutgers Highlights
Rutgers has a great TO Margin (#1)
Rutgers commits very few Penalties (#25)

Rutgers Deficiencies
Rutgers offense is not Explosive (#94)
Rutgers gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#117)


  
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer21134761%27172267.8
Donovan Leary2540%29005.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua McCray117609105.260
Aidan Laughery9758946.164
Kaden Feagin6730634.634
Luke Altmyer9921742.237
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)56658411.844
Hank Beatty20294114.759
Collin Dixon18264014.741

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Bailey942005
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dylan Rosiek613201
James Kreutz541021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Jacas7113890
Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr)425450
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Seth Coleman537353
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Scott492106
Matthew Bailey942005
Jaheim Clarke341015

Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai2561279135.062
Antwan Raymond10045784.665
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)9225132.720
Samuel Brown V4020135.037
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)59757412.845
Ian Strong42668515.965
KJ Duff28433115.559
Chris Long11163114.858

View Rutgers's Full Roster
Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dariel Djabome1008441
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004
Tyreem Powell564032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Walker197440
Kyonte Hamilton325431
Dariel Djabome1008441
Aaron Lewis274362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam4220011
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004