Washington at Iowa - 2024 Matchup Preview
Washington logo Washington Huskies at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Iowa -2.5 (41.5) (-142)  Open: -4.0
Iowa 40 - Washington: 16  (Big Ten)

 
Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
WASH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -14   (SP+ IOWA -13)

Projected Score: WASH: 15 - IOWA: 29 (47)
IOWA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WASH Travel: 1556 miles, 2 hrs behind
Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (33 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Washington's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington vs Weber State-29.051.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Washington vs Eastern Michigan-25.048.5W 30 - 9UN
Sat 9/14 Washington vs Washington State-4.056.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 9/21 Washington vs Northwestern-11.542.5W 24 - 5UY
Fri 9/27 Washington at Rutgers+1.544.5L 18 - 21UN
Sat 10/5 Washington vs Michigan-1.539.5W 27 - 17OY
Sat 10/12 Washington at Iowa+2.541.5L 16 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Washington at Indiana+5.554.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Washington vs USC+2.055.0W 26 - 21UY
Sat 11/9 Washington at Penn State+13.548.0L 6 - 35UN
Fri 11/15 Washington vs UCLA-4.547.0W 31 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Washington at Oregon+17.550.5L 21 - 49ON
Tue 12/31 Washington vs Louisville-1.050.5L 34 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Iowa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa vs Illinois State-31.5
Sat 9/7 Iowa vs Iowa State-3.035.0L 19 - 20ON
Sat 9/14 Iowa vs Troy-23.539.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Iowa at Minnesota-3.034.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Iowa at Ohio State+17.046.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 10/12 Iowa vs Washington-2.541.5W 40 - 16OY
Sat 10/19 Iowa at Michigan State-7.039.5L 20 - 32ON
Sat 10/26 Iowa vs Northwestern-16.538.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 11/2 Iowa vs Wisconsin-2.540.0W 42 - 10OY
Fri 11/8 Iowa at UCLA-6.544.5L 17 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Iowa at Maryland-4.040.5W 29 - 13OY
Fri 11/29 Iowa vs Nebraska-3.541.5W 13 - 10UN
Mon 12/30 Iowa vs Missouri+1.041.0L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#7 (.38)53% (4)23.454% (4)3.37 (16)10953% (5)2984.73 (12)#72 (.19)44% (99)23.851% (127)40% (50)3.93 (80)641.11.2
IOWA#133 (-.04)33% (133)27.733% (131)2.47 (132)10934% (124)1142.86 (126)#2 (-.01)34% (5)17.835% (11)34% (6)2.65 (4)281.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense1523.415.652.9%4.731.1204071092984.540%60%54%53%13%.38
IOWA Defense1417.81334.2%2.651.1 - - - - - 45%53%35%34%16%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1523.835.244.1%3.931.2 - - - - - 41%58%51%40%15%.19
IOWA Offense1427.733.132.9%2.861.4122231091143.456%43%33%34%19%-.04

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1525:4120.248%73%6.8641.11.23.91.3331
Iowa1426:2912.131%50%3.3281.41.14.91.9231.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1540% (125)54% (4)24108.54.526 (30).28 (10)3.37 (16)74% (71)7% (18)0.96 (90)
IOWA Defense1445% (17)35% (11) - - - - -.05 (5)2.8 (21)71% (53)9% (88)0.72 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1541% (3)51% (127) - - - - .3 (130)3.63 (132)78% (99)7% (126)0.99 (66)
IOWA Offense1456% (23)33% (131)32.1108.73.411 (123)-.08 (133)2.47 (132)66% (113)12% (105)0.82 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1560% (8)53% (5)21.332.32989.21435 (7)10 (56).49 (11)1.5 (109)26% (7)41% (5).56 (10)5% (36)2 (89)
IOWA Defense1453% (113)34% (6) - - - - - - 10 (67).08 (5)1.4 (8)37% (8)25% (13).12 (3)7% (36)1.7 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1558% (130)40% (50) - - - - - - 16 (9).14 (13)1.4 (7)29% (122)30% (66).22 (23)8% (12)1.7 (2)
IOWA Offense1443% (113)34% (124)11.523.1114.459.99 (126)9 (40).08 (125)1.4 (124)34% (99)21% (131).05 (133)7% (112)1.7 (128)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: -0.06 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 754.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: -0.06   Iowa: 15.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 3.1   Iowa: 15.8




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 852.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 29
Washington 15


Projected Total Points: 47
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Iowa40Washington16IowaIowa -2.5Iowa41.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa111 Overs
Washington000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#64) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.06 #64
Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 754.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Washington Notes
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY
Washington     Ratings Matchup     Iowa
Power #64
#31
Off #73
#88
Def #81
#9
Talent #41
#20
SP+ #58
#16
SP+ Off #66
#69
SP+ Def #36
#5

Rematch from Week 7
Iowa -2.5 (41.5)
Iowa won vs Washington this year (40-16)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Washington last year (40-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WASH | IOWA
Depth Chart: WASH | IOWA
Rosters: WASH | IOWA
(#31) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5
Talent Rating: 852.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Iowa Notes
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad


  
Washington's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers (Tr)22031171%24581477.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8210578%944819.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)1931053105.564
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8328223.443
Adam Mohammed (Tr)4219304.632
Cameron Davis4419004.320
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston63834913.251
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)36490113.642
Keleki Latu (Tr)4037119.336
Decker DeGraaf15233315.541

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)495201
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)450006
Makell Esteen432000
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Russell Davis II (Tr)43300
Isaiah Ward (Tr)286322
Zach Durfee164301
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)495201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Jordan Shaw374016
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)450006

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McNamara10417261%1017655.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)385372%474338.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)4715143.230
Max White63505.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)35411211.759
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619
Zach Ortwerth11133012.152
Addison Ostrenga1511417.629

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Deshaun Lee421004
Xavier Nwankpa410001
Aaron Graves338623
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Brian Allen175321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Lee421004
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673