Minnesota Golden Gophers at Illinois Fighting Illini
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -2.5 (47.0) (-142) Open: -2.5
Minnesota 25 - Illinois: 17 (Big Ten)
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (10 - 2 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (50 - 34)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -0.5 (SP+ MINN -1)
Projected Score: MINN: 23 - ILL: 24 (47)
MINN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 422 miles
Our Line: Illinois -0.5 (SP+ MINN -1)
Projected Score: MINN: 23 - ILL: 24 (47)
MINN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 422 miles
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
| Minnesota's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Minnesota vs North Carolina | +2.0 | 52.5 | L 17 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Minnesota vs Rhode Island | -27.5 | 47.5 | W 48 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Minnesota vs Nevada | -17.5 | 44.5 | W 27 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Minnesota vs Iowa | +3.0 | 34.5 | L 14 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Minnesota at Michigan | +10.5 | 34.5 | L 24 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Minnesota vs USC | +8.5 | 45.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Minnesota at UCLA | -3.5 | 39.0 | W 21 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | Minnesota vs Maryland | -6.0 | 45.0 | W 48 - 23 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Minnesota at Illinois | -2.5 | 47.0 | W 25 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Minnesota at Rutgers | -6.5 | 44.5 | L 19 - 26 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Minnesota vs Penn State | +11.0 | 45.0 | L 25 - 26 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Minnesota at Wisconsin | -1.5 | 40.5 | W 24 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Fri 1/3 | Minnesota vs Virginia Tech | -10.0 | 43.5 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Illinois's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Illinois vs Eastern Illinois | -28.5 | 50.5 | W 45 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Illinois vs Kansas | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Illinois vs Central Michigan | -21.5 | 49.5 | W 30 - 9 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/20 | Illinois at Nebraska | +9.5 | 41.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Illinois at Penn State | +19.5 | 48.0 | L 7 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Illinois vs Purdue | -22.5 | 47.5 | W 50 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Illinois vs Michigan | +6.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Illinois at Oregon | +22.5 | 54.0 | L 9 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Illinois vs Minnesota | +2.5 | 47.0 | L 17 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Illinois vs Michigan State | -2.0 | 47.5 | W 38 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Illinois at Rutgers | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Illinois vs Northwestern | -8.5 | 42.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Illinois vs South Carolina | +9.5 | 50.0 | W 21 - 17 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | #118 (.09) | 41% (87) | 26.2 | 44% (53) | 3.15 (61) | 158 | 36% (116) | 143 | 3.85 (73) | #93 (.22) | 43% (75) | 16.9 | 45% (90) | 41% (63) | 4.67 (129) | 27.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| ILL | #66 (.2) | 45% (30) | 28.3 | 44% (56) | 3.31 (32) | 125 | 48% (14) | 266 | 3.9 (71) | #85 (.2) | 44% (102) | 21.7 | 45% (87) | 45% (110) | 4.09 (96) | 62.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| ILL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Offense | 13 | 26.2 | 22.6 | 40.5% | 3.85 | 1.3 | 18 | 301 | 158 | 143 | 4.1 | 59% | 40% | 44% | 36% | 13% | .09 |
| ILL Defense | 12 | 21.7 | 17.6 | 44.4% | 4.09 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 45% | 45% | 15% | .2 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Defense | 13 | 16.9 | 18.8 | 42.6% | 4.67 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 51% | 45% | 41% | 11% | .22 |
| ILL Offense | 12 | 28.3 | 32 | 45.5% | 3.9 | 1.9 | 20 | 391 | 125 | 266 | 3.8 | 45% | 53% | 44% | 48% | 20% | .2 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 13 | 31:49 | 18.2 | 35% | 82% | 3 | 27.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 29 |
| Illinois | 12 | 28:24 | 20.3 | 37% | 54% | 6.6 | 62.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 26 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Offense | 13 | 59% (12) | 44% (53) | 38.8 | 157.5 | 4.1 | 13 (108) | .11 (92) | 3.15 (61) | 75% (52) | 7% (13) | 0.83 (127) |
| ILL Defense | 12 | 51% (75) | 45% (87) | - | - | - | - | .15 (78) | 3.27 (104) | 73% (68) | 9% (100) | 0.89 (22) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Defense | 13 | 47% (34) | 45% (90) | - | - | - | - | .2 (102) | 3.15 (79) | 80% (109) | 7% (132) | 0.99 (63) |
| ILL Offense | 12 | 45% (103) | 44% (56) | 33 | 125.1 | 3.8 | 12 (116) | .07 (108) | 3.31 (32) | 67% (109) | 12% (98) | 0.84 (125) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Offense | 13 | 40% (121) | 36% (116) | 12.6 | 24 | 143.4 | 6 | 11.4 | 16 (92) | 11 (68) | .1 (123) | 1.6 (53) | 29% (26) | 27% (99) | .16 (117) | 6% (52) | 1.9 (106) |
| ILL Defense | 12 | 49% (69) | 45% (110) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (111) | .28 (76) | 1.5 (21) | 31% (78) | 34% (114) | .3 (63) | 6% (62) | 1.8 (7) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MINN Defense | 13 | 51% (94) | 41% (63) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (37) | .29 (83) | 1.6 (73) | 30% (106) | 30% (71) | .42 (112) | 5% (116) | 2.2 (105) |
| ILL Offense | 12 | 53% (35) | 48% (14) | 21.8 | 34.5 | 265.9 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 23 (51) | 13 (97) | .37 (35) | 1.5 (108) | 28% (14) | 33% (48) | .36 (63) | 9% (130) | 1.9 (108) |
Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
2024 Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Minnesota's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 9.69 Illinois: 10.69
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4 Illinois: 9.6
Minnesota: 9.69 Illinois: 10.69
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 10.4 Illinois: 9.6
Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8
Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8
Minnesota's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 24
Minnesota 23
Projected Total Points: 47
Illinois 24
Minnesota 23
Projected Total Points: 47
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6
Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6
Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Illinois | 17 | Minnesota | 25 | Minnesota | Minnesota -2.5 | Minnesota | 47.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/04 | Minnesota | 26 | Illinois | 27 | Illinois | Minnesota -1.5 | Illinois | 43.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Illinois | 26 | Minnesota | 14 | Illinois | Minnesota -4.5 | Illinois | 40.0 | Push |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Minnesota | 6 | Illinois | 14 | Illinois | Minnesota -14.5 | Illinois | 44.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/07 | Illinois | 14 | Minnesota | 41 | Minnesota | Minnesota -7.5 | Minnesota | 64.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/05 | Minnesota | 40 | Illinois | 17 | Minnesota | Minnesota -14 | Minnesota | 58.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Illinois | 55 | Minnesota | 31 | Illinois | Minnesota -8.5 | Illinois | 61.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/21 | Minnesota | 24 | Illinois | 17 | Minnesota | Minnesota -14.5 | Illinois | 48.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/29 | Illinois | 17 | Minnesota | 40 | Minnesota | Minnesota -10 | Minnesota | 46.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Minnesota | 32 | Illinois | 23 | Minnesota | Minnesota -4.5 | Minnesota | 47.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/25 | Illinois | 28 | Minnesota | 24 | Illinois | Minnesota -6.5 | Illinois | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | Illinois | 3 | Minnesota | 17 | Minnesota | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Minnesota | 27 | Illinois | 7 | Minnesota | ||||
| 2010 | 11/13 | Illinois | 34 | Minnesota | 38 | Minnesota | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Minnesota | 32 | Illinois | 35 | Illinois | ||||
| 2008 | 10/11 | Illinois | 20 | Minnesota | 27 | Minnesota | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Minnesota | 17 | Illinois | 44 | Illinois | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Minnesota | 45 | Illinois | 0 | Minnesota | ||||
| 2003 | 10/25 | Illinois | 10 | Minnesota | 36 | Minnesota | ||||
| 2002 | 10/03 | Minnesota | 31 | Illinois | 10 | Minnesota | ||||
| 2001 | 10/06 | Illinois | 25 | Minnesota | 14 | Illinois | ||||
| 2000 | 09/29 | Minnesota | 44 | Illinois | 10 | Minnesota |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois | 8 | 6 | 4 Overs |
| Minnesota | 14 | 5 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 11 | 5 - 6 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 11 | 6 - 5 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
(#32) Minnesota Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Minnesota Notes
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 23.19 #37
Defense Rating: 3.27 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 824.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Minnesota Notes
(11/23) Fight w/ PSU. Off awful, 2 TO's, coaching cost
(11/13) WTF gag vs Gers, Rgame 19 att/35 yds! Def bad
(11/2) Even w/ Ill, forced 2 TOs. Brosmer/Rgame enough
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 17 Def TO's, 2nd in CFB
(10/13) Rgame awful, Run Def great, clutch W @ UCLA
(10/4) Pass 60% = avg success. Rgame 3.4 ypc, 100 ypg
(9/28) Rgame is shockingly awful. Brosmer OK vs Mich
(9/1) Run game awful vs NC, Brosmer bad, have no WR
(8/28) Is RB Taylor healthy? Check warmups vs NC
(8/1) QB Brosmer (N Hampshire) looks fun, WR decent
Power #32
#39Off #37
#47Def #14
#72Talent #27
#65SP+ #27
#31SP+ Off #79
#55SP+ Def #11
#26Rematch from Week 10
Minnesota 2.5 (47.0)
Minnesota won at Illinois this year (25-17)
Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Illinois last year (25-17)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2023 (27-26)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2022 (26-14)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph
Team Information
Injuries: MINN | ILL
Depth Chart: MINN | ILL
Rosters: MINN | ILL
(#39) Illinois Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 646.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Brosmer (Tr) | 268 | 403 | 67% | 2829 | 18 | 6 | 7.0 |
| Drake Lindsey | 4 | 5 | 80% | 50 | 1 | 0 | 10.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Taylor | 205 | 986 | 10 | 4.8 | 80 |
| Marcus Major (Tr) | 78 | 352 | 3 | 4.5 | 40 |
| Jaren Mangham (Tr) | 19 | 123 | 0 | 6.5 | 18 |
| Jordan Nubin | 11 | 19 | 0 | 1.7 | 7 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Taylor | 54 | 350 | 2 | 6.5 | 22 |
| Jameson Geers | 27 | 286 | 4 | 10.6 | 23 |
| Lemeke Brockington | 18 | 282 | 1 | 15.7 | 35 |
| Marcus Major (Tr) | 20 | 144 | 1 | 7.2 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick Baranowski | 65 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Kerry Brown | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Koi Perich | 46 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Devon Williams | 44 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith | 27 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| Deven Eastern | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Maverick Baranowski | 65 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Darius Green | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Robinson (Tr) | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Za'Quan Bryan | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jalen Logan-Redding | 27 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Altmyer | 211 | 347 | 61% | 2717 | 22 | 6 | 7.8 |
| Donovan Leary | 2 | 5 | 40% | 29 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua McCray | 117 | 609 | 10 | 5.2 | 60 |
| Aidan Laughery | 97 | 589 | 4 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Kaden Feagin | 67 | 306 | 3 | 4.6 | 34 |
| Luke Altmyer | 99 | 217 | 4 | 2.2 | 37 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakhari Franklin (Tr) | 56 | 658 | 4 | 11.8 | 44 |
| Hank Beatty | 20 | 294 | 1 | 14.7 | 59 |
| Collin Dixon | 18 | 264 | 0 | 14.7 | 41 |
| Joshua McCray | 13 | 116 | 1 | 8.9 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Bailey | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Gabe Jacas | 71 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Dylan Rosiek | 61 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Miles Scott | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Jacas | 71 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr) | 42 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Alec Bryant | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Malachi Hood | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Scott | 49 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Matthew Bailey | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jaheim Clarke | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |